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Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: December 11, 2024 (08:56)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Microsoft Inc. (MSFT) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report|
This Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 15 (11/4/0) |
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Previous Week
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Bearish | Impact: 4 | News: 11 (1/6/4) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 8 (4/4/0) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 3.53 | News: 15 (9/3/3) |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 1 (1/0/0) |
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Previous Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 2 (2/0/0) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 6 (3/2/1) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Opinions: 4 |
Analyzing the Most Important MSFT news
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Historical and forecast chart of Microsoft stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Microsoft stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Microsoft stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Microsoft Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 13 analytical articles which are directly related to MSFT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 6 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 2 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 5 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Nov 15, 2024 to Dec 10, 2024.
Why Microsoft's Future in Cloud and AI Makes It a Strong Buy
In their recent analytical financial article, Oakoff Investments takes a bullish stance on MSFT stock, reflecting optimism about its market performance. Oakoff Investments is a reputable voice in the financial analysis community, given their impressive track record of 298 publications since 2021. With over 6,456 subscribers, their insights are both widely disseminated and trusted. The author's viewpoints carry significant weight, as indicated by a high credibility level, substantiating their analytical prowess. Their prolific output within a relatively short tenure as a contributor further underscores their expertise and commitment to providing timely, reliable financial analyses. This review will delve into the specifics of their bullish perspective on MSFT, exploring the reasoning and data underpinning their positive outlook.
Key Theses of the Article
- Maintain a 'Buy' rating on Microsoft Stock due to potential growth in the cloud and AI sectors.
- Q4 FY2024 results indicate significant revenue increases driven by Azure and AI services.
- Temporary challenges such as Azure's capacity issues and OpenAI losses are expected to resolve by 2H FY2025.
- Microsoft's competitive advantages in cloud and productivity segments will likely allow for outperformance of current Wall Street growth expectations.
- Current valuation might be attractive for long-term investors if Microsoft outperforms growth forecasts.
Factors Influencing MSFT Stock Price
Azure and AI Revenue Growth
The 22% growth in Microsoft Cloud and 33% YoY increase in Azure indicate robust performance in high-growth areas, directly boosting revenue potential. This demonstrates strong operational performance and future growth plans with a significant positive impact on the stock price.
Capacity Issues and Their Resolution
The delay in third-party data center leases and Azure's 31-32% growth guidance caused some concern but expected reacceleration could restore investor confidence. These factors have a temporary negative impact, but resolving them could significantly improve investor sentiment and stock valuation.
OpenAI Collaboration and Losses
Microsoft's stake in OpenAI resulted in significant Q1 losses; however, a ~$10 billion run rate projection indicates future growth potential. While current losses negatively affect stock sentiment, anticipated future returns from AI investments might mitigate this impact.
Market Consensus and Analysts' Expectations
Reduced EPS estimates for the coming years due to Azure's growth slowdown create a lower market expectation baseline. If Microsoft outperforms these expectations, any resultant positive surprise could lead to stock price appreciation.
Strategic AI Investments
Significant investments in AI infrastructure and tools like GitHub Copilot strengthen Microsoft's product ecosystem, positioning the company for future growth. These investments are critical and likely to have a significant positive long-term impact on the company's stock price.
Review the original Analysis
Microsoft: Steady Growth Amidst Valuation Concerns and Market Dynamics
In this review, we explore the analytical insights of Kenio Fontes on MSFT stock, where the author maintains a bullish stance. Kenio Fontes has contributed to the financial analysis landscape with an impressive 44 publications since joining as a contributor in 2024. With a steady publishing pace and a growing subscriber base of 249, Fontes’ insights are gaining traction among investors. While the author is still building credibility in the field, the consistent dissemination of analytical content underscores a commitment to sharing valuable perspectives. As Fontes continues to establish his voice in the financial community, his bullish outlook on MSFT presents an intriguing viewpoint for those keen on understanding diverse market analyses. This review delves deeper into his reasoning and projections.
Key Theses of the Review
- Microsoft's premium valuation is justified by its essential products and consistent revenue growth.
- The company's strong management and capital allocation have driven sustained growth.
- Potential positive surprises in cloud revenue and AI integration could enhance returns.
- Microsoft faces competition and regulatory risks but remains a reliable investment due to its robust business model.
Key Factors Influencing Microsoft's Stock Price
Consistent Revenue Growth
Microsoft's revenue CAGR over the past 10 years has been 10.9%, indicating a steady increase in earnings potential which strongly supports its stock valuation.
Cloud Market Expansion
With the cloud market expected to grow by ~20% annually until 2030, Microsoft's expanding cloud business is a major revenue driver contributing to investor optimism.
Valuation and Margin of Safety
The current valuation suggests the market already prices in Microsoft's growth, implying limited upside unless unexpected positive developments occur.
Regulatory Risks
Microsoft faces antitrust risks which could impact its ability to execute major acquisitions, potentially affecting long-term growth prospects.
AI and Innovation Integration
As a key player in AI, Microsoft’s integration of AI into its services provides growth opportunities, though it must overcome competition from firms like Google and Apple.
Review the original Analysis Commentary
Microsoft continues to shine in the tech industry, boasting impressive revenue growth and a leading position in the cloud market. Over the past decade, Microsoft has seen a consistent revenue growth rate of 10.9%, underscoring its solid earning potential. With the cloud market set to grow 20% annually until 2030, Microsoft's cloud expansion fuels bullish sentiments. Yet, investors should be cautiously optimistic as its current valuation possibly already factors in these growth prospects.
In addition to cloud success, Microsoft's foray into artificial intelligence integration offers compelling long-term opportunities, even as it faces stiff competition from giants like Google and Apple. Regulatory challenges, particularly antitrust issues, loom as potential hurdles affecting Microsoft's future acquisitions. Averaging the influences of these key factors, the short-term trends for Microsoft's stock suggest stability. However, the strong combination of its growth engines and strategic management underscore a bullish trend for the months ahead, potentially rewarding patient investors despite the valuation debates.
Comprehensive Analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Microsoft's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Microsoft stock?
- When should I record a loss on Microsoft stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Microsoft stock?
- What is the future of Microsoft stock?
We forecast Microsoft stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Microsoft stocks.
Microsoft Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 49 news items directly related to MSFT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 25 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 7 display bearish tendencies, and 17 events are neutral.
The strength of the bullish trend outpaces the bearish sentiments by 3.89 times, indicating that the news backdrop is positively influencing the company’s stock price in the current outlook.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Nov 11, 2024, to Dec 10, 2024.
Microsoft Extends Winning Streak Amid AI Export Approval
OpenAI's Sora: The Future of AI-Powered Video Creation
Nokia Gains from Revived Telecom and Microsoft Partnership
U.S. Greenlights Microsoft's AI Chip Export to UAE
Microsoft Redefines Gaming: Every Screen is an Xbox
OpenAI Considers Strategic Shift to Boost Microsoft's AI Access
OpenAI Unveils Premium AI Plan, Pushing Monetization Boundaries
Boost for Microsoft and Salesforce as IT Budgets Set to Rise in 2025
Microsoft's AI Edge: Envisioning High Margins Boost
OpenAI's Altman Predicts Disruptive AI Future, Downplays Musk's Political Influence
Microsoft Corporation is one of the largest transnational companies producing proprietary software for various kinds of computing equipment – personal computers, game consoles, PDAs, mobile phones and others, the developer of the most widely used software platform in the world at the moment – the Windows operating system family. The divisions of the company also manufacture the family of Xbox game consoles, as well as accessories for personal computers.
In 2013, Microsoft announced the purchase of its mobile phone manufacturing and service division from Nokia, Finland.
Trending Themes in the Technology Sector
Microsoft daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13 | 446.92 | 432.98 | 452.11 | 4.42 |
| Dec 14 | 454.07 | 449.90 | 462.43 | 2.79 |
| Dec 15 | 437.36 | 428.97 | 451.01 | 5.14 |
| Dec 16 | 443.66 | 431.59 | 449.87 | 4.24 |
| Dec 17 | 457.68 | 449.99 | 464.45 | 3.21 |
| Dec 18 | 474.89 | 466.53 | 483.63 | 3.66 |
| Dec 19 | 483.25 | 470.88 | 498.71 | 5.91 |
| Dec 20 | 484.99 | 480.72 | 491.78 | 2.30 |
| Dec 21 | 497.60 | 490.63 | 509.74 | 3.89 |
| Dec 22 | 489.04 | 485.13 | 503.71 | 3.83 |
| Dec 23 | 476.91 | 466.61 | 488.74 | 4.74 |
| Dec 24 | 479.58 | 468.07 | 493.20 | 5.37 |
| Dec 25 | 487.64 | 477.49 | 493.10 | 3.27 |
| Dec 26 | 484.71 | 469.98 | 493.44 | 4.99 |
| Dec 27 | 501.77 | 490.33 | 508.20 | 3.64 |
| Dec 28 | 506.79 | 496.05 | 515.71 | 3.96 |
| Dec 29 | 498.07 | 492.70 | 513.22 | 4.16 |
| Dec 30 | 513.61 | 508.07 | 527.58 | 3.84 |
| Dec 31 | 522.04 | 505.54 | 528.30 | 4.50 |
| Jan 01 | 527.47 | 513.12 | 540.55 | 5.35 |
| Jan 02 | 534.64 | 529.29 | 548.97 | 3.72 |
| Jan 03 | 531.86 | 515.69 | 536.97 | 4.13 |
| Jan 04 | 542.07 | 527.54 | 550.74 | 4.40 |
| Jan 05 | 556.38 | 551.49 | 573.74 | 4.04 |
| Jan 06 | 565.73 | 558.71 | 571.84 | 2.35 |
| Jan 07 | 574.56 | 559.85 | 584.90 | 4.47 |
| Jan 08 | 558.70 | 548.42 | 571.66 | 4.24 |
| Jan 09 | 567.64 | 561.73 | 584.21 | 4.00 |
| Jan 10 | 547.66 | 541.30 | 553.13 | 2.19 |
| Jan 11 | 554.23 | 545.14 | 561.10 | 2.93 |
Microsoft Daily Price Targets
Microsoft Stock Forecast 12-13-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-13-2024: $446.92.
Positive dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.231%.
Pessimistic target level: 432.98
Optimistic target level: 452.11
Microsoft Stock Forecast 12-14-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-14-2024: $454.07.
Positive dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.710%.
Pessimistic target level: 449.90
Optimistic target level: 462.43
Microsoft Stock Forecast 12-15-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-15-2024: $437.36.
Negative dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.887%.
Pessimistic target level: 428.97
Optimistic target level: 451.01
Microsoft Stock Forecast 12-16-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-16-2024: $443.66.
Positive dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.063%.
Pessimistic target level: 431.59
Optimistic target level: 449.87
Microsoft Stock Forecast 12-17-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-17-2024: $457.68.
Positive dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.114%.
Pessimistic target level: 449.99
Optimistic target level: 464.45
Microsoft Stock Forecast 12-18-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-18-2024: $474.89.
Positive dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.535%.
Pessimistic target level: 466.53
Optimistic target level: 483.63
MSFT (MSFT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. | 453.60 | 431.83 | 488.53 | 11.61 |
| Feb. | 462.22 | 443.73 | 473.78 | 6.34 |
| Mar. | 452.51 | 437.58 | 465.64 | 6.03 |
| Apr. | 461.11 | 445.43 | 482.32 | 7.65 |
| May. | 432.98 | 403.97 | 457.23 | 11.65 |
| Jun. | 430.82 | 410.57 | 449.78 | 8.72 |
| Jul. | 422.20 | 405.32 | 444.58 | 8.83 |
| Aug. | 421.36 | 406.61 | 452.12 | 10.07 |
| Sep. | 433.16 | 400.24 | 444.85 | 10.03 |
| Oct. | 424.49 | 409.64 | 446.57 | 8.27 |
| Nov. | 395.63 | 383.36 | 411.45 | 6.83 |
| Dec. | 412.64 | 382.10 | 430.80 | 11.30 |
Microsoft forecast for this year
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Jan 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $453.602. Pessimistic: $431.83. Optimistic: $488.53
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Feb 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $462.221. Pessimistic: $443.73. Optimistic: $473.78
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $452.514. Pessimistic: $437.58. Optimistic: $465.64
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $461.112. Pessimistic: $445.43. Optimistic: $482.32
Microsoft Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $432.984. Pessimistic: $403.97. Optimistic: $457.23
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $430.819. Pessimistic: $410.57. Optimistic: $449.78
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $422.203. Pessimistic: $405.32. Optimistic: $444.58
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $421.358. Pessimistic: $406.61. Optimistic: $452.12
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $433.156. Pessimistic: $400.24. Optimistic: $444.85
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $424.493. Pessimistic: $409.64. Optimistic: $446.57
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $395.628. Pessimistic: $383.36. Optimistic: $411.45
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $412.64. Pessimistic: $382.10. Optimistic: $430.80
Microsoft (MSFT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 399.02 | 385.06 | 416.58 | 7.57 |
| Feb | 422.57 | 388.76 | 445.38 | 12.71 |
| Mar | 402.70 | 387.80 | 417.60 | 7.14 |
| Apr | 385.79 | 366.89 | 401.61 | 8.65 |
| May | 374.22 | 358.87 | 398.17 | 9.87 |
| Jun | 380.58 | 357.74 | 399.61 | 10.48 |
| Jul | 381.34 | 369.52 | 403.08 | 8.33 |
| Aug | 371.81 | 360.65 | 379.99 | 5.09 |
| Sep | 372.18 | 345.01 | 393.02 | 12.22 |
| Oct | 382.60 | 365.38 | 391.78 | 6.74 |
| Nov | 397.52 | 372.48 | 423.36 | 12.02 |
| Dec | 393.94 | 369.52 | 406.94 | 9.20 |
Microsoft (MSFT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 408.91 | 383.15 | 430.59 | 11.02 |
| Feb | 442.85 | 413.62 | 472.08 | 12.38 |
| Mar | 483.15 | 449.82 | 515.52 | 12.75 |
| Apr | 486.53 | 450.53 | 511.35 | 11.89 |
| May | 506.97 | 470.47 | 519.14 | 9.38 |
| Jun | 526.23 | 512.03 | 540.44 | 5.26 |
| Jul | 494.66 | 455.09 | 531.76 | 14.42 |
| Aug | 532.25 | 520.54 | 569.51 | 8.60 |
| Sep | 515.75 | 476.04 | 539.48 | 11.76 |
| Oct | 489.97 | 451.75 | 525.73 | 14.07 |
| Nov | 501.24 | 472.16 | 524.29 | 9.94 |
| Dec | 513.27 | 490.17 | 538.93 | 9.05 |
Microsoft information and performance
ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND, WA, US
Market capitalization of the Microsoft Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of MSFT shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Microsoft is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Microsoft (MSFT) stock dividend
Microsoft last paid dividends on 02/20/2025. The next scheduled payment will be on 03/13/2025. The amount of dividends is $3.08 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Related stocks from Technology sector
Commentary
Microsoft remains an exciting investment opportunity despite facing what seem to be minor hurdles. The company's significant growth in Azure and cloud services demonstrates its strong business foundation and building momentum in the tech industry. While the current challenges, such as data center delays and OpenAI-related financial losses, might dampen immediate enthusiasm, they are flagged as temporary. Resolutions are expected by the second half of FY2025, potentially restoring investor confidence and lifting its valuation.
On balance, the average influence of the highlighted factors showcases a medium to high impact on Microsoft stock in the near term, with prospects looking stronger as we look a month ahead. The strategic investments in AI, despite initial cost burdens, are poised to set the stage for long-term gain. Overall, presuming that Microsoft hits, or even surpasses, expectations, there's a promising window for bolstered stock valuations and market sentiment. Given these insights, Microsoft's future outlook remains decidedly bullish, with considerable appreciation potential for long-term stakeholders.