Tesla (TSLA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy Prediction







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Tesla (TSLA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?

Updated: September 20, 2024 (22:57)

Sector: Counsumer cyclical

The share price of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) now

Latest session on the 19th of September for
Tesla, Inc. is positive
Trading Volume: 102694576
Open: 234 /  High: 244.24 /  Low: 232.13
What analysts predict: $211.31
52-week High/Low: $271 / $138.8
50-Day Moving Average: $222.42 — support level today
200-Day Moving Average: $202.23 — support level today

News Impact Analyzer

Full report
This Week
Na Impact: Na News: 2 (1/0/1)
Previous Week
Bullish Impact: 4.5 News: 8 (5/2/1)
Two Weeks Ago
Bullish Impact: 5 News: 7 (4/3/0)
Three Weeks Ago
Bearish Impact: 1.17 News: 10 (4/1/5)

Analysts predictions

Full report
This Week
Bullish Opinions: 7 (4/2/1)
Previous Week
Neutral Opinions: 3 (1/1/1)
Two Weeks Ago
Bullish Opinions: 3 (3/0/0)
Three Weeks Ago
Bearish Opinions: 5 (1/2/2)

Analyzing the Most Important TSLA news

Electric Car Registrations Plunge in Europe: Implications for Tesla

Sep 19, 2024
Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
The sharp drop in electric vehicle registrations in Europe is a bearish signal for Tesla, especially given Germany and France's significant declines. As Europe is a key market for Tesla, reduced demand could negatively impact the company's sales and stock price. The 7 influencing level highlights the importance of this trend on Tesla's market performance.

Neuralink's Vision-Restoring Brain Implant Secures Breakthrough Tag

Sep 18, 2024
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
The FDA breakthrough designation for Neuralink's Blindsight may boost investor confidence in Elon Musk's ventures, including Tesla. With its innovative potential in the medical tech field, positive market sentiment could spill over to Tesla due to Musk's leadership across these companies. This development suggests a promising diversification in Musk's portfolio, potentially encouraging bullish sentiment towards TSLA stock.

Tesla's Q3 Deliveries Expectations Lowered Amid EPS Decline

Sep 13, 2024
Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
The post conveys a bearish trend due to lowered delivery and EPS estimates for Tesla, exacerbated by past EPS misses. These factors, compounded with declining gross margins and aggressive pricing strategies, suggest potential downward pressure on the stock. Given these conditions, it's likely to impact investor sentiment negatively, influencing the stock price in the near term.

Historical and forecast chart of Tesla stock

The chart below shows the historical price of Tesla stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Tesla stock price can be found in the table below.

Long-term forecasts by years.

Tesla, Inc. Analysts predictions review

As of now, Panda has combed through 18 analytical articles which are directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 9 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 4 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 5 stay neutral.

To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Aug 22, 2024 to Sep 19, 2024.

Tesla's Future: Navigating Market Challenges and Regulatory Hurdles

Trend: Bearish
Sep 19, 2024

In this insightful review, the analytical prowess of Shubhm Mitessh Thakkar takes center stage, particularly focusing on the No stance concerning TSLA stock. While Thakkar has been contributing to the discourse since 2024, the modest number of publications and subscribers suggests that his viewpoints, though limited in reach, offer a unique perspective worth considering. With a nascent track record in financial analysis, Thakkar's authority remains in the lower tier, suggesting that his analyses are in the early stages of earning wider recognition. Despite this, his emerging voice in financial commentary might still resonate with readers looking for diverse analytical perspectives. This review seeks to unearth Thakkar's arguments, contributing to the broader discussion on TSLA's market trajectory.

Key Theses of the Tesla Stock Review

  • Tesla is facing declining market share in China and stagnant EV adoption in Europe and the United States, leading to a bearish outlook.
  • Tesla's stock is considered overpriced based on discounted cash flow and historical valuation metrics, suggesting a potential downside of nearly 33%.
  • Delays in regulatory approval for Tesla's Robotaxis, along with economic uncertainties, further dampen short-term growth prospects.
  • The report suggests a price target for Tesla stock at $148, making it a potential buy for GARP investors at around the $150 level, as seen in April 2024.

Key Factors Influencing Tesla's Stock Price

Declining Market Share in China

Significance: 9 out of 10

Tesla's sales in China have plateaued, declining by 0.57% from January-August 2024 when compared to the same period last year, reflecting a shrinking market share against local competitors like BYD. This could significantly affect Tesla's growth as China contributes 22% to Tesla's sales.

Stagnant EV Adoption in Europe and the USA

Significance: 8 out of 10

Despite initial growth, EV adoption seems to have plateaued with Tesla's US sales growing by only 2% and a 43.2% decline in European sales in August 2024. This suggests that short-term sales may stagnate, impacting Tesla’s revenue.

Robotaxis Regulatory Approval Challenges

Significance: 7 out of 10

Tesla is still developing Level 2 autonomy, and lacks regulatory approval for autonomous vehicles, which delays the revenue potential of Robotaxis. This could quintuple impact investor expectations of future growth.

Macroeconomic Uncertainties

Significance: 7 out of 10

High auto loan rates, economic uncertainties, and rising auto loan delinquencies threaten automobile demand in the US. These factors suggest weak consumer strength and could serve as a deterrent for automotive sales growth.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

Tesla finds itself in a challenging position as it navigates rough waters across key markets. The company's shrinking market share in China, along with plateauing electric vehicle (EV) adoption in Europe and the United States, casts a shadow on its growth prospects. With local competitors like BYD gaining traction, Tesla's dream of dominating the EV landscape may face setbacks. The company's reliance on these regions makes it crucial to reconsider its strategy if it wants to maintain its market position.

Economic uncertainties add another layer of complexity to Tesla's predicament. The high auto loan rates and surging delinquencies create an unfriendly consumer environment, which could particularly shake up its US sales. The lack of regulatory approval for autonomous vehicle technology delays alternative revenue avenues through robotaxis, holding back its innovative edge. The average influence strength of all factors suggests a moderate negative impact on Tesla's stock in the next 15 days and potentially into the next month. Thus, the outlook remains challenging for investors eyeing rapid returns.

Tesla's Leap into the Autonomous Future: A Bullish Outlook

Trend: Bullish
Sep 18, 2024

In his latest analytical piece, Dominic Lombardo, CFA, maintains a bullish stance on Tesla (TSLA) stock, reaffirming his positive outlook amidst evolving market dynamics. As a contributor since 2011 with 46 publications, Lombardo has steadily built a reputation for delivering insightful financial analyses. Garnering the attention of 662 subscribers, his views resonate widely within the investment community, highlighting a noteworthy blend of engagement and consistency. Lombardo’s credibility is further underscored by a good level of authority, indicative of his well-regarded insights and reliable predictions. His ratio of published materials to years of contribution reflects thoughtful and sustained input. For investors and readers alike, Lombardo’s balanced assessment offers valuable perspectives on the future trajectory of TSLA.

Key Theses of the Review

  • Tesla is transitioning between growth cycles with Robotaxi poised as the next key driver.
  • The Total Addressable Market for autonomous ride-hailing is expected to reach trillions of dollars.
  • Tesla's strong business position and domain experience make it well-suited for success in Robotaxi.
  • Tesla's latest autonomous technology using AI could be the 'holy grail' for the company.

Key Factors Influencing TSLA's Stock Price

Transition to Robotaxi

Significance: 9 out of 10

The transition to Robotaxi represents a significant growth opportunity for Tesla, with the potential to revolutionize the transportation industry. The magnitude of the Total Addressable Market, which is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars, underscores its capacity to fundamentally reshape Tesla's revenue streams.

Total Addressable Market for Autonomous Ride-Hailing

Significance: 8 out of 10

The projected size of the autonomous ride-hailing market, estimated by some experts to be as much as $5 trillion, indicates immense opportunity for revenue generation. This significant potential market creates optimism around Tesla's stock, as capturing even a modest share could drive substantial growth.

Tesla's AI-driven Autonomous Technology

Significance: 7 out of 10

The introduction of a new AI-based autonomous driving technology could enhance vehicle capabilities, presenting significant competitive advantages. However, this innovation has not yet reached full operational status, adding uncertainty to the short-term stock impact.

Regulatory Approvals for Autonomous Vehicles

Significance: 6 out of 10

Regulatory hurdles represent a significant barrier to the immediate deployment of Tesla's Robotaxi services, potentially delaying revenue realization. As such, regulatory factors could moderate initial market responses and consequent stock price movements.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

Tesla's strategic pivot into the autonomous ride-hailing market with its innovative Robotaxi technology positions it at the brink of a substantial growth opportunity. The market, potentially worth trillions, casts a very bright light on Tesla's prospects. With a strong foundation in automotive advancements, Tesla appears well-prepared to capture a significant slice of this enormous pie, even though regulatory challenges could delay immediate benefits. Such hurdles might temper investor enthusiasm in the short term but do not overshadow the long-term potential.

Analyzing the main factors influencing Tesla's stock, we see a blend of enthusiasm and caution. Averaging the influence of these factors, Tesla's stock could experience moderate positive momentum in the short term, boosted by optimism surrounding its technological advances and market potential. However, the presence of uncertainties, especially around regulatory approvals, suggests that significant gains might be more probable over the coming month as clarity improves and technology nears full operational status.

Sep 17, 2024
Tesla's Robotaxi AI Event: A Future-Defining Opportunity Amidst Market Fluctuations
Trend: Strong Bullish
Sep 17, 2024
Tesla's Future Growth Hinges on Autonomous Taxis and Energy Stability
Trend: Bullish
Sep 16, 2024
Interest Rate Shifts Could Revive Tesla Stock Amidst Stagnant Growth
Trend: Neutral
Sep 16, 2024
Tesla's Multi-Billion Potential: Riding the Waves of Energy and Autonomy
Trend: Strong Bullish
Sep 16, 2024
Tesla's Overvaluation: A Stock Caught Between Stagnation and Growth Ambiguity
Trend: Neutral
Sep 13, 2024
The Tesla Robotaxi Hype: Navigating a Bumpy Road to Autonomy
Trend: Neutral
Sep 10, 2024
Tesla's Strategic Moves and Market Winds: A Bullish Outlook
Trend: Strong Bullish
Sep 10, 2024
Tesla's Bumpy Road Ahead: Navigating Volatility and Economic Shifts
Trend: Bearish

Comprehensive Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Market Performance


Our multifaceted analysis of Tesla's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:

  • When should I take profit in Tesla stock?
  • When should I record a loss on Tesla stock?
  • What are analysts' forecasts for Tesla stock?
  • What is the future of Tesla stock?

We forecast Tesla stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Tesla stocks.

Tesla, Inc. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 27 news items directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 14 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 7 display bearish tendencies, and 6 events are neutral.

The strength of the bullish trend outpaces the bearish sentiments by 2.13 times, indicating that the news backdrop is positively influencing the company’s stock price in the current outlook.

The news analyzed fell within the period from Aug 22, 2024, to Sep 19, 2024.

βeta
Sep 10, 2024

EU Slashes Tariffs on Tesla's Chinese EV Imports

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 6
The EU's decision to slightly reduce tariffs on Tesla's imports from China to 7.8% is a positive move, making Tesla's vehicles more competitively priced in the European market. This development could bolster Tesla's market share in Europe, driving confidence among investors, and potentially resulting in a positive impact on TSLA's stock price in the short term.
Sep 10, 2024

Tesla Ignites Analyst Optimism with Bold Buy Ratings

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Deutsche Bank's Buy rating and recognition of Tesla's potential in autonomous driving and energy storage give strong upside signals. The anticipation around upcoming Q3 deliveries and strategic events enhances market sentiment. These endorsements and forthcoming developments are likely to bolster investor confidence and drive the stock price higher in the near term.
Sep 10, 2024

SpaceX Blasts Off with Revolutionary Private Spacewalk Mission

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
The private spacewalk mission underscores SpaceX's (and indirectly Tesla's) technological advancements, enhancing investor confidence in CEO Elon Musk's ventures. Successful missions can lead to increased interest and investments in Musk's companies, boosting TSLA stock. The level of influence is 7, acknowledging the indirect but significant positive sentiment towards Musk's innovative achievements impacting Tesla's growth narrative.
Sep 08, 2024

Tesla and xAI Synergy: Rumors of AI Revenue Sharing Denied by Musk

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 5
The news initially suggested potential revenue sharing between Tesla and xAI, hinting at strengthened collaboration. However, Musk's denial neutralized its impact. Investors may remain cautious until more concrete information emerges. The trend remains neutral due to conflicting reports, and the influence is moderate as such rumors could sway short-term sentiment without immediate clarity.
Sep 08, 2024

SpaceX Targets Mars: Uncrewed Starships Set for 2026 Launch

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
SpaceX's ambitious Mars missions underline Elon Musk's vision and innovation leadership, enhancing investor confidence in Tesla due to his overlap in both companies. As SpaceX progresses, it not only strengthens Musk's credibility but also garners investor interest, potentially boosting TSLA's stock price moderately due to their shared leadership and investor sentiment around Musk's visionary projects.
Sep 07, 2024

Tesla's Q3 Delivery Projections and Robotaxi Speculations

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 7
Tesla's Q3 delivery expectations align with past performance, showing stable demand. However, the mention of declining margins and a dip in market share tempers optimism. The upcoming robotaxi event is speculative but could generate excitement. Overall, the news suggests stability with room for future growth, impacting stock moderately due to mixed signals on demand and profitability.
Sep 07, 2024

Trump Taps Elon Musk for Government Efficiency Overhaul

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
Appointing Musk to lead a government efficiency commission boosts his profile and aligns Tesla with potential US governmental reforms. His increased visibility and the prospective synergies with federal initiatives could provide positive momentum for Tesla, enhancing investor confidence. This development is likely to be perceived as favorable, driving TSLA stock upwards in the near term.
Sep 05, 2024

Wolfe Research Downgrades Mobileye, Posing New Risks for Tesla

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 4
This downgrade of Mobileye reflects growing industry challenges, yet poses limited impact on Tesla's stock since it already uses its own AI systems. The influence level is 4 as it highlights sector issues but doesn't directly affect Tesla's leading autonomous strategy or immediate stock performance.
Sep 05, 2024

Tesla Targets Q1 2025 for FSD Rollout in China and Europe

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
The announcement of Tesla rolling out Full Self-Driving technology in China and Europe by Q1 2025 is a positive development. It demonstrates significant progress in innovation and potential market expansion. This strategic move and new revenue stream potential are likely to drive investor confidence and positively impact TSLA’s stock price in the near future.
Sep 03, 2024

Citi Reveals Top 35 Green Energy Stocks with Profit Potential

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
The inclusion of Tesla (TSLA) in Citi's list of top green energy stocks signals strong confidence in its future profitability, giving it a bullish trend. This positive sentiment can drive investor interest and stock demand, potentially pushing TSLA's price higher in the near term.

Trending Themes in the Counsumer Cyclical Sector

Tesla daily forecast for a month

Date Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Sep 22 250.08 242.58 256.48 5.73
Sep 23 246.78 239.08 254.18 6.32
Sep 24 250.63 246.02 255.44 3.83
Sep 25 246.02 241.79 250.55 3.62
Sep 26 253.70 250.25 258.77 3.41
Sep 27 261.10 253.06 263.40 4.09
Sep 28 264.24 257.05 269.10 4.69
Sep 29 264.03 261.81 270.26 3.23
Sep 30 257.48 250.37 264.58 5.68
Oct 01 247.49 244.32 254.61 4.21
Oct 02 247.39 243.43 253.23 4.02
Oct 03 256.89 254.42 261.51 2.79
Oct 04 252.16 246.71 256.50 3.97
Oct 05 249.94 243.84 255.94 4.96
Oct 06 253.84 246.84 258.61 4.77
Oct 07 262.07 257.66 264.90 2.81
Oct 08 264.06 260.57 271.66 4.26
Oct 09 267.65 259.51 275.36 6.11
Oct 10 260.80 255.58 264.34 3.43
Oct 11 256.62 248.72 258.68 4.00
Oct 12 257.86 255.69 260.95 2.06
Oct 13 253.83 250.69 256.47 2.31
Oct 14 250.99 247.28 254.81 3.05
Oct 15 247.88 245.60 253.93 3.39
Oct 16 245.60 239.41 253.16 5.75
Oct 17 245.79 243.83 253.27 3.87
Oct 18 245.89 241.66 251.99 4.27
Oct 19 238.91 233.27 245.03 5.04
Oct 20 233.37 227.21 239.71 5.51
Oct 21 232.25 228.72 239.68 4.79

Tesla Daily Price Targets


Tesla Stock Forecast 09-22-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-22-2024: $250.08.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.421%.
Pessimistic target level: 242.58
Optimistic target level: 256.48

Tesla Stock Forecast 09-23-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-23-2024: $246.78.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.942%.
Pessimistic target level: 239.08
Optimistic target level: 254.18

Tesla Stock Forecast 09-24-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-24-2024: $250.63.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.689%.
Pessimistic target level: 246.02
Optimistic target level: 255.44

Tesla Stock Forecast 09-25-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-25-2024: $246.02.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.496%.
Pessimistic target level: 241.79
Optimistic target level: 250.55

Tesla Stock Forecast 09-26-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-26-2024: $253.70.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.294%.
Pessimistic target level: 250.25
Optimistic target level: 258.77

Tesla Stock Forecast 09-27-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-27-2024: $261.10.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.926%.
Pessimistic target level: 253.06
Optimistic target level: 263.40

TSLA (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Oct. 240.70 224.02 256.85 12.78
Nov. 263.47 250.71 281.43 10.92
Dec. 267.52 253.40 274.59 7.72

Tesla forecast for this year


Tesla Stock Prediction for Oct 2024

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $240.696. Pessimistic: $224.02. Optimistic: $256.85


Tesla Stock Prediction for Nov 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $263.465. Pessimistic: $250.71. Optimistic: $281.43


Tesla Stock Prediction for Dec 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $267.523. Pessimistic: $253.40. Optimistic: $274.59



Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 269.29 254.77 287.06 11.25
Feb 271.36 259.72 287.18 9.56
Mar 275.24 251.02 282.51 11.15
Apr 280.69 263.71 287.18 8.17
May 277.61 257.15 301.12 14.60
Jun 266.92 245.19 288.35 14.97
Jul 277.19 268.66 287.87 6.67
Aug 246.70 240.46 253.22 5.04
Sep 254.03 236.70 260.46 9.12
Oct 277.78 263.11 290.31 9.37
Nov 276.25 253.77 293.88 13.65
Dec 286.89 266.69 307.40 13.24

Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 300.77 278.28 308.72 9.86
Feb 306.07 287.55 313.14 8.17
Mar 320.21 306.82 327.61 6.34
Apr 319.15 301.60 342.67 11.99
May 296.33 287.53 303.83 5.36
Jun 278.08 255.75 302.24 15.38
Jul 273.18 262.97 285.81 7.99
Aug 287.61 274.64 297.73 7.76
Sep 299.95 286.75 308.86 7.16
Oct 304.24 280.81 331.01 15.17
Nov 326.32 317.35 350.01 9.33
Dec 342.84 316.44 354.53 10.74

Tesla information and performance

Tesla Address

3500 DEER CREEK RD, PALO ALTO, CA, US

Market Capitalization: 725 822 145 000 $

Market capitalization of the Tesla, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of TSLA shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.

EBITDA: 12 178 000 000 $

EBITDA of Tesla is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.

PE Ratio: 63.64

P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit

PEG Ratio: 3.279

Price/earnings to growth

DPS: None

Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.

DY: None

Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.

EPS: 3.57

EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY: -0.462
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY: 0.023
Trailing PE: 63.64

Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.

Forward PE: 71.94

Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.

EV To Revenue: 7.42

Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue

EV To EBITDA: 54.74

The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).

Shares Outstanding: 3194640000

Number of issued ordinary shares

Shares Float: N/A

Number of freely tradable shares

Shares Short Prior Month: N/A

Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.

Short Ratio: N/A
Percent Insiders: N/A
Percent Institutions: N/A


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Disclaimer:

All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.