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Adobe (ADBE) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: December 3, 2024 (16:24)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Adobe Inc. (ADBE) now
News Impact Analyzer
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This Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
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Previous Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 3 (3/0/0) |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Neutral | Opinions: 3 |
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Previous Week
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Bearish | Opinions: 1 |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Analyzing the Most Important ADBE news
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Historical and forecast chart of Adobe stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Adobe stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Adobe stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Adobe Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 3 analytical articles which are directly related to ADBE from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 2 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Nov 22, 2024 to Dec 03, 2024.
Adobe's Future Growth: Navigating Valuation Peaks Amid Promising Performance
In this review, we delve into an analytical financial article by Daniel Schönberger, who maintains a neutral stance on Adobe Inc. (ADBE) stock. Schönberger is a reputable contributor to the financial analysis community, demonstrated by his extensive portfolio of 774 publications since 2016 and a robust following of 12,595 subscribers. With an impressive publication frequency that speaks to both his dedication and expertise, Schönberger's insight is highly sought after. His viewpoints carry a high level of credibility, placing him among the most authoritative voices in financial analysis. This neutral position on ADBE stock is particularly noteworthy given his proven track record of thoughtful, unbiased assessments, offering valuable perspectives for investors and stakeholders alike.
Key Theses
- Adobe's Q3/24 results show solid performance.
- Adobe's stock is currently overvalued despite high growth rates.
- Economic moat supports stable revenue growth and pricing power.
- Intrinsic value calculation suggests patience for a lower stock price.
Factors Influencing Adobe's Stock Price
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 10.6% year-over-year, indicating strong business performance and a contributing factor to increased stock price in the near term.
Diluted Net Income per Share
An increase of 23.3% YoY to $3.76 per share strengthens investors' confidence in Adobe's profitability and could potentially boost stock price.
Market Valuation
The current P/E ratio of 43.6 and P/FCF ratio of 35 suggest the market might be overpricing Adobe, potentially leading to stock price corrections.
Economic Moat
Adobe’s strong brand and high switching costs provide pricing power, supporting steady revenue growth and maintaining stock price stability.
Generative AI Innovations
Products like Adobe Firefly attract customer excitement, potentially driving future revenue growth and thereby impacting stock valuation.
Review the original Analysis
Adobe's AI Ambitions vs. Stock Market Skeptics: A Balancing Act
In his latest analytical piece, seasoned financial expert Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT, offers an insightful review of Adobe Inc. (ADBE) stock. Zaccardi, known for his meticulous analysis, clearly maintains a 'No' stance on ADBE, signaling caution for potential investors. With an impressive portfolio of over 1,500 published works since 2022, Zaccardi's prolific contribution rate underscores his dedication and deep expertise in the financial sector. His viewpoints are widely followed and respected, evidenced by a substantial subscriber base of over 7,000 readers. The credibility of his analyses is widely recognized as high, making his cautious approach to ADBE particularly noteworthy for those looking to navigate the complexities of today's market.
Key Theses
- Software stocks have outperformed semiconductor stocks in H2 2024 driven by solid earnings and AI integration.
- Adobe's Q3 results exceeded expectations, but its stock dipped due to soft future guidance.
- Adobe's Firefly AI platform shows promise as a potential growth driver.
- Despite mixed valuation metrics, Adobe's PEG ratio indicates possible undervaluation.
- The buy rating is maintained on Adobe due to undervaluation, earnings growth, and potential technical indicators.
Factors Influencing Adobe's Stock Price
AI integration in software stocks
The integration of AI across the software sector, including Adobe, has driven recent stock gains. This tech trend has positioned companies with AI advancements like Adobe for potential future growth, significantly impacting their valuation.
Q3 Results and Guidance
Adobe's stock dipped despite beating Q3 expectations due to issuing weak future guidance. This reflects investor sensitivity to forward-looking statements and potential growth projections.
Firefly AI platform development
The emerging Firefly AI platform presents a promising growth opportunity for Adobe. It's potential success could enhance Adobe’s competitive edge and contribute positively to future stock appreciation.
Valuation Metrics and PEG Ratio
Though Adobe shows mixed valuation metrics, its PEG ratio suggests it might be undervalued. Investors might view this as an opportunity to buy, influencing demand and price movement positively.
Competition and Macroeconomic Risks
Increased competition and potential macroeconomic downturns pose risks that could affect Adobe's market position and stock price. Investors remain wary of these factors which could undermine optimistic earnings projections.
Review the original Analysis
Commentary
Adobe is stirring within the software sector, infused with AI advancements that have catapulted it into the spotlight. Yet, despite Adobe's solid Q3 earnings, a lackluster future guidance spooked investors, leading to a momentary dip. The average influence strength of factors shaping Adobe's stock trajectory in the next 15 days hovers around a moderate level, indicating some resilience amidst these market jitters. The overarching sentiment is cautious optimism, fueled by Adobe's continued AI integration.
Looking ahead into the next month, the development of Adobe's Firefly AI platform and its mixed valuation metrics suggest a nuanced path forward. If Firefly meets its potential, it could be a game-changer, illuminating growth prospects. However, investors are also wary of macroeconomic threats and competition, which could temper enthusiasm. The influence strength of these factors registers slightly above average, hinting at a balanced state. Thus, while the overall stock trend remains 'Neutral,' Adobe's journey is one closely watched, as it walks the tightrope between promising innovation and market realities.
Comprehensive Analysis of Adobe (ADBE) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Adobe's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Adobe stock?
- When should I record a loss on Adobe stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Adobe stock?
- What is the future of Adobe stock?
We forecast Adobe stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Adobe stocks.
Adobe Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 3 news items directly related to ADBE from the last 30 days. Out of these, 3 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 0 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting ADBE shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Nov 06, 2024, to Nov 12, 2024.
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Surge in Productivity Fuels Unexpected GDP Growth
Adobe's Strong Q3 Overshadowed by Disappointing Q4 Outlook
Adobe Tumbles Despite Record Q3 Revenue
Adobe Delivers Solid 11% Growth in Digital Media
The Future of Adobe (ADBE) Stocks: Insights and Predictions
As we dive into the Adobe stock forecast, it’s crucial to understand that predicting stock rates with absolute accuracy is always a challenge. The dynamic nature of the stock market, influenced by numerous internal and external factors, makes forecasts educated assumptions rather than guarantees. However, by analyzing current trends, company performance, and strategic moves, we can gain a clearer view of what the future may hold for Adobe (ADBE) stocks.
Adobe’s current operational strategies, particularly their deep investment in AI, are pivotal in shaping the company’s future. Their focus on enhancing personalization across products, improving digital accessibility, and investing in tools like Firefly, have not only driven their share price up by over 70% in the past year but also underscore why the Adobe market cap continues to soar. These initiatives underscore Adobe’s agility in adapting to technological advancements, securing its position as an industry leader.
Key Factors Influencing ADBE Stock Rates
Looking forward, several factors will be crucial in determining the trajectory of ADBE stocks. Firstly, Adobe’s execution of AI growth strategies, enhancing customer engagement and streamlining digital content creation and accessibility, will play a significant role. Additionally, Adobe’s robust financial health, underscored by impressive operating margins near 50% and consistent growth rates, provides a solid foundation for sustained stock performance.
However, caution is advised due to the company’s current valuation; the stock is considered by some to be overvalued, presenting a potential risk for investors. The main question for investors remains: Can Adobe maintain its premium pricing in the market, and will its strategy around AI and product development justify continued investor confidence?
In conclusion, while predicting the exact ADBE stock forecast remains complex, the company’s strategic investments in AI, strong financials, and impressive market presence suggest a positive outlook, with careful consideration required for its current valuation. As events unfold, particularly around technological innovation and market competition, these will be the primary influencers on the rate changes of ADBE stocks, guiding investor decisions in the near future.
The story of Adobe Systems began with two visionary founders: John Warnock and Charles Geschke. These pioneers once belonged to the Xerox PARC research haven, where they poured their genius into writing PostScript—a programming language tailor-made for publishing systems. However, when their breakthrough didn’t quite resonate with Xerox’s top brass, Warnock and Geschke decided it was time to strike out on their own. As a result, they started their own business in 1982 under the influence of determination and creativity.
Adobe’s big break came three years later, when Steve Jobs noticed the ingenuity of PostScript. This interest from Apple marked Adobe’s ascent into the spotlight with its very first major order.
Today Adobe Systems stands as a global juggernaut. By 2016, this empire had racked up revenues soaring to $8 billion while watching its stock price climb an impressive 46%.
Trending Themes in the Technology Sector
Adobe daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 05 | 518.52 | 509.19 | 526.92 | 3.48 |
| Dec 06 | 515.88 | 512.63 | 526.71 | 2.75 |
| Dec 07 | 519.59 | 509.15 | 528.48 | 3.80 |
| Dec 08 | 523.33 | 516.42 | 528.83 | 2.40 |
| Dec 09 | 537.46 | 525.85 | 543.75 | 3.40 |
| Dec 10 | 551.33 | 542.23 | 557.61 | 2.84 |
| Dec 11 | 553.31 | 545.84 | 563.27 | 3.19 |
| Dec 12 | 548.83 | 537.47 | 552.12 | 2.73 |
| Dec 13 | 533.52 | 520.87 | 545.04 | 4.64 |
| Dec 14 | 533.04 | 521.21 | 542.95 | 4.17 |
| Dec 15 | 519.13 | 510.09 | 530.65 | 4.03 |
| Dec 16 | 522.09 | 518.95 | 528.66 | 1.87 |
| Dec 17 | 521.15 | 510.51 | 527.87 | 3.40 |
| Dec 18 | 513.48 | 505.47 | 518.11 | 2.50 |
| Dec 19 | 506.40 | 497.89 | 512.48 | 2.93 |
| Dec 20 | 507.16 | 495.14 | 512.18 | 3.44 |
| Dec 21 | 505.79 | 500.78 | 514.13 | 2.67 |
| Dec 22 | 508.98 | 501.65 | 513.25 | 2.31 |
| Dec 23 | 496.91 | 493.93 | 507.94 | 2.84 |
| Dec 24 | 487.07 | 476.85 | 492.33 | 3.25 |
| Dec 25 | 483.13 | 477.91 | 487.77 | 2.06 |
| Dec 26 | 485.01 | 477.01 | 496.65 | 4.12 |
| Dec 27 | 498.40 | 487.78 | 509.01 | 4.35 |
| Dec 28 | 497.20 | 491.24 | 504.06 | 2.61 |
| Dec 29 | 500.93 | 497.48 | 506.94 | 1.90 |
| Dec 30 | 495.67 | 492.55 | 498.65 | 1.24 |
| Dec 31 | 490.47 | 483.11 | 495.18 | 2.50 |
| Jan 01 | 485.91 | 474.24 | 494.80 | 4.33 |
| Jan 02 | 484.16 | 473.99 | 487.64 | 2.88 |
| Jan 03 | 475.44 | 470.74 | 479.86 | 1.94 |
Adobe Daily Price Targets
Adobe Stock Forecast 12-05-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-05-2024: $518.52.
Positive dynamics for Adobe shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.365%.
Pessimistic target level: 509.19
Optimistic target level: 526.92
Adobe Stock Forecast 12-06-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-06-2024: $515.88.
Negative dynamics for Adobe shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.674%.
Pessimistic target level: 512.63
Optimistic target level: 526.71
Adobe Stock Forecast 12-07-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-07-2024: $519.59.
Positive dynamics for Adobe shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.658%.
Pessimistic target level: 509.15
Optimistic target level: 528.48
Adobe Stock Forecast 12-08-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-08-2024: $523.33.
Positive dynamics for Adobe shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.345%.
Pessimistic target level: 516.42
Optimistic target level: 528.83
Adobe Stock Forecast 12-09-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-09-2024: $537.46.
Positive dynamics for Adobe shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.292%.
Pessimistic target level: 525.85
Optimistic target level: 543.75
Adobe Stock Forecast 12-10-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-10-2024: $551.33.
Positive dynamics for Adobe shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.759%.
Pessimistic target level: 542.23
Optimistic target level: 557.61
ADBE (ADBE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. | 521.97 | 479.90 | 543.68 | 11.73 |
| Feb. | 589.82 | 569.89 | 629.69 | 9.50 |
| Mar. | 620.49 | 586.61 | 674.54 | 13.03 |
| Apr. | 655.99 | 596.29 | 721.65 | 17.37 |
| May. | 592.03 | 562.01 | 650.52 | 13.61 |
| Jun. | 578.17 | 536.83 | 595.46 | 9.85 |
| Jul. | 605.23 | 569.04 | 620.97 | 8.36 |
| Aug. | 576.91 | 534.91 | 608.41 | 12.08 |
| Sep. | 587.41 | 564.50 | 646.97 | 12.75 |
| Oct. | 516.39 | 464.03 | 550.63 | 15.73 |
| Nov. | 517.73 | 484.75 | 556.10 | 12.83 |
| Dec. | 487.44 | 440.55 | 526.73 | 16.36 |
Adobe forecast for this year
Adobe Stock Prediction for Jan 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $521.966. Pessimistic: $479.90. Optimistic: $543.68
Adobe Stock Prediction for Feb 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $589.822. Pessimistic: $569.89. Optimistic: $629.69
Adobe Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $620.493. Pessimistic: $586.61. Optimistic: $674.54
Adobe Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $655.985. Pessimistic: $596.29. Optimistic: $721.65
Adobe Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $592.026. Pessimistic: $562.01. Optimistic: $650.52
Adobe Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $578.173. Pessimistic: $536.83. Optimistic: $595.46
Adobe Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $605.232. Pessimistic: $569.04. Optimistic: $620.97
Adobe Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $576.907. Pessimistic: $534.91. Optimistic: $608.41
Adobe Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $587.406. Pessimistic: $564.50. Optimistic: $646.97
Adobe Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $516.389. Pessimistic: $464.03. Optimistic: $550.63
Adobe Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $517.732. Pessimistic: $484.75. Optimistic: $556.10
Adobe Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $487.444. Pessimistic: $440.55. Optimistic: $526.73
Adobe (ADBE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 505.19 | 482.86 | 544.59 | 11.34 |
| Feb | 520.95 | 466.77 | 546.01 | 14.51 |
| Mar | 546.01 | 529.68 | 592.14 | 10.55 |
| Apr | 599.24 | 554.84 | 659.23 | 15.83 |
| May | 637.41 | 580.24 | 692.10 | 16.16 |
| Jun | 610.90 | 593.43 | 656.17 | 9.56 |
| Jul | 670.46 | 629.50 | 721.01 | 12.69 |
| Aug | 585.04 | 534.85 | 626.11 | 14.58 |
| Sep | 510.51 | 476.66 | 528.43 | 9.80 |
| Oct | 514.49 | 466.34 | 535.89 | 12.98 |
| Nov | 513.82 | 481.76 | 539.87 | 10.76 |
| Dec | 537.87 | 509.20 | 551.85 | 7.73 |
Adobe (ADBE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 532.28 | 507.37 | 546.81 | 7.21 |
| Feb | 544.73 | 514.99 | 597.13 | 13.76 |
| Mar | 591.47 | 556.10 | 649.14 | 14.33 |
| Apr | 514.58 | 498.52 | 554.05 | 10.02 |
| May | 537.32 | 496.11 | 574.34 | 13.62 |
| Jun | 503.09 | 478.24 | 537.76 | 11.07 |
| Jul | 501.13 | 460.74 | 546.08 | 15.63 |
| Aug | 510.90 | 481.02 | 557.40 | 13.70 |
| Sep | 552.75 | 519.69 | 585.80 | 11.29 |
| Oct | 548.44 | 509.22 | 574.10 | 11.30 |
| Nov | 587.65 | 541.81 | 634.25 | 14.57 |
| Dec | 625.08 | 576.33 | 667.34 | 13.64 |
Adobe information and performance
345 PARK AVE, SAN JOSE, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Adobe Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of ADBE shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Adobe is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Commentary
Adobe's recent Q3 results highlight strong performance, with a 10.6% increase in year-over-year revenue and a 23.3% rise in diluted net income per share. These metrics reflect the company's solid business fundamentals and robust profitability, providing a sense of optimism and confidence among investors. Yet, the higher-than-average P/E and P/FCF ratios suggest caution as they indicate the current valuation might be overstretched. This overvaluation could lead to market corrections, despite Adobe’s economic moat securing its long-term revenue and maintaining relative stock stability.
Considering all influencing factors, the average influence strength suggests a balanced outlook in the short term, with neither extreme optimism nor pessimism dominating investor sentiment. Over the next month, investors might see minor fluctuations in Adobe's stock price as the market adjusts its valuation expectations in light of potential further innovation in generative AI products, such as Adobe Firefly. Therefore, while growth prospects are encouraging, market participants may find it prudent to wait for a more attractive entry point given the current pricing dynamics.