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Turkish Lira to US Dollar (TRY/USD) Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: May 15, 2025 (6:17)
Reverse forecast: USD to TRY
Lira / US Dollar price online today
| Now | Tomorrow | 7 Days | 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Lira (TRY) to US Dollar (USD) | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | |
| 200 Lira (TRY) to US Dollar (USD) | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.2 | |
| 500 Lira (TRY) to US Dollar (USD) | 12.9 | 12.9 | 13 | |
| 1000 Lira (TRY) to US Dollar (USD) | 25.8 | 25.7 | 26.1 | |
| 3000 Lira (TRY) to US Dollar (USD) | 77.3 | 77.2 | 78.2 |
How much will the TRY/USD currency pair cost in 2025, 2026 and 2027? What is the forecast for the TRY/USD currency pair? What is the target price of the Lira / US Dollar currency pair for 2025-2027?
We continuously scrutinize the key events in the news flow to assist you in tackling the essential question: Will the Lira rise or fall against the US Dollar?
Identifying the trend of the TRY/USD currency pair
Recent developments present mixed implications for the TRYUSD exchange rate. Alibaba's revenue shortfall signals potential hesitation in international trade, which may exert downward pressure on the USD, as global investor confidence slightly wanes. Conversely, Equinor's steady financial disclosure buoyed sentiment, subtly reinforcing the USD's reserve currency status through improved market stability.
Pareto's USP launch, backed by private credit, and Mastercard's stablecoin advancements exhibit increasing institutional trust in dollar-pegged assets. These innovations can bolster USD demand in decentralized financial ecosystems, gradually enhancing its global positioning. Furthermore, Magna's U.S. dollar-denominated notes reflect sustained international appetite for dollar assets, which is likely to preserve upward momentum for USD valuations.
Overall, these dynamics indicate near-term stability with pockets of volatility for TRYUSD. While Alibaba's underperformance may infuse lingering caution, stablecoin integration and robust multinational disclosures potentially reinforce USD demand. Investors should anticipate a marginally bullish trajectory, but vigilance is warranted amidst mixed signals from global trade and financial systems.
TRY Trend Prediction
As of now, Panda has analyzed 4 news pieces concerning the TRY currency. The average relevance score for these news items is 0.35 (with the closer to 1 being more relevant).|
2025-05-08
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.06 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-04-30
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.33 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-04-17
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.28 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-03-28
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.02 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
Hepsiburada Releases Q1 2025 Financial Performance Data
May 8, 2025 (20:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.06
The financial results of Hepsiburada, a major Turkish e-commerce company, provide insights into the country's business environment, indirectly influencing investor sentiment towards the Turkish lira (TRY). However, the neutral sentiment score suggests the news had a limited immediate effect on the TRY exchange rate.
Hepsiburada Reports Financial Results for Q4 and Full-Year 2024
April 30, 2025 (11:15)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.33
The improved financial performance of Hepsiburada, a major Turkish e-commerce platform, likely reflects positive economic activity in Turkey, which could bolster investor confidence in the Turkish lira (TRY). The 'Somewhat-Bullish' sentiment indicates a cautious optimism, as the market may perceive potential opportunities for growth in the Turkish economy.
USD Trend Forecasting
Regarding the USD currency, 352 news pieces were analyzed. The average relevance of these news items is 0.27 (the closer to 1, the higher).|
2025-05-15
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.09 | News: 3 (2/1/0) |
|
2025-05-14
|
Bullish | Impact: -0.03 | News: 9 (3/3/3) |
|
2025-05-13
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.18 | News: 4 (3/1/0) |
|
2025-05-12
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.17 | News: 11 (7/4/0) |
|
2025-05-11
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.04 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-05-10
|
Bearish | Impact: -0.31 | News: 1 (0/0/1) |
|
2025-05-09
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.01 | News: 4 (1/3/0) |
Alibaba Fails to Match High Market Expectations in Q4
May 15, 2025 (12:23)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.14
Alibaba's inability to meet revenue expectations highlights potential challenges in major international commerce, potentially dampening global investor confidence. This slight negative sentiment can exert downward pressure on the USD exchange rate, especially as it relates to international trade and foreign currency flows.
Pareto unveils USP synthetic dollar anchored by private credit assets
May 15, 2025 (10:00)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.21
The introduction of USP by Pareto increases investor access to DeFi, which could strengthen demand for stablecoins and positively impact the USD's perception in global markets. This development, integrating private credit-backed assets with decentralized finance, signals a gradual shift in financial ecosystems that favors the USD's stablecoin-linked stability.
This chart provides a comparative trend analysis of sentiment scores over time for TRY and USD currencies, displaying their respective news coverage and associated sentiment.
By visualizing sentiment trends and news volume, investors and brokers can identify potential market-moving events, gauge market sentiment, and make more informed trading decisions.
Historical and forecast chart of the Lira/US Dollar currency pair
The chart below shows the historical quotes of the TRY/USD pair and the forecast chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. A detailed forecast of the Lira/US Dollar rate can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
TRY Main News
Turkey raises interest rates by 350 basis points in unexpected move
April 17, 2025 (12:07)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.28
The decision to raise the interest rate from 42.5% to 46% signifies serious monetary tightening to combat inflation, which generally improves investor confidence in the Turkish lira. As a result, the TRY's sentiment has tilted somewhat bullish, reflecting optimism about its short-term stability.
Turkish Political Turmoil Triggers Lira Collapse
March 28, 2025 (15:19)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.02
The arrest of a high-profile political rival to Erdogan has spurred protests and shaken investor confidence in Turkey's political stability. This uncertainty, combined with fears of destabilizing government policies, has led to increased pressure on the Turkish lira (TRY) exchange rate, exacerbating its downward trajectory.
USD Main News
Mastercard Partners With MoonPay for Global Stablecoin Card Services
May 15, 2025 (06:02)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.2
This news could have a somewhat positive effect on the USD as it showcases increasing institutional confidence in stablecoins, which are typically pegged to the dollar. Furthermore, the partnership may enhance integration of USD-backed stablecoins in global commerce, boosting demand and slightly improving the USD's position.
Magna International Announces Euro and U.S. Dollar Senior Notes Offerings
May 14, 2025 (21:00)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.17
The issuance of U.S. dollar-denominated senior notes by Magna International reflects a growing demand for USD in global capital markets, which can potentially strengthen the currency's exchange rate. Additionally, the diversification into Euro-denominated notes underscores a balanced capital strategy that may increase investor confidence in the USD.
Equinor ASA Annual Shareholder Meeting Wrap-Up for 2025
May 14, 2025 (18:33)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.23
The USD exchange rate appears to be somewhat positively affected by the news of Equinor's approved 2024 annual report, as stability in large multinational corporations often signals steady economic conditions. This approval may bolster broader market sentiment, leading to a slight strengthening of reserve currencies like the USD.
Navigating Geopolitical Impacts: Gold, USD, and Investor Response Strategies
May 14, 2025 (14:11)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.07
Geopolitical instability, such as the conflicts in Yemen and South Asia, often increases investor uncertainty, pushing them toward safe-haven assets like gold and potentially weakening the demand for USD globally. With only a neutral sentiment reflected here, markets may be showing relative resilience, but prolonged uncertainty could amplify its effect on the USD exchange rate.
Peter Schiff Highlights Potential Dollar Collapse To Address Trade Deficit Challenges
May 14, 2025 (12:41)
Trend: Somewhat-Bearish
Influence: -0.32
Peter Schiff's warning suggests that the U.S. dollar may face significant depreciation due to its crucial role in addressing the ongoing trade deficit, especially without alternative economic measures like tariffs. This bearish sentiment towards the USD highlights concerns about rising inflation and higher interest rates, further impacting its exchange rate.
Dollar Weakens Amid Soft Inflation and Mixed Global Market Performance
May 14, 2025 (10:37)
Trend: Bearish
Influence: -0.59
The USD weakened due to softer-than-expected inflation data, which likely diminished expectations for further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. Additionally, mixed global market performance and falling crude oil prices may have contributed to reduced demand for the USD as a safe-haven asset.
Asia's affluent turn away from US dollar toward alternative investments: UBS report
May 14, 2025 (09:47)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.25
The shift by Asia's wealthy to alternative investments like gold, cryptocurrencies, and Chinese assets signals reduced confidence in USD-based holdings. This trend potentially impacts the USD exchange rate as diversification reduces demand for dollar-denominated investments.
Steady Inflation and Tariffs Bring Optimism to Markets
May 13, 2025 (20:00)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.24
The combination of moderate inflation and tariffs is providing a stabilizing effect on market sentiment, giving investors confidence in the USD. This optimism is reflected in the 'Somewhat-Bullish' sentiment score, showing modest upward momentum for the currency.
Gordon Johnson Predicts Market Turmoil Amid Rising Treasury Yields and Weakening Dollar
May 14, 2025 (08:05)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.13
The weakening dollar, highlighted by Johnson's comments and the rise in 30-year Treasury yields, suggests potential concerns about U.S. debt sustainability and economic growth. As investors reassess risk, currency exchange rates may reflect broader market hesitation.
Elizabeth Warren Labels Trump-Backed Stablecoin a National Security Concern Over Foreign Crypto Deals
May 14, 2025 (07:40)
Trend: Somewhat-Bearish
Influence: -0.17
The USD exchange rate is under pressure due to concerns about stability and national security risks linked to a Trump-associated stablecoin. Such allegations undermine investor trust, potentially leading to reduced demand for USD and a negative sentiment in the forex market.
World Confidence in U.S. Dollar Wanes Amid Rising Treasury Yields and Fiscal Concerns
May 14, 2025 (02:06)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.02
The rise in U.S. 10-Year Treasury yields, coupled with declining confidence in the United States' fiscal management, signals a potential shift in investor sentiment away from the dollar. This loss of confidence is leading to a broad-based decline in the USD exchange rate.
Trend:
Influence: 0
Mixed Asian and European Markets Reflect Optimism Over US-China Tariff Deal
May 13, 2025 (11:15)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.15
The USD exchange rate softened due to improving optimism surrounding US-China trade tariff developments, which may reduce geopolitical risks and improve global economic conditions. Furthermore, higher crude oil prices likely weakened the USD as energy commodities typically appreciate against it.
Tether Gold Launches in Thailand via Maxbit Exchange Listing
May 13, 2025 (09:31)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.17
The launch of Tether Gold in Thailand could marginally strengthen the USD exchange rate, as it creates a bridge between the dollar-backed USDt stablecoin and gold-backed token XAUt. This development might increase the demand for USDt, indirectly uplifting the dollar’s standing in the global financial system.
Analysis: Trump advisers’ dollar devaluation plan jeopardizes US global currency dominance
May 13, 2025 (08:30)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.16
The proposed scheme to devalue the US dollar could erode confidence in the currency’s stability, leading to potential volatility in exchange rates. While the sentiment remains somewhat bullish, the international community's concern over these short-term tactics may ultimately weaken the USD's exorbitant privilege.
Comprehensive Analysis of News and Events influencing the TRYUSD currency pair
We predict the dynamics of currency pairs using resonant artificial intelligence systems. Technical, fundamental analysis, news background, general geopolitical situation in the world and other factors are taken into account.
The results of forecasts of the Lira/US Dollar currency pair are shown below and presented in the form of charts, tables and text information, divided into time intervals (Next month, 2025, 2026 and 2027).
Forecasts are adjusted once a day taking into account the price change of the previous day.
Lira / US Dollar Daily Forecast for a Month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17 | 0.0258 | 0.0257 | 0.0258 | 0.29 % |
| May 18 | 0.0258 | 0.0257 | 0.0258 | 0.41 % |
| May 19 | 0.0258 | 0.0258 | 0.0259 | 0.22 % |
| May 20 | 0.0259 | 0.0258 | 0.0259 | 0.34 % |
| May 21 | 0.0258 | 0.0258 | 0.0258 | 0.17 % |
| May 22 | 0.0257 | 0.0257 | 0.0258 | 0.33 % |
| May 23 | 0.0257 | 0.0257 | 0.0258 | 0.39 % |
| May 24 | 0.0258 | 0.0257 | 0.0258 | 0.37 % |
| May 25 | 0.0258 | 0.0258 | 0.0259 | 0.28 % |
| May 26 | 0.0258 | 0.0258 | 0.0258 | 0.24 % |
| May 27 | 0.0259 | 0.0258 | 0.0259 | 0.18 % |
| May 28 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.22 % |
| May 29 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.30 % |
| May 30 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.41 % |
| May 31 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.27 % |
| Jun 01 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.19 % |
| Jun 02 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.34 % |
| Jun 03 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.34 % |
| Jun 04 | 0.0260 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.30 % |
| Jun 05 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.29 % |
| Jun 06 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.36 % |
| Jun 07 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.13 % |
| Jun 08 | 0.0260 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.31 % |
| Jun 09 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.37 % |
| Jun 10 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.18 % |
| Jun 11 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.29 % |
| Jun 12 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.29 % |
| Jun 13 | 0.0259 | 0.0259 | 0.0260 | 0.47 % |
| Jun 14 | 0.0260 | 0.0260 | 0.0261 | 0.40 % |
| Jun 15 | 0.0261 | 0.0260 | 0.0261 | 0.43 % |
Target daily price TRY/USD
Target values of the TRY/USD currency pair as of 05-17-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.0258
Pessimistic target level: 0.0257
Target values of the TRY/USD currency pair as of 05-18-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.0258
Pessimistic target level: 0.0257
Target values of the TRY/USD currency pair as of 05-19-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.0259
Pessimistic target level: 0.0258
Target values of the TRY/USD currency pair as of 05-20-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.0259
Pessimistic target level: 0.0258
Target values of the TRY/USD currency pair as of 05-21-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.0258
Pessimistic target level: 0.0258
Lira / US Dollar (TRY/USD) Forecast 2025 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun | 0.0254 | 0.0247 | 0.0256 | 3.55 % |
| Jul | 0.0258 | 0.0252 | 0.0261 | 3.48 % |
| Aug | 0.0262 | 0.0256 | 0.0270 | 5.39 % |
| Sep | 0.0260 | 0.0254 | 0.0267 | 4.81 % |
| Oct | 0.0270 | 0.0264 | 0.0276 | 4.48 % |
| Nov | 0.0268 | 0.0260 | 0.0272 | 4.34 % |
| Dec | 0.0273 | 0.0271 | 0.0278 | 2.70 % |
TRY/USD forecast for this year
Forecast of the TRY/USD pair for Jun 2025
Forecast of the TRY/USD pair for Jul 2025
Forecast of the TRY/USD pair for Aug 2025
Forecast of the TRY/USD pair for Sep 2025
Forecast of the TRY/USD pair for Oct 2025
Forecast of the TRY/USD pair for Nov 2025
Forecast of the TRY/USD pair for Dec 2025
Lira / US Dollar (TRY/USD) Forecast 2026 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 0.0274 | 0.0266 | 0.0282 | 5.48 % |
| Feb | 0.0278 | 0.0270 | 0.0283 | 4.63 % |
| Mar | 0.0272 | 0.0268 | 0.0279 | 3.91 % |
| Apr | 0.0280 | 0.0274 | 0.0287 | 4.49 % |
| May | 0.0280 | 0.0274 | 0.0282 | 2.86 % |
| Jun | 0.0281 | 0.0273 | 0.0284 | 3.77 % |
| Jul | 0.0279 | 0.0276 | 0.0285 | 3.24 % |
| Aug | 0.0284 | 0.0276 | 0.0291 | 4.95 % |
| Sep | 0.0276 | 0.0269 | 0.0281 | 4.25 % |
| Oct | 0.0278 | 0.0270 | 0.0283 | 4.59 % |
| Nov | 0.0268 | 0.0260 | 0.0270 | 3.76 % |
| Dec | 0.0267 | 0.0259 | 0.0271 | 4.23 % |
Lira / US Dollar (TRY/USD) Forecast 2027 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 0.0265 | 0.0258 | 0.0270 | 4.26 % |
| Feb | 0.0271 | 0.0266 | 0.0277 | 4.08 % |
| Mar | 0.0270 | 0.0268 | 0.0278 | 3.41 % |
| Apr | 0.0272 | 0.0264 | 0.0277 | 4.82 % |
| May | 0.0272 | 0.0268 | 0.0279 | 3.83 % |
| Jun | 0.0265 | 0.0262 | 0.0272 | 3.64 % |
| Jul | 0.0270 | 0.0263 | 0.0272 | 3.32 % |
| Aug | 0.0265 | 0.0258 | 0.0271 | 4.75 % |
| Sep | 0.0272 | 0.0269 | 0.0276 | 2.45 % |
| Oct | 0.0274 | 0.0267 | 0.0277 | 3.82 % |
| Nov | 0.0284 | 0.0277 | 0.0293 | 5.42 % |
| Dec | 0.0283 | 0.0277 | 0.0292 | 5.00 % |