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Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Rivian shares Sell or Buy?
Updated: September 20, 2024 (18:16)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A (RIVN) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
Previous Week
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Bearish | Impact: 5 | News: 2 |
Two Weeks Ago
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
Three Weeks Ago
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Na | Impact: Na | News: 1 |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Previous Week
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Bearish | Opinions: 1 |
Two Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Three Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: 3 |
Analyzing the Most Important RIVN news
Rivian Faces Supply Chain Challenge Amid Production Ramp-Up
Rocket Lab Welcomes Ex-Rivian COO Amid Expansion
Fire Damages Vehicles at Rivian's Illinois Plant, Production Unaffected
Historical and forecast chart of Rivian Automotive stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Rivian Automotive stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Rivian Automotive stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 4 analytical articles which are directly related to RIVN from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 3 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Aug 24, 2024 to Sep 09, 2024.
Rivian's Rocky Road: High Costs and Market Competition Challenge Growth
In his latest analytical piece, Daniel Jones adopts a decidedly Bearish stance on RIVN stock, offering insights that warrant close attention. As a contributor since 2014 with an impressive output of 4,807 publications, Jones has established a robust presence with an audience of over 32,000 subscribers. His high publication frequency underscores his active engagement and expertise in financial analysis. Given his extensive tenure, the fact that he has been able to consistently release insightful content reflects both his dedication and acumen. Moreover, Jones's credibility is esteemed as excellent, positioning his perspectives as highly authoritative within the financial community. Readers can thus trust that his cautious outlook on RIVN is grounded in years of reliable analysis and a profound understanding of market dynamics.
Key Theses of the Analytical Article
- The electric vehicle market is increasingly competitive with slowing sales growth and rising model availability.
- Rivian Automotive faces significant challenges such as high production costs and negative cash flow.
- The company's ambitious production goals and potential revenue growth are overshadowed by substantial financial risks and competitive pressures.
- Rivian's recent performance demonstrates minimal sales growth and ongoing losses, which challenges their ability to achieve margin targets.
Factors Influencing RIVN Stock Price
High Production Costs and Negative Cash Flow
The article outlines Rivian's struggle with high production costs, stating they lose nearly $33,000 on each vehicle, contributing to their significant negative cash flow—creating financial difficulty in short term operations. This high burn rate, if uncontested, could severely erode investor confidence and depress stock prices further.
Competitive Pressure in the Electric Vehicle Market
The article highlights increasing competition with the number of EV models set to rise to 134 in 2023, a jump from 88 in 2020. Such competitive pressure could threaten Rivian's market share and pricing power, adversely affecting their revenue potential.
Production and Revenue Growth Aspirations
Rivian's ambitious plans to increase production to 215,000 units and target $18.46 billion in total revenue by 2027 are crucial for investor confidence, although contingent on execution amid present financial challenges. These aspirations could boost stock sentiment if materialized successfully but present substantial risk if unmet.
VW Partnership and External Investments
The Volkswagen deal worth around $4 billion represents a critical infusion of capital for Rivian, which could help stabilize short-term finances. However, reliance on such deals highlights a precarious reliance on external funding to sustain operations.
Current Poor Financial Performance
Rivian's net loss of $1.46 billion in the recent quarter, worsened than the previous year, signals deteriorating financial health to investors. Persisting losses can contribute to stock price volatility and increased skepticism about Rivian's ability to turn profitable.
Review the original AnalysisRivian Balances on Financial Tightrope Amid Growth Hopes and Cash Concerns
In his analytical financial article, Daniel P. Varga takes a Neutral stance on RIVN stock, offering a balanced and well-reasoned perspective on its potential. Since becoming a contributor in 2021, Varga has published an impressive 127 pieces, indicating a consistent level of expertise and dedication to financial analysis. With nearly a thousand subscribers, his viewpoints resonate widely within the investment community. Varga's authority in the field is evidenced by his average credibility, lending significant weight to his assessments. Readers can expect a measured and thoughtful review of RIVN stock, reflecting Varga's steady and objective analytical approach.
Key Theses
- Rivian Automotive holds a strong brand presence and has a partnership with Volkswagen.
- The US economy shows signs of a soft landing, which can support Rivian's growth.
- Rivian's Q2 2024 results show progress in production but the company is still unprofitable.
- Operational and financial challenges persist for Rivian, including significant cash burn.
- The EV market is growing but faces challenges such as high-interest rates and inadequate charging infrastructure.
Factors Influencing RIVN Stock Price
Strong Brand Presence and Volkswagen Partnership
The partnership with Volkswagen and a strong brand can enhance Rivian’s competitive position, potentially attracting more customers. However, the benefits are long-term and may not immediately offset current financial challenges.
US Economic Conditions
A soft landing for the US economy could spur consumer spending, including on EVs, which would benefit Rivian. However, mixed economic signals mean this impact is uncertain and requires sustained favorable conditions.
Q2 2024 Production and Financial Results
Rivian's Q2 results show increased production but continued financial losses could dampen investor confidence. Significant cash burn and the quest for profitability make this a crucial factor in near-term stock performance.
Operational Challenges
Challenges like parts shortages and production delays directly affect Rivian's ability to meet delivery targets, impacting revenue and stock price. Continued operational hurdles can erode investor trust and dampen stock performance.
EV Market Growth and Challenges
While the EV market is growing, high-interest rates and inadequate charging infrastructure pose risks to market expansion. These challenges may slow adoption rates, affecting Rivian’s sales and ultimately its stock price.
Rivian's Cash Reserve and Cash Burn Rate
Rivian's substantial cash reserve of $7.9 billion provides a buffer against near-term financial distress, reducing bankruptcy risks. However, high cash burn rates remain a significant concern for long-term sustainability and stock performance.
Valuation and Investor Sentiment
With a current market cap of around $14 billion, Rivian's valuation is more modest than its initial $150 billion but remains high relative to fundamentals. Investor sentiment is cautious due to the ongoing losses and the distant prospect of profitability.
Review the original AnalysisCommentary
Rivian's journey reflects a delicate balance between potential and pitfalls. With a strong brand and a promising partnership with Volkswagen, there's no denying the EV maker's allure. Recent Q2 results indicate production progress, but the persistent cash burn and operational challenges cast a shadow on its immediate prospects. Analyzing the influence of various factors, we see an average strength of 7.3 on the stock's trend in the next 15 days, suggesting a cautiously neutral stance.
In the longer term, the anticipated growth in the EV market and favorable economic conditions might support Rivian, but hurdles like high-interest rates and inadequate charging infrastructure can't be ignored. The company's substantial cash reserves offer some reassurance, but with an average influence strength of 7.42 for the next month, it seems investors should maintain a wait-and-see approach. The sentiment is cautious optimism balanced by substantial risks, making 'neutral' the fitting trend designation.
Comprehensive Analysis of Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Rivian Automotive's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Rivian Automotive stock?
- When should I record a loss on Rivian Automotive stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Rivian Automotive stock?
- What is the future of Rivian Automotive stock?
We forecast Rivian Automotive stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Rivian Automotive stocks.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 3 news items directly related to RIVN from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 display bearish tendencies, and 2 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most crucial news from the last 30 days affecting RIVN stocks, it's clear that bearish sentiments are completely overshadowing bullish ones. The impact of negative news is more than five times dominant over positive developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Aug 25, 2024, to Sep 11, 2024.
Rivian Faces Production Challenges Amid Supply Chain Hurdles
Automakers Slash Prices Again in July Amid Inventory Surge
European EV Sales Stagnate in H1 2024, Rivian Shares Climb 2.5%
Rivian Misses Q2 Revenue Targets, Maintains Annual Guidance
Rivian Faces Continued Challenges Despite Q2 Revenue Rise
Rivian Beats EPS Estimates but Misses Revenue Targets; Announces $5B Joint Venture with Volkswagen
Rivian Q2 Earnings: What's in Store for Investors on August 6?
Rivian and Volkswagen Secure Joint Venture Approval in Germany, Potential $5B Boost
Blockbuster Amazon Earnings Could Electrify These Stocks and ETFs
Trump Vows to Scrap EV Mandate - Rivian and Others Tumble
Rivian Automotive daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 22 | 13.87 | 13.70 | 14.01 | 2.27 |
Sep 23 | 14.04 | 13.72 | 14.27 | 4.01 |
Sep 24 | 13.48 | 13.25 | 13.63 | 2.81 |
Sep 25 | 13.74 | 13.55 | 13.96 | 3.04 |
Sep 26 | 13.48 | 13.37 | 13.63 | 1.98 |
Sep 27 | 13.54 | 13.36 | 13.73 | 2.84 |
Sep 28 | 13.45 | 13.12 | 13.85 | 5.53 |
Sep 29 | 13.49 | 13.08 | 13.86 | 5.98 |
Sep 30 | 13.78 | 13.42 | 14.08 | 4.93 |
Oct 01 | 14.02 | 13.86 | 14.34 | 3.48 |
Oct 02 | 14.22 | 13.81 | 14.65 | 6.10 |
Oct 03 | 14.57 | 14.41 | 14.84 | 2.99 |
Oct 04 | 14.57 | 14.45 | 14.92 | 3.31 |
Oct 05 | 14.83 | 14.43 | 14.96 | 3.70 |
Oct 06 | 15.21 | 14.77 | 15.54 | 5.19 |
Oct 07 | 15.45 | 15.20 | 15.78 | 3.82 |
Oct 08 | 15.16 | 14.99 | 15.42 | 2.87 |
Oct 09 | 15.25 | 15.00 | 15.50 | 3.29 |
Oct 10 | 15.06 | 14.67 | 15.31 | 4.40 |
Oct 11 | 14.64 | 14.34 | 14.91 | 4.00 |
Oct 12 | 14.49 | 14.11 | 14.73 | 4.39 |
Oct 13 | 14.03 | 13.85 | 14.40 | 3.97 |
Oct 14 | 14.41 | 14.15 | 14.78 | 4.48 |
Oct 15 | 14.15 | 14.02 | 14.31 | 2.06 |
Oct 16 | 14.33 | 14.01 | 14.55 | 3.80 |
Oct 17 | 14.19 | 13.91 | 14.50 | 4.24 |
Oct 18 | 13.80 | 13.66 | 14.20 | 3.96 |
Oct 19 | 13.60 | 13.19 | 13.99 | 6.06 |
Oct 20 | 13.50 | 13.20 | 13.80 | 4.54 |
Oct 21 | 13.07 | 12.83 | 13.28 | 3.55 |
Rivian Automotive Daily Price Targets
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-22-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-22-2024: $13.87.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.218%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.70
Optimistic target level: 14.01
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-23-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-23-2024: $14.04.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.858%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.72
Optimistic target level: 14.27
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-24-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-24-2024: $13.48.
Negative dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.730%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.25
Optimistic target level: 13.63
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-25-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-25-2024: $13.74.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.952%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.55
Optimistic target level: 13.96
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-26-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-26-2024: $13.48.
Negative dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.938%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.37
Optimistic target level: 13.63
Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast 09-27-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-27-2024: $13.54.
Positive dynamics for Rivian Automotive shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.760%.
Pessimistic target level: 13.36
Optimistic target level: 13.73
RIVN (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Oct. | 13.86 | 12.84 | 14.36 | 10.60 |
Nov. | 16.23 | 15.38 | 18.19 | 15.42 |
Dec. | 15.68 | 13.50 | 17.11 | 21.10 |
Rivian Automotive forecast for this year
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Oct 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $13.8601. Pessimistic: $12.84. Optimistic: $14.36
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $16.2302. Pessimistic: $15.38. Optimistic: $18.19
Rivian Automotive Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $15.6751. Pessimistic: $13.50. Optimistic: $17.11
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 15.36 | 13.29 | 15.95 | 16.65 |
Feb | 16.61 | 14.67 | 18.13 | 19.12 |
Mar | 19.09 | 17.20 | 20.26 | 15.10 |
Apr | 18.88 | 16.34 | 19.56 | 16.51 |
May | 18.24 | 15.68 | 20.73 | 24.38 |
Jun | 16.93 | 15.65 | 18.48 | 15.33 |
Jul | 16.29 | 15.03 | 17.05 | 11.86 |
Aug | 14.53 | 12.70 | 15.39 | 17.50 |
Sep | 15.76 | 14.96 | 17.51 | 14.57 |
Oct | 15.84 | 15.10 | 17.07 | 11.53 |
Nov | 15.98 | 13.71 | 17.22 | 20.38 |
Dec | 15.95 | 15.32 | 16.73 | 8.41 |
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 17.02 | 15.64 | 18.30 | 14.56 |
Feb | 18.27 | 16.30 | 19.39 | 15.94 |
Mar | 20.71 | 19.92 | 22.20 | 10.24 |
Apr | 23.24 | 22.20 | 25.08 | 11.51 |
May | 20.90 | 17.96 | 23.53 | 23.66 |
Jun | 21.01 | 20.07 | 22.90 | 12.39 |
Jul | 21.24 | 18.91 | 23.46 | 19.40 |
Aug | 22.62 | 19.68 | 25.59 | 23.07 |
Sep | 25.51 | 22.89 | 27.48 | 16.71 |
Oct | 26.88 | 25.67 | 29.21 | 12.09 |
Nov | 27.41 | 25.74 | 29.34 | 12.28 |
Dec | 28.01 | 25.69 | 31.79 | 19.19 |
Rivian Automotive information and performance
14600 MYFORD ROAD, IRVINE, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of RIVN shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Rivian Automotive is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Related stocks from Consumer cyclical sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.
Commentary
The article highlights Rivian Automotive’s bumpy journey in the electric vehicle sector, grappling with hefty production costs and an intensifying competitive landscape. Losing nearly $33,000 per vehicle and significant negative cash flow underscore their current short-term financial struggles. With key market players increasing, Rivian faces rising pressure to maintain market share and pricing power—a daunting challenge that could impact their ability to enhance revenue.
Despite Rivian’s attempts to reassure investors with ambitious production goals and partnerships like the $4 billion Volkswagen infusion, the stinging $1.46 billion net loss in the recent quarter paints a stark picture of financial distress. Over the next 15 days, the factors averagely weigh heavily with strong potential to negatively influence Rivian's stock, and this tread might persist in the coming month unless a notable financial turnaround gains momentum. The article evokes concern about Rivian's capability to navigate competitive and financial hurdles while restoring investor confidence.