Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Stocks Prediction







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Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Rivian shares Sell or Buy?

Updated: September 20, 2024 (18:16)

Sector: Consumer cyclical

The share price of Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A (RIVN) now

Latest session on the 19th of September for
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is positive
Trading Volume: 29977431
Open: 13.35 /  High: 13.65 /  Low: 13.09
What analysts predict: $17.68
52-week High/Low: $24.87 / $8.26
50-Day Moving Average: $14.66 — resistance level today
200-Day Moving Average: $13.91 — resistance level today

News Impact Analyzer

Full report
This Week
Na Impact: Na News: Na
Previous Week
Bearish Impact: 5 News: 2
Two Weeks Ago
Na Impact: Na News: Na
Three Weeks Ago
Na Impact: Na News: 1

Analysts predictions

Full report
This Week
Neutral Opinions: Na
Previous Week
Bearish Opinions: 1
Two Weeks Ago
Neutral Opinions: Na
Three Weeks Ago
Neutral Opinions: 3

Analyzing the Most Important RIVN news

Rivian Faces Supply Chain Challenge Amid Production Ramp-Up

Sep 11, 2024
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 5
The post highlights Rivian's ongoing production challenges due to supplier issues, impacting short-term output. While shares rose and future plans are ambitious, ongoing supply chain problems balance out bullish sentiment. This suggests a neutral trend for RIVN in the short term, as potential gains are offset by operational hurdles. Future stock performance depends on resolving these issues effectively.

Rocket Lab Welcomes Ex-Rivian COO Amid Expansion

Sep 10, 2024
Trend: Bearish
Influence: 5
Rivian's loss of Frank Klein as COO to Rocket Lab could temporarily impact RIVN negatively, as Klein played a significant role in scaling its operations. This transition might create uncertainty or disrupt Rivian's strategic plans, at least in the short term, leading to a bearish sentiment. This change partially affects Rivian's stock potential but isn't dramatically influential.

Fire Damages Vehicles at Rivian's Illinois Plant, Production Unaffected

Aug 25, 2024
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 4
The fire at Rivian's Illinois plant did not affect the assembly line, minimizing operational disruptions. However, damaged vehicles may lead to minor concerns. This incident's impact on the stock is limited, as the core manufacturing remains unaffected, hence a Neutral trend with moderate influence on short-term stock movement.

Historical and forecast chart of Rivian Automotive stock

The chart below shows the historical price of Rivian Automotive stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Rivian Automotive stock price can be found in the table below.

Long-term forecasts by years.

Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Analysts predictions review

As of now, Panda has combed through 4 analytical articles which are directly related to RIVN from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 3 stay neutral.

To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Aug 24, 2024 to Sep 09, 2024.

Rivian's Rocky Road: High Costs and Market Competition Challenge Growth

Trend: Bearish
Sep 09, 2024

In his latest analytical piece, Daniel Jones adopts a decidedly Bearish stance on RIVN stock, offering insights that warrant close attention. As a contributor since 2014 with an impressive output of 4,807 publications, Jones has established a robust presence with an audience of over 32,000 subscribers. His high publication frequency underscores his active engagement and expertise in financial analysis. Given his extensive tenure, the fact that he has been able to consistently release insightful content reflects both his dedication and acumen. Moreover, Jones's credibility is esteemed as excellent, positioning his perspectives as highly authoritative within the financial community. Readers can thus trust that his cautious outlook on RIVN is grounded in years of reliable analysis and a profound understanding of market dynamics.

Key Theses of the Analytical Article

  • The electric vehicle market is increasingly competitive with slowing sales growth and rising model availability.
  • Rivian Automotive faces significant challenges such as high production costs and negative cash flow.
  • The company's ambitious production goals and potential revenue growth are overshadowed by substantial financial risks and competitive pressures.
  • Rivian's recent performance demonstrates minimal sales growth and ongoing losses, which challenges their ability to achieve margin targets.

Factors Influencing RIVN Stock Price

High Production Costs and Negative Cash Flow

Significance: 9 out of 10

The article outlines Rivian's struggle with high production costs, stating they lose nearly $33,000 on each vehicle, contributing to their significant negative cash flow—creating financial difficulty in short term operations. This high burn rate, if uncontested, could severely erode investor confidence and depress stock prices further.

Competitive Pressure in the Electric Vehicle Market

Significance: 8 out of 10

The article highlights increasing competition with the number of EV models set to rise to 134 in 2023, a jump from 88 in 2020. Such competitive pressure could threaten Rivian's market share and pricing power, adversely affecting their revenue potential.

Production and Revenue Growth Aspirations

Significance: 7 out of 10

Rivian's ambitious plans to increase production to 215,000 units and target $18.46 billion in total revenue by 2027 are crucial for investor confidence, although contingent on execution amid present financial challenges. These aspirations could boost stock sentiment if materialized successfully but present substantial risk if unmet.

VW Partnership and External Investments

Significance: 6 out of 10

The Volkswagen deal worth around $4 billion represents a critical infusion of capital for Rivian, which could help stabilize short-term finances. However, reliance on such deals highlights a precarious reliance on external funding to sustain operations.

Current Poor Financial Performance

Significance: 9 out of 10

Rivian's net loss of $1.46 billion in the recent quarter, worsened than the previous year, signals deteriorating financial health to investors. Persisting losses can contribute to stock price volatility and increased skepticism about Rivian's ability to turn profitable.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

The article highlights Rivian Automotive’s bumpy journey in the electric vehicle sector, grappling with hefty production costs and an intensifying competitive landscape. Losing nearly $33,000 per vehicle and significant negative cash flow underscore their current short-term financial struggles. With key market players increasing, Rivian faces rising pressure to maintain market share and pricing power—a daunting challenge that could impact their ability to enhance revenue.

Despite Rivian’s attempts to reassure investors with ambitious production goals and partnerships like the $4 billion Volkswagen infusion, the stinging $1.46 billion net loss in the recent quarter paints a stark picture of financial distress. Over the next 15 days, the factors averagely weigh heavily with strong potential to negatively influence Rivian's stock, and this tread might persist in the coming month unless a notable financial turnaround gains momentum. The article evokes concern about Rivian's capability to navigate competitive and financial hurdles while restoring investor confidence.

Rivian Balances on Financial Tightrope Amid Growth Hopes and Cash Concerns

Trend: Neutral
Aug 26, 2024

In his analytical financial article, Daniel P. Varga takes a Neutral stance on RIVN stock, offering a balanced and well-reasoned perspective on its potential. Since becoming a contributor in 2021, Varga has published an impressive 127 pieces, indicating a consistent level of expertise and dedication to financial analysis. With nearly a thousand subscribers, his viewpoints resonate widely within the investment community. Varga's authority in the field is evidenced by his average credibility, lending significant weight to his assessments. Readers can expect a measured and thoughtful review of RIVN stock, reflecting Varga's steady and objective analytical approach.

Key Theses

  • Rivian Automotive holds a strong brand presence and has a partnership with Volkswagen.
  • The US economy shows signs of a soft landing, which can support Rivian's growth.
  • Rivian's Q2 2024 results show progress in production but the company is still unprofitable.
  • Operational and financial challenges persist for Rivian, including significant cash burn.
  • The EV market is growing but faces challenges such as high-interest rates and inadequate charging infrastructure.

Factors Influencing RIVN Stock Price

Strong Brand Presence and Volkswagen Partnership

Significance: 7 out of 10

The partnership with Volkswagen and a strong brand can enhance Rivian’s competitive position, potentially attracting more customers. However, the benefits are long-term and may not immediately offset current financial challenges.

US Economic Conditions

Significance: 6 out of 10

A soft landing for the US economy could spur consumer spending, including on EVs, which would benefit Rivian. However, mixed economic signals mean this impact is uncertain and requires sustained favorable conditions.

Q2 2024 Production and Financial Results

Significance: 8 out of 10

Rivian's Q2 results show increased production but continued financial losses could dampen investor confidence. Significant cash burn and the quest for profitability make this a crucial factor in near-term stock performance.

Operational Challenges

Significance: 7 out of 10

Challenges like parts shortages and production delays directly affect Rivian's ability to meet delivery targets, impacting revenue and stock price. Continued operational hurdles can erode investor trust and dampen stock performance.

EV Market Growth and Challenges

Significance: 6 out of 10

While the EV market is growing, high-interest rates and inadequate charging infrastructure pose risks to market expansion. These challenges may slow adoption rates, affecting Rivian’s sales and ultimately its stock price.

Rivian's Cash Reserve and Cash Burn Rate

Significance: 9 out of 10

Rivian's substantial cash reserve of $7.9 billion provides a buffer against near-term financial distress, reducing bankruptcy risks. However, high cash burn rates remain a significant concern for long-term sustainability and stock performance.

Valuation and Investor Sentiment

Significance: 8 out of 10

With a current market cap of around $14 billion, Rivian's valuation is more modest than its initial $150 billion but remains high relative to fundamentals. Investor sentiment is cautious due to the ongoing losses and the distant prospect of profitability.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

Rivian's journey reflects a delicate balance between potential and pitfalls. With a strong brand and a promising partnership with Volkswagen, there's no denying the EV maker's allure. Recent Q2 results indicate production progress, but the persistent cash burn and operational challenges cast a shadow on its immediate prospects. Analyzing the influence of various factors, we see an average strength of 7.3 on the stock's trend in the next 15 days, suggesting a cautiously neutral stance.

In the longer term, the anticipated growth in the EV market and favorable economic conditions might support Rivian, but hurdles like high-interest rates and inadequate charging infrastructure can't be ignored. The company's substantial cash reserves offer some reassurance, but with an average influence strength of 7.42 for the next month, it seems investors should maintain a wait-and-see approach. The sentiment is cautious optimism balanced by substantial risks, making 'neutral' the fitting trend designation.

Aug 25, 2024
Rivian's Rollercoaster: Can a VW Partnership Steady the Ride?
Trend: Neutral
Aug 24, 2024
Rivian's Rocky Road: Profit Worries and Strategic Hurdles Ahead
Trend: Neutral
Aug 13, 2024
Rivian Stocks Soar After Q2 Triumph and Strategic VW Alliance
Trend: Strong Bullish
Aug 12, 2024
Rivian's Rocky Road: Looming Cash Burn and Stagnant Production
Trend: Bearish
Aug 11, 2024
Rivian Accelerates Towards Growth with VW's $5 Billion Boost
Trend: Strong Bullish
Aug 09, 2024
Rivian's Strategic Moves and Financial Maneuvering Showcase Resilience
Trend: Bullish

Comprehensive Analysis of Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Market Performance


Our multifaceted analysis of Rivian Automotive's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:

  • When should I take profit in Rivian Automotive stock?
  • When should I record a loss on Rivian Automotive stock?
  • What are analysts' forecasts for Rivian Automotive stock?
  • What is the future of Rivian Automotive stock?

We forecast Rivian Automotive stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Rivian Automotive stocks.

Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 3 news items directly related to RIVN from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 display bearish tendencies, and 2 events are neutral.

Based on an analysis of the most crucial news from the last 30 days affecting RIVN stocks, it's clear that bearish sentiments are completely overshadowing bullish ones. The impact of negative news is more than five times dominant over positive developments.

The news analyzed fell within the period from Aug 25, 2024, to Sep 11, 2024.

βeta
Aug 16, 2024

Rivian Faces Production Challenges Amid Supply Chain Hurdles

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
The pausing of Amazon van production due to parts shortage reflects operational challenges for Rivian, exacerbating investor concerns. With shares already down significantly YTD and potential reduced vehicle deliveries to Amazon, market sentiment is likely to remain negative, impacting near-term stock performance.
Aug 13, 2024

Automakers Slash Prices Again in July Amid Inventory Surge

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 5
The news of increasing incentives and lowering prices can have mixed effects on Rivian (RIVN). While the cost-competitive environment could challenge EV manufacturers, the relatively high incentive packages for EVs may benefit consumer adoption of Rivian's offerings, balancing the overall impact.
Aug 13, 2024

European EV Sales Stagnate in H1 2024, Rivian Shares Climb 2.5%

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
Despite Europe's slow EV sales, Rivian's shares rose by 2.5%, benefiting from global EV market growth of 20%. The company's stock is positively influenced by overall sector optimism and strong performances in competitive regions like China. This mitigates concerns over European market stagnation, making the stock a bullish investment in the near term.
Aug 06, 2024

Rivian Misses Q2 Revenue Targets, Maintains Annual Guidance

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
Rivian's failure to meet Q2 revenue expectations signals potential challenges in sales or production, which can shake investor confidence. Although the annual guidance remains unchanged, missing targets can create short-term bearish pressure on the stock. Market sentiment may reflect caution, affecting Rivian's stock price negatively in the near term.
Aug 06, 2024

Rivian Faces Continued Challenges Despite Q2 Revenue Rise

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 7
Despite revenue gains, Rivian's increased losses and maintaining negative EBITDA point to ongoing financial challenges. The impact of higher operational expenses and reduced sales prices outweighs positive developments, likely putting downward pressure on the stock. The slight optimism for Q4 gross profit does not mitigate current market concerns.
Aug 06, 2024

Rivian Beats EPS Estimates but Misses Revenue Targets; Announces $5B Joint Venture with Volkswagen

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 7
While Rivian's EPS beat expectations, missing revenue targets could concern investors. The announcement of a $5B joint venture with Volkswagen is promising, but the market may need more time to assess its implications. Overall, the near-term stock price is likely to experience moderate volatility as investors digest mixed signals.
Aug 05, 2024

Rivian Q2 Earnings: What's in Store for Investors on August 6?

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 6
The post reflects a mix of expectations for Rivian's Q2 earnings, with both positive and negative revisions. The revenue growth and past performance give a neutral outlook. The partnership with Volkswagen is promising but hasn't yet shown concrete effects. Moderate influence on stock price due to balanced sentiment and market expectations.
Jul 29, 2024

Rivian and Volkswagen Secure Joint Venture Approval in Germany, Potential $5B Boost

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
The regulatory approval and significant investment from Volkswagen provide Rivian with essential capital to expand production and reduce costs, positioning it favorably for future growth. This collaboration should enhance Rivian's financial stability and competitive edge, likely positively impacting its stock price in the near term.
Jul 27, 2024

Blockbuster Amazon Earnings Could Electrify These Stocks and ETFs

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Amazon's earnings report will likely boost RIVN due to their 17% stake and plans to expand the fleet of electric vehicles. Any positive financial indicators for Amazon could bolster investor confidence in RIVN's future, significantly impacting its stock price in the short term.
Jul 19, 2024

Trump Vows to Scrap EV Mandate - Rivian and Others Tumble

Trend: Bearish
Influence: 8
Trump's promise to end EV mandates is bearish for Rivian as it threatens regulatory support crucial for EV adoption. The announcement spooked investors, causing the stock to drop. Given Rivian's reliance on pro-EV policies, this news significantly impacts the company's stock price in the near term.

Rivian Automotive daily forecast for a month

Date Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Sep 22 13.87 13.70 14.01 2.27
Sep 23 14.04 13.72 14.27 4.01
Sep 24 13.48 13.25 13.63 2.81
Sep 25 13.74 13.55 13.96 3.04
Sep 26 13.48 13.37 13.63 1.98
Sep 27 13.54 13.36 13.73 2.84
Sep 28 13.45 13.12 13.85 5.53
Sep 29 13.49 13.08 13.86 5.98
Sep 30 13.78 13.42 14.08 4.93
Oct 01 14.02 13.86 14.34 3.48
Oct 02 14.22 13.81 14.65 6.10
Oct 03 14.57 14.41 14.84 2.99
Oct 04 14.57 14.45 14.92 3.31
Oct 05 14.83 14.43 14.96 3.70
Oct 06 15.21 14.77 15.54 5.19
Oct 07 15.45 15.20 15.78 3.82
Oct 08 15.16 14.99 15.42 2.87
Oct 09 15.25 15.00 15.50 3.29
Oct 10 15.06 14.67 15.31 4.40
Oct 11 14.64 14.34 14.91 4.00
Oct 12 14.49 14.11 14.73 4.39
Oct 13 14.03 13.85 14.40 3.97
Oct 14 14.41 14.15 14.78 4.48
Oct 15 14.15 14.02 14.31 2.06
Oct 16 14.33 14.01 14.55 3.80
Oct 17 14.19 13.91 14.50 4.24
Oct 18 13.80 13.66 14.20 3.96
Oct 19 13.60 13.19 13.99 6.06
Oct 20 13.50 13.20 13.80 4.54
Oct 21 13.07 12.83 13.28 3.55

Rivian Automotive Daily Price Targets


Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-22-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-22-2024: $13.87.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.218%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.70
Optimistic target level: 14.01

Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-23-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-23-2024: $14.04.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.858%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.72
Optimistic target level: 14.27

Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-24-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-24-2024: $13.48.
Negative dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.730%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.25
Optimistic target level: 13.63

Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-25-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-25-2024: $13.74.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.952%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.55
Optimistic target level: 13.96

Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-26-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-26-2024: $13.48.
Negative dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.938%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.37
Optimistic target level: 13.63

Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-27-2024.

Forecast target price for 09-27-2024: $13.54.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.760%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.36
Optimistic target level: 13.73

RIVN (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Oct. 13.86 12.84 14.36 10.60
Nov. 16.23 15.38 18.19 15.42
Dec. 15.68 13.50 17.11 21.10

Rivian Automotive forecast for this year


Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Oct 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $13.8601. Pessimistic: $12.84. Optimistic: $14.36


Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Nov 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $16.2302. Pessimistic: $15.38. Optimistic: $18.19


Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Dec 2024

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $15.6751. Pessimistic: $13.50. Optimistic: $17.11



Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 15.36 13.29 15.95 16.65
Feb 16.61 14.67 18.13 19.12
Mar 19.09 17.20 20.26 15.10
Apr 18.88 16.34 19.56 16.51
May 18.24 15.68 20.73 24.38
Jun 16.93 15.65 18.48 15.33
Jul 16.29 15.03 17.05 11.86
Aug 14.53 12.70 15.39 17.50
Sep 15.76 14.96 17.51 14.57
Oct 15.84 15.10 17.07 11.53
Nov 15.98 13.71 17.22 20.38
Dec 15.95 15.32 16.73 8.41

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 17.02 15.64 18.30 14.56
Feb 18.27 16.30 19.39 15.94
Mar 20.71 19.92 22.20 10.24
Apr 23.24 22.20 25.08 11.51
May 20.90 17.96 23.53 23.66
Jun 21.01 20.07 22.90 12.39
Jul 21.24 18.91 23.46 19.40
Aug 22.62 19.68 25.59 23.07
Sep 25.51 22.89 27.48 16.71
Oct 26.88 25.67 29.21 12.09
Nov 27.41 25.74 29.34 12.28
Dec 28.01 25.69 31.79 19.19

Rivian Automotive information and performance

Rivian Automotive Address

14600 MYFORD ROAD, IRVINE, CA, US

Market Capitalization: 13 258 750 000 $

Market capitalization of the Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of RIVN shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.

EBITDA: -4 800 000 000 $

EBITDA of Rivian Automotive is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.

PE Ratio: None

P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit

PEG Ratio: None

Price/earnings to growth

DPS: None

Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.

DY: None

Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.

EPS: -5.95

EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY: N/A
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY: 0.033
Trailing PE: -

Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.

Forward PE: -

Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.

EV To Revenue: 2.331

Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue

EV To EBITDA: -1.955

The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).

Shares Outstanding: 1000450000

Number of issued ordinary shares

Shares Float: N/A

Number of freely tradable shares

Shares Short Prior Month: N/A

Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.

Short Ratio: N/A
Percent Insiders: N/A
Percent Institutions: N/A


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Disclaimer:

All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.