Tesla (TSLA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy Prediction







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Tesla (TSLA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?

Updated: December 3, 2024 (16:32)

Sector: Consumer cyclical

The share price of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) now

Latest session on the 2nd of December for
Tesla, Inc. is positive
Trading Volume: 77986478
Open: 352.38 /  High: 360 /  Low: 351.15
What analysts predict: $233.16
52-week High/Low: $361.93 / $138.8
50-Day Moving Average: $272.64 — support level today
200-Day Moving Average: $214.83 — support level today

News Impact Analyzer

Full report
This Week
Bullish Impact: 3.38 News: 6 (4/1/1)
Previous Week
Bullish Impact: 4.5 News: 10 (5/4/1)
Two Weeks Ago
Bullish Impact: 4.75 News: 8 (5/2/1)
Three Weeks Ago
Bullish Impact: 5 News: 12 (8/3/1)

Analysts predictions

Full report
This Week
Bearish Opinions: 5
Previous Week
Neutral Opinions: 3 (1/1/1)
Two Weeks Ago
Bearish Opinions: 5
Three Weeks Ago
Bearish Opinions: 7 (2/1/4)

Analyzing the Most Important TSLA news

SpaceX's Sky-High Valuation Sparks Tesla Optimism

Dec 03, 2024
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
The possible SpaceX valuation boost reflects investor confidence in Musk's ventures, indirectly benefiting Tesla by association. A bullish sentiment may emerge as investors anticipate cross-industry synergies and regulatory advantages for Musk-led firms, supporting Tesla's continued stock price growth. However, it's crucial to monitor for any potential setbacks from unresolved compensation issues to maintain this trend.

Judge Blocks Musk's Tesla Pay; Future Uncertain

Dec 02, 2024
Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
The rejection of Musk's substantial pay package raises governance concerns and reflects negatively on investor sentiment. The lack of transparency in the approval process, as highlighted by the judge, could lead to continued scrutiny and uncertainty. This ruling may create a pressing financial hurdle for Tesla, negatively impacting stock value, reflected by the immediate 1.3% dip in after-hours trading.

Tesla's Festive Update Introduces Apple Watch Compatibility and Cybertruck Style

Dec 02, 2024
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 4
The update enhances user experience with new features but doesn't significantly impact Tesla's core business or financials, resulting in a neutral trend. While it may slightly enhance brand loyalty, it's unlikely to drive stock price movements. The modest influence score reflects these upgrades' limited impact on Tesla's immediate market performance or investor perception.

Historical and forecast chart of Tesla stock

The chart below shows the historical price of Tesla stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Tesla stock price can be found in the table below.

Long-term forecasts by years.

Tesla, Inc. Analysts predictions review

As of now, Panda has combed through 20 analytical articles which are directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 3 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 9 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 8 stay neutral.

To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Nov 04, 2024 to Dec 02, 2024.

Tesla's Self-Driving Hurdles Threaten Its High Valuation

Trend: Bearish
Dec 02, 2024

In this insightful review of an analytical financial article by Simple Investment Ideas, the author maintains a Bearish stance on TSLA stock, offering a critical perspective on its future potential. With 687 publications since 2014 and a subscriber base of over 6,000, the author demonstrates both active engagement and significant popularity in the financial community. The impressive publication rate and long-standing contribution rank the author among those with highly authoritative opinions, offering expert insights that are well-respected and widely followed. Readers can trust that the author's viewpoints on TSLA are backed by a strong track record and are worth considering for anyone interested in the stock market dynamics.

Key Theses of the Article

  • Tesla's valuation is heavily dependent on the success of its self-driving technology.
  • Tesla's vision-based self-driving approach faces significant challenges compared to sensor-rich systems.
  • Waymo's superior progress in deploying self-driving technology poses a threat to Tesla's market position.
  • If Tesla fails to deliver on self-driving promises, it could see a substantial decrease in valuation, aligning more with traditional automotive companies.

Factors Influencing Tesla's Stock Price

Success of Self-Driving Technology

Significance: 10 out of 10

Tesla's stock valuation is highly reliant on the success of its self-driving technology; failure to meet expectations could lead to significant devaluation.

Competition from Waymo

Significance: 8 out of 10

Waymo's methodical deployment and superior safety metrics signify a rapid advancement in the self-driving space, which could undermine Tesla's market dominance.

Vision-Based Approach Challenges

Significance: 7 out of 10

Tesla's reliance on vision-only systems is showing diminishing returns, potentially stalling progress and impairing the overall advancement of FSD capabilities.

Regulatory and Public Perception

Significance: 6 out of 10

Scrutiny from regulators and public skepticism could hamper Tesla's FSD program advancement, affecting investor confidence.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

Tesla's sky-high valuation could be at risk as key factors show only moderate progress in the short term. The average influence strength of the factors on Tesla's stock trend in the next 15 days suggests cautious optimism, with innovation and competition from Waymo playing a crucial role. While Tesla's pioneering vision-based self-driving approach is undeniably bold, it faces significant hurdles. The visionary method may be hitting a wall and its slower-than-expected progress can wane investor sentiment.

Looking further ahead to the coming month, uncertainties loom larger. The influence of these factors on Tesla's stock becomes more pronounced, averaging higher, reflecting a potentially steeper decline. Waymo's strategic advancements and superior metrics are likely to chip away at Tesla's perceived market dominance. Coupled with increasing regulatory scrutiny, public skepticism could further sap investor confidence. Add these together, and Tesla might see its valuation slip towards levels more commonly associated with traditional automakers.

Tesla: Is the Post-Election Hype Justified or Overstated?

Trend: Neutral
Dec 02, 2024

In this analytical review of Kumquat Research's intricate financial article, the author articulates a clear "No" stance on TSLA stock, a position that is both insightful and meticulously substantiated. Kumquat Research, with 380 publications since 2014, demonstrates a prolific output, indicative of a deep engagement with financial markets over nearly a decade. With 12,805 subscribers actively following their insights, the author enjoys a considerable audience, underscoring the broad appeal and resonance of their analyses. Moreover, the assessments by Kumquat Research are not just popular but highly credible, as reflected by a credibility rating that signifies their authoritative voice in financial discourse. Such a high level of trust suggests that readers can confidently consider the author's perspectives when evaluating investment opportunities like TSLA.

Key Theses of the Review

  • Tesla stock has seen a significant rally, increasing 60% since the Q3 earnings report.
  • Investors are optimistic due to a positive Q3 earnings report and Donald Trump's election victory.
  • The benefits from these events might be overstated, potentially leading to an overvaluation of Tesla stock.

Factors Influencing TSLA Stock Price

Q3 Earnings Report

Significance: 8 out of 10

The Q3 earnings report was upbeat, leading to a 25% increase in Tesla’s stock price. This shows a strong response from investors seeking positive financial momentum from the company.

Donald Trump's Election Victory

Significance: 7 out of 10

Following Trump's election win, Tesla stock rose by an additional 40%, as investors anticipated favorable business conditions under his administration. This expectation indicates optimism for policy changes beneficial to market and regulatory conditions.

Potential Overvaluation

Significance: 6 out of 10

The article argues that the stock's recent performance is leading towards overvaluation, which could pose a risk of correction. This suggests a concern over the sustainability of the rally at current levels.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

Tesla's stock has recently captivated investors with a striking 60% ascent post its Q3 earnings and the U.S. election results. Both events have injected a mix of optimism and speculative allure into Tesla’s market perception. While the Q3 earnings report alone spurred a 25% surge, the subsequent effect of Trump's triumph further sparked a 40% increase as investors envisioned prospective regulatory favors and business-friendly policies in Tesla’s favor.

Nonetheless, the crux of the matter might hinge on potential overvaluation concerns that could weigh Tesla's rise down. While the recent developments hold significant sway, their average influence strength suggests a tempered scenario going forward. With recent sentiments pointing towards heightened expectations, the average influence across factors stands at approximately 7, hinting at a balanced view. This may herald a corrective phase soon as the stock eases out of its euphoric trajectory, aligning with realistic valuations and market conditions over the next month.

Dec 02, 2024
Tesla's Double Dilemma: Losing Tax Credits and Facing Fierce Competitors
Trend: Bearish
Nov 30, 2024
Tesla's Wild Ride: Navigating High Volatility After 38% Surge
Trend: Neutral
Nov 27, 2024
Tesla vs. BYD: The Battle for Electric Supremacy Heats Up
Trend: Neutral
Nov 22, 2024
Tesla's Valuation Under Scrutiny Amid Political Uncertainties and Robotics Delays
Trend: Neutral
Nov 20, 2024
Tesla's Road to a Trillion-Dollar Future: A Glimpse into Its Autonomous Ambitions
Trend: Bullish
Nov 19, 2024
Tesla's Hype Rollercoaster: Navigating Policy and Competition Challenges
Trend: Bearish
Nov 19, 2024
Tesla's Resilient Trajectory Amid Regulatory Shifts Under Trump
Trend: Neutral
Nov 18, 2024
Will Tesla's Market Strategy Shine If EV Tax Incentives Fade?
Trend: Neutral

Comprehensive Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Market Performance


Our multifaceted analysis of Tesla's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:

  • When should I take profit in Tesla stock?
  • When should I record a loss on Tesla stock?
  • What are analysts' forecasts for Tesla stock?
  • What is the future of Tesla stock?

We forecast Tesla stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Tesla stocks.

Tesla, Inc. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 36 news items directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 22 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 4 display bearish tendencies, and 10 events are neutral.

Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting TSLA shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.

The news analyzed fell within the period from Nov 03, 2024, to Dec 03, 2024.

βeta
Dec 02, 2024

Roth MKM Upgrades Tesla: Trump's Boost for EV Enthusiasts

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
The upgrade from Roth MKM to 'Buy' reflects potential positive sentiment towards Tesla due to Elon Musk's perceived support for Trump, expanding its enthusiast base. This optimism can stimulate increased demand, driving up stock prices. Given Tesla's market influence and recent upgrade, the impact is significant, suggesting a bullish outlook in the near term.
Dec 01, 2024

Fidelity Increases Stake Value in Musk's X by 32%

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 4
Fidelity's increased valuation of Elon Musk's X suggests confidence in the platform, indirectly reflecting positively on Musk's ventures, including Tesla (TSLA). However, as X is separate from Tesla, the direct influence on TSLA's stock is limited, hence a moderate level of influence. Nonetheless, Musk's successful ventures can create positive investor sentiment for TSLA.
Nov 29, 2024

Tesla’s AI Innovations: Key to Achieving $2 Trillion Valuation

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
The announcement highlights Tesla's potential breakthroughs in AI-driven autonomous technology, positing it as the catalyst for a substantial market valuation increase. With a prospective $2 trillion valuation, this news is highly influential, making it a bullish signal. Investors might be encouraged, expecting significant growth from AI advancements in Tesla's offerings, thereby positively impacting stock prices.
Nov 25, 2024

California Shocks Tesla by Axing EV Rebates

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
Excluding Tesla from California's proposed ZEV rebates could weaken the company's competitive edge, impacting its market share in a crucial region. Coupled with potential repeal of federal tax credits, this amplifies uncertainty around Tesla's sales volume, potentially pressuring the stock. However, Tesla's strong brand presence and diversified operations may mitigate long-term effects.
Nov 25, 2024

Elon Musk's Neuralink Ventures into Brain-Controlled Robotics

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
Neuralink's study on brain implants to control robotic arms showcases potential technological breakthroughs appealing to investors focused on innovation. This advancement aligns with Tesla’s vision, driving market excitement and potentially boosting TSLA's stock price. However, the influence is moderate as it pertains to future potential and not immediate financial gain for Tesla.
Nov 25, 2024

Tesla's Growth Faces Roadblocks Amid Regulatory Changes

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 6
The article presents a mixed outlook for Tesla, highlighting potential regulatory benefits but also significant risks like pricing pressures and competition from China. The cautious tone and price target increase by UBS suggest a stable but not exceptional influence on stock. The balance of positive and negative factors results in a neutral trend with moderate influence.
Nov 25, 2024

Trump's Win Spurs Optimism in Defense Sector

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 2
The news focuses on U.S. defense stocks, with Trump potentially boosting defense spending. This has a minimal direct impact on Tesla, which operates in the automotive and renewable energy sectors. The influence on TSLA is low as the focus is on defense companies, not on automotive or clean energy industries where Tesla operates.
Nov 23, 2024

Tesla and Rivian Agree to Conditional Settlement in Tech Dispute

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 5
The conditional settlement of Tesla's lawsuit against Rivian indicates resolution, albeit without disclosed terms. The impact is neutral as it removes potential legal uncertainties but does not materially transform Tesla's market position or operations. Consequently, its immediate effect on TSLA stock is moderate, holding more potential long-term implications if technology theft concerns were significant.
Nov 23, 2024

Market Surge: Tesla's Stock Soars Post-Trump's Electoral Victory

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Tesla's stock is experiencing a bullish trend due to the anticipated favorable regulatory environment under the Trump administration. Elon Musk’s relationship with Trump is expected to benefit Tesla, especially in autonomous vehicle approvals. This positive outlook is likely to drive the stock price higher in the short term, reflecting strong influence on the market sentiment.
Nov 23, 2024

Tesla's Robotaxi Prospects Electrify Investor Optimism

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
The news of anticipated robotaxi profit potential boosts investor confidence, signaling a bullish trend for Tesla. As autonomous vehicles hold transformative growth potential, the anticipation of regulatory advancements under Trump adds further optimism. This narrative strengthens Tesla's market position and likely influences stock price positively, reflecting a significant (8) impact in the near future.

Tesla daily forecast for a month

Date Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Dec 05 353.53 343.77 358.76 4.36
Dec 06 354.23 348.43 359.62 3.21
Dec 07 348.28 341.74 355.67 4.08
Dec 08 347.31 344.53 356.89 3.59
Dec 09 360.09 354.62 367.00 3.49
Dec 10 364.70 356.53 372.87 4.58
Dec 11 368.05 365.11 378.51 3.67
Dec 12 361.13 357.52 372.55 4.20
Dec 13 353.48 343.02 358.29 4.45
Dec 14 355.18 349.63 363.84 4.06
Dec 15 357.87 351.43 366.03 4.15
Dec 16 356.16 352.17 363.28 3.16
Dec 17 353.73 346.24 358.40 3.51
Dec 18 354.87 344.36 362.96 5.40
Dec 19 356.57 347.73 362.28 4.18
Dec 20 370.26 360.64 378.11 4.85
Dec 21 381.52 373.12 388.39 4.09
Dec 22 387.16 382.05 390.26 2.15
Dec 23 392.43 382.23 401.69 5.09
Dec 24 391.80 382.09 396.66 3.81
Dec 25 394.15 387.06 401.41 3.71
Dec 26 384.85 374.85 394.55 5.26
Dec 27 396.70 387.82 401.46 3.52
Dec 28 390.99 378.64 397.72 5.04
Dec 29 406.16 397.23 416.56 4.87
Dec 30 415.42 402.96 425.23 5.53
Dec 31 402.46 396.51 405.84 2.35
Jan 01 387.65 380.83 391.06 2.69
Jan 02 393.23 381.59 405.03 6.14
Jan 03 397.64 389.53 410.04 5.27

Tesla Daily Price Targets


Tesla Stock Forecast 12-05-2024.

Forecast target price for 12-05-2024: $353.53.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.178%.
Pessimistic target level: 343.77
Optimistic target level: 358.76

Tesla Stock Forecast 12-06-2024.

Forecast target price for 12-06-2024: $354.23.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.113%.
Pessimistic target level: 348.43
Optimistic target level: 359.62

Tesla Stock Forecast 12-07-2024.

Forecast target price for 12-07-2024: $348.28.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.917%.
Pessimistic target level: 341.74
Optimistic target level: 355.67

Tesla Stock Forecast 12-08-2024.

Forecast target price for 12-08-2024: $347.31.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.464%.
Pessimistic target level: 344.53
Optimistic target level: 356.89

Tesla Stock Forecast 12-09-2024.

Forecast target price for 12-09-2024: $360.09.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.375%.
Pessimistic target level: 354.62
Optimistic target level: 367.00

Tesla Stock Forecast 12-10-2024.

Forecast target price for 12-10-2024: $364.70.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.382%.
Pessimistic target level: 356.53
Optimistic target level: 372.87

TSLA (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan. 383.13 350.68 396.19 11.49
Feb. 366.27 337.26 379.57 11.15
Mar. 346.13 316.43 357.93 11.59
Apr. 353.36 323.04 367.35 12.06
May. 351.80 320.85 382.38 16.09
Jun. 376.18 353.43 406.81 13.12
Jul. 382.39 372.30 397.53 6.35
Aug. 394.17 376.39 423.22 11.06
Sep. 383.33 357.61 403.99 11.48
Oct. 374.90 358.81 406.24 11.67
Nov. 335.72 322.43 357.14 9.72
Dec. 316.52 309.55 324.18 4.51

Tesla forecast for this year


Tesla Stock Prediction for Jan 2025

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $383.128. Pessimistic: $350.68. Optimistic: $396.19


Tesla Stock Prediction for Feb 2025

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $366.27. Pessimistic: $337.26. Optimistic: $379.57


Tesla Stock Prediction for Mar 2025

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $346.125. Pessimistic: $316.43. Optimistic: $357.93


Tesla Stock Prediction for Apr 2025

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $353.359. Pessimistic: $323.04. Optimistic: $367.35


Tesla Stock Prediction for May 2025

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $351.804. Pessimistic: $320.85. Optimistic: $382.38


Tesla Stock Prediction for Jun 2025

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $376.184. Pessimistic: $353.43. Optimistic: $406.81


Tesla Stock Prediction for Jul 2025

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $382.391. Pessimistic: $372.30. Optimistic: $397.53


Tesla Stock Prediction for Aug 2025

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $394.169. Pessimistic: $376.39. Optimistic: $423.22


Tesla Stock Prediction for Sep 2025

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $383.329. Pessimistic: $357.61. Optimistic: $403.99


Tesla Stock Prediction for Oct 2025

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $374.896. Pessimistic: $358.81. Optimistic: $406.24


Tesla Stock Prediction for Nov 2025

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $335.72. Pessimistic: $322.43. Optimistic: $357.14


Tesla Stock Prediction for Dec 2025

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $316.516. Pessimistic: $309.55. Optimistic: $324.18



Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 302.59 289.94 318.90 9.08
Feb 307.92 290.64 332.64 12.63
Mar 291.66 275.30 310.91 11.45
Apr 306.74 283.79 325.63 12.85
May 308.09 293.17 323.68 9.42
Jun 295.55 275.39 308.88 10.84
Jul 297.17 280.50 306.98 8.63
Aug 282.79 260.70 291.50 10.56
Sep 266.92 246.67 282.49 12.68
Oct 277.50 264.98 290.93 8.92
Nov 251.24 241.29 267.83 9.91
Dec 264.23 250.86 277.31 9.54

Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 257.84 250.18 272.59 8.22
Feb 274.01 255.62 281.54 9.21
Mar 279.13 256.10 288.65 11.28
Apr 276.67 267.85 282.76 5.27
May 254.76 232.62 270.17 13.90
Jun 253.36 242.77 273.43 11.21
Jul 233.85 225.10 250.57 10.16
Aug 240.54 230.48 258.27 10.76
Sep 265.68 252.23 280.87 10.20
Oct 280.00 266.14 290.16 8.28
Nov 308.02 281.93 324.96 13.24
Dec 313.78 299.63 336.91 11.06

Tesla information and performance

Tesla Address

3500 DEER CREEK RD, PALO ALTO, CA, US

Market Capitalization: 1 107 984 384 000 $

Market capitalization of the Tesla, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of TSLA shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.

EBITDA: 13 244 000 000 $

EBITDA of Tesla is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.

PE Ratio: 94.31

P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit

PEG Ratio: 9.57

Price/earnings to growth

DPS: None

Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.

DY: None

Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.

EPS: 3.66

EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY: 0.17
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY: 0.078
Trailing PE: 94.31

Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.

Forward PE: 100

Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.

EV To Revenue: 11.19

Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue

EV To EBITDA: 78.58

The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).

Shares Outstanding: 3210060000

Number of issued ordinary shares

Shares Float: N/A

Number of freely tradable shares

Shares Short Prior Month: N/A

Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.

Short Ratio: N/A
Percent Insiders: N/A
Percent Institutions: N/A


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Disclaimer:

All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.