Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Forecast for 2024–2028. Sell or Buy Prediction

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Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Forecast for 2024–2028. Sell or Buy?

Updated: April 13, 2024 (07:21)

Sector: Basic materials

The share price of Vale S.A. (VALE) now

Latest session on the 12th of April for
Vale S.A. is negative
Trading Volume: 31175638
Open: 12.25 /  High: 12.37 /  Low: 11.96
What analysts predict: $17.07
52-week High/Low: $15.39 / $11.26

50/200 Day Moving Average: $12.95 / $13.76

This figure corresponds to the Average Price over the previous 50/200 days. For Vale S.A. stocks, the 50-day moving average is the resistance level today.

For Vale S.A. stocks, the 200-day moving average is the resistance level today.

Are you interested in Vale S.A. stocks and want to buy them, or are they already in your portfolio? If yes, then on this page you will find useful information about the dynamics of the Vale S.A. stock price in 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028. How much will one Vale S.A. share be worth in 2024 - 2028?

When should I take profit in Vale S.A. stock? When should I record a loss on Vale S.A. stock? What are analysts' forecasts for Vale S.A. stock? What is the future of Vale S.A. stock? We forecast Vale S.A. stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Vale S.A. stocks. Also, when forecasting, technical analysis tools are used, world geopolitical and news factors are taken into account.

Vale S.A. stock prediction results are shown below and presented in the form of graphs, tables and text information, divided into time intervals. (Next month, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027 and 2028) The final quotes of the instrument at the close of the previous trading day are a signal to adjust the forecasts for Vale S.A. shares. This happens once a day.

Historical and forecast chart of Vale S.A. stock

The chart below shows the historical price of Vale S.A. stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Vale S.A. stock price can be found in the table below.

Long-term forecasts by years.

Unveiling the Future of VALE Stocks: Navigating Through Uncertain Waters

Trend: Bullish
Mar 16, 2024

The stock market is a dynamic entity, influenced by myriad factors ranging from economic changes to company-specific initiatives. VALE S.A., a leading iron ore producer, stands at the precipice of potential shifts in its stock rate, driven primarily by significant events and developments. Analysts and investors eyeing Vale stock forecasts are particularly focused on a few critical elements that could shape the company’s financial landscape in the near term.

Critical Influencers on the Horizon

At the heart of the discussion are declining iron ore prices, spurred by China's property crisis and waning steel demand. This downturn, highlighted by iron ore futures hitting a seven-month low, poses a significant challenge for VALE, forecasting a dampening impact on stock rates. Furthermore, the cloud of uncertainty over China’s economic outlook looms large. Employment pressures and subdued demand could further strain Vale's revenue streams, making the Chinese economic climate an essential factor in Vale stock forecasts.

On a brighter note, VALE's diligent endeavors in cost management and efficiency programs are silver linings. These initiatives are pivotal in enhancing the company’s operating performance, potentially offsetting negative pressures on its stock. Analysts could leverage these facets to craft more accurate predictions regarding VALE stock rates. This involves closely monitoring iron ore market trends, China's economic indicators, and evaluating the effectiveness of VALE's internal cost-saving measures. By analyzing these crucial elements, market experts might offer insights into whether VALE is a good stock to buy, navigating through the intricacies of Vale S.A. stock with a fine-tooth comb.

In essence, the journey of VALE stocks in the market is influenced by a confluence of external and internal factors. Falling iron ore prices and the Chinese economic scenario are significant determinants, while VALE's strategic initiatives could serve as a counterbalance. Keeping these aspects in mind will be crucial for those looking to make informed decisions in the volatile arena of stock investments.

Review the original Analysis
Leo Nelissen, with over 2608 publications since 2015 and a vast subscriber base of 30,760, stands as a highly respected financial analyst and author. His prolific output, coupled with an extensive following, underlines the popular and authoritative nature of his insights in the finance field, reflecting his excellent credibility and influential perspectives.

The Future's Gleam: VALE Stock Forecast Enlightened

Trend: Bullish
Mar 14, 2024

As tides shift in the global economic landscape, the outlook for VALE stocks holds a vivid reflection of upcoming influential events and factors. Foremost among these are the company’s operational performance and competitive advantages, projected political interference and governance issues, alongside the pivotal CEO transition and leadership. Each element plays a critical role in shaping the VALE stock forecast, offering a canvas for analysts to paint the future of VALE's stock rates.

Deciphering VALE's Stock Enigma

At the heart of an accurate VALE stock prediction, understanding the low-cost iron ore production capabilities of VALE stands paramount. This inherent strength affords VALE a competitive advantage, ensuring profitability even during lean times and therefore, underpins consistent returns to shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks. This operational prowess is a beacon for analysts aiming to navigate the Vale stock forecast with precision.

However, navigating the uncertainty brought about by potential political interventions and the anticipation surrounding Chinese demand introduces volatility. Similarly, the transition to a new CEO and the potential influences of political dynamics on this process cast shadows of unpredictability. Analysts must tread these waters carefully, discerning how such governance issues might color investor sentiment and sway the Vale S.A. stock trajectories.

In essence, to unveil the most accurate predictions concerning changes in the VALE company's stock price, analysts are tasked with a multifaceted analysis. Piecing together how operational strengths buffer against external vulnerabilities is key. Given this insight, one could argue that the path to success for those pondering "is VALE a good stock to buy" lies in understanding these dynamics deeply and watching closely as they unfold. Keeping an eye on the pulse of VALE's financial health and leadership direction could reveal much about its forward march or stumble in the stock market’s ever-vibrant tapestry.

Review the original Analysis
Bernard Zambonin has quickly marked his presence in the finance world since 2023, with an impressive 140 publications under his belt. His growing base of 619 subscribers suggests a rising popularity. However, while his viewpoints gather interest, they are still on their way to gaining widespread recognition for their credibility.

Unlocking the Future of VALE Stocks: A Vivid Glimpse into Tomorrow

Trend: Neutral
Feb 13, 2024

Delving into the intricate world of stock market fluctuations, VALE, a titan in the mining sector, emerges as a focal point for investors and analysts alike. The ebb and flow of VALE's stock rates hang in the balance, tightly tethered to a trio of pivotal factors identified in recent analyses. At the helm is the company's earnings results, a beacon guiding investors through turbulent waters. Historically, VALE’s Q4 iron ore production triumphs, surpassing estimates and kindling an upward revision in earnings expectations. This undeniable influence places earnings results at the crux of potential stock shifts, positioning them as a paramount indicator for forecasting VALE's financial horizon.

The Triple Pillars Influencing VALE's Stocks

Not trailing far behind, the synergy of dividends and a robust buyback program paints a compelling picture for shareholders. This lucrative combination not only bolsters investor confidence but also serves as a magnet for those seeking both income and capital appreciation. Lastly, the tapestry of market expectations and analyst estimates weave together a narrative that can either elevate VALE to new heights or lead to its descent, depending on the accuracy of such forecasts.

Encapsulating these elements, astute analysts can harness the power of earnings results, dividends, buyback programs, and external expectations to sculpt a near-accurate prediction of VALE's stock trajectory. By meticulously analyzing these strands, one can unlock a vivid foresight into the vicissitudes of VALE's stock rates, offering an invaluable compass for navigating the unpredictable terrains of the stock market.

Review the original Analysis
Bram de Haas, a prolific financial analyst since 2013, boasts 1227 publications and a substantial follower base of 18,749 subscribers. This impressive volume of work, alongside a decade-long tenure, underscores not only his popularity but also the high esteem in which his insights are held within the finance community. His perspectives are considered highly authoritative, reflecting exceptional credibility among readers and peers alike.

VALE S.A. Stock Forecast: Navigating through Iron Uncertainty

As investors seek potential opportunities and risks within the commodities market, the focus turns towards VALE S.A. (NYSE:VALE), a giant in the iron ore industry. With its upcoming earnings report on 2/22/2024, expectations are pinned at $0.92 in normalized EPS and $0.98 in GAAP EPS, with projected revenues hitting $13.07 billion. These figures highlight a significant surge in Vale’s Q4 iron ore production, which notably exceeded initial estimates. This development suggests a nuanced landscape for forecasting VALE stocks, particularly given the unpredictable nature of the commodities market.

Factors Influencing VALE Stock Predictability

Several pivotal elements stand out in evaluating the potential trajectory of VALE stocks. Firstly, China’s construction sector, a primary consumer of steel, exhibits declining growth. With new home sales and housing starts significantly reduced, a substantial risk looms over the demand for steel and, consequently, iron ore. This downturn is likely to assert downward pressure on iron ore prices, thereby impacting VALE’s profitability and stock performance.

Notably, the anticipated iron ore prices by the Australian government, estimated at $63/ton by 2028, further complicate the VALE stock forecast. VALE’s production costs are relatively competitive; however, the narrowing margin between production costs and market price raises concerns about future profitability.

Given these factors, the predictability of VALE stocks faces considerable challenges. Market dynamics, heavily influenced by China’s property market and global iron ore demand, will play a critical role in shaping VALE’s stock trajectory. The potential for a significant decline in China’s real estate market, which could have an impact on steel demand and, consequently, iron ore prices, is clouding investor sentiment toward VALE.

In conclusion, while VALE stocks offer an opportunity for those who are aware of trends in the commodities market, it is impossible to ignore the inherent risks highlighted by geopolitical and economic factors. As we anticipate VALE’s earning report, the question remains: Is VALE a good stock to buy? Investors must weigh the high stakes of fluctuating iron ore prices and the Chinese real estate market downturn against the company’s competitive production costs and dividend appeal. The future of VALE stocks is not carved in stone, but rather subject to the turbulent waves of global market forces.

Vale S.A. daily forecast for a month

Date Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Apr 15 11.81 11.57 12.03 3.95
Apr 16 11.84 11.69 11.97 2.40
Apr 17 11.57 11.38 11.78 3.48
Apr 18 11.27 11.16 11.35 1.70
Apr 19 11.36 11.22 11.46 2.13
Apr 20 11.22 11.03 11.40 3.30
Apr 21 11.33 11.24 11.57 2.96
Apr 22 11.42 11.17 11.55 3.34
Apr 23 11.58 11.45 11.72 2.28
Apr 24 11.67 11.55 11.86 2.60
Apr 25 11.70 11.59 11.84 2.21
Apr 26 12.00 11.72 12.23 4.30
Apr 27 11.90 11.62 12.17 4.76
Apr 28 11.91 11.69 12.12 3.67
Apr 29 12.01 11.80 12.09 2.44
Apr 30 12.23 12.00 12.48 4.01
May 01 12.48 12.24 12.72 3.95
May 02 12.52 12.43 12.72 2.36
May 03 12.35 12.12 12.50 3.18
May 04 12.43 12.27 12.53 2.10
May 05 12.39 12.26 12.56 2.46
May 06 12.53 12.28 12.83 4.47
May 07 12.41 12.26 12.65 3.16
May 08 12.74 12.47 13.00 4.32
May 09 12.69 12.40 12.93 4.27
May 10 13.05 12.86 13.35 3.81
May 11 13.12 12.84 13.23 2.97
May 12 12.88 12.69 13.01 2.56
May 13 12.51 12.40 12.59 1.54
May 14 12.43 12.30 12.65 2.79

Vale S.A. Daily Price Targets

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 04-15-2024.

Forecast target price for 04-15-2024: $11.81.
Negative dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.798%.
Pessimistic target level: 11.57
Optimistic target level: 12.03

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 04-16-2024.

Forecast target price for 04-16-2024: $11.84.
Positive dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.343%.
Pessimistic target level: 11.69
Optimistic target level: 11.97

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 04-17-2024.

Forecast target price for 04-17-2024: $11.57.
Negative dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.360%.
Pessimistic target level: 11.38
Optimistic target level: 11.78

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 04-18-2024.

Forecast target price for 04-18-2024: $11.27.
Negative dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.669%.
Pessimistic target level: 11.16
Optimistic target level: 11.35

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 04-19-2024.

Forecast target price for 04-19-2024: $11.36.
Positive dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.082%.
Pessimistic target level: 11.22
Optimistic target level: 11.46

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 04-20-2024.

Forecast target price for 04-20-2024: $11.22.
Negative dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.190%.
Pessimistic target level: 11.03
Optimistic target level: 11.40

VALE (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
May. 13.76 13.02 14.32 9.11
Jun. 14.12 13.36 15.38 13.12
Jul. 14.68 13.45 15.25 11.79
Aug. 14.00 12.67 14.78 14.31
Sep. 12.79 11.59 13.14 11.79
Oct. 12.33 11.54 13.12 12.06
Nov. 13.23 12.43 14.45 13.95
Dec. 13.53 12.56 14.60 14.01

Vale S.A. forecast for this year

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for May 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $13.76. Pessimistic: $13.02. Optimistic: $14.32

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Jun 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $14.1233. Pessimistic: $13.36. Optimistic: $15.38

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Jul 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $14.6825. Pessimistic: $13.45. Optimistic: $15.25

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Aug 2024

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $13.9954. Pessimistic: $12.67. Optimistic: $14.78

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Sep 2024

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $12.7862. Pessimistic: $11.59. Optimistic: $13.14

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Oct 2024

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $12.3259. Pessimistic: $11.54. Optimistic: $13.12

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Nov 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $13.2282. Pessimistic: $12.43. Optimistic: $14.45

Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Dec 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $13.5298. Pessimistic: $12.56. Optimistic: $14.60

Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 14.05 13.26 14.86 10.78
Feb 12.57 11.59 12.93 10.38
Mar 11.33 10.58 12.32 14.12
Apr 11.64 10.69 12.10 11.66
May 11.67 11.07 11.95 7.38
Jun 11.98 11.42 12.29 7.13
Jul 12.64 11.93 13.52 11.78
Aug 11.94 11.57 12.44 7.02
Sep 11.60 11.07 12.47 11.27
Oct 10.97 10.09 11.99 15.82
Nov 10.44 10.13 11.33 10.62
Dec 10.62 9.61 11.30 14.89

Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 10.57 9.62 10.92 11.96
Feb 10.04 9.30 10.39 10.44
Mar 9.78 9.09 10.61 14.28
Apr 9.74 8.91 10.34 13.89
May 10.12 9.83 10.64 7.65
Jun 11.08 10.64 11.99 11.21
Jul 11.99 11.19 12.30 9.00
Aug 10.76 10.35 11.51 10.10
Sep 10.41 9.49 11.10 14.52
Oct 10.71 10.38 11.18 7.13
Nov 10.95 10.63 11.98 11.29
Dec 12.17 11.85 12.88 8.05

Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 12.91 12.04 13.94 13.57
Feb 12.88 11.69 13.28 11.99
Mar 13.07 12.24 14.20 13.81
Apr 12.82 12.05 13.66 11.82
May 13.09 12.42 13.85 10.33
Jun 13.50 12.55 14.70 14.66
Jul 13.23 12.40 13.69 9.39
Aug 13.83 13.10 14.46 9.41
Sep 13.65 12.96 14.94 13.26
Oct 13.81 13.01 14.32 9.14
Nov 14.31 13.55 14.72 7.93
Dec 14.77 14.08 15.43 8.73

Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2028

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 15.27 14.31 16.60 13.79
Feb 15.08 14.07 15.48 9.12
Mar 14.98 14.18 16.13 12.04
Apr 14.65 13.67 15.83 13.66
May 16.13 15.59 17.08 8.73
Jun 17.70 16.13 19.37 16.77
Jul 17.12 15.81 17.53 9.84
Aug 17.90 16.57 18.44 10.14
Sep 17.80 17.33 18.54 6.56
Oct 16.41 15.15 16.90 10.37
Nov 16.51 15.97 17.36 7.99
Dec 16.49 15.85 17.00 6.75

Vale S.A. information and performance

Vale S.A. Address


Market Capitalization: 53 125 595 000 $

Market capitalization of the Vale S.A. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of VALE shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.

EBITDA: 87 156 998 000 $

EBITDA of Vale S.A. is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.

PE Ratio: 6.78

P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit

PEG Ratio: 10.64

Price/earnings to growth

DPS: 1.75

Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.

DY: 0.144

Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.

EPS: 1.83

EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY: -0.355
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY: 0.028
Trailing PE: 6.78

Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.

Forward PE: 5.16

Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.

EV To Revenue: 1.583

Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue

EV To EBITDA: 4.381

The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).

Shares Outstanding: 4280220000

Number of issued ordinary shares

Shares Float: N/A

Number of freely tradable shares

Shares Short Prior Month: N/A

Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.

Short Ratio: N/A
Percent Insiders: N/A
Percent Institutions: N/A

Vale S.A. (VALE) stock dividend

Vale S.A. last paid dividends on 03/12/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 03/26/2024. The amount of dividends is $1.75 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.

Last Split Factor:

Last Split Date: 01/01/1970

Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.

For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.

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All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.