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Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: June 18, 2025 (11:24)
Sector: EnergyThe share price of Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) now
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Analyzing the Most Important SU news

Suncor Begins Major Overhaul of Decades-Old Upgrader at Base Mine


Suncor Energy Hits Record Q1 Production, Eyes Growth Outlook


Suncor Energy Holds Steady on 2025 Capex But Hints at Cuts Amid Oil Price Pressures

Historical and forecast chart of Suncor Energy stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Suncor Energy stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Suncor Energy stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Suncor Energy Inc. Analysts predictions review

Suncor Energy’s stock demonstrates strong bullish momentum driven by its operational efficiency, disciplined capital allocation, and diversified integrated operations. The company's ability to sustain robust free cash flow supports shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks—key factors enhancing investor confidence. Its focus on heavy crude production shields the company from OPEC+ output volatility, while global diversification minimizes geographic risk. Suncor’s renewable energy investments signal long-term strategic foresight, further strengthening its market position. With attractive valuation metrics suggesting potential undervaluation, the stock’s upward trajectory appears supported by both stable cash flows and growth opportunities.

Suncor Energy Positioned as a Strategic Choice Amid OPEC+ Adjustments

Suncor Energy benefits from a strong upstream asset base, making it well-positioned to absorb potential pricing volatility stemming from OPEC+ production increases. The company’s integration into the energy value chain further cushions its operating margins, forming a stable foundation for cash flow generation.
Strategic Advantages and Market Dynamics
The author highlights Suncor's focus on operational efficiency and disciplined capital allocation, which strengthens its long-term resilience. By prioritizing shareholder returns through robust buybacks and dividends, Suncor aligns its strategy with investor interests and enhances market confidence.
Market sentiment could also be influenced by the company's exposure to heavy crude production, a segment less vulnerable to OPEC+ supply dynamics. This potentially lowers the relative impact of global output adjustments on Suncor’s pricing power compared to peers.

Suncor Energy: Resilient Growth Backed by Robust Shareholder Returns

Suncor Energy's recent operational performance showcases robust financial discipline and operational efficiency. The company's ability to generate substantial free cash flow has been pivotal in sustaining attractive shareholder distributions, including significant dividend payouts and share buybacks. These factors underline management’s commitment to returning value to shareholders, a strong positive for the stock.
Strong Operational Fundamentals and Shareholder Focus
The company’s focus on cost optimization and capital discipline has bolstered margins, even amid volatility in commodity markets. According to the author, this operational resilience provides a buffer against potential macroeconomic headwinds while supporting profitability in the medium term.
Additionally, Suncor's positioning within the integrated energy sector allows it to maintain stable cash flows across different market conditions. This diversification mitigates downside risks from oil price fluctuations, which should attract long-term investors seeking steady returns.
Finally, Suncor’s strong shareholder yield—the combination of dividends and buybacks—places it among standout performers in the energy sector. The author notes that such capital allocation strategies enhance investor confidence and underpin a positive outlook for the stock's valuation trajectory.

Suncor Energy: A Strategic Investment Opportunity in the Energy Sector

Suncor Energy’s focus on integrated operations provides a competitive advantage that ensures better cost management and resilience in fluctuating commodity environments. These operations, ranging from upstream production to downstream refining, create a more stable revenue stream compared to peers reliant solely on exploration or production.
The company’s commitment to renewable energy investments positions it well for long-term sustainability as global policies increasingly favor cleaner energy solutions. While currently modest in size, these efforts signal strategic foresight that could enhance the company’s future valuation and investor appeal.
Valuation and Market Position
Suncor’s attractive valuation metrics, including its price-to-earnings ratio, suggest the stock may be undervalued relative to peers within the energy industry. With robust cash flow generation from its oil sands operations and dividend yields, this undervaluation presents an opportunity for investors to capitalize on potential price appreciation.
Global diversification through Suncor’s international operations reduces geographic risk and strengthens its position to withstand regional market shocks. Additionally, this diversification enhances exposure to various economies and energy markets, offering resilience and potential growth avenues in the evolving energy landscape.
Suncor Energy faces operational headwinds, with production constraints and higher operating costs playing a critical role in influencing its earnings potential. The company’s ability to manage these inefficiencies will directly impact its short-term profitability, as outlined by the author.
Strategic capital allocation remains under scrutiny, particularly given the balance between shareholder returns and reinvestment in growth initiatives. The emphasis on share buybacks, while positive for boosting EPS and supporting valuation, raises questions about long-term resource replenishment and sustainability.
Macroeconomic Factors and Market Sentiment
Commodity price volatility continues to shape Suncor’s outlook, as the company’s reliance on oil and gas price stabilization remains a double-edged sword. The potential for geopolitical shocks and energy market dynamics underscores heightened uncertainty in forecasting its future cash flows.
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations also emerge as pivotal, with increasing regulatory pressure and the green energy transition weighing on investor sentiment. Failure to adequately align with these trends risks further discounting in the company’s valuation compared to peers.
Improved operational efficiency at Suncor has contributed to higher margins and stronger cash flow generation, underscoring its ongoing commitment to cost management and performance enhancement. According to the author, this operational discipline positions the company to capitalize on favorable energy market dynamics in the near term.
Favorable commodity prices, particularly in crude oil and natural gas, provide tailwinds for Suncor’s revenue growth. The author highlights that the company’s exposure to oil sands and integrated supply chain enhances its ability to benefit from these pricing trends relative to peers.
Strategic Dividend Policy and Shareholder Returns
An attractive dividend yield coupled with share buyback initiatives reinforces Suncor's appeal to income-focused investors. This alignment with shareholder interests not only supports the stock’s valuation but also signals confidence in its future cash-generating abilities, as the author observes.
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) initiatives, while slower to progress compared to peers, still represent a long-term area of focus. The author notes that although Suncor lags in ESG metrics, any meaningful improvement in this area could reduce risks related to regulatory and reputational concerns, potentially enhancing its investment profile.
Suncor Energy's operational resilience is underpinned by its integrated business model, which helps mitigate market volatility in crude oil prices. The company’s upstream exploration and production operations benefit from low-cost assets with steady output, while downstream refining and retail operations provide stable cash flow, especially during periods of price weakness. This diversified structure positions Suncor as a robust operator in the energy sector.
Impact of Strategic Initiatives and Macro Tailwinds
The analysis emphasizes Suncor's strategic focus on disciplined capital allocation, including debt reduction and shareholder returns. This strategy enhances financial flexibility and aligns with investor expectations for sustainable performance, reinforcing confidence in the stock's value. Additionally, Suncor's stance to leverage strong global energy demand while balancing short-term challenges like inflationary pressures solidifies its growth prospects.
Another crucial factor is Suncor's ability to maintain competitive production costs amid inflation and input cost pressures. This operational efficiency not only protects margins but also positions the company as a market leader for profitability, making its stock attractive to long-term investors.
Suncor's ability to deliver record-setting operational results stems from a combination of robust production growth and impressive cost efficiency. The company's upstream operations have reportedly benefited from favorable market conditions, including higher commodity prices, which directly bolster cash flow and earnings visibility, likely affecting short- to mid-term stock performance.
Another contributing factor is the strategic focus on capital allocation, specifically through dividend increases and share buybacks. The author highlights that these shareholder-friendly policies not only strengthen investor confidence but also convey management's confidence in sustainable cash generation, which will likely boost the stock's valuation.
Positioning Amid Market Dynamics
The company's ability to mitigate risks tied to inflationary pressures is further underscored by operational efficiency and an emphasis on cost discipline. This positions Suncor well against competitors, granting it a competitive edge in uncertain macroeconomic conditions, which is a notable bullish indicator for its stock.
Lastly, the company’s focus on diversification in refining and retail adds a layer of stability to its earnings profile. This operational balance could become increasingly attractive for investors seeking resilience during potential commodity-market fluctuations.
Suncor Energy's recent performance is marked by strong cash flow generation, driven by robust operational efficiencies and favorable oil price dynamics. This financial resilience positions the company to navigate near-term market volatility while potentially enhancing shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases, as highlighted by the author.
The author emphasizes Suncor's undervaluation relative to its peers, a critical factor that could attract value-focused investors. Given strong free cash flow metrics and planned reductions in debt, this discrepancy in valuation is likely to narrow, adding upward momentum to the stock price.
Key Catalysts for Growth
The author notes management’s strategic focus on optimizing upstream production while maintaining disciplined capital allocation. This approach is expected to sustain profitability even in a volatile commodity environment, bolstering investor confidence.
Finally, the company’s commitment to enhancing operational safety and environmental stewardship may improve its ESG profile. With a growing emphasis on sustainability among institutional investors, this could support long-term demand for Suncor shares.
Suncor's operational resilience, backed by its integrated business model, has positioned the company as a reliable performer even in periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. The diverse revenue streams, encompassing upstream oil production, refining operations, and renewable energy initiatives, ensure a balanced financial profile, mitigating risks associated with commodity price swings.
Key Factors Influencing Suncor's Stock Price
The author's thesis emphasizes Suncor's strategic focus on shareholder returns, including a robust dividend yield and share repurchase programs. These initiatives not only underscore the management's confidence in the company’s cash flow stability but also enhance shareholder value, creating a bullish sentiment for the stock in the near term.
The potential upside from improved operational efficiencies and cost-reduction measures was also noted as a critical driver for margin expansion. These efforts could significantly bolster profitability in an environment of elevated oil prices, further strengthening Suncor's investment appeal.
Moreover, favorable tailwinds from expected crude oil demand recovery provide an opportunity for Suncor to capitalize on higher realized prices. This factor, combined with its strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation strategy, reinforces the argument for long-term growth potential.
Suncor Energy's 100% payout ratio reflects a strategic decision to return substantial cash flows to shareholders, a move that underscores management's confidence in the company's cash generation capabilities. While this approach limits retained earnings for aggressive reinvestment, it positions Suncor as a compelling choice for income-focused investors during periods of stable oil prices.
The 4% dividend yield, while slightly modest compared to select peer energy companies, provides a steady income stream for shareholders. Combined with disciplined capital allocation, this yield highlights Suncor's ability to balance shareholder returns with operational sustainability, even amid volatile commodity markets.
Strategic Position and Market Fundamentals
Suncor benefits from its integrated business model that spans upstream oil production and downstream refining capabilities. This diversification partially shields the company from extreme oil price fluctuations, making it more resilient than pure upstream operators in the cyclical energy sector.
Operational efficiency and cost management remain critical to Suncor's margins, particularly given its reliance on oil sands production, which typically has higher breakeven costs. The company's focus on improving production efficiency and lowering costs will continue to support profitability in a range-bound oil price environment.
Looking ahead, potential headwinds such as regulatory pressures and environmental sustainability concerns remain industry-wide challenges. However, Suncor's ongoing investments in renewable initiatives indicate a forward-looking transition strategy, which could enhance long-term attractiveness to ESG-conscious investors.
SU's ability to capitalize on recent macroeconomic trends is a critical driver of its near-term performance. The author underscores how rising commodity prices and demand recovery in core markets could amplify revenue streams, though these benefits may be partially offset by inflationary pressures on input costs.
Operational efficiency stands out as another decisive factor influencing the stock. Management's recent cost-cutting initiatives and productivity improvements appear well-aligned to safeguard margins, particularly in a volatile economic climate.
Market Position and Long-Term Strategy
The company's positioning within a competitive landscape reveals its resilience but also exposes risks. SU's strategic investments in innovation and sustainability could enhance its competitive edge, though execution risks remain and could impact investor sentiment.
Finally, potential regulatory developments warrant close monitoring. Stricter policies in one of SU's key operational regions could curtail profitability, making this an area of uncertainty for shareholders. The author notes, however, that SU's proactive compliance efforts might mitigate this risk.
Comprehensive Analysis of Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Suncor Energy's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Suncor Energy stock?
- When should I record a loss on Suncor Energy stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Suncor Energy stock?
- What is the future of Suncor Energy stock?
We forecast Suncor Energy stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Suncor Energy stocks.
Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company. The company is primarily engaged in the development of reservoirs with oil reserves in the oil sands of Canada’s Athabasca; explores, acquires, develops, produces and sells crude oil in Canada and abroad; sells petroleum and petrochemical products under the Petro-Canada brand primarily in Canada. Works on oil sands; Exploration and production; Processing and marketing; and the corporate and liquidation segments.
Suncor Energy Inc. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 0 news items directly related to SU from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 0 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is roughly equivalent to the bullish sentiment, indicating a certain current stability in stock prices when based on news background analysis.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Jan 01, 1970, to Jan 01, 1970.
Suncor Energy Delivers C$1.31 EPS with C$12.45B Revenue, Returns $1.5B to Shareholders


Suncor Energy Sustains Quarterly Dividend at CAD 0.57 with 4.7% Yield


Top Foreign Energy Picks: Why Canada Leads the Way


Canada's Opposition Leader Promises Swift Approval for Suncor's Oil Sands Expansion


UBS Reveals Top 30 S&P Sector Stocks for Q1 2025


Suncor Energy Hits Record Production, Sets 2025 Goals at 840K Barrels/Day


Suncor CEO Confident in Weathering U.S. Tariff Risks


Suncor Energy Boosts Dividend to CAD 0.57: A 4.6% Hike Signals Confidence


Suncor Energy Reports C$1.25 EPS Amid 11.6% Revenue Decline


Alberta's Tariff Warning Sends Canadian Energy Stocks Plummeting


Suncor Energy daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 20 | 41.67 | 40.70 | 42.40 | 4.18 |
Jun 21 | 41.42 | 40.63 | 42.14 | 3.73 |
Jun 22 | 40.32 | 39.95 | 40.84 | 2.21 |
Jun 23 | 39.92 | 39.13 | 40.77 | 4.19 |
Jun 24 | 40.34 | 39.89 | 40.80 | 2.28 |
Jun 25 | 40.96 | 40.31 | 41.26 | 2.35 |
Jun 26 | 41.53 | 41.18 | 42.33 | 2.78 |
Jun 27 | 40.99 | 40.49 | 41.61 | 2.76 |
Jun 28 | 40.07 | 39.83 | 40.84 | 2.54 |
Jun 29 | 40.53 | 40.21 | 41.12 | 2.27 |
Jun 30 | 40.46 | 39.97 | 41.18 | 3.04 |
Jul 01 | 41.57 | 41.07 | 42.05 | 2.37 |
Jul 02 | 41.83 | 41.12 | 42.09 | 2.35 |
Jul 03 | 42.27 | 41.75 | 43.20 | 3.46 |
Jul 04 | 41.80 | 41.55 | 42.48 | 2.23 |
Jul 05 | 41.42 | 40.70 | 42.00 | 3.21 |
Jul 06 | 42.26 | 41.27 | 43.06 | 4.33 |
Jul 07 | 41.91 | 41.53 | 42.48 | 2.30 |
Jul 08 | 41.35 | 40.56 | 41.99 | 3.52 |
Jul 09 | 40.74 | 40.06 | 41.20 | 2.84 |
Jul 10 | 40.98 | 40.68 | 41.48 | 1.96 |
Jul 11 | 40.31 | 39.49 | 40.63 | 2.88 |
Jul 12 | 40.01 | 39.40 | 40.27 | 2.22 |
Jul 13 | 40.93 | 40.01 | 41.88 | 4.67 |
Jul 14 | 40.53 | 39.85 | 40.82 | 2.44 |
Jul 15 | 40.99 | 40.13 | 41.27 | 2.85 |
Jul 16 | 40.23 | 39.63 | 40.56 | 2.35 |
Jul 17 | 39.26 | 38.52 | 39.58 | 2.75 |
Jul 18 | 39.25 | 38.38 | 40.11 | 4.51 |
Jul 19 | 39.45 | 38.86 | 39.98 | 2.89 |
Suncor Energy Daily Price Targets
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 06-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-20-2025: $41.67.
Positive dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.010%.
Pessimistic target level: 40.70
Optimistic target level: 42.40
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 06-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-21-2025: $41.42.
Negative dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.598%.
Pessimistic target level: 40.63
Optimistic target level: 42.14
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 06-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-22-2025: $40.32.
Negative dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.162%.
Pessimistic target level: 39.95
Optimistic target level: 40.84
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 06-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-23-2025: $39.92.
Negative dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.024%.
Pessimistic target level: 39.13
Optimistic target level: 40.77
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 06-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-24-2025: $40.34.
Positive dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.225%.
Pessimistic target level: 39.89
Optimistic target level: 40.80
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 06-25-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-25-2025: $40.96.
Positive dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.293%.
Pessimistic target level: 40.31
Optimistic target level: 41.26
SU (SU) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jul. | 36.23 | 35.28 | 38.29 | 7.85 |
Aug. | 39.85 | 37.66 | 41.88 | 10.09 |
Sep. | 40.49 | 37.53 | 42.75 | 12.22 |
Oct. | 38.95 | 36.84 | 41.56 | 11.34 |
Nov. | 35.68 | 33.11 | 37.82 | 12.45 |
Dec. | 35.35 | 33.90 | 37.23 | 8.93 |
Suncor Energy forecast for this year
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $36.2254. Pessimistic: $35.28. Optimistic: $38.29
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $39.848. Pessimistic: $37.66. Optimistic: $41.88
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $40.4856. Pessimistic: $37.53. Optimistic: $42.75
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $38.9471. Pessimistic: $36.84. Optimistic: $41.56
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $35.6756. Pessimistic: $33.11. Optimistic: $37.82
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $35.3545. Pessimistic: $33.90. Optimistic: $37.23
Suncor Energy (SU) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 36.34 | 35.11 | 37.25 | 5.76 |
Feb | 37.11 | 35.03 | 39.85 | 12.10 |
Mar | 37.55 | 34.77 | 38.79 | 10.36 |
Apr | 40.07 | 37.75 | 41.03 | 8.01 |
May | 36.18 | 35.24 | 38.14 | 7.59 |
Jun | 32.78 | 31.70 | 34.35 | 7.73 |
Jul | 35.83 | 33.00 | 38.23 | 13.68 |
Aug | 34.11 | 32.30 | 36.26 | 10.91 |
Sep | 32.40 | 31.56 | 34.64 | 8.89 |
Oct | 31.63 | 29.13 | 33.18 | 12.20 |
Nov | 34.47 | 33.40 | 36.58 | 8.67 |
Dec | 36.96 | 35.55 | 39.58 | 10.18 |
Suncor Energy (SU) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 37.21 | 34.80 | 38.29 | 9.14 |
Feb | 35.58 | 34.47 | 38.39 | 10.19 |
Mar | 33.02 | 30.97 | 34.86 | 11.17 |
Apr | 32.62 | 31.44 | 33.76 | 6.86 |
May | 33.96 | 31.95 | 35.01 | 8.73 |
Jun | 32.26 | 31.16 | 34.74 | 10.31 |
Jul | 31.42 | 29.00 | 32.33 | 10.30 |
Aug | 33.49 | 31.55 | 35.67 | 11.55 |
Sep | 36.74 | 35.53 | 38.62 | 7.99 |
Oct | 33.36 | 31.73 | 35.56 | 10.79 |
Nov | 33.10 | 31.21 | 34.58 | 9.76 |
Dec | 32.63 | 31.91 | 33.68 | 5.23 |
Suncor Energy information and performance
P.O. BOX 2844, 150 - 6TH AVENUE S.W., CALGARY, AB, CA
Market capitalization of the Suncor Energy Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of SU shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Suncor Energy is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Suncor Energy (SU) stock dividend
Suncor Energy last paid dividends on 06/04/2025. The next scheduled payment will be on 06/25/2025. The amount of dividends is $2.225 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about Suncor Energy Stock)
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All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.