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Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Rivian shares Sell or Buy?
Updated: May 22, 2025 (01:39)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A (RIVN) now
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Analyzing the Most Important RIVN news

Rivian Faces Jefferies Downgrade Amid Weaker Demand Outlook


Rivian Secures $1B VW Funding After Achieving Positive Gross Profit


Volkswagen Unlocks $1 Billion Investment Following Rivian's Q1 Gross Profit Success

Historical and forecast chart of Rivian Automotive stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Rivian Automotive stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Rivian Automotive stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Analysts predictions review

Rivian's stock faces a mixed outlook due to several key factors. On the positive side, the company is improving production capabilities and leveraging strong liquidity to navigate operational challenges. However, supply chain constraints, high input costs, and competition in the EV market continue to pressure margins. Additionally, Rivian's significant cash burn and reliance on capital-intensive operations pose concerns if funding risks materialize. Macroeconomic headwinds, such as high interest rates and cautious sentiment towards speculative growth stocks, amplify these risks. While Rivian's innovation efforts and market demand for niche adventure EVs remain encouraging, near-term volatility and uncertainties around profitability weigh on its trajectory.

Rivian: Assessing Key Drivers and Risks Amid Market Volatility

Rivian's production ramp-up remains a critical focus, as investors weigh the company's ability to scale manufacturing efficiently without compromising quality. The author highlights that while RIVN's progress has been notable, supply chain pressures and cost inflation continue to strain margins, creating potential volatility in quarterly results.
The company's competitive positioning within the EV market is another pivotal factor, especially as legacy automakers and startups intensify their push into electrification. According to the author, Rivian's strong brand and initial enthusiasm are assets, but achieving sustained market share will require execution on promised production targets and innovation leadership.
Financial Health and Market Sentiment
Liquidity concerns are a recurring theme, particularly due to Rivian's capital-intensive business model and substantial cash burn. The author alludes to potential funding risks, which could lead to dilution or impact the company's ability to invest in strategic initiatives if not managed effectively.
Broader market sentiment around growth stocks, especially in high-interest-rate environments, also plays a role in the stock's near-term movements. A cautious stance among investors toward speculative, unprofitable companies may place downward pressure on RIVN, unless the company can demonstrate meaningful progress toward profitability.

Rivian Automotive: Navigating Challenges Amid Shifting Market Dynamics

Rivian's production ramp-up remains a critical factor influencing its future growth trajectory. The author highlights concerns about supply chain constraints and operational inefficiencies, which could significantly impact Rivian's ability to meet demand and achieve economies of scale. These challenges are likely to exert downward pressure on the company's stock price if unaddressed.
Pressure Points and Operational Stability
Profitability challenges stemming from high input costs and increased competition in the EV market are another pivotal factor. The author indicates that Rivian's ability to decrease its burn rate and improve gross margins will be essential for sustaining investor confidence in the near term. Failure to demonstrate these improvements could limit upside potential for its stock.
Lastly, macroeconomic factors such as rising interest rates and consumer sentiment are integral to Rivian's outlook. As the broader EV market remains volatile, any prolonged economic headwinds could weigh further on the stock. The author underscores how these external factors might amplify existing operational risks for Rivian.

Rivian: Strategic Momentum Amid Industry Shifts

Rivian's improving production capabilities play a significant role in enhancing investor confidence. The company’s focus on scaling operations and optimizing its manufacturing processes signals potential for stronger revenue growth in the near-to-mid term, although cost management remains a crucial challenge.
Operational cost pressures and cash burn were highlighted as ongoing concerns, but the author emphasizes Rivian's robust liquidity, which provides a financial cushion. This balance of risk and liquidity strength suggests that while challenges exist, they are less likely to derail short-term operations or strategic initiatives.
Market Demand and Competitive Position
The growing market demand for EVs, particularly in Rivian’s niche of adventure-oriented electric trucks and SUVs, was underscored as a positive driver. However, competition from established automakers and new entrants remains a caveat, potentially tempering the company’s ability to seize market share quickly.
Finally, the author highlights Rivian's commitment to innovation, particularly in software and vehicle autonomy, as a long-term differentiator. These efforts could strengthen Rivian’s brand positioning and pricing power, mitigating the impact of industry price wars on profitability.
Concerns about Rivian's demand challenges center around its ability to sustain pre-order volumes and attract new customers in a competitive electric vehicle (EV) market. Lower-than-expected delivery figures coupled with a limited offering relative to larger players like Tesla signal potential issues in capturing market share effectively. The author underscores this as a key headwind impacting investor sentiment.
Operational Challenges and Macro Risks
The production ramp-up at Rivian reveals significant operational hurdles, particularly in scaling manufacturing processes efficiently while managing costs. Delayed timelines, rising raw material prices, and supply chain constraints continue to compress margins and raise questions on long-term profitability. According to the author, these issues heighten financial risks for the company.
Concerns also extend to macroeconomic factors, including tightening consumer spending and the rising cost of capital. Interest rate increases may weigh on Rivian's financing and consumers' willingness to adopt expensive EVs, limiting demand traction near term. The interplay of these factors could exacerbate difficulties in achieving economies of scale, putting pressure on Rivian's valuation outlook.
The company’s reduction in near-term delivery guidance highlights the operational challenges it faces in scaling production. While this adjustment reflects current logistical and manufacturing hurdles, it remains aligned with broader trends in the EV industry, where growth involves significant growing pains.
Rivian’s R2 platform, as emphasized by the author, remains the centerpiece of its growth strategy and a potential game-changer. Its future market positioning and value proposition are critical indicators that could fuel long-term profitability and catalyze shareholder value once production scales.
Impact of Short-Term Pressures vs. Long-Term Potential
Investor sentiment may face headwinds due to short-term delivery cuts, exerting pressure on the stock price in the immediate term. However, these adjustments lack material impact on Rivian’s strategic trajectory, making any dip in share price a potential opportunity for long-term-oriented investors.
Key long-term tailwinds, including Rivian’s strong cash position and its ability to innovate within the EV space, significantly support its outlook. Although near-term volatility is likely, the underlying business fundamentals suggest resilience and potential for significant upside in the years ahead.
Rivian is gaining traction in its competitive positioning within the EV market, supported by robust vehicle delivery growth and expanding production capabilities. This upward momentum strengthens confidence in the company’s operational capacity, a critical factor for capturing market share in an increasingly crowded sector.
Headwinds and Financial Sustainability
The firm’s ability to manage costs effectively and maintain a strong cash position appears pivotal to its long-term success. Investors should monitor these aspects closely, as cash burn and margin improvements directly impact valuation and stock performance.
Additionally, Rivian's partnerships with suppliers and potential advancements in autonomous driving technology could serve as key catalysts for future growth. The acceleration of such initiatives aligns with investor expectations for innovation leadership.
Rivian’s gross margins have emerged as the pivotal factor influencing the trajectory of the company’s stock. The significant focus on improving production efficiency and achieving economies of scale underscores Rivian's efforts to counteract broader industry pricing pressures. The author suggests that expanding gross margins could reaffirm investor confidence in the company's financial strategy.
Sustained growth in Rivian’s delivery metrics remains another crucial factor discussed. With the rising demand for EVs and Rivian’s ability to scale production and meet quarterly expectations, the delivery performance could significantly impact market sentiment, reinforcing or undermining the perception of operational execution.
Strategic Positioning in the EV Market
The competitive landscape and Rivian’s strategic decisions in supply chain management are also noteworthy. Effective management in sourcing key components and maintaining production timelines positions Rivian as a strong contender in the EV market. This is particularly relevant as global chip shortages persist, impacting many automakers, and any missteps here could have a lasting effect on shareholder enthusiasm.
The article also highlights Rivian’s financial health and cash reserves as critical elements of its operational sustainability. The ability to raise capital and deploy it efficiently to fund R&D, maintain production cycles, and explore future growth opportunities forms the backbone of its long-term viability.
Rivian's strategic positioning as a competitor to Tesla in the electric vehicle (EV) market presents notable opportunities, especially amidst Tesla's current challenges in scaling production and model diversification. The author emphasizes Rivian's ability to capture market share by leveraging consumer demand for specialized EV offerings, highlighting its appeal in the premium truck and SUV segment.
Key Drivers Impacting Rivian's Outlook
Operational efficiency and production ramp-up remain pivotal for Rivian's near-term success. The author underscores Rivian's progress in increasing manufacturing capacity, which could directly influence revenue acceleration and investor confidence, particularly as demand steadily grows for EVs globally.
Financial performance and liquidity are critical factors shaping Rivian's trajectory. The discussion points to Rivian's substantial cash burn rate and its pursuit of additional funding as potential risks, although recent capital raises may serve as a buffer against these pressures. Maintaining robust cash reserves will be essential for sustaining operations and innovation.
Competitive dynamics within the EV sector also play a significant role in Rivian's outlook. As Tesla faces ongoing scrutiny related to pricing strategies and product reliability, Rivian is uniquely positioned to build a differentiated brand, which could strengthen its equity in the long term. However, achieving profitability remains one of its largest hurdles, given the high fixed costs inherent in scaling automotive production.
Rivian’s operational challenges, particularly its ability to scale production efficiently, remain a critical factor influencing its stock performance. The author highlights supply chain bottlenecks and rising costs, both of which pose substantial hurdles to meeting delivery targets and achieving profitability, potentially dampening investor confidence in the near term.
Critical Financial and Market Pressures Impacting Rivian
The competitive dynamics in the electric vehicle industry add further pressure on Rivian, as established automakers and emerging players intensify the race for market share. The author underscores that Rivian’s relative lack of pricing power and brand loyalty compared to incumbents may limit its ability to capture significant revenue growth during key periods.
Macroeconomic conditions, including interest rate hikes and consumer demand shifts, play an additional role in determining Rivian’s prospects. These external factors impact financing costs and potential adoption of its premium-priced vehicles, which could curtail growth opportunities unless paired with robust operational efficiency and market differentiation.
Rivian's ability to identify opportunities within adverse conditions, such as Trump-era tariffs, underscores its strategic agility. The author highlights how the company turned these tariffs into a competitive advantage by leveraging domestic manufacturing optimized for EV production. This approach not only minimizes costs relative to competitors highly reliant on imports but also strengthens Rivian's market positioning.
Long-Term Potential Reinforced by Strategic Actions
The commentary draws attention to Rivian's improving operational efficiency, which aligns closely with enhanced economies of scale. The effects of production ramp-up are expected to translate into better cost management, further supporting the stock's upward trajectory. Additionally, the author emphasizes Rivian's recent partnerships and supply chain improvements, which mitigate risks and support growth prospects, benefitting both the company’s fundamentals and investor confidence.
Although macroeconomic factors such as inflationary pressures and interest rate risks remain concerns, Rivian's long-term strategy seems designed to absorb volatility through increased focus on innovation and sustainability. The author's rating upgrade reflects a combination of operational improvements and external positioning advantages, making Rivian's stock a promising candidate for bullish sentiment.
Rivian’s recent performance highlights critical operational challenges that are shifting market sentiment. Production scalability remains a focal concern, as the company’s ability to execute on aggressive manufacturing goals faces delays and inefficiencies, which could limit near-term output and revenue growth. The author, Array, emphasizes that these hurdles may temper expectations for a swift recovery in stock performance.
Impact of Financial Strategy and Competitive Landscape
The company's financial strategy, particularly its cash burn and capital deployment, appears unsustainable without a clear path to profitability. While Rivian’s utility vehicle offerings have a strong market appeal, competitive dynamics from established EV competitors and legacy automakers exert increased pricing pressure, further straining margins. The analysis provided by Array underscores that these factors could weigh heavily on investor confidence in the foreseeable future.
Broader economic conditions and interest rate sensitivity are additional headwinds for RIVN’s valuation. With elevated rates narrowing growth stock appeal, Rivian’s reliance on external funding raises concerns about its financial endurance amid tightening liquidity conditions. The author’s perspective suggests that these macro-level challenges may keep downward pressure on Rivian’s stock price.
Rivian's journey to achieving EBITDA breakeven hinges on its ability to scale production efficiently while controlling costs. The author highlights the company’s significant ramp-up in production volumes as a key factor, which, while positive for near-term growth, exposes it to execution risks and potential supply chain pressures that could strain margins.
Cost discipline remains a critical component for Rivian’s financial trajectory, as persistently high operating and R&D expenses weigh heavily on profitability. According to the author, the company must strike a balance between investing in future growth and managing cash burn, given its capital-intensive business model.
Long-Term Challenges and Competitive Environment
The broader EV industry dynamics present both opportunities and headwinds for Rivian. The article emphasizes intensifying competition from established automakers and new entrants, which could pressure market share and pricing power, potentially impacting revenue growth.
The company’s access to capital markets and cash reserves are strengths that enable it to weather short-term volatility. However, the author points out that continued reliance on external funding may dilute shareholder value and raise concerns about long-term sustainability if profitability targets are delayed.
Comprehensive Analysis of Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Rivian Automotive's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Rivian Automotive stock?
- When should I record a loss on Rivian Automotive stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Rivian Automotive stock?
- What is the future of Rivian Automotive stock?
We forecast Rivian Automotive stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Rivian Automotive stocks.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 6 news items directly related to RIVN from the last 30 days. Out of these, 3 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 display bearish tendencies, and 2 events are neutral.
The strength of the bullish trend outpaces the bearish sentiments by 3 times, indicating that the news backdrop is positively influencing the company’s stock price in the current outlook.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Apr 21, 2025, to May 14, 2025.
Rivian Posts Narrower Loss and Beating Revenues, But Shares Dip Slightly


Rivian to Invest $120M in Massive Illinois Supplier Park by 2026




Rivian Expands Leadership with Aidan Gomez Appointment


Goldman Sachs Downgrades Auto Sector Amid Tariff and Demand Concerns


Seeking Alpha Analysts Rate Rivian and Other Key Stocks: Upgrades and Market Shifts


Key Stocks in Spotlight Amid Market Selloff: BB, RH, RIVN, and TKO


Rivian Spins Off Micromobility Division: Streamlining Focus Towards Core EV Business


Tesla Warns of Tariff Fallout: Ripple Effects on Auto Industry Loom


Rivian and XPEL Strengthen Partnership for Vehicle Customization


Rivian Automotive daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
May 23 | 17.57 | 17.35 | 18.06 | 4.13 |
May 24 | 17.69 | 17.55 | 17.95 | 2.30 |
May 25 | 17.21 | 16.87 | 17.42 | 3.26 |
May 26 | 17.02 | 16.66 | 17.51 | 5.11 |
May 27 | 16.94 | 16.45 | 17.44 | 6.01 |
May 28 | 17.09 | 16.62 | 17.36 | 4.44 |
May 29 | 17.02 | 16.77 | 17.40 | 3.78 |
May 30 | 16.79 | 16.33 | 16.95 | 3.78 |
May 31 | 17.07 | 16.94 | 17.35 | 2.42 |
Jun 01 | 16.73 | 16.38 | 16.99 | 3.72 |
Jun 02 | 16.32 | 16.18 | 16.79 | 3.79 |
Jun 03 | 16.15 | 15.67 | 16.46 | 5.07 |
Jun 04 | 16.37 | 16.23 | 16.56 | 2.06 |
Jun 05 | 16.24 | 15.83 | 16.46 | 3.94 |
Jun 06 | 15.98 | 15.77 | 16.14 | 2.39 |
Jun 07 | 15.88 | 15.47 | 16.35 | 5.71 |
Jun 08 | 15.70 | 15.45 | 15.92 | 3.09 |
Jun 09 | 16.18 | 15.81 | 16.57 | 4.79 |
Jun 10 | 15.66 | 15.33 | 15.94 | 4.01 |
Jun 11 | 15.46 | 15.21 | 15.59 | 2.48 |
Jun 12 | 15.16 | 14.81 | 15.31 | 3.36 |
Jun 13 | 15.18 | 14.79 | 15.60 | 5.50 |
Jun 14 | 15.43 | 15.09 | 15.73 | 4.25 |
Jun 15 | 15.27 | 15.15 | 15.51 | 2.38 |
Jun 16 | 15.30 | 15.09 | 15.75 | 4.38 |
Jun 17 | 15.58 | 15.38 | 15.91 | 3.45 |
Jun 18 | 15.78 | 15.50 | 15.95 | 2.93 |
Jun 19 | 15.86 | 15.39 | 16.19 | 5.24 |
Jun 20 | 15.27 | 15.14 | 15.44 | 1.98 |
Jun 21 | 14.76 | 14.62 | 15.17 | 3.79 |
Rivian Automotive Daily Price Targets
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 05-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-23-2025: $17.57.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.969%.
Pessimistic target level: 17.35
Optimistic target level: 18.06
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 05-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-24-2025: $17.69.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.246%.
Pessimistic target level: 17.55
Optimistic target level: 17.95
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 05-25-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-25-2025: $17.21.
Negative dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.161%.
Pessimistic target level: 16.87
Optimistic target level: 17.42
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 05-26-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-26-2025: $17.02.
Negative dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.860%.
Pessimistic target level: 16.66
Optimistic target level: 17.51
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 05-27-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-27-2025: $16.94.
Negative dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.672%.
Pessimistic target level: 16.45
Optimistic target level: 17.44
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 05-28-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-28-2025: $17.09.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.253%.
Pessimistic target level: 16.62
Optimistic target level: 17.36
RIVN (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun. | 14.59 | 12.98 | 15.56 | 16.54 |
Jul. | 16.16 | 15.06 | 16.89 | 10.85 |
Aug. | 16.51 | 15.23 | 18.65 | 18.32 |
Sep. | 16.30 | 15.28 | 17.77 | 14.04 |
Oct. | 15.60 | 13.38 | 16.38 | 18.34 |
Nov. | 18.29 | 15.92 | 20.70 | 23.07 |
Dec. | 18.03 | 16.47 | 20.14 | 18.21 |
Rivian Automotive forecast for this year
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $14.5863. Pessimistic: $12.98. Optimistic: $15.56
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $16.1616. Pessimistic: $15.06. Optimistic: $16.89
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $16.5107. Pessimistic: $15.23. Optimistic: $18.65
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $16.3027. Pessimistic: $15.28. Optimistic: $17.77
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $15.5984. Pessimistic: $13.38. Optimistic: $16.38
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $18.2938. Pessimistic: $15.92. Optimistic: $20.70
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $18.0304. Pessimistic: $16.47. Optimistic: $20.14
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 18.19 | 15.90 | 20.35 | 21.88 |
Feb | 18.45 | 17.36 | 19.75 | 12.11 |
Mar | 20.75 | 19.81 | 21.76 | 8.93 |
Apr | 17.61 | 16.34 | 19.51 | 16.25 |
May | 16.31 | 14.75 | 16.99 | 13.14 |
Jun | 14.93 | 14.04 | 16.38 | 14.27 |
Jul | 17.11 | 15.97 | 18.52 | 13.80 |
Aug | 18.83 | 16.46 | 20.36 | 19.15 |
Sep | 20.36 | 17.57 | 23.03 | 23.71 |
Oct | 19.04 | 16.40 | 19.96 | 17.85 |
Nov | 18.04 | 15.58 | 19.28 | 19.21 |
Dec | 16.71 | 14.61 | 17.74 | 17.64 |
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 14.34 | 12.32 | 15.68 | 21.40 |
Feb | 12.79 | 11.25 | 14.61 | 23.01 |
Mar | 11.89 | 11.06 | 13.50 | 18.08 |
Apr | 12.28 | 10.66 | 13.42 | 20.57 |
May | 13.00 | 12.19 | 13.96 | 12.74 |
Jun | 12.61 | 10.90 | 13.70 | 20.38 |
Jul | 12.81 | 11.68 | 13.69 | 14.66 |
Aug | 15.02 | 13.32 | 15.89 | 16.17 |
Sep | 16.05 | 13.77 | 17.38 | 20.78 |
Oct | 17.03 | 15.35 | 18.78 | 18.28 |
Nov | 16.91 | 14.57 | 19.29 | 24.47 |
Dec | 16.85 | 15.85 | 18.94 | 16.33 |
Rivian Automotive information and performance
14600 MYFORD ROAD, IRVINE, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of RIVN shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Rivian Automotive is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about Rivian Automotive Stock)
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Related stocks from Consumer cyclical sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.