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Tesla (TSLA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: December 3, 2024 (16:32)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
|
Bullish | Impact: 3.38 | News: 6 (4/1/1) |
Previous Week
|
Bullish | Impact: 4.5 | News: 10 (5/4/1) |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Impact: 4.75 | News: 8 (5/2/1) |
Three Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 12 (8/3/1) |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
|
Bearish | Opinions: 5 |
Previous Week
|
Neutral | Opinions: 3 (1/1/1) |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Bearish | Opinions: 5 |
Three Weeks Ago
|
Bearish | Opinions: 7 (2/1/4) |
Analyzing the Most Important TSLA news
SpaceX's Sky-High Valuation Sparks Tesla Optimism
Judge Blocks Musk's Tesla Pay; Future Uncertain
Tesla's Festive Update Introduces Apple Watch Compatibility and Cybertruck Style
Historical and forecast chart of Tesla stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Tesla stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Tesla stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Tesla, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 20 analytical articles which are directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 3 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 9 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 8 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Nov 04, 2024 to Dec 02, 2024.
Tesla's Self-Driving Hurdles Threaten Its High Valuation
In this insightful review of an analytical financial article by Simple Investment Ideas, the author maintains a Bearish stance on TSLA stock, offering a critical perspective on its future potential. With 687 publications since 2014 and a subscriber base of over 6,000, the author demonstrates both active engagement and significant popularity in the financial community. The impressive publication rate and long-standing contribution rank the author among those with highly authoritative opinions, offering expert insights that are well-respected and widely followed. Readers can trust that the author's viewpoints on TSLA are backed by a strong track record and are worth considering for anyone interested in the stock market dynamics.
Key Theses of the Article
- Tesla's valuation is heavily dependent on the success of its self-driving technology.
- Tesla's vision-based self-driving approach faces significant challenges compared to sensor-rich systems.
- Waymo's superior progress in deploying self-driving technology poses a threat to Tesla's market position.
- If Tesla fails to deliver on self-driving promises, it could see a substantial decrease in valuation, aligning more with traditional automotive companies.
Factors Influencing Tesla's Stock Price
Success of Self-Driving Technology
Tesla's stock valuation is highly reliant on the success of its self-driving technology; failure to meet expectations could lead to significant devaluation.
Competition from Waymo
Waymo's methodical deployment and superior safety metrics signify a rapid advancement in the self-driving space, which could undermine Tesla's market dominance.
Vision-Based Approach Challenges
Tesla's reliance on vision-only systems is showing diminishing returns, potentially stalling progress and impairing the overall advancement of FSD capabilities.
Regulatory and Public Perception
Scrutiny from regulators and public skepticism could hamper Tesla's FSD program advancement, affecting investor confidence.
Review the original AnalysisTesla: Is the Post-Election Hype Justified or Overstated?
In this analytical review of Kumquat Research's intricate financial article, the author articulates a clear "No" stance on TSLA stock, a position that is both insightful and meticulously substantiated. Kumquat Research, with 380 publications since 2014, demonstrates a prolific output, indicative of a deep engagement with financial markets over nearly a decade. With 12,805 subscribers actively following their insights, the author enjoys a considerable audience, underscoring the broad appeal and resonance of their analyses. Moreover, the assessments by Kumquat Research are not just popular but highly credible, as reflected by a credibility rating that signifies their authoritative voice in financial discourse. Such a high level of trust suggests that readers can confidently consider the author's perspectives when evaluating investment opportunities like TSLA.
Key Theses of the Review
- Tesla stock has seen a significant rally, increasing 60% since the Q3 earnings report.
- Investors are optimistic due to a positive Q3 earnings report and Donald Trump's election victory.
- The benefits from these events might be overstated, potentially leading to an overvaluation of Tesla stock.
Factors Influencing TSLA Stock Price
Q3 Earnings Report
The Q3 earnings report was upbeat, leading to a 25% increase in Tesla’s stock price. This shows a strong response from investors seeking positive financial momentum from the company.
Donald Trump's Election Victory
Following Trump's election win, Tesla stock rose by an additional 40%, as investors anticipated favorable business conditions under his administration. This expectation indicates optimism for policy changes beneficial to market and regulatory conditions.
Potential Overvaluation
The article argues that the stock's recent performance is leading towards overvaluation, which could pose a risk of correction. This suggests a concern over the sustainability of the rally at current levels.
Review the original AnalysisCommentary
Tesla's stock has recently captivated investors with a striking 60% ascent post its Q3 earnings and the U.S. election results. Both events have injected a mix of optimism and speculative allure into Tesla’s market perception. While the Q3 earnings report alone spurred a 25% surge, the subsequent effect of Trump's triumph further sparked a 40% increase as investors envisioned prospective regulatory favors and business-friendly policies in Tesla’s favor.
Nonetheless, the crux of the matter might hinge on potential overvaluation concerns that could weigh Tesla's rise down. While the recent developments hold significant sway, their average influence strength suggests a tempered scenario going forward. With recent sentiments pointing towards heightened expectations, the average influence across factors stands at approximately 7, hinting at a balanced view. This may herald a corrective phase soon as the stock eases out of its euphoric trajectory, aligning with realistic valuations and market conditions over the next month.
Comprehensive Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Tesla's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Tesla stock?
- When should I record a loss on Tesla stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Tesla stock?
- What is the future of Tesla stock?
We forecast Tesla stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Tesla stocks.
Tesla, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 36 news items directly related to TSLA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 22 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 4 display bearish tendencies, and 10 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting TSLA shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Nov 03, 2024, to Dec 03, 2024.
Roth MKM Upgrades Tesla: Trump's Boost for EV Enthusiasts
Fidelity Increases Stake Value in Musk's X by 32%
Tesla’s AI Innovations: Key to Achieving $2 Trillion Valuation
California Shocks Tesla by Axing EV Rebates
Elon Musk's Neuralink Ventures into Brain-Controlled Robotics
Tesla's Growth Faces Roadblocks Amid Regulatory Changes
Trump's Win Spurs Optimism in Defense Sector
Tesla and Rivian Agree to Conditional Settlement in Tech Dispute
Market Surge: Tesla's Stock Soars Post-Trump's Electoral Victory
Tesla's Robotaxi Prospects Electrify Investor Optimism
Tesla daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 05 | 353.53 | 343.77 | 358.76 | 4.36 |
Dec 06 | 354.23 | 348.43 | 359.62 | 3.21 |
Dec 07 | 348.28 | 341.74 | 355.67 | 4.08 |
Dec 08 | 347.31 | 344.53 | 356.89 | 3.59 |
Dec 09 | 360.09 | 354.62 | 367.00 | 3.49 |
Dec 10 | 364.70 | 356.53 | 372.87 | 4.58 |
Dec 11 | 368.05 | 365.11 | 378.51 | 3.67 |
Dec 12 | 361.13 | 357.52 | 372.55 | 4.20 |
Dec 13 | 353.48 | 343.02 | 358.29 | 4.45 |
Dec 14 | 355.18 | 349.63 | 363.84 | 4.06 |
Dec 15 | 357.87 | 351.43 | 366.03 | 4.15 |
Dec 16 | 356.16 | 352.17 | 363.28 | 3.16 |
Dec 17 | 353.73 | 346.24 | 358.40 | 3.51 |
Dec 18 | 354.87 | 344.36 | 362.96 | 5.40 |
Dec 19 | 356.57 | 347.73 | 362.28 | 4.18 |
Dec 20 | 370.26 | 360.64 | 378.11 | 4.85 |
Dec 21 | 381.52 | 373.12 | 388.39 | 4.09 |
Dec 22 | 387.16 | 382.05 | 390.26 | 2.15 |
Dec 23 | 392.43 | 382.23 | 401.69 | 5.09 |
Dec 24 | 391.80 | 382.09 | 396.66 | 3.81 |
Dec 25 | 394.15 | 387.06 | 401.41 | 3.71 |
Dec 26 | 384.85 | 374.85 | 394.55 | 5.26 |
Dec 27 | 396.70 | 387.82 | 401.46 | 3.52 |
Dec 28 | 390.99 | 378.64 | 397.72 | 5.04 |
Dec 29 | 406.16 | 397.23 | 416.56 | 4.87 |
Dec 30 | 415.42 | 402.96 | 425.23 | 5.53 |
Dec 31 | 402.46 | 396.51 | 405.84 | 2.35 |
Jan 01 | 387.65 | 380.83 | 391.06 | 2.69 |
Jan 02 | 393.23 | 381.59 | 405.03 | 6.14 |
Jan 03 | 397.64 | 389.53 | 410.04 | 5.27 |
Tesla Daily Price Targets
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-05-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-05-2024: $353.53.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.178%.
Pessimistic target level: 343.77
Optimistic target level: 358.76
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-06-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-06-2024: $354.23.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.113%.
Pessimistic target level: 348.43
Optimistic target level: 359.62
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-07-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-07-2024: $348.28.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.917%.
Pessimistic target level: 341.74
Optimistic target level: 355.67
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-08-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-08-2024: $347.31.
Negative dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.464%.
Pessimistic target level: 344.53
Optimistic target level: 356.89
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-09-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-09-2024: $360.09.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.375%.
Pessimistic target level: 354.62
Optimistic target level: 367.00
Tesla Stock Forecast 12-10-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-10-2024: $364.70.
Positive dynamics for Tesla shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.382%.
Pessimistic target level: 356.53
Optimistic target level: 372.87
TSLA (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan. | 383.13 | 350.68 | 396.19 | 11.49 |
Feb. | 366.27 | 337.26 | 379.57 | 11.15 |
Mar. | 346.13 | 316.43 | 357.93 | 11.59 |
Apr. | 353.36 | 323.04 | 367.35 | 12.06 |
May. | 351.80 | 320.85 | 382.38 | 16.09 |
Jun. | 376.18 | 353.43 | 406.81 | 13.12 |
Jul. | 382.39 | 372.30 | 397.53 | 6.35 |
Aug. | 394.17 | 376.39 | 423.22 | 11.06 |
Sep. | 383.33 | 357.61 | 403.99 | 11.48 |
Oct. | 374.90 | 358.81 | 406.24 | 11.67 |
Nov. | 335.72 | 322.43 | 357.14 | 9.72 |
Dec. | 316.52 | 309.55 | 324.18 | 4.51 |
Tesla forecast for this year
Tesla Stock Prediction for Jan 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $383.128. Pessimistic: $350.68. Optimistic: $396.19
Tesla Stock Prediction for Feb 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $366.27. Pessimistic: $337.26. Optimistic: $379.57
Tesla Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $346.125. Pessimistic: $316.43. Optimistic: $357.93
Tesla Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $353.359. Pessimistic: $323.04. Optimistic: $367.35
Tesla Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $351.804. Pessimistic: $320.85. Optimistic: $382.38
Tesla Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $376.184. Pessimistic: $353.43. Optimistic: $406.81
Tesla Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $382.391. Pessimistic: $372.30. Optimistic: $397.53
Tesla Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $394.169. Pessimistic: $376.39. Optimistic: $423.22
Tesla Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $383.329. Pessimistic: $357.61. Optimistic: $403.99
Tesla Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $374.896. Pessimistic: $358.81. Optimistic: $406.24
Tesla Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $335.72. Pessimistic: $322.43. Optimistic: $357.14
Tesla Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $316.516. Pessimistic: $309.55. Optimistic: $324.18
Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 302.59 | 289.94 | 318.90 | 9.08 |
Feb | 307.92 | 290.64 | 332.64 | 12.63 |
Mar | 291.66 | 275.30 | 310.91 | 11.45 |
Apr | 306.74 | 283.79 | 325.63 | 12.85 |
May | 308.09 | 293.17 | 323.68 | 9.42 |
Jun | 295.55 | 275.39 | 308.88 | 10.84 |
Jul | 297.17 | 280.50 | 306.98 | 8.63 |
Aug | 282.79 | 260.70 | 291.50 | 10.56 |
Sep | 266.92 | 246.67 | 282.49 | 12.68 |
Oct | 277.50 | 264.98 | 290.93 | 8.92 |
Nov | 251.24 | 241.29 | 267.83 | 9.91 |
Dec | 264.23 | 250.86 | 277.31 | 9.54 |
Tesla (TSLA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 257.84 | 250.18 | 272.59 | 8.22 |
Feb | 274.01 | 255.62 | 281.54 | 9.21 |
Mar | 279.13 | 256.10 | 288.65 | 11.28 |
Apr | 276.67 | 267.85 | 282.76 | 5.27 |
May | 254.76 | 232.62 | 270.17 | 13.90 |
Jun | 253.36 | 242.77 | 273.43 | 11.21 |
Jul | 233.85 | 225.10 | 250.57 | 10.16 |
Aug | 240.54 | 230.48 | 258.27 | 10.76 |
Sep | 265.68 | 252.23 | 280.87 | 10.20 |
Oct | 280.00 | 266.14 | 290.16 | 8.28 |
Nov | 308.02 | 281.93 | 324.96 | 13.24 |
Dec | 313.78 | 299.63 | 336.91 | 11.06 |
Tesla information and performance
3500 DEER CREEK RD, PALO ALTO, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Tesla, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of TSLA shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Tesla is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Related stocks from Consumer cyclical sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.
Commentary
Tesla's sky-high valuation could be at risk as key factors show only moderate progress in the short term. The average influence strength of the factors on Tesla's stock trend in the next 15 days suggests cautious optimism, with innovation and competition from Waymo playing a crucial role. While Tesla's pioneering vision-based self-driving approach is undeniably bold, it faces significant hurdles. The visionary method may be hitting a wall and its slower-than-expected progress can wane investor sentiment.
Looking further ahead to the coming month, uncertainties loom larger. The influence of these factors on Tesla's stock becomes more pronounced, averaging higher, reflecting a potentially steeper decline. Waymo's strategic advancements and superior metrics are likely to chip away at Tesla's perceived market dominance. Coupled with increasing regulatory scrutiny, public skepticism could further sap investor confidence. Add these together, and Tesla might see its valuation slip towards levels more commonly associated with traditional automakers.