Alibaba (BABA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy Prediction







A Comprehensive Guide to RoadRunner Auto Transport Services

October 22, 2024 A Comprehensive Guide to RoadRunner Auto Transport Services

If you want to ship your car from one city to another, why not hire the experts to do everything for you? They…
Mastering Trading Indicators: Your Essential Toolkit For Success

October 3, 2024 Mastering Trading Indicators: Your Essential Toolkit For Success

Often investors struggle to identify profitable trades consistently. Trading indicators provide essential data to guide trading decisions. This article explains key indicators and…
Maximizing Profits: When is the Right Time to Sell Your Business?

April 23, 2024 Maximizing Profits: When is the Right Time to Sell Your Business?

Selling a business can be a momentous decision filled with many considerations and uncertainties. As an entrepreneur, this also symbolizes your years of…
Improve Your Financial Status: A How-To Guide

April 12, 2024 Improve Your Financial Status: A How-To Guide

Navigating through the complexities of personal finance can often feel like walking through a maze blindfolded. This guide is crafted especially for you,…

Alibaba (BABA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?

Updated: November 11, 2024 (16:46)

Sector: Consumer cyclical

The share price of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) now

Latest session on the 8th of November for
Alibaba Group Holding Limited is negative
Trading Volume: 24879795
Open: 96.11 /  High: 96.38 /  Low: 93.69
What analysts predict: $119.66
52-week High/Low: $117.82 / $66.07
50-Day Moving Average: $97.25 — resistance level today
200-Day Moving Average: $81.54 — support level today

News Impact Analyzer

Full report
This Week
Bearish Impact: 5 News: 1
Previous Week
Bullish Impact: 5 News: 2 (1/1/0)
Two Weeks Ago
Bearish Impact: 5 News: 3
Three Weeks Ago
Na Impact: Na News: 3 (1/1/1)

Analyzing the Most Important BABA news

Trump's Win Sparks Fear in Chinese Markets as Tariffs Loom

Nov 06, 2024
Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
The expected increase in tariffs under Trump's presidency presents a bearish outlook for Alibaba (BABA), as it may face more trade challenges. This increases uncertainty and potential costs, negatively impacting investor sentiment. With a significant influence score of 7, the news is likely to weigh down BABA's stock performance in the immediate future.

Meta's AI Technology Employed by Chinese Military Researchers

Nov 01, 2024
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 3
The article highlights Chinese use of Meta's AI model for military purposes. It could raise concerns over AI governance and international collaborations, but its direct impact on Alibaba (BABA) is limited. BABA's AI advancements are mainly civilian-focused, with no direct connection to the military use case mentioned, hence the neutral trend and low influence score.

Asian Tech Giants Climb, But Mag 7 Still Leads the Race

Oct 31, 2024
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
Alibaba's YTD gain of 27.3% indicates strong performance relative to some Asian peers. Despite the overall preference for U.S. tech companies, Alibaba's positive metrics suggest investor confidence in China's tech sector recovery. This could bolster Alibaba's stock price, showcasing growth potential and attracting investor interest in the near-term.

Historical and forecast chart of Alibaba stock

The chart below shows the historical price of Alibaba stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Alibaba stock price can be found in the table below.

Long-term forecasts by years.

Comprehensive Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Stock Market Performance


Our multifaceted analysis of Alibaba's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:

  • When should I take profit in Alibaba stock?
  • When should I record a loss on Alibaba stock?
  • What are analysts' forecasts for Alibaba stock?
  • What is the future of Alibaba stock?

We forecast Alibaba stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Alibaba stocks.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 9 news items directly related to BABA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 2 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 4 display bearish tendencies, and 3 events are neutral.

The strength of the bearish trend is dominating bullish sentiments by 2 times, indicating that the current news landscape is negatively impacting the company's stock prices in the foreseeable future.

The news analyzed fell within the period from Oct 15, 2024, to Nov 06, 2024.

βeta
Oct 26, 2024

Tech Stocks and Trump's Impact: Winners and Losers Revealed

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 8
The analysis suggests a bearish outlook for BABA due to anticipated Trump policies that are tough on Chinese firms. This sentiment is likely to weigh heavily on Alibaba's stock, potentially limiting its upside despite attractive valuations. As U.S.-China relations remain strained, BABA could face significant headwinds, resulting in lower investor confidence and stock price pressure.
Oct 26, 2024

Alibaba Settles US Class-Action Lawsuit for $433.5M

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
The $433.5M settlement of Alibaba's US class-action lawsuit indicates added legal and financial pressures on the company. Coupled with previous regulatory penalties, this can amplify investor concerns about Alibaba's risk exposure and lead to a negative sentiment, potentially depressing the stock price in the near term. Hence, a trend of 'Bearish' is appropriate with significant influence.
Oct 24, 2024

Alibaba Cloud Shines Amidst E-commerce Slowdown

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 6
The balanced performance across Alibaba's segments presents a neutral outlook. The cloud and international segments exhibit strength, but e-commerce growth is stagnating, possibly due to competition and market conditions. This mixed performance suggests a moderate influence on BABA's stock price, with a cautiously optimistic outlook as cloud growth could offset e-commerce challenges.
Oct 16, 2024

EU AI Compliance Tests Reveal Flaws in Big Tech Models

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 4
The EU compliance tool identifying shortcomings in Alibaba's AI models casts a neutral trend on BABA's stock due to limited immediate impact on their core business. Although compliance is crucial, the influence level of 4 reflects modest potential effects on the stock price due to ongoing adaptations to meet EU standards.
Oct 16, 2024

Alibaba and Baidu Drive Horizon Robotics IPO

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
Alibaba's investment in Horizon Robotics aligns with the growing demand for autonomous driving technology, showcasing their strategic focus on innovation. This move could boost investor confidence in Alibaba's forward-thinking initiatives, potentially driving its stock price upward. Given the scale of the investment and partnership, it's a significant move likely to positively influence Alibaba's market standing.
Oct 15, 2024

Chinese Stocks Plunge as Investors Doubt Stimulus Impact

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
The trend for BABA is 'Bearish' due to skepticism over China's stimulus measures, leading to a 4% drop in its stock. The influence level is a 7, reflecting significant volatility and investor uncertainty. This uncertainty could result in continued pressure on BABA's stock price in the near future, as expectations remain unmet.
Oct 11, 2024

Chinese Stocks Surge on Anticipated $283B Stimulus

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
The anticipated fiscal stimulus package from China is creating a bullish outlook for Alibaba (BABA) and similar stocks, fostering optimism among investors. This potential market boost places a significant impact on BABA's share price momentum as stimulus prospects may enhance economic activity, benefiting companies heavily reliant on China's economic performance. Consequently, market sentiment towards BABA is trending positively.
Oct 08, 2024

China Stocks Plummet: FXI Sees Second-Worst Drop Since 2020!

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 5
Despite the negative performance of the overall Chinese market, Alibaba (BABA) showed strong growth in the past month, up by 35.53%. This indicates resilience and potential for Alibaba despite broader market downturns. Therefore, the impact is neutral, suggesting limited influence given its recent positive momentum against the general bearish trend.
Oct 07, 2024

Macquarie Elevates BABA and PDD Amid Favorable Chinese Internet Picks

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
The upgrade of Alibaba's shares to 'outperform' by Macquarie enhances BABA's attractiveness to investors, indicated by the increased EV/EBITA multiple. This suggests confidence in Alibaba’s future performance, potentially driving the stock price higher. The positive valuation outlook and sector's resilient earnings potential provide a supportive backdrop for BABA’s strengthened market standing.
Oct 04, 2024

BingEx IPO: China's Largest On-Demand Courier Service Makes NASDAQ Debut

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 3
The BingEx IPO does not directly relate to Alibaba's business operations or its logistics arm, Cainiao Network. While it indicates investor interest in Chinese logistics, Alibaba's diverse portfolio might buffer any particular impact from this event. Therefore, the effect on BABA's stock price is minimal, resulting in a neutral trend with low influence.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited is a Chinese company, which is a kind of combination of Amazon, eBay and PayPal and accounts for 80% of all online commerce in the PRC. The multi-billion dollar business includes the Alibaba.com marketplace and two shopping sites, Taobao and Tmall, in addition to recent acquisitions.

Taobao, a marketplace for small merchants who pay for ads and other site features.

Another Alibaba site – Tmall – is intended for large sellers; Nike, Apple, Microsoft, UNIQLO, Gap and other global brands sell their products here. Unlike Taobao, in order to trade on Tmall, sellers pay an annual fee and also deduct a commission for each trade.

Alibaba has also set up its own Alipay payment system. Alipay became so popular in China that when the company created its cash fund, it became one of the largest in the world in just 8 months. In September 2014, the corporation conducted a successful IPO.

Official site of the company

Alibaba daily forecast for a month

Date Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Nov 13 92.31 89.58 94.57 5.56
Nov 14 92.58 89.11 95.36 7.01
Nov 15 88.74 85.59 89.85 4.98
Nov 16 87.72 85.53 88.86 3.90
Nov 17 88.55 85.59 91.87 7.35
Nov 18 87.67 85.65 89.73 4.76
Nov 19 88.11 87.05 91.59 5.21
Nov 20 88.81 86.37 90.76 5.09
Nov 21 85.84 84.85 87.47 3.09
Nov 22 86.48 85.23 88.47 3.81
Nov 23 85.74 83.94 89.13 6.18
Nov 24 88.19 86.56 91.63 5.86
Nov 25 88.58 87.12 92.00 5.59
Nov 26 87.03 85.55 89.47 4.58
Nov 27 90.04 87.88 93.32 6.20
Nov 28 91.88 90.23 93.72 3.87
Nov 29 90.50 87.56 91.41 4.39
Nov 30 94.53 92.69 95.81 3.37
Dec 01 94.30 92.27 95.33 3.32
Dec 02 96.23 94.50 97.29 2.95
Dec 03 97.24 96.22 100.93 4.90
Dec 04 95.25 91.58 96.39 5.25
Dec 05 94.67 92.73 97.99 5.67
Dec 06 99.12 95.46 101.26 6.07
Dec 07 102.45 99.83 104.60 4.77
Dec 08 105.88 102.01 108.37 6.23
Dec 09 107.57 104.56 111.23 6.38
Dec 10 103.86 102.61 107.49 4.76
Dec 11 98.93 97.19 101.60 4.53
Dec 12 97.00 95.59 99.71 4.31

Alibaba Daily Price Targets


Alibaba Stock Forecast 11-13-2024.

Forecast target price for 11-13-2024: $92.31.
Negative dynamics for Alibaba shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.271%.
Pessimistic target level: 89.58
Optimistic target level: 94.57

Alibaba Stock Forecast 11-14-2024.

Forecast target price for 11-14-2024: $92.58.
Positive dynamics for Alibaba shares will prevail with possible volatility of 6.553%.
Pessimistic target level: 89.11
Optimistic target level: 95.36

Alibaba Stock Forecast 11-15-2024.

Forecast target price for 11-15-2024: $88.74.
Negative dynamics for Alibaba shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.741%.
Pessimistic target level: 85.59
Optimistic target level: 89.85

Alibaba Stock Forecast 11-16-2024.

Forecast target price for 11-16-2024: $87.72.
Negative dynamics for Alibaba shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.751%.
Pessimistic target level: 85.53
Optimistic target level: 88.86

Alibaba Stock Forecast 11-17-2024.

Forecast target price for 11-17-2024: $88.55.
Positive dynamics for Alibaba shares will prevail with possible volatility of 6.843%.
Pessimistic target level: 85.59
Optimistic target level: 91.87

Alibaba Stock Forecast 11-18-2024.

Forecast target price for 11-18-2024: $87.67.
Negative dynamics for Alibaba shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.543%.
Pessimistic target level: 85.65
Optimistic target level: 89.73

BABA (BABA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Dec. 100.55 88.93 107.18 17.03

Alibaba forecast for this year


Alibaba Stock Prediction for Dec 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $100.548. Pessimistic: $88.93. Optimistic: $107.18



Alibaba (BABA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 102.06 91.95 112.93 18.57
Feb 105.27 99.74 116.48 14.37
Mar 98.17 90.80 102.88 11.74
Apr 95.96 92.93 100.85 7.85
May 89.48 79.01 94.58 16.46
Jun 91.90 86.24 98.79 12.70
Jul 90.93 83.29 99.52 16.31
Aug 88.48 79.85 96.84 17.54
Sep 89.40 84.31 94.37 10.66
Oct 77.20 68.52 86.46 20.76
Nov 75.23 67.33 79.75 15.57
Dec 75.01 68.59 78.16 12.24

Alibaba (BABA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 78.16 72.06 85.07 15.30
Feb 83.31 75.82 87.06 12.92
Mar 89.69 80.81 98.30 17.79
Apr 88.75 80.63 94.60 14.77
May 91.94 85.46 94.84 9.89
Jun 91.39 86.04 97.83 12.05
Jul 79.05 73.60 84.74 13.15
Aug 82.49 75.44 88.31 14.57
Sep 84.10 74.13 90.91 18.46
Oct 87.76 79.86 96.18 16.97
Nov 96.31 87.50 99.93 12.43
Dec 93.57 85.71 103.82 17.44

Alibaba information and performance

Alibaba Address

26/F TOWER ONE, TIMES SQUARE, 1 MATHESON STREET, CAUSEWAY BAY, HK

Market Capitalization: 231 532 200 000 $

Market capitalization of the Alibaba Group Holding Limited is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of BABA shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.

EBITDA: 176 592 994 000 $

EBITDA of Alibaba is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.

PE Ratio: 24.21

P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit

PEG Ratio: 0.693

Price/earnings to growth

DPS: 7.22

Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.

DY: 0.0212

Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.

EPS: 3.89

EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY: -0.257
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY: 0.039
Trailing PE: 24.21

Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.

Forward PE: 10.88

Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.

EV To Revenue: 1.487

Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue

EV To EBITDA: 10.3

The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).

Shares Outstanding: 2392700000

Number of issued ordinary shares

Shares Float: N/A

Number of freely tradable shares

Shares Short Prior Month: N/A

Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.

Short Ratio: N/A
Percent Insiders: N/A
Percent Institutions: N/A

Alibaba (BABA) stock dividend

Alibaba last paid dividends on 06/13/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 07/12/2024. The amount of dividends is $7.22 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.

Last Split Factor:

Last Split Date: 01/01/1970

Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.

For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.



Related stocks from Consumer cyclical sector


Disclaimer:

All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.