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Tesla (TSLA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: September 20, 2024 (22:57)
Sector: Counsumer cyclicalThe share price of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: 2 (1/0/1) |
Previous Week
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Bullish | Impact: 4.5 | News: 8 (5/2/1) |
Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 7 (4/3/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Impact: 1.17 | News: 10 (4/1/5) |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
|
Bullish | Opinions: 7 (4/2/1) |
Previous Week
|
Neutral | Opinions: 3 (1/1/1) |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Opinions: 3 (3/0/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
|
Bearish | Opinions: 5 (1/2/2) |
Analyzing the Most Important TSLA news
Electric Car Registrations Plunge in Europe: Implications for Tesla
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Tesla's Q3 Deliveries Expectations Lowered Amid EPS Decline
Historical and forecast chart of Tesla stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Tesla stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Tesla stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Tesla, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 18 analytical articles which are directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 9 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 4 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 5 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Aug 22, 2024 to Sep 19, 2024.
Tesla's Future: Navigating Market Challenges and Regulatory Hurdles
In this insightful review, the analytical prowess of Shubhm Mitessh Thakkar takes center stage, particularly focusing on the No stance concerning TSLA stock. While Thakkar has been contributing to the discourse since 2024, the modest number of publications and subscribers suggests that his viewpoints, though limited in reach, offer a unique perspective worth considering. With a nascent track record in financial analysis, Thakkar's authority remains in the lower tier, suggesting that his analyses are in the early stages of earning wider recognition. Despite this, his emerging voice in financial commentary might still resonate with readers looking for diverse analytical perspectives. This review seeks to unearth Thakkar's arguments, contributing to the broader discussion on TSLA's market trajectory.
Key Theses of the Tesla Stock Review
- Tesla is facing declining market share in China and stagnant EV adoption in Europe and the United States, leading to a bearish outlook.
- Tesla's stock is considered overpriced based on discounted cash flow and historical valuation metrics, suggesting a potential downside of nearly 33%.
- Delays in regulatory approval for Tesla's Robotaxis, along with economic uncertainties, further dampen short-term growth prospects.
- The report suggests a price target for Tesla stock at $148, making it a potential buy for GARP investors at around the $150 level, as seen in April 2024.
Key Factors Influencing Tesla's Stock Price
Declining Market Share in China
Tesla's sales in China have plateaued, declining by 0.57% from January-August 2024 when compared to the same period last year, reflecting a shrinking market share against local competitors like BYD. This could significantly affect Tesla's growth as China contributes 22% to Tesla's sales.
Stagnant EV Adoption in Europe and the USA
Despite initial growth, EV adoption seems to have plateaued with Tesla's US sales growing by only 2% and a 43.2% decline in European sales in August 2024. This suggests that short-term sales may stagnate, impacting Tesla’s revenue.
Robotaxis Regulatory Approval Challenges
Tesla is still developing Level 2 autonomy, and lacks regulatory approval for autonomous vehicles, which delays the revenue potential of Robotaxis. This could quintuple impact investor expectations of future growth.
Macroeconomic Uncertainties
High auto loan rates, economic uncertainties, and rising auto loan delinquencies threaten automobile demand in the US. These factors suggest weak consumer strength and could serve as a deterrent for automotive sales growth.
Review the original AnalysisTesla's Leap into the Autonomous Future: A Bullish Outlook
In his latest analytical piece, Dominic Lombardo, CFA, maintains a bullish stance on Tesla (TSLA) stock, reaffirming his positive outlook amidst evolving market dynamics. As a contributor since 2011 with 46 publications, Lombardo has steadily built a reputation for delivering insightful financial analyses. Garnering the attention of 662 subscribers, his views resonate widely within the investment community, highlighting a noteworthy blend of engagement and consistency. Lombardo’s credibility is further underscored by a good level of authority, indicative of his well-regarded insights and reliable predictions. His ratio of published materials to years of contribution reflects thoughtful and sustained input. For investors and readers alike, Lombardo’s balanced assessment offers valuable perspectives on the future trajectory of TSLA.
Key Theses of the Review
- Tesla is transitioning between growth cycles with Robotaxi poised as the next key driver.
- The Total Addressable Market for autonomous ride-hailing is expected to reach trillions of dollars.
- Tesla's strong business position and domain experience make it well-suited for success in Robotaxi.
- Tesla's latest autonomous technology using AI could be the 'holy grail' for the company.
Key Factors Influencing TSLA's Stock Price
Transition to Robotaxi
The transition to Robotaxi represents a significant growth opportunity for Tesla, with the potential to revolutionize the transportation industry. The magnitude of the Total Addressable Market, which is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars, underscores its capacity to fundamentally reshape Tesla's revenue streams.
Total Addressable Market for Autonomous Ride-Hailing
The projected size of the autonomous ride-hailing market, estimated by some experts to be as much as $5 trillion, indicates immense opportunity for revenue generation. This significant potential market creates optimism around Tesla's stock, as capturing even a modest share could drive substantial growth.
Tesla's AI-driven Autonomous Technology
The introduction of a new AI-based autonomous driving technology could enhance vehicle capabilities, presenting significant competitive advantages. However, this innovation has not yet reached full operational status, adding uncertainty to the short-term stock impact.
Regulatory Approvals for Autonomous Vehicles
Regulatory hurdles represent a significant barrier to the immediate deployment of Tesla's Robotaxi services, potentially delaying revenue realization. As such, regulatory factors could moderate initial market responses and consequent stock price movements.
Review the original AnalysisCommentary
Tesla's strategic pivot into the autonomous ride-hailing market with its innovative Robotaxi technology positions it at the brink of a substantial growth opportunity. The market, potentially worth trillions, casts a very bright light on Tesla's prospects. With a strong foundation in automotive advancements, Tesla appears well-prepared to capture a significant slice of this enormous pie, even though regulatory challenges could delay immediate benefits. Such hurdles might temper investor enthusiasm in the short term but do not overshadow the long-term potential.
Analyzing the main factors influencing Tesla's stock, we see a blend of enthusiasm and caution. Averaging the influence of these factors, Tesla's stock could experience moderate positive momentum in the short term, boosted by optimism surrounding its technological advances and market potential. However, the presence of uncertainties, especially around regulatory approvals, suggests that significant gains might be more probable over the coming month as clarity improves and technology nears full operational status.
Comprehensive Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Tesla's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Tesla stock?
- When should I record a loss on Tesla stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Tesla stock?
- What is the future of Tesla stock?
We forecast Tesla stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Tesla stocks.
Tesla, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 27 news items directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 14 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 7 display bearish tendencies, and 6 events are neutral.
The strength of the bullish trend outpaces the bearish sentiments by 2.13 times, indicating that the news backdrop is positively influencing the company’s stock price in the current outlook.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Aug 22, 2024, to Sep 19, 2024.
EU Slashes Tariffs on Tesla's Chinese EV Imports
Tesla Ignites Analyst Optimism with Bold Buy Ratings
SpaceX Blasts Off with Revolutionary Private Spacewalk Mission
Tesla and xAI Synergy: Rumors of AI Revenue Sharing Denied by Musk
SpaceX Targets Mars: Uncrewed Starships Set for 2026 Launch
Tesla's Q3 Delivery Projections and Robotaxi Speculations
Trump Taps Elon Musk for Government Efficiency Overhaul
Wolfe Research Downgrades Mobileye, Posing New Risks for Tesla
Tesla Targets Q1 2025 for FSD Rollout in China and Europe
Citi Reveals Top 35 Green Energy Stocks with Profit Potential
Tesla daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 22 | 250.08 | 242.58 | 256.48 | 5.73 |
Sep 23 | 246.78 | 239.08 | 254.18 | 6.32 |
Sep 24 | 250.63 | 246.02 | 255.44 | 3.83 |
Sep 25 | 246.02 | 241.79 | 250.55 | 3.62 |
Sep 26 | 253.70 | 250.25 | 258.77 | 3.41 |
Sep 27 | 261.10 | 253.06 | 263.40 | 4.09 |
Sep 28 | 264.24 | 257.05 | 269.10 | 4.69 |
Sep 29 | 264.03 | 261.81 | 270.26 | 3.23 |
Sep 30 | 257.48 | 250.37 | 264.58 | 5.68 |
Oct 01 | 247.49 | 244.32 | 254.61 | 4.21 |
Oct 02 | 247.39 | 243.43 | 253.23 | 4.02 |
Oct 03 | 256.89 | 254.42 | 261.51 | 2.79 |
Oct 04 | 252.16 | 246.71 | 256.50 | 3.97 |
Oct 05 | 249.94 | 243.84 | 255.94 | 4.96 |
Oct 06 | 253.84 | 246.84 | 258.61 | 4.77 |
Oct 07 | 262.07 | 257.66 | 264.90 | 2.81 |
Oct 08 | 264.06 | 260.57 | 271.66 | 4.26 |
Oct 09 | 267.65 | 259.51 | 275.36 | 6.11 |
Oct 10 | 260.80 | 255.58 | 264.34 | 3.43 |
Oct 11 | 256.62 | 248.72 | 258.68 | 4.00 |
Oct 12 | 257.86 | 255.69 | 260.95 | 2.06 |
Oct 13 | 253.83 | 250.69 | 256.47 | 2.31 |
Oct 14 | 250.99 | 247.28 | 254.81 | 3.05 |
Oct 15 | 247.88 | 245.60 | 253.93 | 3.39 |
Oct 16 | 245.60 | 239.41 | 253.16 | 5.75 |
Oct 17 | 245.79 | 243.83 | 253.27 | 3.87 |
Oct 18 | 245.89 | 241.66 | 251.99 | 4.27 |
Oct 19 | 238.91 | 233.27 | 245.03 | 5.04 |
Oct 20 | 233.37 | 227.21 | 239.71 | 5.51 |
Oct 21 | 232.25 | 228.72 | 239.68 | 4.79 |
Tesla Daily Price Targets
Tesla Stock Forecast 09-22-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-22-2024: $250.08.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.421%.
Pessimistic target level: 242.58
Optimistic target level: 256.48
Tesla Stock Forecast 09-23-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-23-2024: $246.78.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.942%.
Pessimistic target level: 239.08
Optimistic target level: 254.18
Tesla Stock Forecast 09-24-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-24-2024: $250.63.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.689%.
Pessimistic target level: 246.02
Optimistic target level: 255.44
Tesla Stock Forecast 09-25-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-25-2024: $246.02.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.496%.
Pessimistic target level: 241.79
Optimistic target level: 250.55
Tesla Stock Forecast 09-26-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-26-2024: $253.70.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.294%.
Pessimistic target level: 250.25
Optimistic target level: 258.77
Tesla Stock Forecast 09-27-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-27-2024: $261.10.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.926%.
Pessimistic target level: 253.06
Optimistic target level: 263.40
TSLA (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Oct. | 240.70 | 224.02 | 256.85 | 12.78 |
Nov. | 263.47 | 250.71 | 281.43 | 10.92 |
Dec. | 267.52 | 253.40 | 274.59 | 7.72 |
Tesla forecast for this year
Tesla Stock Prediction for Oct 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $240.696. Pessimistic: $224.02. Optimistic: $256.85
Tesla Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $263.465. Pessimistic: $250.71. Optimistic: $281.43
Tesla Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $267.523. Pessimistic: $253.40. Optimistic: $274.59
Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 269.29 | 254.77 | 287.06 | 11.25 |
Feb | 271.36 | 259.72 | 287.18 | 9.56 |
Mar | 275.24 | 251.02 | 282.51 | 11.15 |
Apr | 280.69 | 263.71 | 287.18 | 8.17 |
May | 277.61 | 257.15 | 301.12 | 14.60 |
Jun | 266.92 | 245.19 | 288.35 | 14.97 |
Jul | 277.19 | 268.66 | 287.87 | 6.67 |
Aug | 246.70 | 240.46 | 253.22 | 5.04 |
Sep | 254.03 | 236.70 | 260.46 | 9.12 |
Oct | 277.78 | 263.11 | 290.31 | 9.37 |
Nov | 276.25 | 253.77 | 293.88 | 13.65 |
Dec | 286.89 | 266.69 | 307.40 | 13.24 |
Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 300.77 | 278.28 | 308.72 | 9.86 |
Feb | 306.07 | 287.55 | 313.14 | 8.17 |
Mar | 320.21 | 306.82 | 327.61 | 6.34 |
Apr | 319.15 | 301.60 | 342.67 | 11.99 |
May | 296.33 | 287.53 | 303.83 | 5.36 |
Jun | 278.08 | 255.75 | 302.24 | 15.38 |
Jul | 273.18 | 262.97 | 285.81 | 7.99 |
Aug | 287.61 | 274.64 | 297.73 | 7.76 |
Sep | 299.95 | 286.75 | 308.86 | 7.16 |
Oct | 304.24 | 280.81 | 331.01 | 15.17 |
Nov | 326.32 | 317.35 | 350.01 | 9.33 |
Dec | 342.84 | 316.44 | 354.53 | 10.74 |
Tesla information and performance
3500 DEER CREEK RD, PALO ALTO, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Tesla, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of TSLA shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Tesla is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
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All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.
Commentary
Economic uncertainties add another layer of complexity to Tesla's predicament. The high auto loan rates and surging delinquencies create an unfriendly consumer environment, which could particularly shake up its US sales. The lack of regulatory approval for autonomous vehicle technology delays alternative revenue avenues through robotaxis, holding back its innovative edge. The average influence strength of all factors suggests a moderate negative impact on Tesla's stock in the next 15 days and potentially into the next month. Thus, the outlook remains challenging for investors eyeing rapid returns.