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Apple (AAPL) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: January 17, 2025 (13:26)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Apple Inc. (AAPL) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
|
Bearish | Impact: 1.41 | News: 14 (2/8/4) |
Previous Week
|
Bullish | Impact: 3.57 | News: 13 (7/4/2) |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 5 (3/2/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Impact: 2.11 | News: 11 (5/3/3) |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
|
Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Previous Week
|
Bearish | Opinions: 3 |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Opinions: 1 (1/0/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
|
Neutral | Opinions: 3 |
Analyzing the Most Important AAPL news
Apple and Samsung Maintain Lead Despite Chinese Surge
Arm Considers Major Price Hike and New Chip Venture
Apple Faces App Store Fee Scrutiny in UK and EU
Historical and forecast chart of Apple stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Apple stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Apple stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Apple Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 7 analytical articles which are directly related to AAPL from the last 30 days. Out of these, 1 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 2 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 4 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Dec 18, 2024 to Jan 03, 2025.
Apple's High-Valuation Puzzle: A Cautionary Tale for Investors
In this review of Daly Asset Management’s latest financial analysis, we delve into the author’s consistent *No* stance on AAPL stock, reflecting a confident and data-driven approach to investment trends. Despite being a relatively recent contributor since 2023, the author has already published four articles and garnered 28 subscribers, indicating steady growth in relevance and engagement within the financial community. With a credibility tier that can be classified as good, Daly Asset Management’s insights provide a reliable yet approachable perspective for readers seeking informed guidance. The balance between publication volume and tenure underscores a dedicated, focused voice in financial analysis. This thoughtful dissection of AAPL stock’s potential deserves attention from those looking for a measured, well-supported critique.
Key Theses Identified in the Article
- Apple's extensive stock buyback program has significantly driven its share price appreciation.
- Current valuation metrics are inflated and overshadow the company's actual growth trajectories.
- Future growth needs to be exceptional to substantiate Apple's current high valuation.
- Fundamental valuation models, such as DCF and shareholder yield, suggest Apple's fair value is much lower than its current market price.
- Investors should be cautious and deliberate before investing in AAPL stock at its current valuation.
Key Factors Influencing Apple's Stock Price
Stock Buyback Program
Apple's extensive stock buyback program has reduced the available pool of shares, artificially inflating share prices and investor perception. This has high relevance as wealth is redistributed to shareholders, keeping demand high despite growth imbalances.
Fundamental Valuation Models
Models such as DCF and shareholder yield suggest a lower fair value for Apple than its current stock price, putting the stock at risk of correction. The disparity highlights the market's over-reliance on inflated metrics for valuation.
Future Growth Prospects
The article stresses that future business growth needs to be exceptional to justify skyrocketing valuations. Any underperformance might dampen investor confidence, given the high expectations priced into the stock.
Current Valuation Metrics
The inflated valuation metrics, driven by stock buybacks and market exuberance, create a risky environment for investors. This underscores the importance of aligning valuation with fundamental growth rates.
Review the original AnalysisApple’s Sky-High Valuation Meets Struggling Innovation: Trouble Ahead?
Stone Fox Capital, a highly prolific contributor since 2008 with over 5,300 publications and a substantial subscriber base of 50,736, has established a significant presence in the realm of financial analysis. The author's output, averaging hundreds of articles annually, reflects a strong commitment to providing timely and detailed insights. With credibility metrics indicating an excellent level of authority, their viewpoints have garnered widespread trust and attention among readers. In a recent analytical piece, Stone Fox Capital maintains a "No" stance on AAPL stock, an outlook destined to spark debate given Apple's commanding position in the market. The author’s disciplined and data-driven approach ensures their perspectives resonate with both seasoned investors and newcomers alike, making this review a valuable resource for those seeking a deeper understanding of investment opportunities and risks.
Key Theses from the Article
- Apple's stock ended 2024 near all-time highs despite disappointing advancements in AI and stagnant growth.
- The company's new AI platform, Apple Intelligence, underwhelmed users due to limited features and heavy reliance on third-party AI services like ChatGPT.
- Other innovation attempts, such as Vision Pro, also failed to drive significant growth for Apple.
- Apple's stock is considered overvalued, trading at a high 34x FY25 EPS despite growth supporting no more than a 15x P/E multiple.
Factors Influencing Apple's Stock Price
Disappointment in Apple Intelligence AI
Apple Intelligence's lack of innovation and dependency on existing AI tools has negatively affected consumer perception and failed to create a meaningful competitive advantage. This issue impacts Apple's ability to justify its premium valuation, as it highlights stagnation in future growth opportunities.
Lack of growth from new products like Vision Pro
Vision Pro, a highly anticipated product, could not generate strong market excitement or meaningful sales growth. This has raised concerns about Apple's ability to create new revenue streams in the face of slowing innovation in core products.
Overvaluation of stock price
The stock's valuation at 34x FY25 EPS significantly exceeds what its growth levels justify, which increases the risk of a market correction. Investors may find it difficult to support this premium if Apple does not deliver stronger earnings or innovation momentum.
Review the original AnalysisCommentary
Apple's soaring stock price, nearing all-time highs, faces growing skepticism as innovation hurdles and questionable valuations come to the forefront. The underwhelming debut of Apple Intelligence, which relies too heavily on third-party AI services like ChatGPT, dents the company's reputation as a technology leader. Similarly, Vision Pro’s lackluster reception highlights stagnation in Apple's ability to create groundbreaking new revenue streams. Both factors weigh heavily, suggesting that market sentiment could shift negatively in the short term.
When examining the next 15 days, an average influence strength of 8 indicates a notable risk of stock price weakness as disappointing innovation metrics dominate the narrative. Over the next month, the average influence strength remains significant at 8, compounded by the realization that Apple’s current 34x FY25 EPS valuation far exceeds the 15x multiple its growth trajectory justifies. The overvaluation issue looms large, urging cautious optimism at best—or perhaps outright skepticism—in the face of stagnant growth prospects. Apple seems to be defying gravity, but the data suggests it might not last for long.
Comprehensive Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Apple's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Apple stock?
- When should I record a loss on Apple stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Apple stock?
- What is the future of Apple stock?
We forecast Apple stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Apple stocks.
Apple Inc. – American corporation, manufacturer of personal and tablet computers, audio players, phones, software; owns the payment service Apple Pay. A 7-to-1 split of shares allowed them to join the Dow Jones Index in March 2015. The company pursues a generous policy towards its shareholders: in addition to paying dividends, buyback programs are also regularly implemented.
Apple Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 43 news items directly related to AAPL from the last 30 days. Out of these, 17 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 9 display bearish tendencies, and 17 events are neutral.
The strength of the bullish trend outpaces the bearish sentiments by 2.26 times, indicating that the news backdrop is positively influencing the company’s stock price in the current outlook.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Dec 16, 2024, to Jan 13, 2025.
Apple Trails Samsung, Faces Mixed iPhone 16 Reception
Apple Gets a Major Overhaul: iPhone Revamp and AI Innovation
Zuckerberg Calls Out Apple for Lack of Innovation and Pricing Strategy
China Restricts Foxconn's Worker Flow: Impact on Apple's India Operations
AI Fails to Spark iPhone Sales Surge: Analyst
Tim Cook's $10M Pay Hike Hinges on Shareholders' Verdict
Foldable iPhone Plans May Face Hurdles Due to eSIM Support
TSMC Revenue Skyrockets on AI Boom, Fuels Optimism for Big Tech
Apple's Siri Stays Private: No Data Sales or Ads Involved
Howard Marks Cautious on Stock Valuations: Not Quite a Bubble
Apple daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 19 | 235.90 | 234.49 | 237.32 | 1.21 |
Jan 20 | 235.41 | 231.74 | 240.14 | 3.63 |
Jan 21 | 230.82 | 229.36 | 235.73 | 2.78 |
Jan 22 | 233.52 | 230.93 | 236.11 | 2.24 |
Jan 23 | 234.01 | 228.39 | 237.52 | 4.00 |
Jan 24 | 237.66 | 233.74 | 239.58 | 2.50 |
Jan 25 | 241.08 | 235.80 | 244.48 | 3.68 |
Jan 26 | 242.46 | 237.87 | 245.07 | 3.03 |
Jan 27 | 240.71 | 235.00 | 244.03 | 3.84 |
Jan 28 | 237.10 | 235.18 | 239.52 | 1.84 |
Jan 29 | 239.16 | 234.21 | 242.96 | 3.74 |
Jan 30 | 236.87 | 232.46 | 240.85 | 3.61 |
Jan 31 | 238.57 | 233.27 | 241.51 | 3.53 |
Feb 01 | 244.58 | 242.53 | 249.43 | 2.84 |
Feb 02 | 242.09 | 237.37 | 246.45 | 3.82 |
Feb 03 | 243.90 | 239.37 | 248.22 | 3.70 |
Feb 04 | 244.86 | 242.58 | 248.82 | 2.57 |
Feb 05 | 251.25 | 245.74 | 252.90 | 2.91 |
Feb 06 | 249.59 | 246.67 | 254.30 | 3.10 |
Feb 07 | 242.10 | 239.12 | 246.82 | 3.22 |
Feb 08 | 243.99 | 241.79 | 248.53 | 2.79 |
Feb 09 | 246.55 | 242.19 | 251.65 | 3.91 |
Feb 10 | 248.33 | 246.02 | 250.56 | 1.85 |
Feb 11 | 245.05 | 240.27 | 247.40 | 2.97 |
Feb 12 | 246.66 | 241.12 | 248.51 | 3.07 |
Feb 13 | 249.25 | 246.41 | 255.24 | 3.58 |
Feb 14 | 248.73 | 245.08 | 250.67 | 2.28 |
Feb 15 | 252.24 | 248.38 | 257.91 | 3.84 |
Feb 16 | 251.41 | 249.45 | 256.46 | 2.81 |
Feb 17 | 246.28 | 244.73 | 248.72 | 1.63 |
Apple Daily Price Targets
Apple Stock Forecast 01-19-2025.
Forecast target price for 01-19-2025: $235.90.
Positive dynamics for Apple shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.193%.
Pessimistic target level: 234.49
Optimistic target level: 237.32
Apple Stock Forecast 01-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 01-20-2025: $235.41.
Negative dynamics for Apple shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.500%.
Pessimistic target level: 231.74
Optimistic target level: 240.14
Apple Stock Forecast 01-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 01-21-2025: $230.82.
Negative dynamics for Apple shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.702%.
Pessimistic target level: 229.36
Optimistic target level: 235.73
Apple Stock Forecast 01-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 01-22-2025: $233.52.
Positive dynamics for Apple shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.196%.
Pessimistic target level: 230.93
Optimistic target level: 236.11
Apple Stock Forecast 01-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 01-23-2025: $234.01.
Positive dynamics for Apple shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.842%.
Pessimistic target level: 228.39
Optimistic target level: 237.52
Apple Stock Forecast 01-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 01-24-2025: $237.66.
Positive dynamics for Apple shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.440%.
Pessimistic target level: 233.74
Optimistic target level: 239.58
AAPL (AAPL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Feb. | 224.18 | 207.14 | 230.68 | 10.20 |
Mar. | 215.44 | 202.08 | 222.98 | 9.37 |
Apr. | 208.11 | 201.45 | 223.93 | 10.04 |
May. | 216.44 | 199.34 | 224.66 | 11.27 |
Jun. | 203.67 | 198.78 | 214.67 | 7.40 |
Jul. | 201.23 | 188.55 | 209.07 | 9.82 |
Aug. | 215.91 | 211.60 | 227.14 | 6.84 |
Sep. | 211.81 | 198.26 | 220.71 | 10.17 |
Oct. | 209.27 | 193.16 | 220.99 | 12.59 |
Nov. | 210.94 | 206.73 | 223.81 | 7.63 |
Dec. | 221.49 | 204.88 | 232.34 | 11.82 |
Apple forecast for this year
Apple Stock Prediction for Feb 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $224.182. Pessimistic: $207.14. Optimistic: $230.68
Apple Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $215.439. Pessimistic: $202.08. Optimistic: $222.98
Apple Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $208.114. Pessimistic: $201.45. Optimistic: $223.93
Apple Stock Prediction for May 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $216.439. Pessimistic: $199.34. Optimistic: $224.66
Apple Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $203.669. Pessimistic: $198.78. Optimistic: $214.67
Apple Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $201.225. Pessimistic: $188.55. Optimistic: $209.07
Apple Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $215.914. Pessimistic: $211.60. Optimistic: $227.14
Apple Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $211.812. Pessimistic: $198.26. Optimistic: $220.71
Apple Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $209.27. Pessimistic: $193.16. Optimistic: $220.99
Apple Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $210.944. Pessimistic: $206.73. Optimistic: $223.81
Apple Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $221.491. Pessimistic: $204.88. Optimistic: $232.34
Apple (AAPL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 223.26 | 212.99 | 239.12 | 10.92 |
Feb | 218.58 | 205.68 | 235.84 | 12.79 |
Mar | 222.51 | 213.83 | 235.19 | 9.08 |
Apr | 211.38 | 198.91 | 228.29 | 12.87 |
May | 220.47 | 205.04 | 237.89 | 13.81 |
Jun | 227.75 | 214.77 | 243.24 | 11.70 |
Jul | 241.64 | 224.24 | 256.87 | 12.70 |
Aug | 245.99 | 235.66 | 252.63 | 6.72 |
Sep | 238.12 | 232.17 | 253.36 | 8.36 |
Oct | 229.07 | 218.76 | 234.80 | 6.83 |
Nov | 219.91 | 207.81 | 231.78 | 10.34 |
Dec | 224.97 | 219.12 | 236.66 | 7.41 |
Apple (AAPL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 220.69 | 205.91 | 234.15 | 12.06 |
Feb | 214.07 | 208.72 | 221.56 | 5.80 |
Mar | 225.42 | 210.31 | 235.34 | 10.63 |
Apr | 245.48 | 237.62 | 256.53 | 7.37 |
May | 253.83 | 237.58 | 260.42 | 8.77 |
Jun | 242.15 | 231.74 | 252.08 | 8.07 |
Jul | 230.53 | 220.38 | 236.52 | 6.82 |
Aug | 213.70 | 207.07 | 223.53 | 7.36 |
Sep | 204.08 | 190.41 | 211.22 | 9.85 |
Oct | 194.49 | 180.10 | 204.99 | 12.14 |
Nov | 196.24 | 181.52 | 210.76 | 13.87 |
Dec | 209.98 | 200.11 | 222.79 | 10.18 |
Apple information and performance
ONE INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Apple Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of AAPL shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Apple is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Apple (AAPL) stock dividend
Apple last paid dividends on 11/08/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 11/14/2024. The amount of dividends is $0.98 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Related stocks from Technology sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.
Commentary
The article highlights Apple's stock buyback program as a major driver of its soaring share prices. While it has greatly benefited shareholders by reducing the share pool and boosting perception, this artificial inflation raises questions about sustainability—especially when fundamental valuation models suggest a much lower fair value. When you combine current inflated metrics with marginal growth avenues, it feels like a house of cards, particularly as the DCF and shareholder yield models paint a less rosy picture.
Looking ahead, the next 15 days could see minor changes as investor sentiment might hold steady, averaging the influence strength of all factors. However, over the next month, the expectation of exceptional growth might begin clashing with the reality of limited business expansion potential. As both valuation concerns and unrealistic growth targets converge, it seems prudent to approach Apple's stock cautiously in this environment of overconfidence.