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The Home Depot (HD) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: February 16, 2025 (13:17)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) now
News Impact Analyzer
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
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Bearish | Impact: 5 | News: 1 |
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
Analysts predictions
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Bearish | Opinions: 1 |
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Analyzing the Most Important HD news

Trade War Tariffs: Immediate Inflation Risks Shake Investor Confidence


Home Depot Teams Up with Uber Eats & DoorDash for Direct Delivery


Dow's Record Plummet: The Blue-Chip Roller Coaster

Historical and forecast chart of The Home Depot stock
The chart below shows the historical price of The Home Depot stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the The Home Depot stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
The Home Depot, Inc. Analysts predictions review

Home Depot faces significant near-term challenges driven by weakening consumer demand in the home improvement sector due to rising interest rates and inflation. Reliance on price increases to support revenue growth appears unsustainable as discretionary spending declines. Elevated valuation metrics relative to peers and macroeconomic pressures further restrict upside potential. Although long-term prospects remain supported by demographic trends and operational investments, near-term headwinds, including increased competition and margin pressures, pose risks. Current conditions suggest limited stock price growth and potential for overvaluation concerns.

Home Depot: Valuation Concerns Amid Slowing Growth Prospects

Weakening consumer demand across the housing and home improvement sectors has emerged as a critical challenge for Home Depot. The author attributes this trend to rising interest rates and inflationary pressures, both of which have curtailed discretionary spending, directly impacting Home Depot's top-line growth.
Another key factor is the company's reliance on price increases to sustain revenue. While this approach has temporarily supported financial performance, the author highlights that it may not be sustainable in an environment where consumers are prioritizing essential spending over nonessential purchases.
Implications of Growth Assumptions on Valuation
The market's optimistic growth assumptions appear to overestimate Home Depot's ability to maintain past performance levels. The author emphasizes that the projected growth rate is inconsistent with the company's current macroeconomic environment and operational headwinds, potentially leading to overvaluation concerns.
Finally, increased competition in the home improvement retail space poses an additional challenge. As smaller players ramp up promotional efforts and e-commerce alternatives grow, the author warns this could pressure margins and market share, further dampening investor sentiment.

Home Depot Faces Valuation Pressure and Seasonal Demand Weakness

Home Depot's elevated valuation relative to its peers suggests limited upside potential for its stock price in the near term. The company's price-to-earnings ratio remains well above historical averages for the retail sector, and this premium could deter value-focused investors.
The sluggish demand observed in December, as highlighted by the author, points to potential challenges in meeting earnings expectations for the quarter. Given Home Depot's dependence on consumer spending, any sustained shift in purchasing behavior could weigh negatively on its revenue targets.
Impact of Consumer Discretionary Trends and Macro Uncertainty
Ongoing macroeconomic concerns, including rising interest rates and inflation, are dampening discretionary spending, further pressuring Home Depot's market position. The company's strong reliance on housing-related spending makes it particularly vulnerable to fluctuations in consumer confidence.
While Home Depot retains competitive advantages through its scale and operational efficiency, these strengths may not fully offset the near-term headwinds. The combination of external pressures and internal valuation metrics makes a compelling argument for cautious optimism rather than aggressive investment.

Home Depot: Balancing Long-Term Growth Potential Amidst Near-Term Market Challenges

Home Depot's financial performance continues to be influenced by the broader macroeconomic environment and consumer spending trends. A key factor is the slowdown in home improvement demand as rising interest rates and elevated inflation dampen discretionary spending. This visibility into near-term headwinds creates uncertainty around revenue growth, highlighting a potential drag on the stock's performance.
The company's long-term growth trajectory remains robust, supported by demographic tailwinds such as aging housing stock, urban expansion, and increased DIY activity. As pointed out by the author, Home Depot's commitment to cost optimization and supply chain enhancements positions the firm well for eventual market recovery once macro pressures abate.
Examining Operational Resilience Amid Economic Fluctuations
Home Depot's operational resilience is underscored by continued investments in digital transformation and e-commerce capabilities. These initiatives are likely to solidify its competitive edge, but their benefits may take time to materialize fully in the face of near-term pressures.
Additionally, margin compression from increasing labor and supply costs poses a challenge. However, the company's pricing power within its sector, coupled with strategic inventory management, may help mitigate some of this pressure over time, demonstrating disciplined financial management.
Home Depot's positioning in the home improvement market, combined with a focus on operational efficiency, underscores its ability to weather current economic headwinds. The article highlights the company's pricing power and its ability to pass costs to consumers, a crucial strength in maintaining margins amid inflationary pressures.
Long-Term Growth Drivers and Market Outlook
The author emphasizes the significance of Home Depot's ongoing investments in supply chain optimization and technology, which are expected to drive long-term efficiencies. Additionally, the company’s strategic emphasis on professional contractors as a key consumer base offers a durable revenue stream, especially as housing repair and remodeling trends remain strong.
Concerns over macroeconomic challenges, such as slowing housing demand and consumer spending sensitivity, are noted, but they are balanced by the company's proven resilience and market leadership. While these factors may create short-term volatility in the stock price, the analysis suggests that Home Depot's steady fundamentals provide a compelling case for potential upside over the medium to long term.
Home Depot's iconic brand and dominant market position are vital strengths in the home improvement retail sector. The company's ability to maintain operational efficiency and a highly loyal customer base underpins its long-term stability. However, the author, Array, cautions that these advantages may already be fully priced into the stock, curbing its upside potential.
Key Valuation and Market Dynamics
The article identifies overvaluation as a critical concern, suggesting that HD's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio significantly exceeds historical norms and industry averages. While the company’s profitability metrics remain robust, the elevated valuation introduces heightened risk, particularly in the context of rising interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty.
Additionally, Array emphasizes potential consumer spending headwinds, including elevated household debt levels and slowing discretionary spending. These factors could pressure revenue growth trajectories in the near term, posing challenges to sustaining premium market valuations.
Finally, the analysis highlights rising competition from both traditional and e-commerce players. While Home Depot continues to innovate, the market share dynamics may tilt slightly in favor of leaner, more price-competitive competitors, further compressing the margin of safety for current investors.
Weakening consumer demand presents a crucial challenge for Home Depot (HD), signaling potential pressure on revenue and earnings as discretionary spending declines. The author aptly highlights that the slowing housing activity and rising interest rates could exacerbate this shift, impacting sales of big-ticket home improvement items.
Supply chain dynamics, while previously a tailwind during the pandemic, may now pose a headwind due to easing input cost inflation and higher inventory levels. According to the author, these factors could weigh on margins as the company adjusts pricing strategies in a more competitive environment.
Key Financial and Market Pressures
Home Depot’s valuation appears stretched relative to historical averages, especially in light of potential earnings deceleration. The author suggests this could deter new investors and lead to downward pressure on the stock price should broader market sentiment falter.
Lastly, competitive pressures from peers and alternative retail channels could create challenges to market share retention. Increasing promotional environments might further strain profitability as Home Depot navigates these headwinds in the short term.
Comprehensive Analysis of The Home Depot (HD) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of The Home Depot's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in The Home Depot stock?
- When should I record a loss on The Home Depot stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for The Home Depot stock?
- What is the future of The Home Depot stock?
We forecast The Home Depot stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on The Home Depot stocks.
The Home Depot, Inc. – American retail network for those who are going to fix or build a house. Home Depot operates in both the professional and DIY (do-it-yourself) segments. In addition to tools, paints, materials and garden accessories, Home Depot offers its customers services for the installation and delivery of various products and structures. After the deepest housing crisis, the company focused on the development of its American division. In addition to the United States, Home Depot is represented in Canada, Mexico and China.
The Home Depot, Inc. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 2 news items directly related to HD from the last 30 days. Out of these, 1 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 display bearish tendencies, and 0 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is dominating bullish sentiments by 1.29 times, indicating that the current news landscape is negatively impacting the company's stock prices in the foreseeable future.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Jan 22, 2025, to Feb 03, 2025.
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Trump Tariff Talk Puts Home Depot on Edge


Dividend Boosts: Nike, Home Depot, Chevron Lead the Charge


Home Depot Maintains Steady Dividend Streak


Home Depot Navigates Interest Rate Hurdles


Home Depot Tops Sales Expectations, Shares Rise Pre-Market


Home Depot Q3 Metrics Signal Positive Growth Trajectory


Home Depot Faces Q3 Pressure Amid Rising Rates


The Home Depot daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 18 | 410.67 | 408.79 | 412.03 | 0.79 |
Feb 19 | 412.19 | 410.67 | 413.47 | 0.68 |
Feb 20 | 408.73 | 406.32 | 411.84 | 1.36 |
Feb 21 | 407.22 | 405.92 | 409.70 | 0.93 |
Feb 22 | 406.57 | 405.19 | 407.87 | 0.66 |
Feb 23 | 404.98 | 403.57 | 406.80 | 0.80 |
Feb 24 | 403.93 | 402.11 | 404.98 | 0.71 |
Feb 25 | 402.80 | 401.43 | 404.73 | 0.82 |
Feb 26 | 406.67 | 404.35 | 407.93 | 0.89 |
Feb 27 | 404.75 | 403.90 | 406.66 | 0.68 |
Feb 28 | 401.23 | 398.50 | 402.48 | 1.00 |
Mar 01 | 399.91 | 397.59 | 402.99 | 1.36 |
Mar 02 | 400.87 | 398.74 | 403.75 | 1.26 |
Mar 03 | 404.32 | 402.21 | 407.51 | 1.32 |
Mar 04 | 406.62 | 403.90 | 409.79 | 1.46 |
Mar 05 | 410.20 | 407.57 | 411.55 | 0.98 |
Mar 06 | 413.77 | 410.62 | 416.62 | 1.46 |
Mar 07 | 413.93 | 412.77 | 417.24 | 1.08 |
Mar 08 | 414.80 | 412.73 | 418.04 | 1.29 |
Mar 09 | 415.05 | 411.81 | 416.09 | 1.04 |
Mar 10 | 416.13 | 413.13 | 418.63 | 1.33 |
Mar 11 | 415.67 | 413.01 | 416.84 | 0.93 |
Mar 12 | 416.75 | 413.96 | 419.80 | 1.41 |
Mar 13 | 415.17 | 413.18 | 418.16 | 1.21 |
Mar 14 | 417.12 | 415.45 | 420.12 | 1.12 |
Mar 15 | 417.87 | 415.78 | 421.01 | 1.26 |
Mar 16 | 418.92 | 415.86 | 422.23 | 1.53 |
Mar 17 | 415.36 | 412.20 | 418.39 | 1.50 |
Mar 18 | 414.69 | 412.53 | 416.60 | 0.99 |
Mar 19 | 411.17 | 408.08 | 412.61 | 1.11 |
The Home Depot Daily Price Targets
The Home Depot Stock Forecast 02-18-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-18-2025: $410.67.
Positive dynamics for The Home Depot shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.788%.
Pessimistic target level: 408.79
Optimistic target level: 412.03
The Home Depot Stock Forecast 02-19-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-19-2025: $412.19.
Positive dynamics for The Home Depot shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.678%.
Pessimistic target level: 410.67
Optimistic target level: 413.47
The Home Depot Stock Forecast 02-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-20-2025: $408.73.
Negative dynamics for The Home Depot shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.340%.
Pessimistic target level: 406.32
Optimistic target level: 411.84
The Home Depot Stock Forecast 02-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-21-2025: $407.22.
Negative dynamics for The Home Depot shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.924%.
Pessimistic target level: 405.92
Optimistic target level: 409.70
The Home Depot Stock Forecast 02-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-22-2025: $406.57.
Negative dynamics for The Home Depot shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.658%.
Pessimistic target level: 405.19
Optimistic target level: 407.87
The Home Depot Stock Forecast 02-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-23-2025: $404.98.
Negative dynamics for The Home Depot shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.796%.
Pessimistic target level: 403.57
Optimistic target level: 406.80
HD (HD) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mar. | 416.87 | 409.58 | 425.42 | 3.72 |
Apr. | 421.87 | 417.02 | 438.33 | 4.86 |
May. | 417.23 | 408.47 | 433.71 | 5.82 |
Jun. | 412.44 | 406.04 | 425.43 | 4.56 |
Jul. | 406.25 | 401.98 | 411.33 | 2.27 |
Aug. | 414.17 | 406.72 | 430.12 | 5.44 |
Sep. | 416.86 | 406.65 | 427.49 | 4.88 |
Oct. | 414.78 | 399.85 | 430.75 | 7.17 |
Nov. | 406.28 | 398.76 | 417.85 | 4.57 |
Dec. | 413.99 | 398.68 | 418.34 | 4.70 |
The Home Depot forecast for this year
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $416.871. Pessimistic: $409.58. Optimistic: $425.42
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $421.873. Pessimistic: $417.02. Optimistic: $438.33
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $417.233. Pessimistic: $408.47. Optimistic: $433.71
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $412.435. Pessimistic: $406.04. Optimistic: $425.43
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $406.248. Pessimistic: $401.98. Optimistic: $411.33
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $414.17. Pessimistic: $406.72. Optimistic: $430.12
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $416.862. Pessimistic: $406.65. Optimistic: $427.49
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $414.778. Pessimistic: $399.85. Optimistic: $430.75
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $406.275. Pessimistic: $398.76. Optimistic: $417.85
The Home Depot Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $413.994. Pessimistic: $398.68. Optimistic: $418.34
The Home Depot (HD) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 408.41 | 401.87 | 417.19 | 3.67 |
Feb | 390.84 | 377.56 | 399.25 | 5.43 |
Mar | 405.31 | 393.96 | 411.18 | 4.19 |
Apr | 422.94 | 418.28 | 427.38 | 2.13 |
May | 440.49 | 433.88 | 451.50 | 3.90 |
Jun | 448.20 | 439.23 | 457.38 | 3.97 |
Jul | 441.25 | 424.70 | 450.74 | 5.78 |
Aug | 461.99 | 449.28 | 473.77 | 5.17 |
Sep | 455.06 | 441.18 | 465.98 | 5.32 |
Oct | 463.02 | 455.85 | 478.76 | 4.79 |
Nov | 460.24 | 452.88 | 477.73 | 5.20 |
Dec | 458.40 | 442.13 | 463.90 | 4.69 |
The Home Depot (HD) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 459.32 | 443.93 | 477.00 | 6.93 |
Feb | 463.22 | 445.62 | 473.88 | 5.96 |
Mar | 459.05 | 440.92 | 465.02 | 5.18 |
Apr | 450.10 | 443.13 | 458.43 | 3.34 |
May | 452.58 | 445.79 | 463.21 | 3.76 |
Jun | 456.43 | 448.89 | 463.04 | 3.06 |
Jul | 451.86 | 438.53 | 460.00 | 4.67 |
Aug | 453.22 | 447.78 | 469.31 | 4.59 |
Sep | 444.38 | 427.05 | 450.82 | 5.27 |
Oct | 447.49 | 436.97 | 461.81 | 5.38 |
Nov | 437.20 | 420.80 | 453.16 | 7.14 |
Dec | 430.42 | 417.29 | 446.99 | 6.64 |
The Home Depot information and performance
2455 PACES FERRY ROAD, ATLANTA, GA, US
Market capitalization of the The Home Depot, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of HD shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of The Home Depot is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
The Home Depot (HD) stock dividend
The Home Depot last paid dividends on 11/27/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 12/12/2024. The amount of dividends is $9 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about The Home Depot Stock)
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Related stocks from Consumer cyclical sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.