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Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: March 17, 2025 (15:32)
Sector: EnergyThe share price of Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) now
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Analyzing the Most Important SU news
Suncor Energy Hits Record Production, Sets 2025 Goals at 840K Barrels/Day
Suncor CEO Confident in Weathering U.S. Tariff Risks
Suncor Energy Boosts Dividend to CAD 0.57: A 4.6% Hike Signals Confidence
Historical and forecast chart of Suncor Energy stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Suncor Energy stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Suncor Energy stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Suncor Energy Inc. Analysts predictions review
Suncor Energy's stock outlook is influenced by mixed factors. Operational headwinds, including production constraints and higher costs, challenge short-term profitability, while strategic capital allocation decisions face scrutiny regarding long-term sustainability. However, improved operational efficiency, strong cash flow generation, and favorable commodity prices bolster near-term performance, supported by an integrated business model that mitigates market volatility. Shareholder-focused initiatives, such as dividends and buybacks, enhance appeal, but lagging ESG progress poses risks. Overall, macroeconomic tailwinds and disciplined cost management position Suncor favorably, though uncertainties in commodity prices and regulatory pressures persist.
Suncor Energy: Assessing Challenges and Opportunities for Sustainable Growth
Suncor Energy faces operational headwinds, with production constraints and higher operating costs playing a critical role in influencing its earnings potential. The company’s ability to manage these inefficiencies will directly impact its short-term profitability, as outlined by the author.
Strategic capital allocation remains under scrutiny, particularly given the balance between shareholder returns and reinvestment in growth initiatives. The emphasis on share buybacks, while positive for boosting EPS and supporting valuation, raises questions about long-term resource replenishment and sustainability.
Macroeconomic Factors and Market Sentiment
Commodity price volatility continues to shape Suncor’s outlook, as the company’s reliance on oil and gas price stabilization remains a double-edged sword. The potential for geopolitical shocks and energy market dynamics underscores heightened uncertainty in forecasting its future cash flows.
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations also emerge as pivotal, with increasing regulatory pressure and the green energy transition weighing on investor sentiment. Failure to adequately align with these trends risks further discounting in the company’s valuation compared to peers.
Suncor Energy: Positioned for Growth Amid Strong Fundamentals
Improved operational efficiency at Suncor has contributed to higher margins and stronger cash flow generation, underscoring its ongoing commitment to cost management and performance enhancement. According to the author, this operational discipline positions the company to capitalize on favorable energy market dynamics in the near term.
Favorable commodity prices, particularly in crude oil and natural gas, provide tailwinds for Suncor’s revenue growth. The author highlights that the company’s exposure to oil sands and integrated supply chain enhances its ability to benefit from these pricing trends relative to peers.
Strategic Dividend Policy and Shareholder Returns
An attractive dividend yield coupled with share buyback initiatives reinforces Suncor's appeal to income-focused investors. This alignment with shareholder interests not only supports the stock’s valuation but also signals confidence in its future cash-generating abilities, as the author observes.
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) initiatives, while slower to progress compared to peers, still represent a long-term area of focus. The author notes that although Suncor lags in ESG metrics, any meaningful improvement in this area could reduce risks related to regulatory and reputational concerns, potentially enhancing its investment profile.
Suncor Energy: Operational Strength and Market Tailwinds Drive Outlook
Suncor Energy's operational resilience is underpinned by its integrated business model, which helps mitigate market volatility in crude oil prices. The company’s upstream exploration and production operations benefit from low-cost assets with steady output, while downstream refining and retail operations provide stable cash flow, especially during periods of price weakness. This diversified structure positions Suncor as a robust operator in the energy sector.
Impact of Strategic Initiatives and Macro Tailwinds
The analysis emphasizes Suncor's strategic focus on disciplined capital allocation, including debt reduction and shareholder returns. This strategy enhances financial flexibility and aligns with investor expectations for sustainable performance, reinforcing confidence in the stock's value. Additionally, Suncor's stance to leverage strong global energy demand while balancing short-term challenges like inflationary pressures solidifies its growth prospects.
Another crucial factor is Suncor's ability to maintain competitive production costs amid inflation and input cost pressures. This operational efficiency not only protects margins but also positions the company as a market leader for profitability, making its stock attractive to long-term investors.
Suncor Energy's recent performance is marked by strong cash flow generation, driven by robust operational efficiencies and favorable oil price dynamics. This financial resilience positions the company to navigate near-term market volatility while potentially enhancing shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases, as highlighted by the author.
The author emphasizes Suncor's undervaluation relative to its peers, a critical factor that could attract value-focused investors. Given strong free cash flow metrics and planned reductions in debt, this discrepancy in valuation is likely to narrow, adding upward momentum to the stock price.
Key Catalysts for Growth
The author notes management’s strategic focus on optimizing upstream production while maintaining disciplined capital allocation. This approach is expected to sustain profitability even in a volatile commodity environment, bolstering investor confidence.
Finally, the company’s commitment to enhancing operational safety and environmental stewardship may improve its ESG profile. With a growing emphasis on sustainability among institutional investors, this could support long-term demand for Suncor shares.
Suncor's operational resilience, backed by its integrated business model, has positioned the company as a reliable performer even in periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. The diverse revenue streams, encompassing upstream oil production, refining operations, and renewable energy initiatives, ensure a balanced financial profile, mitigating risks associated with commodity price swings.
Key Factors Influencing Suncor's Stock Price
The author's thesis emphasizes Suncor's strategic focus on shareholder returns, including a robust dividend yield and share repurchase programs. These initiatives not only underscore the management's confidence in the company’s cash flow stability but also enhance shareholder value, creating a bullish sentiment for the stock in the near term.
The potential upside from improved operational efficiencies and cost-reduction measures was also noted as a critical driver for margin expansion. These efforts could significantly bolster profitability in an environment of elevated oil prices, further strengthening Suncor's investment appeal.
Moreover, favorable tailwinds from expected crude oil demand recovery provide an opportunity for Suncor to capitalize on higher realized prices. This factor, combined with its strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation strategy, reinforces the argument for long-term growth potential.
Suncor Energy's 100% payout ratio reflects a strategic decision to return substantial cash flows to shareholders, a move that underscores management's confidence in the company's cash generation capabilities. While this approach limits retained earnings for aggressive reinvestment, it positions Suncor as a compelling choice for income-focused investors during periods of stable oil prices.
The 4% dividend yield, while slightly modest compared to select peer energy companies, provides a steady income stream for shareholders. Combined with disciplined capital allocation, this yield highlights Suncor's ability to balance shareholder returns with operational sustainability, even amid volatile commodity markets.
Strategic Position and Market Fundamentals
Suncor benefits from its integrated business model that spans upstream oil production and downstream refining capabilities. This diversification partially shields the company from extreme oil price fluctuations, making it more resilient than pure upstream operators in the cyclical energy sector.
Operational efficiency and cost management remain critical to Suncor's margins, particularly given its reliance on oil sands production, which typically has higher breakeven costs. The company's focus on improving production efficiency and lowering costs will continue to support profitability in a range-bound oil price environment.
Looking ahead, potential headwinds such as regulatory pressures and environmental sustainability concerns remain industry-wide challenges. However, Suncor's ongoing investments in renewable initiatives indicate a forward-looking transition strategy, which could enhance long-term attractiveness to ESG-conscious investors.
Comprehensive Analysis of Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Suncor Energy's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Suncor Energy stock?
- When should I record a loss on Suncor Energy stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Suncor Energy stock?
- What is the future of Suncor Energy stock?
We forecast Suncor Energy stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Suncor Energy stocks.
Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company. The company is primarily engaged in the development of reservoirs with oil reserves in the oil sands of Canada’s Athabasca; explores, acquires, develops, produces and sells crude oil in Canada and abroad; sells petroleum and petrochemical products under the Petro-Canada brand primarily in Canada. Works on oil sands; Exploration and production; Processing and marketing; and the corporate and liquidation segments.
Suncor Energy Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 0 news items directly related to SU from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 0 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is roughly equivalent to the bullish sentiment, indicating a certain current stability in stock prices when based on news background analysis.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Jan 01, 1970, to Jan 01, 1970.
Suncor Energy Reports C$1.25 EPS Amid 11.6% Revenue Decline
Alberta's Tariff Warning Sends Canadian Energy Stocks Plummeting
Trudeau's Exit Sparks Hope for Canadian Oil Sector
Trudeau's Resignation Raises Trade Concerns for Canada
Suncor Hits Unprecedented Highs in Oil Production and Refining
Suncor Energy Forecasts Growth Amid Cost-Cutting Measures for 2025
Suncor Energy Boosts Dividend to Reward Shareholders
Suncor Energy Rockets as Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Plans 100% Cash Return to Shareholders
Suncor Energy Achieves Record Q3 Performance, Boosts Shareholder Returns
Canada Sets Ambitious Cut on Emissions: Impact on Oil Giants
Suncor Energy daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | 37.38 | 36.70 | 37.70 | 2.72 |
| Mar 20 | 37.61 | 37.15 | 38.04 | 2.40 |
| Mar 21 | 37.35 | 36.87 | 37.90 | 2.80 |
| Mar 22 | 36.75 | 36.10 | 37.36 | 3.48 |
| Mar 23 | 36.79 | 36.09 | 37.54 | 4.01 |
| Mar 24 | 37.10 | 36.51 | 37.33 | 2.26 |
| Mar 25 | 36.61 | 35.81 | 37.07 | 3.53 |
| Mar 26 | 37.16 | 36.89 | 37.64 | 2.02 |
| Mar 27 | 37.23 | 36.73 | 37.89 | 3.16 |
| Mar 28 | 36.15 | 35.50 | 36.71 | 3.42 |
| Mar 29 | 35.74 | 35.05 | 36.29 | 3.52 |
| Mar 30 | 35.46 | 34.77 | 35.89 | 3.21 |
| Mar 31 | 35.10 | 34.66 | 35.37 | 2.07 |
| Apr 01 | 35.49 | 35.28 | 36.07 | 2.26 |
| Apr 02 | 35.89 | 35.05 | 36.15 | 3.13 |
| Apr 03 | 36.94 | 36.05 | 37.54 | 4.12 |
| Apr 04 | 37.39 | 37.12 | 38.26 | 3.05 |
| Apr 05 | 37.18 | 36.40 | 37.93 | 4.20 |
| Apr 06 | 36.22 | 35.64 | 37.04 | 3.93 |
| Apr 07 | 35.82 | 35.31 | 36.17 | 2.43 |
| Apr 08 | 35.99 | 35.15 | 36.44 | 3.69 |
| Apr 09 | 35.20 | 34.81 | 36.01 | 3.46 |
| Apr 10 | 34.89 | 34.62 | 35.19 | 1.63 |
| Apr 11 | 34.97 | 34.28 | 35.37 | 3.18 |
| Apr 12 | 34.53 | 33.87 | 35.29 | 4.19 |
| Apr 13 | 34.11 | 33.54 | 34.80 | 3.75 |
| Apr 14 | 34.44 | 33.89 | 35.07 | 3.48 |
| Apr 15 | 34.13 | 33.82 | 34.75 | 2.75 |
| Apr 16 | 33.64 | 33.26 | 33.92 | 2.00 |
| Apr 17 | 33.99 | 33.72 | 34.56 | 2.51 |
Suncor Energy Daily Price Targets
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 03-19-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-19-2025: $37.38.
Positive dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.648%.
Pessimistic target level: 36.70
Optimistic target level: 37.70
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 03-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-20-2025: $37.61.
Positive dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.343%.
Pessimistic target level: 37.15
Optimistic target level: 38.04
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 03-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-21-2025: $37.35.
Negative dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.720%.
Pessimistic target level: 36.87
Optimistic target level: 37.90
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 03-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-22-2025: $36.75.
Negative dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.364%.
Pessimistic target level: 36.10
Optimistic target level: 37.36
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 03-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-23-2025: $36.79.
Positive dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.851%.
Pessimistic target level: 36.09
Optimistic target level: 37.54
Suncor Energy Stock Forecast 03-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-24-2025: $37.10.
Positive dynamics for Suncor Energy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.206%.
Pessimistic target level: 36.51
Optimistic target level: 37.33
SU (SU) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr. | 37.49 | 36.67 | 39.48 | 7.12 |
| May. | 36.11 | 34.48 | 37.62 | 8.35 |
| Jun. | 37.87 | 36.89 | 39.73 | 7.15 |
| Jul. | 35.83 | 34.93 | 37.01 | 5.61 |
| Aug. | 37.26 | 35.92 | 39.27 | 8.54 |
| Sep. | 39.27 | 37.39 | 41.87 | 10.69 |
| Oct. | 37.55 | 35.37 | 40.21 | 12.04 |
| Nov. | 35.78 | 33.24 | 38.64 | 13.98 |
| Dec. | 37.36 | 35.94 | 38.59 | 6.87 |
Suncor Energy forecast for this year
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $37.4928. Pessimistic: $36.67. Optimistic: $39.48
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $36.1056. Pessimistic: $34.48. Optimistic: $37.62
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $37.8748. Pessimistic: $36.89. Optimistic: $39.73
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $35.8295. Pessimistic: $34.93. Optimistic: $37.01
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $37.2627. Pessimistic: $35.92. Optimistic: $39.27
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $39.2749. Pessimistic: $37.39. Optimistic: $41.87
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $37.5468. Pessimistic: $35.37. Optimistic: $40.21
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $35.7821. Pessimistic: $33.24. Optimistic: $38.64
Suncor Energy Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $37.3565. Pessimistic: $35.94. Optimistic: $38.59
Suncor Energy (SU) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 38.66 | 35.61 | 39.94 | 10.84 |
| Feb | 39.75 | 38.20 | 40.90 | 6.61 |
| Mar | 35.97 | 35.04 | 38.56 | 9.14 |
| Apr | 38.31 | 37.54 | 39.92 | 5.95 |
| May | 38.54 | 36.42 | 39.85 | 8.61 |
| Jun | 41.12 | 37.95 | 42.60 | 10.91 |
| Jul | 42.11 | 40.38 | 43.41 | 6.98 |
| Aug | 42.36 | 39.99 | 43.72 | 8.53 |
| Sep | 46.09 | 42.59 | 49.13 | 13.32 |
| Oct | 49.59 | 46.02 | 52.22 | 11.87 |
| Nov | 45.72 | 44.26 | 47.09 | 6.02 |
| Dec | 45.22 | 43.46 | 48.25 | 9.93 |
Suncor Energy (SU) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 45.45 | 44.13 | 48.99 | 9.93 |
| Feb | 42.99 | 40.80 | 45.14 | 9.62 |
| Mar | 46.35 | 44.17 | 48.66 | 9.24 |
| Apr | 47.60 | 45.55 | 51.26 | 11.14 |
| May | 48.88 | 46.83 | 50.98 | 8.15 |
| Jun | 49.52 | 47.19 | 52.98 | 10.93 |
| Jul | 51.45 | 47.38 | 52.79 | 10.23 |
| Aug | 52.01 | 50.35 | 53.94 | 6.65 |
| Sep | 51.13 | 48.68 | 54.96 | 11.44 |
| Oct | 51.49 | 49.63 | 55.45 | 10.49 |
| Nov | 53.24 | 49.35 | 55.00 | 10.26 |
| Dec | 51.53 | 48.85 | 53.49 | 8.67 |
Suncor Energy information and performance
P.O. BOX 2844, 150 - 6TH AVENUE S.W., CALGARY, AB, CA
Market capitalization of the Suncor Energy Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of SU shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Suncor Energy is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Suncor Energy (SU) stock dividend
Suncor Energy last paid dividends on 03/04/2025. The next scheduled payment will be on 03/25/2025. The amount of dividends is $2.205 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about Suncor Energy Stock)
Should I Buy Suncor Energy Shares in 2025 year?
Does Suncor Energy pay dividends?
Which economic sector do Suncor Energy's shares belong to?
Which other securities belong to the same sector as Suncor Energy's shares?
