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McDonald’s (MCD) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: February 19, 2025 (21:17)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of McDonald's Corp. (MCD) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: 1 |
Previous Week
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Bullish | Impact: 2.43 | News: 10 (2/7/1) |
Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 3 (2/1/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 5 (3/2/0) |
Previous Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 1 (1/0/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Analyzing the Most Important MCD news

51 Companies Beat EPS: Wall Street Rallies Amid Earnings Wins


Piper Sandler Recommends McDonald's as a Buy Amid Strategic Picks


Wall Street Ends Green Ahead of Inflation Data and Powell's Testimony

Historical and forecast chart of McDonald's stock
The chart below shows the historical price of McDonald's stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the McDonald's stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
McDonald's Corp. Analysts predictions review

McDonald's Corporation is well-positioned to sustain growth through its pricing power, strong same-store sales growth, and digital innovation, including delivery and mobile ordering. These factors are helping counter inflationary pressures and labor challenges. The franchise model enhances margins and reduces capital risks, while global market expansion offers potential long-term revenue growth. However, near-term risks include constrained margins from foreign exchange volatility and high upfront costs in international markets. Elevated valuation multiples suggest limited upside unless growth exceeds expectations. Investors should remain cautiously optimistic given the company's operational resilience and dividend appeal.

Evaluating McDonald's Corporation: Steady Growth Amid Market Volatility

McDonald's Corporation demonstrates remarkable resilience through a combination of strong same-store sales growth and strategic expansion into digital and delivery channels. These factors support the stability of its topline revenue even in challenging macroeconomic conditions, providing a solid foundation for investor confidence. The author's emphasis on the company's pricing power highlights its ability to manage cost pressures effectively while maintaining customer demand, which positions McDonald’s favorably in an environment of persistent inflation.
Operational and Market Advantages
McDonald's strong brand equity coupled with its global footprint ensures steady cash flows and shields it from geographic economic downturns. The article also underscores the importance of franchise-driven expansion, which has bolstered operating margins while simultaneously reducing capital expenditure risks. Furthermore, the company’s ongoing focus on menu innovation and localized offerings aligns well with evolving consumer preferences, potentially driving incremental revenue in the near term. According to the author, MCD’s dividend track record and robust return of capital to shareholders add another layer of appeal for income-focused investors, further supporting its valuation.

McDonald’s Fundamentals Signal Stability Despite Industry Challenges

Recent analysis points to robust same-store sales growth as a critical driver of McDonald’s financial performance, reflecting strong operational execution and brand loyalty. These gains are particularly significant in offsetting broader macroeconomic challenges such as inflationary pressures, which continue to weigh on consumer spending habits.
The company’s focus on technology and digital innovation, including mobile ordering and delivery partnerships, has been instrumental in driving top-line growth. This strategy not only enhances customer convenience but also creates new revenue streams, an advantage likely to support share price resilience in the near term.
Assessing Headwinds and Tailwinds
While input cost inflation and labor market challenges remain persistent headwinds, McDonald’s efficient cost management and pricing strategies have softened their impact. The ability to carefully balance menu price increases without alienating customers is crucial for protecting margins and sustaining profitability.
Finally, the company’s emphasis on expanding its global footprint, particularly in high-growth international markets, suggests potential long-term revenue acceleration. However, these investments may weigh on near-term cash flows, requiring vigilant execution to deliver expected returns.

McDonald’s Recovery: A Cautious Perspective on Growth and Valuation

McDonald’s ability to navigate through its recovery phase hinges heavily on its pricing power and menu innovation. The author highlights how the company's strong branding and operational scale enable it to mitigate inflationary pressures better than smaller competitors, but questions remain about consumer tolerance for price increases amid broader economic uncertainty. This factor will likely contribute marginally to near-term revenue resilience but could face pressure if economic conditions worsen further.
Critical Growth Factors and Valuation Challenges
Another focal point is McDonald’s aggressive international expansion strategy, particularly in high-growth markets. While this could unlock long-term value, near-term margins may be constrained by volatile foreign exchange rates and higher upfront capital expenditures, which warrant a cautious approach to projecting bottom-line improvements.
The author also expresses skepticism regarding the company's valuation metrics, suggesting that the stock may be priced to perfection. Current elevated multiples appear to leave little room for error, implying a downside risk should expected recovery trends falter. This limits immediate upside potential for investors seeking growth-at-a-reasonable-price opportunities.
McDonald's is navigating through a complex environment, marked by rising cost pressures and evolving consumer preferences. While the company boasts a resilient global presence and robust same-store sales growth, challenges such as inflation and pricing elasticity are impacting its ability to sustain margin expansion. Analysts note that the balance between pricing strategies and consumer demand will play a pivotal role in near-term performance.
Strategic Execution and Market Trends
The company’s focus on digital innovation and delivery channels has proven effective in driving customer engagement and streamlining operations. However, with intensifying competition in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) space, retaining market share may become increasingly challenging. Furthermore, its brand strength and loyalty remain a key tailwind, but macroeconomic uncertainties could weigh on discretionary spending, tempering revenue growth over the next few quarters.
Finally, the valuation dynamics of MCD stock indicate limited upside potential in the immediate term. While McDonald's is a fundamentally robust company, elevated trading multiples relative to historical averages may deter potential investors seeking greater value in alternative opportunities.
McDonald's strategic emphasis on value pricing and affordability positions the company to capture cost-conscious consumers, especially amid persistent inflationary pressures. This approach not only supports customer traffic but also reinforces brand loyalty, which could act as a near-term buffer against economic uncertainties, as argued by the author.
The company's efficiency in leveraging technology, such as digital ordering platforms and loyalty programs, enables stronger customer engagement and operational scalability. These advancements have potential to drive higher ticket sizes and improve margins, highlighting their relevance as a medium-term catalyst for revenue growth.
Key Drivers Behind McDonald's Stock Prospects
Expansion into international markets is another pivotal factor, with McDonald's continuing to benefit from a robust global footprint. The brand's ability to adapt to local tastes while maintaining standardization underscores its competitive edge in scaling revenue opportunities abroad.
Cost management efforts remain a core focus, as the company actively offsets higher input costs through strategic menu innovation and supply-chain optimizations. This not only safeguards profit margins but also ensures resilience in the face of macroeconomic headwinds, which the author identifies as a critical factor for sustaining investor confidence.
The rising popularity of GLP-1 drugs, commonly used for weight management, introduces significant headwinds for McDonald’s core business operations. These medications have the potential to reduce consumption at fast-food chains as consumer behaviors shift toward healthier eating habits, posing a tangible threat to the company’s revenue growth, particularly in its high-margin segments like combo meals.
The Intersection of Consumer Health Trends and Challenges for McDonald's
McDonald’s reliance on consistent traffic growth and average check size may face pressure if a meaningful portion of its customer base adopts these drugs. Analyst commentary highlights the risk of a cascading effect, with lower customer footfall leading to potentially reduced leverage on fixed costs, thereby compressing margins further.
Despite these challenges, the company’s global brand recognition and ongoing menu innovation, such as healthier alternatives and pricing strategies, mitigate these risks to some extent. However, the effectiveness of these countermeasures will largely depend on management’s ability to adapt to these emerging headwinds quickly.
McDonald's ability to consistently deliver value through its strategic pricing and product innovation supports its revenue expansion amid challenging macroeconomic conditions. The author emphasizes the company's focus on affordability and customization in its menu offerings, an approach that resonates with changing consumer preferences and boosts traffic across global markets.
The operational excellence of McDonald’s remains a critical pillar underpinning its margin improvements. By streamlining processes and leveraging economies of scale, the company maintains cost efficiency, which positions it favorably against inflationary pressures and rising input costs, as noted by the author.
Focus on Digital Transformation and Delivery
A major growth catalyst for McDonald’s lies in its investment in digital transformation and delivery channels. The author highlights that a continued emphasis on mobile orders, loyalty programs, and partnerships with third-party delivery players strengthens the customer experience and enhances repeat business.
Lastly, McDonald's robust global presence and adaptability in diverse markets bolster its long-term growth prospects. The brand’s ability to localize offerings while maintaining a consistent value proposition underscores its resilience and competitive advantage in a dynamic global market, according to the analysis.
Key technical indicators for McDonald's (MCD) suggest potential weakness in the near term, with the stock encountering resistance at critical price levels. This resistance aligns with broader market concerns, potentially limiting upside momentum unless a significant catalyst emerges.
Technical and Market Pressures at Play
The author highlights a declining trend in MCD's moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment. Such patterns often discourage institutional buying, which could slow the stock's recovery trajectory.
Additionally, valuation metrics appear stretched, with the stock trading at a premium compared to historical multiples. This could signal limited headroom for growth, especially in the face of softening consumer demand in an inflationary environment.
Macroeconomic risks, including rising interest rates and shifting consumer spending patterns, further compound the challenges for MCD. These external pressures may dampen discretionary spending on fast food, directly impacting revenue growth.
Operational adjustments, however, offer some hope, as the company’s focus on cost control and menu innovation may support margins. Nonetheless, these improvements are unlikely to overcome the broader technical and macroeconomic headwinds immediately.
McDonald’s recent struggles stem from a backlash related to a significant drop-off in positive brand sentiment, driven in part by external controversies. Public relations challenges, such as those linked to a UnitedHealthcare-related incident, have diluted consumer trust, potentially impacting same-store sales growth near-term and warranting careful investor scrutiny.
Operational Metrics and Macroeconomic Challenges
The author points to operational headwinds, including rising costs and global macroeconomic pressures, which could compress margins. These cost escalations are compounded by tighter consumer spending in core markets, posing risks to profitability.
On the competitive front, industry-level pressures, particularly from nimble competitors in the fast-casual dining segment capitalizing on changing consumer preferences, further weigh on McDonald's outlook. The company's ability to retain market share in this environment remains increasingly complex, underscoring the need for a robust strategic response.
Comprehensive Analysis of McDonald's (MCD) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of McDonald's's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in McDonald's stock?
- When should I record a loss on McDonald's stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for McDonald's stock?
- What is the future of McDonald's stock?
We forecast McDonald's stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on McDonald's stocks.
McDonald’s Corporation is an American corporation, one of the largest fast food chains on the planet, which operates under a franchise system. McDonald’s serves more than 60 million customers a day, in more than a hundred countries around the world, the corporation has approximately 36,615 points. First of all, the fast food chain prepares hamburgers, cheeseburgers, fries, McChicken, Chicken McNuggets, milkshakes and more. Restaurants are operated either by franchises or by affiliates of McDonald’s itself. McDonald’s profits come from rents and fees paid by franchisees, as well as sales in their own restaurants.
The business began back in 1940, when brothers Richard and Maurice MacDonald opened the most ordinary restaurant. In 1948, the standards of the current “fast food” cafe began to be introduced into it, and the principles of food preparation became conveyor belts to speed up the process. In March 1953, McDnalds’ initial mascot was a man with a chef’s hat on his head, his name was “Speedee”, but in the end, by 1967, he was replaced by Ronald McDonald, the clown.
McDonald's Corp. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 15 news items directly related to MCD from the last 30 days. Out of these, 5 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 display bearish tendencies, and 9 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting MCD shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Jan 21, 2025, to Feb 15, 2025.
McDonald's Aims for 46%+ Operating Margin by 2025 Amid Market Challenges


McDonald’s Eyes Recovery with Value Deals Amid E.Coli Setback


Global Strength Boosts McDonald's Amid U.S. Weakness, Sales Metric Misses


McDonald's Q4 Sales Rebound: International Markets Lead the Way


McDonald's Q4 Earnings Miss: Comp Sales Edge Up 0.4%


McDonald's Q4 Earnings: Can the Fast-Food Giant Sizzle Amid Challenges?


Earnings Watch: McDonald's Amid Key Quarterly Reports


McDonald's Maintains Quarterly Dividend at $1.77 with 2.41% Yield


Chipotle's Revenue Grows, But Margins Shrink Amid Larger Portions


Waffle House Implements Egg Surcharge Amid Skyrocketing Costs


McDonald's daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 21 | 305.85 | 304.26 | 309.09 | 1.59 |
Feb 22 | 303.77 | 299.33 | 306.62 | 2.44 |
Feb 23 | 299.46 | 295.80 | 301.01 | 1.76 |
Feb 24 | 301.13 | 297.64 | 305.23 | 2.55 |
Feb 25 | 298.48 | 295.86 | 300.75 | 1.65 |
Feb 26 | 299.20 | 295.73 | 303.93 | 2.77 |
Feb 27 | 297.34 | 292.65 | 298.71 | 2.07 |
Feb 28 | 297.17 | 295.38 | 299.48 | 1.39 |
Mar 01 | 302.04 | 299.99 | 306.21 | 2.07 |
Mar 02 | 297.81 | 295.13 | 302.04 | 2.34 |
Mar 03 | 293.76 | 291.94 | 294.94 | 1.03 |
Mar 04 | 298.52 | 294.34 | 300.97 | 2.25 |
Mar 05 | 296.55 | 291.80 | 301.06 | 3.17 |
Mar 06 | 301.77 | 300.32 | 304.79 | 1.49 |
Mar 07 | 305.69 | 302.57 | 310.28 | 2.55 |
Mar 08 | 309.54 | 307.19 | 311.15 | 1.29 |
Mar 09 | 309.60 | 306.57 | 311.96 | 1.76 |
Mar 10 | 312.45 | 309.39 | 314.52 | 1.66 |
Mar 11 | 310.89 | 306.17 | 312.63 | 2.11 |
Mar 12 | 306.48 | 305.25 | 308.31 | 1.00 |
Mar 13 | 308.81 | 304.61 | 311.71 | 2.33 |
Mar 14 | 302.69 | 300.81 | 305.78 | 1.65 |
Mar 15 | 308.56 | 306.59 | 310.41 | 1.25 |
Mar 16 | 312.70 | 311.32 | 316.14 | 1.55 |
Mar 17 | 317.39 | 314.34 | 319.80 | 1.74 |
Mar 18 | 322.09 | 320.41 | 326.79 | 1.99 |
Mar 19 | 316.16 | 312.11 | 321.03 | 2.86 |
Mar 20 | 316.48 | 314.39 | 321.22 | 2.17 |
Mar 21 | 311.85 | 309.24 | 314.66 | 1.75 |
Mar 22 | 314.54 | 313.22 | 316.11 | 0.92 |
McDonald's Daily Price Targets
McDonald's Stock Forecast 02-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-21-2025: $305.85.
Positive dynamics for McDonald's shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.563%.
Pessimistic target level: 304.26
Optimistic target level: 309.09
McDonald's Stock Forecast 02-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-22-2025: $303.77.
Negative dynamics for McDonald's shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.378%.
Pessimistic target level: 299.33
Optimistic target level: 306.62
McDonald's Stock Forecast 02-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-23-2025: $299.46.
Negative dynamics for McDonald's shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.731%.
Pessimistic target level: 295.80
Optimistic target level: 301.01
McDonald's Stock Forecast 02-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-24-2025: $301.13.
Positive dynamics for McDonald's shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.486%.
Pessimistic target level: 297.64
Optimistic target level: 305.23
McDonald's Stock Forecast 02-25-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-25-2025: $298.48.
Negative dynamics for McDonald's shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.628%.
Pessimistic target level: 295.86
Optimistic target level: 300.75
McDonald's Stock Forecast 02-26-2025.
Forecast target price for 02-26-2025: $299.20.
Positive dynamics for McDonald's shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.697%.
Pessimistic target level: 295.73
Optimistic target level: 303.93
MCD (MCD) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mar. | 298.23 | 284.67 | 304.08 | 6.38 |
Apr. | 309.51 | 302.36 | 315.36 | 4.12 |
May. | 306.47 | 291.24 | 320.63 | 9.17 |
Jun. | 288.03 | 283.39 | 293.07 | 3.30 |
Jul. | 273.71 | 264.51 | 280.42 | 5.67 |
Aug. | 280.61 | 270.98 | 293.38 | 7.63 |
Sep. | 284.73 | 280.35 | 289.72 | 3.23 |
Oct. | 287.72 | 279.87 | 292.15 | 4.21 |
Nov. | 297.79 | 293.21 | 311.34 | 5.83 |
Dec. | 295.08 | 290.95 | 307.68 | 5.44 |
McDonald's forecast for this year
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $298.234. Pessimistic: $284.67. Optimistic: $304.08
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $309.508. Pessimistic: $302.36. Optimistic: $315.36
McDonald's Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $306.474. Pessimistic: $291.24. Optimistic: $320.63
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $288.025. Pessimistic: $283.39. Optimistic: $293.07
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $273.71. Pessimistic: $264.51. Optimistic: $280.42
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $280.607. Pessimistic: $270.98. Optimistic: $293.38
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $284.732. Pessimistic: $280.35. Optimistic: $289.72
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $287.722. Pessimistic: $279.87. Optimistic: $292.15
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $297.792. Pessimistic: $293.21. Optimistic: $311.34
McDonald's Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $295.082. Pessimistic: $290.95. Optimistic: $307.68
McDonald's (MCD) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 300.66 | 294.14 | 309.92 | 5.09 |
Feb | 297.29 | 286.68 | 307.28 | 6.70 |
Mar | 301.25 | 293.44 | 311.79 | 5.88 |
Apr | 309.89 | 305.34 | 316.40 | 3.50 |
May | 317.05 | 302.40 | 325.26 | 7.03 |
Jun | 306.62 | 295.46 | 320.57 | 7.83 |
Jul | 320.57 | 314.96 | 329.55 | 4.43 |
Aug | 337.40 | 329.84 | 347.56 | 5.10 |
Sep | 340.47 | 332.84 | 353.82 | 5.93 |
Oct | 337.37 | 321.79 | 348.47 | 7.66 |
Nov | 324.62 | 314.39 | 338.71 | 7.18 |
Dec | 324.62 | 320.08 | 332.57 | 3.76 |
McDonald's (MCD) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 335.30 | 318.87 | 340.93 | 6.47 |
Feb | 340.93 | 334.49 | 348.33 | 3.97 |
Mar | 348.33 | 342.24 | 361.99 | 5.46 |
Apr | 352.96 | 341.85 | 363.09 | 5.85 |
May | 355.19 | 345.99 | 365.63 | 5.37 |
Jun | 332.31 | 313.94 | 350.23 | 10.36 |
Jul | 332.55 | 317.42 | 347.44 | 8.64 |
Aug | 317.18 | 301.64 | 326.73 | 7.68 |
Sep | 303.42 | 297.26 | 313.19 | 5.09 |
Oct | 306.82 | 292.86 | 321.21 | 8.83 |
Nov | 317.12 | 308.69 | 324.89 | 4.99 |
Dec | 324.67 | 318.31 | 330.13 | 3.58 |
McDonald's information and performance
110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO, IL, US
Market capitalization of the McDonald's Corp. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of MCD shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of McDonald's is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
McDonald's (MCD) stock dividend
McDonald's last paid dividends on 03/03/2025. The next scheduled payment will be on 03/17/2025. The amount of dividends is $6.78 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about McDonald's Stock)
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Related stocks from Consumer cyclical sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.