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NIO (NIO) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: October 10, 2024 (13:48)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of NIO Limited (NIO) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report|
This Week
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Bearish | Impact: 5 | News: 3 |
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Previous Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 3 (2/1/0) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 4 (3/1/0) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Impact: 5 | News: 3 |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 2 (2/0/0) |
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Previous Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 5 (3/0/2) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 1 (1/0/0) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: 4 (1/2/1) |
Analyzing the Most Important NIO news
China Stimulus Uncertainty Sinks Consumer Stocks
Chinese Stocks Plummet Amid Stimulus Disappointment: NIO Hit Hard
EU Targets Chinese EVs with New Tariffs: A Blow to Market Expansion
Historical and forecast chart of NIO stock
The chart below shows the historical price of NIO stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the NIO stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
NIO Limited Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 12 analytical articles which are directly related to NIO from the last 30 days. Out of these, 7 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 3 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 2 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Sep 12, 2024 to Oct 07, 2024.
NIO: Riding the Wave of Innovation with Battery as a Service and Strong Market Positioning
In this insightful review of Hunter Wolf Research's analytical article, the author maintains a bullish stance on NIO stock, suggesting a positive outlook for this electric vehicle giant. With an impressive portfolio of 130 publications since 2015, the author demonstrates a robust commitment to delivering well-researched financial insights over a relatively short period. This frequency of publication, combined with 1,851 loyal subscribers, underscores the author's popularity and consistent engagement within the financial community. Significantly, the credibility of the author's viewpoints is reinforced by a high level of authoritative standing, indicating well-founded and trustworthy analyses. Readers can confidently rely on this evaluation of NIO stock, grounded in both expertise and a substantiated track record within the field.
Key Theses
- NIO's Battery as a Service model reduces upfront EV costs, making their vehicles more competitive and attractive to customers.
- The ONVO L60 SUV is poised to compete strongly against Tesla's Model Y, potentially driving significant sales growth.
- China's growing EV market and government incentives are expected to facilitate a 35% revenue increase for NIO in the near term.
- NIO's focus on cost optimization and high-margin products supports a favorable 'Buy' rating with a projected $9 target price per share.
Factors Influencing NIO's Stock Price
Battery as a Service (BAAS) Model
The BAAS model lowers the upfront cost of NIO's vehicles, making them more accessible to a broader customer base and enhancing sales potential. This innovative model also mitigates battery degradation concerns, further strengthening customer attractiveness.
ONVO L60 SUV Launch
The competitive pricing and significant pre-orders for the ONVO L60 suggest strong market interest, potentially leading to a surge in sales. Its position against Tesla's Model Y could further increase NIO’s market share in the EV sector, significantly impacting stock valuation.
China's Expanding EV Market
The rapid growth, supported by government incentives and increasing EV penetration, suggests a favorable market environment for NIO. With the EV market projected to grow by 30% and NIO targeting a 35% revenue increase, macroeconomic conditions are likely to positively influence the stock price.
NIO's Cost Optimization Efforts
Efforts to improve operating margins and focus on high-margin product lines could lead to improved financial performance, supporting stock price growth. Anticipated margin expansion aligns with strategic cost reductions, enhancing investor confidence and interest.
Potential Equity Raises and Legal Uncertainties
Past reliance on equity markets for capital could create downward pressure on stock price with future raises. Additionally, legal challenges introduce uncertainties that could affect investor sentiment, though impact may be mitigated if resolved favorably.
Review the original Analysis
NIO's Meteoric Rise: Navigating the Inevitable Pullback
In this insightful review of Juxtaposed Ideas' analytical article on NIO stock, the author reaffirms their Bullish stance, signaling optimism about the stock's future potential. This perspective carries significant weight, given the author's prolific contribution to the financial discourse, evidenced by 1079 publications since joining the platform in 2022. The extensive subscriber base of 12,175 highlights the popularity and trust in their analyses. Moreover, the author’s impressive track record and authoritative opinions are underscored by their highly respectable credibility within the community, making their projections and evaluations of NIO stock particularly noteworthy. Such factors collectively enhance the readership's confidence in the author's analysis and provide a substantial foundation for considering their optimistic outlook on NIO's trajectory in the financial markets.
Key Theses from the Article
- NIO's timely mass market model launches have benefited from recent government subsidies and tax breaks for EV purchases.
- The company has reported strong deliveries and expanding profit margins, signaling a potential second EV boom.
- Despite solid fundamentals, the recent rapid rally in NIO's stock has left minimal margin for safety.
- With ongoing global political risks, a near-term pullback in NIO's stock price is considered inevitable.
- Investors are advised to exercise patience and wait for a moderate retracement to optimize their investments.
Factors Affecting NIO's Stock Price
Government subsidies and tax breaks
The subsidies and tax breaks enhance affordability and attractiveness of NIO's EVs in China, significantly boosting demand and sales potential in the short to medium term.
Strong deliveries and profit margin growth
Robust delivery numbers and expanding margins keep NIO financially strong, reinforcing investor confidence and supporting higher stock valuations.
Market exuberance and potential for pullback
Recent rapid gains might lead to profit-taking and potential moderation of market enthusiasm, posing risks of a short-term stock pullback.
US election campaigns and trade tensions
Political uncertainties regarding US-China relations could affect market sentiment and cause volatility in Chinese ADRs, including NIO.
NIO's cash burn and increase in operating expenses
With ongoing expenses and cash burn related to model launches, NIO might face financial pressure that could impact its stock price adversely if not managed efficiently.
Review the original Analysis Commentary
Long-term, despite the bullish outlook, factors like heightened political tensions and NIO's cash burn imply a potential pullback in the coming month. While rapid gains have drawn attention, they raise risks of market correction as exuberance cools. Investors seeking to capitalize on future dips should monitor these dynamics closely, ensuring strategies remain adaptable to evolving political and economic landscapes, safeguarding investments from potential volatility.
Comprehensive Analysis of NIO (NIO) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of NIO's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in NIO stock?
- When should I record a loss on NIO stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for NIO stock?
- What is the future of NIO stock?
We forecast NIO stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on NIO stocks.
NIO Limited News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 13 news items directly related to NIO from the last 30 days. Out of these, 5 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 6 display bearish tendencies, and 2 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is dominating bullish sentiments by 1.13 times, indicating that the current news landscape is negatively impacting the company's stock prices in the foreseeable future.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Sep 12, 2024, to Oct 08, 2024.
NIO's Deliveries Hit Record-High, Boosting Investor Confidence
Stock Movements: DJT and NEV Giants Surge on Key Announcements
Nio China's Multi-Billion Boost: Strategic and Parent Investments
China Boosts Growth, NIO Leaps with Market Reforms
China's Stimulus Boosts NIO and Peers
Market Movers: SNOW Slips, LNW Plummets & AAR Rises
Fed's Rate Cut Sparks Volatility: Winners and Losers in the Stock Market
NIO Charges Into Europe with EL8 Amid Tariff Turbulence
Chinese EV Stocks Tumble Amid Beijing's Tech Retention Directive
Market Movers: Netgear Soars, Oxford Industries and EV Stocks Tumble
Nio was founded in 2014 with global headquarters in Shanghai and R&D centers in Hefei and Beijing (China), San Jose (California, USA), Oxford (UK) and Munich ( Germany).
Nio’s scope of business covers:
– development, production and sales of five, six and seven-seat electric off-road vehicles, as well as batteries for them;
– home and public charging stations (Power Home and Public Charger) and battery replacement stations (Power Swap).
Nio’s electric vehicle plant is located in Hefei, central China. Nio’s electric vehicle shipments are limited by the Chinese market (as of early 2021), however, the company announced its plans for deliveries in Europe as early as the second half of 2021.
Trending Themes in the Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | 6.48 | 6.35 | 6.65 | 4.65 |
| Oct 13 | 6.46 | 6.33 | 6.52 | 2.90 |
| Oct 14 | 6.47 | 6.41 | 6.65 | 3.71 |
| Oct 15 | 6.31 | 6.20 | 6.39 | 3.06 |
| Oct 16 | 6.29 | 6.20 | 6.44 | 3.77 |
| Oct 17 | 6.20 | 6.13 | 6.40 | 4.42 |
| Oct 18 | 6.27 | 6.22 | 6.43 | 3.39 |
| Oct 19 | 6.29 | 6.18 | 6.46 | 4.51 |
| Oct 20 | 6.35 | 6.29 | 6.46 | 2.67 |
| Oct 21 | 6.31 | 6.15 | 6.51 | 5.95 |
| Oct 22 | 6.38 | 6.28 | 6.58 | 4.71 |
| Oct 23 | 6.27 | 6.11 | 6.43 | 5.17 |
| Oct 24 | 6.38 | 6.22 | 6.46 | 3.73 |
| Oct 25 | 6.39 | 6.33 | 6.46 | 2.02 |
| Oct 26 | 6.54 | 6.33 | 6.66 | 5.21 |
| Oct 27 | 6.69 | 6.62 | 6.74 | 1.94 |
| Oct 28 | 6.83 | 6.74 | 7.04 | 4.38 |
| Oct 29 | 7.07 | 6.97 | 7.22 | 3.61 |
| Oct 30 | 7.11 | 6.97 | 7.19 | 3.18 |
| Oct 31 | 6.85 | 6.68 | 7.06 | 5.62 |
| Nov 01 | 6.89 | 6.73 | 6.96 | 3.40 |
| Nov 02 | 6.97 | 6.89 | 7.17 | 4.05 |
| Nov 03 | 6.87 | 6.66 | 7.09 | 6.35 |
| Nov 04 | 6.79 | 6.68 | 6.98 | 4.55 |
| Nov 05 | 6.88 | 6.70 | 7.03 | 4.92 |
| Nov 06 | 7.06 | 6.87 | 7.18 | 4.48 |
| Nov 07 | 6.97 | 6.79 | 7.06 | 3.90 |
| Nov 08 | 6.77 | 6.62 | 6.98 | 5.48 |
| Nov 09 | 6.53 | 6.47 | 6.70 | 3.52 |
| Nov 10 | 6.50 | 6.31 | 6.59 | 4.37 |
NIO Daily Price Targets
NIO Stock Forecast 10-12-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-12-2024: $6.48.
Positive dynamics for NIO shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.441%.
Pessimistic target level: 6.35
Optimistic target level: 6.65
NIO Stock Forecast 10-13-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-13-2024: $6.46.
Negative dynamics for NIO shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.814%.
Pessimistic target level: 6.33
Optimistic target level: 6.52
NIO Stock Forecast 10-14-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-14-2024: $6.47.
Positive dynamics for NIO shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.578%.
Pessimistic target level: 6.41
Optimistic target level: 6.65
NIO Stock Forecast 10-15-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-15-2024: $6.31.
Negative dynamics for NIO shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.965%.
Pessimistic target level: 6.20
Optimistic target level: 6.39
NIO Stock Forecast 10-16-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-16-2024: $6.29.
Negative dynamics for NIO shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.636%.
Pessimistic target level: 6.20
Optimistic target level: 6.44
NIO Stock Forecast 10-17-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-17-2024: $6.20.
Negative dynamics for NIO shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.230%.
Pessimistic target level: 6.13
Optimistic target level: 6.40
NIO (NIO) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. | 6.38 | 5.91 | 7.10 | 16.83 |
| Dec. | 6.68 | 6.27 | 7.01 | 10.58 |
NIO forecast for this year
NIO Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $6.37614. Pessimistic: $5.91. Optimistic: $7.10
NIO Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $6.6822. Pessimistic: $6.27. Optimistic: $7.01
NIO (NIO) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 6.44 | 6.21 | 6.79 | 8.54 |
| Feb | 6.64 | 6.16 | 7.13 | 13.69 |
| Mar | 7.08 | 6.79 | 7.45 | 8.98 |
| Apr | 7.69 | 7.45 | 8.13 | 8.37 |
| May | 7.61 | 6.72 | 8.22 | 18.32 |
| Jun | 7.20 | 6.58 | 8.01 | 17.80 |
| Jul | 6.97 | 6.55 | 7.42 | 11.70 |
| Aug | 7.98 | 7.19 | 8.58 | 16.19 |
| Sep | 8.08 | 7.29 | 8.33 | 12.51 |
| Oct | 7.00 | 6.17 | 7.39 | 16.49 |
| Nov | 7.06 | 6.45 | 7.63 | 15.42 |
| Dec | 7.11 | 6.67 | 7.80 | 14.49 |
NIO (NIO) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 7.55 | 7.00 | 8.35 | 16.15 |
| Feb | 7.40 | 6.51 | 7.75 | 16.03 |
| Mar | 8.25 | 7.74 | 8.68 | 10.83 |
| Apr | 8.81 | 8.16 | 9.52 | 14.29 |
| May | 10.04 | 8.98 | 10.82 | 16.98 |
| Jun | 9.64 | 8.82 | 10.31 | 14.45 |
| Jul | 8.24 | 7.31 | 8.86 | 17.44 |
| Aug | 8.67 | 7.92 | 9.10 | 13.01 |
| Sep | 8.52 | 7.53 | 9.53 | 20.92 |
| Oct | 8.17 | 7.57 | 8.87 | 14.65 |
| Nov | 7.73 | 7.01 | 8.37 | 16.21 |
| Dec | 7.30 | 6.86 | 7.99 | 14.12 |
NIO information and performance
BUILDING 20, NO. 56 ANTUO ROAD, ANTING TOWN, JIADING DISTRICT, SHANGHAI, CHINA
Market capitalization of the NIO Limited is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of NIO shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of NIO is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
NIO (NIO) stock dividend
NIO last paid dividends on 01/01/1970. The next scheduled payment will be on 05/02/2016. The amount of dividends is $None per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Commentary
NIO has positioned itself as a leader in innovation and competitiveness in the ever-expanding electric vehicle market with its Battery as a Service (BAAS) model. This strategy significantly lowers the initial purchase price of their vehicles, broadening their appeal to a wider audience and enhancing market penetration. The company’s recent launch of the ONVO L60 SUV, a direct competitor to Tesla’s Model Y, further showcases NIO’s potential to capture a larger slice of the EV pie, driven by strong pre-orders and competitive pricing.
The average influence strength of factors affecting NIO’s stock trend appears quite robust, with significant factors like the BAAS model and ONVO L60 launch poised to bolster stock performance in the near term. Coupled with China’s supportive EV policies and market growth, the outlook for the next 15 days and the coming month remains bullish. However, minor challenges such as potential equity raises and legal uncertainties persist, though they seem manageable. Overall, NIO's strategic innovations and market dynamics are likely to favorably influence its stock trajectory.