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Tesla (TSLA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: December 7, 2024 (15:46)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
|
Bullish | Impact: 4.38 | News: 9 (5/3/1) |
Previous Week
|
Bullish | Impact: 2 | News: 6 (2/3/1) |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 8 (7/1/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Impact: 4.91 | News: 12 (7/3/2) |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
|
Bearish | Opinions: 5 |
Previous Week
|
Neutral | Opinions: 2 |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Neutral | Opinions: 5 (1/3/1) |
Three Weeks Ago
|
Bearish | Opinions: 6 |
Analyzing the Most Important TSLA news
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Tesla Accelerates Growth Prospects Towards 2025 with New Initiatives
Historical and forecast chart of Tesla stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Tesla stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Tesla stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Tesla, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 18 analytical articles which are directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 1 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 9 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 8 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Nov 08, 2024 to Dec 03, 2024.
Tesla's Uphill Climb: Navigating Competitive Challenges Ahead
In this review, we delve into Bluesea Research's analytical financial article, where the author maintains a bearish stance on TSLA stock. With an impressive portfolio of 482 publications since 2015, the author demonstrates a prolific contribution rate, significantly enriching their field. Having garnered 7,990 subscribers, it’s clear that their insights resonate widely within the financial community. Moreover, the author is recognized for producing compelling and persuasive content, boasting excellent credibility—a testament to their authoritative opinions. Such a combination of popularity and reliability enhances the trustworthiness of their bearish perspective on TSLA, offering readers a well-substantiated viewpoint to consider in their investment deliberations.
Key Theses
- Tesla's stock rebounded after an earnings beat, but the company faces major challenges in meeting its ambitious 2025 targets.
- The competition is intensifying in China and Europe, with Chinese automakers gaining ground, making Tesla's growth targets difficult to achieve.
- Tesla is trailing behind Waymo in the autonomous vehicle space, with Waymo setting higher standards and expanding rapidly.
- Failure to meet 2025 expectations could result in a significant stock price correction, exacerbated by Tesla's high forward P/E ratio.
- Tesla's revenue growth is challenged by stagnant automotive sales and external pressures such as tariffs and competitive pricing.
Factors Influencing TSLA Stock Price
Intensifying Competition in China and Europe
Chinese automakers gaining market share and aggressive pricing strategies are challenges for Tesla. European Commission's tariffs further pressure Tesla's competitiveness, impacting its growth prospects.
Autonomous Driving Competition
Tesla is lagging behind Waymo, which is investing heavily and expanding its autonomous services, setting a high benchmark for Tesla. Delays in Tesla's robotaxi service could hinder its entry into this lucrative market segment.
Stagnant Revenue and Decline in Key Markets
With a 5% revenue decline in China and 'Other International' markets, Tesla's growth prospects are dimming amidst fierce competition. Without significant product innovation or market strategy adjustments, Tesla's revenue growth could remain sluggish.
High Valuation
Tesla's forward P/E multiple of 87 makes it one of the most expensive stocks, which heightens vulnerability to earnings misses. Expectations for significant growth amplify the pressure on Tesla to deliver financial results in line with its valuation.
Regulatory Credits and Cost-Cutting
Growth in regulatory credits has bolstered Tesla's earnings temporarily, and recent layoffs have improved operational efficiency. However, these are not sustainable growth strategies, impacting the stock only in the short term.
Review the original AnalysisXiaomi's Rise: A New Era in EV Rivalry
In the analytical financial article by Paulo Santos, the author takes a clear 'No' stance on TSLA stock, reflecting deep market insights and personal analysis. Santos has been contributing since 2011, amassing a substantial 1,803 publications over this period. This prolific output speaks to his active involvement in financial discourse, with a noteworthy publication-to-tenure ratio. With 24,213 subscribers, his perspectives are evidently valued by a broad audience. Furthermore, the author commands an excellent level of credibility, as indicated by the high authority rating, marking his opinions as significantly authoritative. As a result, Santos’s analysis is not just informed but is also trusted among his readership, making his views on TSLA a compelling read for investors and enthusiasts alike.
Key Theses of the Review
- Xiaomi's SU7 has rapidly gained traction in China, potentially outselling Tesla's Model 3 with superior design and features.
- Geopolitical pressures motivated Xiaomi's competitive entry into the EV market, scaling production quickly.
- Tesla's aging lineup and 400v architecture are becoming liabilities against competitors with better specs at similar prices.
- Tesla's market share and high valuation are threatened by faster-iterating and profit-comparable competitors like Xiaomi.
Key Factors Influencing Tesla's Stock Price
Competitive Advantage Erosion in China
Tesla's technological and design advantages are diminishing due to competitors like Xiaomi offering better features at lower prices. This erosion threatens Tesla's market share and could significantly affect its valuation in China.
Production Scale of Competitors
Xiaomi's ability to quickly scale production to 20,000+ units per month highlights its competitive threat. This rapid scaling could lead to a loss of sales for Tesla, influencing its stock value negatively.
Aging Product Lineup
Tesla's current vehicle architecture, such as the 400v system, may not keep up with newer offerings from competitors, perceived as a technological disadvantage. This could affect consumer preference and impact Tesla's market share.
High Market Valuation
Tesla's high valuation is under scrutiny as it faces stronger competition from rapidly iterating companies like Xiaomi. If market share continues to decline in crucial areas like China, the valuation could be seen as overinflated, impacting stock prices.
Review the original AnalysisCommentary
Xiaomi is shaking up the electric vehicle market, particularly in China, with its SU7 model. The vehicle's appeal lies in its modern design and superior features, which are giving traditional giants like Tesla a run for their money. As Xiaomi leverages its ability to quickly scale production, Tesla's once-unshakeable market dominance now faces a serious challenge. This competition is driving prices down and forcing Tesla to rethink its existing strategies.
With a significant average impact strength of 7, these factors collectively suggest a potential bearish trend for Tesla's stock in the near term. The aging architecture of Tesla’s models and the scrutiny over its high market valuation serve as additional stressors on its market performance. While Tesla has long been the beacon of electric innovation, companies like Xiaomi are rapidly reshaping consumer preferences and industry standards, pointing to a more competitive and uncertain future for Tesla's stock price.
Comprehensive Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Tesla's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Tesla stock?
- When should I record a loss on Tesla stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Tesla stock?
- What is the future of Tesla stock?
We forecast Tesla stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Tesla stocks.
Tesla, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 35 news items directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 21 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 4 display bearish tendencies, and 10 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting TSLA shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Nov 08, 2024, to Dec 06, 2024.
Musk's Mega Pay Battle: Impact on Tesla Looms
SpaceX's Sky-High Valuation Sparks Tesla Optimism
Judge Blocks Musk's Tesla Pay; Future Uncertain
Tesla's Festive Update Introduces Apple Watch Compatibility and Cybertruck Style
Roth MKM Upgrades Tesla: Trump's Boost for EV Enthusiasts
Fidelity Increases Stake Value in Musk's X by 32%
Tesla’s AI Innovations: Key to Achieving $2 Trillion Valuation
California Shocks Tesla by Axing EV Rebates
Elon Musk's Neuralink Ventures into Brain-Controlled Robotics
Tesla's Growth Faces Roadblocks Amid Regulatory Changes
Tesla daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 09 | 395.08 | 383.38 | 402.82 | 5.07 |
Dec 10 | 397.13 | 386.81 | 400.95 | 3.66 |
Dec 11 | 395.86 | 392.22 | 407.10 | 3.79 |
Dec 12 | 389.69 | 380.49 | 396.55 | 4.22 |
Dec 13 | 395.77 | 388.33 | 402.26 | 3.59 |
Dec 14 | 398.46 | 395.27 | 401.80 | 1.65 |
Dec 15 | 392.56 | 382.98 | 400.57 | 4.59 |
Dec 16 | 392.56 | 385.49 | 396.80 | 2.93 |
Dec 17 | 389.89 | 377.41 | 397.69 | 5.37 |
Dec 18 | 377.73 | 371.53 | 386.64 | 4.07 |
Dec 19 | 372.89 | 362.45 | 376.32 | 3.83 |
Dec 20 | 376.92 | 367.42 | 386.87 | 5.29 |
Dec 21 | 379.48 | 372.04 | 384.19 | 3.26 |
Dec 22 | 376.90 | 371.47 | 384.29 | 3.45 |
Dec 23 | 389.56 | 385.51 | 394.24 | 2.26 |
Dec 24 | 392.68 | 380.43 | 401.32 | 5.49 |
Dec 25 | 401.79 | 389.90 | 408.22 | 4.70 |
Dec 26 | 398.74 | 390.92 | 404.32 | 3.43 |
Dec 27 | 402.41 | 398.06 | 408.68 | 2.67 |
Dec 28 | 393.39 | 389.93 | 398.27 | 2.14 |
Dec 29 | 391.19 | 378.83 | 395.73 | 4.46 |
Dec 30 | 382.58 | 372.94 | 389.32 | 4.39 |
Dec 31 | 391.46 | 380.50 | 399.44 | 4.98 |
Jan 01 | 384.26 | 377.65 | 389.17 | 3.05 |
Jan 02 | 377.03 | 368.44 | 380.80 | 3.36 |
Jan 03 | 370.25 | 364.91 | 381.35 | 4.50 |
Jan 04 | 356.62 | 350.77 | 361.76 | 3.13 |
Jan 05 | 342.50 | 334.28 | 350.17 | 4.75 |
Jan 06 | 333.73 | 327.99 | 337.60 | 2.93 |
Jan 07 | 325.59 | 319.08 | 334.31 | 4.78 |
Tesla Daily Price Targets
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-09-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-09-2024: $395.08.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.825%.
Pessimistic target level: 383.38
Optimistic target level: 402.82
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-10-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-10-2024: $397.13.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.526%.
Pessimistic target level: 386.81
Optimistic target level: 400.95
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-11-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-11-2024: $395.86.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.656%.
Pessimistic target level: 392.22
Optimistic target level: 407.10
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-12-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-12-2024: $389.69.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.049%.
Pessimistic target level: 380.49
Optimistic target level: 396.55
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-13-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-13-2024: $395.77.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.463%.
Pessimistic target level: 388.33
Optimistic target level: 402.26
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-14-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-14-2024: $398.46.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.626%.
Pessimistic target level: 395.27
Optimistic target level: 401.80
TSLA (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan. | 379.19 | 351.66 | 410.89 | 14.41 |
Feb. | 400.05 | 378.92 | 409.73 | 7.52 |
Mar. | 379.36 | 353.91 | 388.96 | 9.01 |
Apr. | 363.92 | 331.90 | 394.75 | 15.92 |
May. | 344.31 | 315.90 | 373.47 | 15.41 |
Jun. | 335.98 | 324.52 | 345.22 | 6.00 |
Jul. | 341.15 | 329.52 | 354.66 | 7.09 |
Aug. | 343.40 | 319.60 | 353.60 | 9.61 |
Sep. | 347.94 | 323.06 | 370.52 | 12.81 |
Oct. | 357.12 | 332.77 | 370.08 | 10.08 |
Nov. | 357.51 | 334.31 | 381.90 | 12.46 |
Dec. | 338.64 | 309.95 | 357.63 | 13.33 |
Tesla forecast for this year
Tesla Stock Prediction for Jan 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $379.191. Pessimistic: $351.66. Optimistic: $410.89
Tesla Stock Prediction for Feb 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $400.047. Pessimistic: $378.92. Optimistic: $409.73
Tesla Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $379.364. Pessimistic: $353.91. Optimistic: $388.96
Tesla Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $363.924. Pessimistic: $331.90. Optimistic: $394.75
Tesla Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $344.309. Pessimistic: $315.90. Optimistic: $373.47
Tesla Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $335.976. Pessimistic: $324.52. Optimistic: $345.22
Tesla Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $341.15. Pessimistic: $329.52. Optimistic: $354.66
Tesla Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $343.402. Pessimistic: $319.60. Optimistic: $353.60
Tesla Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $347.935. Pessimistic: $323.06. Optimistic: $370.52
Tesla Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $357.12. Pessimistic: $332.77. Optimistic: $370.08
Tesla Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $357.513. Pessimistic: $334.31. Optimistic: $381.90
Tesla Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $338.636. Pessimistic: $309.95. Optimistic: $357.63
Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 352.79 | 323.30 | 364.43 | 11.29 |
Feb | 388.49 | 363.71 | 408.15 | 10.89 |
Mar | 421.40 | 395.44 | 451.53 | 12.42 |
Apr | 433.45 | 409.14 | 458.25 | 10.72 |
May | 412.00 | 388.43 | 438.73 | 11.47 |
Jun | 399.31 | 389.64 | 418.19 | 6.83 |
Jul | 421.71 | 409.18 | 435.62 | 6.07 |
Aug | 395.73 | 373.53 | 411.40 | 9.21 |
Sep | 354.38 | 327.87 | 362.95 | 9.67 |
Oct | 360.22 | 342.79 | 380.04 | 9.80 |
Nov | 376.07 | 345.05 | 391.38 | 11.84 |
Dec | 396.34 | 384.14 | 421.63 | 8.89 |
Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 425.12 | 405.95 | 449.90 | 9.77 |
Feb | 434.00 | 412.52 | 446.89 | 7.69 |
Mar | 423.98 | 399.26 | 439.83 | 9.22 |
Apr | 428.18 | 401.33 | 450.78 | 10.97 |
May | 390.50 | 381.91 | 411.54 | 7.20 |
Jun | 361.72 | 345.80 | 382.80 | 9.67 |
Jul | 381.61 | 364.40 | 415.19 | 12.23 |
Aug | 390.85 | 376.66 | 423.09 | 10.97 |
Sep | 385.69 | 367.87 | 398.84 | 7.77 |
Oct | 383.99 | 352.31 | 406.80 | 13.39 |
Nov | 375.54 | 352.41 | 385.46 | 8.57 |
Dec | 392.07 | 364.46 | 413.63 | 11.89 |
Tesla information and performance
3500 DEER CREEK RD, PALO ALTO, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Tesla, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of TSLA shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Tesla is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Related stocks from Consumer cyclical sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.
Commentary
Tesla finds itself at a challenging crossroads as it aims for ambitious growth targets by 2025. The company is not just dealing with external pressures; it’s also navigating a fierce competitive landscape, especially in China and Europe where local automakers are quickly gaining traction. The average influence of the factors affecting Tesla's stock is notably high, with the company's high valuation and intensifying competition in autonomous driving making it particularly vulnerable. In the short term, meaning the next 15 days, these pressures might result in increased volatility in Tesla's stock price given the current market sentiment.
In the coming month, these challenges are likely to deepen if revenue remains stagnant, especially in key markets like China. The struggle to keep up with competitors such as Waymo in the autonomous segment further complicates Tesla's prospects. With its high forward P/E ratio, Tesla is under significant strain to meet lofty growth expectations, making it susceptible to a stock price correction if it fails to deliver. Overall, the estimated effect of these factors suggests a bearish trend moving forward.