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Alphabet Inc. (Google) (GOOGL) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: September 1, 2024 (03:10)
Sector: Communication servicesThe share price of Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
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Bearish | Impact: 1.88 | News: 5 |
Previous Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 2 |
Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 1.58 | News: 16 |
Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 1.3 | News: 12 |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
|
Neutral | Opinions: 1 |
Previous Week
|
Bullish | Opinions: 8 |
Two Weeks Ago
|
Bullish | Opinions: 7 |
Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 4 |
Analyzing the Most Important GOOGL news
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66d1dfdccc376.jpg)
Apple's Potential Investment in OpenAI Could Threaten Google Search Dominance
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/bearish.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66d0c1fb7edfe.jpg)
Yelp Sues Google After Antitrust Ruling, Accuses Search Giant of Monopoly Practices
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/bearish.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66cfa415b4b8b.jpg)
Google to Revamp AI-Powered Gemini Face Generator After Six-Month Hiatus
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/neutral.jpg)
Historical and forecast chart of Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Alphabet Inc. Analysts predictions review
![](https://pandaforecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/panda-emoji-green.jpg)
As of now, Panda has combed through 20 analytical articles which are directly related to GOOGL from the last 30 days. Out of these, 14 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 6 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Aug 01, 2024 to Aug 27, 2024.
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66ce5f2cb31b7-scaled.jpg)
Google's Strong Performance Overshadowed by Regulatory and Economic Storms
![](https://pandaforecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/neutral.jpg)
Daniel Schönberger, a seasoned contributor since 2016 with 740 publications, has established a significant footprint in financial analysis, garnering an impressive 12,382 subscribers. His extensive work over the years underscores both his commitment and expertise in the field. In his recent analytical piece on GOOGL stock, Schönberger maintains a Neutral stance, reflecting his balanced and cautious approach to market trends. Given the high number of his publications and the substantial subscriber base, his viewpoints hold considerable weight and are widely respected among readers. This review will delve into Schönberger's nuanced analysis, offering insights shaped by years of consistent and credible financial commentary.
Key Theses from the Article
- Alphabet reported solid Q2 results, driven by Google Services and Google Cloud.
- Regulatory risks and a looming recession pose concerns for investors.
- Alphabet's free cash flow has declined significantly due to higher capital expenditures.
- Google Services remains the primary revenue and income driver.
- Google Cloud is showing strong growth and improving profitability.
- Other Bets, including Waymo, are seeing progress but remain unprofitable.
- Alphabet is facing antitrust issues which could impact its market position.
- Economic indicators suggest a potential recession, which typically reduces advertising revenue.
Factors Influencing GOOGL Stock Price
Regulatory Risks
Continued antitrust scrutiny, especially the recent U.S. District Court decision, could limit Google's market practices. Regulatory actions could lead to higher costs and reduced revenues, significantly impacting the stock.
Looming Recession
Economic downturns typically lead to reduced advertising spend, a key revenue source for Google. Signs such as declining housing permits and increasing unemployment claims suggest an imminent recession.
Google Services Performance
Google Services continues to drive the majority of Alphabet's revenue, showing 11.5% YoY growth. Consistent performance in this segment supports the overall health of the company.
Google Cloud Growth
Google Cloud's revenue grew by 28.8% YoY, significantly boosting its operating income. Improved profitability in the Cloud segment strengthens Alphabet's diversified growth potential.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A 38.2% YoY decline in free cash flow signals higher capital expenditures, potentially reducing available funds for future investments. This decline could dampen investor confidence in the near term.
Other Bets and Waymo
Waymo and other segments in Other Bets are making progress but remain unprofitable. While they hold long-term potential, they currently drain resources from the profitable core segments.
Advertising Market Conditions
Historical data shows that advertising revenue declines significantly during recessions. As a major player in the advertising space, Google is vulnerable to these broader market declines.
Review the original Analysis![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66c9ee75f2c4e-scaled.jpg)
Google's Bold AI Moves and Cloud Growth Drive Bullish Outlook
![](https://pandaforecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/bullish.jpg)
Today's review focuses on an analytical financial article by Simple Investing, who maintains a bullish stance on GOOGL stock. Highlighted by the author’s optimistic perspective, this article delves into the growth potential and strategic advantages of Alphabet Inc. Simple Investing has contributed a notable 323 publications since joining in 2021, reflecting a prolific and active presence within the financial community. With an impressive tally of 7,199 subscribers, the author’s opinions resonate widely. Given the high credibility reflected in the author's metrics and the substantial authority within the field, readers can expect an insightful and well-founded analysis of GOOGL stock's prospects that expertly balances optimism with detailed financial scrutiny.
Key Theses of the Review
- Google is restructuring its cost base to expand operating margins while investing in future growth.
- Google Cloud is benefiting from cloud migration, market share gains, and increasing AI contributions.
- AI will be a long-term growth driver, and the company is integrating generative AI across its business.
- Most top customers of Google Cloud are using its generative AI solutions.
- The risk of under-investing in AI is perceived as significantly higher than the risk of over-investing.
Key Factors Influencing GOOGL Stock Price
Cost Base Reengineering
By reducing headcount and slowing hiring, Google is ensuring more financial resources for future investments. This strategic move likely results in operating margin expansion despite growing capital expenditures in AI.
Google Cloud Growth
Google Cloud’s 29% year-on-year growth illustrates its market share gains, which significantly impact revenue growth. AI solutions are heavily contributing, attracting large customers and providing a competitive edge.
Integration of Generative AI
AI is a transformative technology, and substantial investments are made to integrate it across Google's major products. This initiative significantly positions Google ahead in innovation, affecting long-term growth.
Capital Expenditures on AI
Google's large capital expenditures focused on AI infrastructure build-out indicate aggressive future-orientation. Management believes the downside of under-investing far outweighs potential over-investment risks, reflecting a forward-looking growth strategy.
Advertising Revenues
Google's advertising revenues show mixed results, with YouTube's ad revenue slightly under expectations. However, the strong performance in Search-related advertising indicates resilience and continual revenue contributions.
Review the original Analysis![](https://pandaforecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/panda-emoji-green.jpg)
Commentary
Google is making strategic adjustments to its cost base, aimed at carving out more profitable financial territories while plowing resources into innovation. By cutting down on headcount and tempering its hiring spree, the tech giant is set to expand its operating margins despite funneling substantial capital into AI advancements. This smart maneuvering isn't just about short-term gains but also fortifying the company's long-term growth prospects, especially with its significant focus on the transformative powers of generative AI.
With Google Cloud showing a 29% year-over-year growth and largely benefiting from market share gains and AI contributions, the stage is set for robust revenue streams. The integration of generative AI across its foundational products suggests that Alphabet Inc. is poised to redefine its market stance. The average influence strength of all factors indicates a notable impact on the stock, pointing to a promising trajectory in the next 15 days and within the coming month. Meanwhile, despite mixed results in advertising revenues, Google’s resilient performance in search-related advertising continues to contribute to its overall bullish outlook.
Comprehensive Analysis of Alphabet Inc. (Google) (GOOGL) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Alphabet Inc. (Google)'s stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock?
- When should I record a loss on Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock?
- What is the future of Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock?
We forecast Alphabet Inc. (Google) stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Alphabet Inc. (Google) stocks.
Alphabet Inc. News influencing stock rates
![](https://pandaforecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/panda-emoji-green.jpg)
As of now, Panda has combed through 35 news items directly related to GOOGL from the last 30 days. Out of these, 15 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 10 display bearish tendencies, and 10 events are neutral.
The strength of the bullish trend outpaces the bearish sentiments by 1.37 times, indicating that the news backdrop is positively influencing the company’s stock price in the current outlook.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Aug 01, 2024, to Aug 30, 2024.
Affordable Androids and Apple AI to Propel Smartphone Market Growth: IDC
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![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66ce861307ab3.jpg)
Telegram CEO Arrested: Implications for Messaging App Security
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/neutral.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66cb2c44a302c.jpg)
Google and CSIRO Fortify Australia's Cybersecurity Amid Rising Threats
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![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66c7438324d63.jpg)
UK's CMA Halts App Store Probes; New Digital Laws to Guide Future Actions for Apple and Google
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/neutral.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66c625811501f.jpg)
Fortnite Makes a Comeback on iOS in EU, Android via Epic Games Store
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/neutral.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66bf63ccb439e.jpg)
Google Expands AI Summaries Globally and Adds New Features
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/bullish.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66bf63cf173e7.jpg)
Corvex Management Increases Stake in Alphabet Amid Q2 Portfolio Shake-up
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/bullish.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66be5fa421f81.jpg)
Google Faces Legal Reforms Amid Epic Games Antitrust Victory
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![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66be0694a1e5c.jpg)
Pershing Square Adds Nike and Reduces Alphabet Holdings in Q2 Portfolio Shakeup
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/bearish.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66bd59231e286.jpg)
Tiger Global Significantly Boosts Holdings in Nvidia, Amazon, and Alphabet
![](/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/bullish.jpg)
![](https://up2info.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/img_66bd026b84fab.jpg)
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company that provides web search and advertising services, web maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, user-generated content, enterprise solutions, retail products and hardware. It is the parent company of Google, as well as several other companies that were subsidiaries of Google.
According to Forbes magazine, the company became the best in 2018 among the 500 best employers in the world. The company’s revenues for 2017 exceed $ 100 billion, and the company’s assets are almost $ 200 billion.
The company was formed as a result of the reorganization of Google in 2015, all Google shares were converted to Alphabet shares, but on the NASDAQ exchange they continue to trade as GOOGL and GOOG (class A – GOOGL, – with one vote, and class C – GOOG, – without voting rights).
Alphabet Inc. (Google) daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 03 | 163.83 | 162.65 | 166.35 | 2.28 |
Sep 04 | 163.08 | 160.66 | 165.33 | 2.90 |
Sep 05 | 160.31 | 159.44 | 161.11 | 1.05 |
Sep 06 | 159.50 | 157.49 | 160.65 | 2.01 |
Sep 07 | 159.22 | 157.34 | 160.49 | 2.00 |
Sep 08 | 159.66 | 158.13 | 161.10 | 1.88 |
Sep 09 | 158.83 | 156.89 | 159.69 | 1.78 |
Sep 10 | 160.39 | 159.17 | 161.86 | 1.69 |
Sep 11 | 161.80 | 159.89 | 163.42 | 2.21 |
Sep 12 | 159.24 | 157.46 | 160.84 | 2.14 |
Sep 13 | 156.22 | 154.31 | 157.19 | 1.86 |
Sep 14 | 155.53 | 153.32 | 156.74 | 2.23 |
Sep 15 | 156.77 | 155.14 | 157.53 | 1.54 |
Sep 16 | 157.12 | 155.74 | 159.13 | 2.18 |
Sep 17 | 159.79 | 158.90 | 162.28 | 2.13 |
Sep 18 | 161.93 | 159.99 | 163.55 | 2.23 |
Sep 19 | 164.81 | 162.24 | 165.61 | 2.07 |
Sep 20 | 166.30 | 164.67 | 168.29 | 2.20 |
Sep 21 | 165.83 | 164.01 | 168.12 | 2.51 |
Sep 22 | 164.57 | 162.66 | 166.68 | 2.47 |
Sep 23 | 165.03 | 162.69 | 166.55 | 2.37 |
Sep 24 | 163.22 | 161.75 | 165.50 | 2.32 |
Sep 25 | 162.92 | 161.82 | 163.58 | 1.09 |
Sep 26 | 163.90 | 162.88 | 164.82 | 1.19 |
Sep 27 | 164.88 | 162.84 | 167.26 | 2.71 |
Sep 28 | 163.66 | 161.44 | 166.15 | 2.92 |
Sep 29 | 162.45 | 160.96 | 163.43 | 1.53 |
Sep 30 | 159.56 | 158.57 | 161.99 | 2.15 |
Oct 01 | 160.58 | 159.01 | 161.29 | 1.43 |
Oct 02 | 157.92 | 156.53 | 160.22 | 2.36 |
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Daily Price Targets
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Forecast 09-03-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-03-2024: $163.83.
Positive dynamics for Alphabet Inc. (Google) shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.226%.
Pessimistic target level: 162.65
Optimistic target level: 166.35
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Forecast 09-04-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-04-2024: $163.08.
Negative dynamics for Alphabet Inc. (Google) shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.821%.
Pessimistic target level: 160.66
Optimistic target level: 165.33
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Forecast 09-05-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-05-2024: $160.31.
Negative dynamics for Alphabet Inc. (Google) shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.035%.
Pessimistic target level: 159.44
Optimistic target level: 161.11
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Forecast 09-06-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-06-2024: $159.50.
Negative dynamics for Alphabet Inc. (Google) shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.966%.
Pessimistic target level: 157.49
Optimistic target level: 160.65
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Forecast 09-07-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-07-2024: $159.22.
Negative dynamics for Alphabet Inc. (Google) shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.965%.
Pessimistic target level: 157.34
Optimistic target level: 160.49
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Forecast 09-08-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-08-2024: $159.66.
Positive dynamics for Alphabet Inc. (Google) shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.844%.
Pessimistic target level: 158.13
Optimistic target level: 161.10
GOOGL (GOOGL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sep. | 156.25 | 152.59 | 167.22 | 8.75 |
Oct. | 166.09 | 157.57 | 169.53 | 7.05 |
Nov. | 164.15 | 156.76 | 168.73 | 7.09 |
Dec. | 149.67 | 139.57 | 159.23 | 12.35 |
Alphabet Inc. (Google) forecast for this year
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Prediction for Sep 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $156.247. Pessimistic: $152.59. Optimistic: $167.22
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Prediction for Oct 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $166.091. Pessimistic: $157.57. Optimistic: $169.53
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $164.147. Pessimistic: $156.76. Optimistic: $168.73
Alphabet Inc. (Google) Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $149.67. Pessimistic: $139.57. Optimistic: $159.23
Alphabet Inc. (Google) (GOOGL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 147.38 | 142.74 | 157.73 | 9.50 |
Mar | 153.35 | 145.90 | 160.25 | 8.96 |
Mar | 155.14 | 151.23 | 162.68 | 7.04 |
Apr | 160.31 | 150.07 | 169.25 | 11.34 |
May | 158.00 | 150.46 | 161.98 | 7.11 |
Jun | 147.48 | 138.32 | 155.84 | 11.24 |
Jul | 148.41 | 141.06 | 158.83 | 11.18 |
Aug | 136.79 | 128.79 | 140.60 | 8.41 |
Sep | 133.09 | 129.98 | 140.76 | 7.66 |
Oct | 127.46 | 122.07 | 130.79 | 6.67 |
Nov | 128.04 | 120.32 | 136.45 | 11.82 |
Dec | 130.23 | 124.25 | 137.49 | 9.63 |
Alphabet Inc. (Google) (GOOGL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 140.54 | 132.70 | 143.96 | 7.82 |
Mar | 149.02 | 138.55 | 155.99 | 11.18 |
Mar | 146.74 | 138.28 | 151.89 | 8.96 |
Apr | 152.94 | 145.65 | 162.85 | 10.57 |
May | 155.56 | 148.00 | 161.72 | 8.48 |
Jun | 162.28 | 158.63 | 173.67 | 8.66 |
Jul | 157.75 | 151.93 | 165.42 | 8.15 |
Aug | 170.39 | 159.35 | 176.06 | 9.49 |
Sep | 164.56 | 152.71 | 168.85 | 9.56 |
Oct | 169.15 | 165.04 | 178.44 | 7.51 |
Nov | 182.09 | 170.13 | 185.70 | 8.38 |
Dec | 170.78 | 159.87 | 176.62 | 9.49 |
Alphabet Inc. (Google) (GOOGL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 159.72 | 154.68 | 166.47 | 7.08 |
Mar | 161.73 | 158.09 | 165.66 | 4.57 |
Mar | 153.43 | 150.39 | 157.57 | 4.56 |
Apr | 163.79 | 153.03 | 169.98 | 9.97 |
May | 158.33 | 149.64 | 166.60 | 10.18 |
Jun | 159.19 | 156.04 | 170.36 | 8.41 |
Jul | 171.80 | 162.98 | 182.62 | 10.75 |
Aug | 181.69 | 173.68 | 185.94 | 6.60 |
Sep | 176.30 | 167.73 | 188.99 | 11.25 |
Oct | 180.10 | 175.40 | 191.77 | 8.54 |
Nov | 185.29 | 173.45 | 196.30 | 11.64 |
Dec | 182.96 | 179.50 | 190.20 | 5.63 |
Alphabet Inc. (Google) (GOOGL) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2028
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 182.13 | 172.79 | 186.39 | 7.30 |
Mar | 180.82 | 176.92 | 192.21 | 7.96 |
Mar | 175.94 | 170.40 | 187.02 | 8.89 |
Apr | 181.16 | 175.29 | 184.91 | 5.20 |
May | 180.84 | 173.51 | 188.16 | 7.78 |
Jun | 185.88 | 180.03 | 193.08 | 6.76 |
Jul | 194.08 | 185.35 | 203.51 | 8.93 |
Aug | 187.79 | 175.62 | 199.29 | 11.87 |
Sep | 199.79 | 190.08 | 203.75 | 6.71 |
Oct | 208.60 | 196.21 | 214.24 | 8.41 |
Nov | 217.80 | 206.24 | 222.70 | 7.39 |
Dec | 201.34 | 197.53 | 210.40 | 6.11 |
Alphabet Inc. (Google) information and performance
1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, MOUNTAIN VIEW, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Alphabet Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of GOOGL shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Alphabet Inc. (Google) is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Alphabet Inc. (Google) (GOOGL) stock dividend
Alphabet Inc. (Google) last paid dividends on 09/09/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 09/16/2024. The amount of dividends is $0.2 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Related stocks from Communication services sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.
Commentary
Despite a solid performance in Q2, Alphabet Inc. is navigating through a challenging landscape with regulatory risks and economic uncertainty. Google Services and Google Cloud have shown impressive growth, with the latter seeing a 28.8% year-over-year revenue increase. However, looming antitrust issues and signals of a potential recession are casting a shadow over these achievements. Google's free cash flow has significantly declined, raising concerns over its investment capacity.
Considering the influence of various factors, such as regulatory risks (significance 9) and the looming recession (significance 8), the average impact strength on the stock trend is prominently high. Over the next 15 days and in the coming month, investors should brace for a neutral trend in Google’s stock price. This balanced outlook takes into account both the strong growth in core segments and the dampening effects of external threats.