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US Dollar to Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: April 20, 2025 (11:25)
Reverse forecast: TRY to USD
US Dollar / Lira price online today
| Now | Tomorrow | 7 Days | 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 US Dollar (USD) to Lira (TRY) | 3804.3 | 3801.2 | 3810.9 | |
| 200 US Dollar (USD) to Lira (TRY) | 7608.6 | 7602.4 | 7621.8 | |
| 500 US Dollar (USD) to Lira (TRY) | 19021.5 | 19006 | 19054.4 | |
| 1000 US Dollar (USD) to Lira (TRY) | 38042.9 | 38012 | 38108.8 | |
| 3000 US Dollar (USD) to Lira (TRY) | 114128.7 | 114036 | 114326.4 |
How much will the USD/TRY currency pair cost in 2025, 2026 and 2027? What is the forecast for the USD/TRY currency pair? What is the target price of the US Dollar / Lira currency pair for 2025-2027?
We continuously scrutinize the key events in the news flow to assist you in tackling the essential question: Will the US Dollar rise or fall against the Lira?
Identifying the trend of the USD/TRY currency pair
The recent developments surrounding the USDTRY exchange rate point to a nuanced landscape influenced by both local and global factors. Notably, Turkey's central bank implemented a surprising 350-basis-point hike, signaling heightened commitment to combating inflation and boosting confidence in the Turkish lira (TRY). This move garnered a somewhat bullish sentiment, suggesting potential short-term appreciation in TRY-value as investors perceive stronger monetary policy discipline.
Simultaneously, broader USD dynamics reflect mixed trends, with news such as Bitcoin's anticipated surge to $138K marking unprecedented dollar correlation. While this correlation could enhance the dollar's safe-haven status, the impact on exchange rates remains neutral for now. Additionally, Cathie Wood's strategic shift in digital assets further signals an evolving sentiment toward cryptocurrencies, albeit without immediate USD fluctuations.
Nonetheless, Stephen Miran's call for a "Mar-a-Lago Accord" focusing on deliberate USD weakening underlines underlying vulnerabilities, potentially altering the competitive stance of USD against currencies like TRY. Investors should expect cautious optimism toward TRY in the short-term, balanced against potential volatility induced by global currency trends and speculative digital asset shifts.
USD Trend Prediction
As of now, Panda has analyzed 288 news pieces concerning the USD currency. The average relevance score for these news items is 0.28 (with the closer to 1 being more relevant).|
2025-04-19
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.15 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-04-18
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.09 | News: 3 (0/3/0) |
|
2025-04-17
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.02 | News: 15 (2/9/4) |
|
2025-04-16
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.12 | News: 10 (6/3/1) |
|
2025-04-15
|
Neutral | Impact: 0 | News: 9 (1/7/1) |
|
2025-04-14
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.02 | News: 10 (2/6/2) |
|
2025-04-13
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.18 | News: 4 (0/2/2) |
Bitcoin Likely to Skyrocket to $138K Amid Unprecedented Dollar Correlation
April 19, 2025 (13:07)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.15
The unprecedented correlation between Bitcoin and the US dollar is raising attention, with Bitcoin's predicted surge suggesting potential market shifts influencing global currency dynamics. This correlation, combined with the speculative rise in BTC's value, has led to a cautiously neutral effect on the USD, as measured by ticker sentiment.
Kraken Introduces EUR-USD Forex Perpetual Futures on Pro Platform
April 18, 2025 (19:26)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.13
The introduction of EUR-USD forex perpetual futures on Kraken Pro could mildly impact USD exchange rates by providing additional trading options and liquidity in global markets. This development highlights increased investor interest, but the neutral sentiment suggests no significant exchange rate shifts in the short term.
TRY Trend Forecasting
Regarding the TRY currency, 4 news pieces were analyzed. The average relevance of these news items is 0.15 (the closer to 1, the higher).|
2025-04-17
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.28 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-03-28
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.02 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-03-20
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.13 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-03-13
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.06 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
Turkey's central bank sharply raises rates with surprise 350bps hike
April 17, 2025 (12:07)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.28
The central bank's unexpected 350-basis-point rate hike signals a strong commitment to tackling inflation, boosting investor confidence in the Turkish lira. This has led to a somewhat bullish sentiment around the TRY in the short term, reflecting an improved outlook for the currency.
Erdogan Rival's Arrest Triggers Protests and Economic Concerns in Turkey
March 28, 2025 (15:19)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.02
The arrest of a major political rival has shaken market confidence, leading to fears of political instability negatively impacting Turkey's already fragile economy. This uncertainty and potential for policy missteps have put additional pressure on the Turkish lira, contributing to its freefall.
This chart provides a comparative trend analysis of sentiment scores over time for USD and TRY currencies, displaying their respective news coverage and associated sentiment.
By visualizing sentiment trends and news volume, investors and brokers can identify potential market-moving events, gauge market sentiment, and make more informed trading decisions.
Historical and forecast chart of the US Dollar/Lira currency pair
The chart below shows the historical quotes of the USD/TRY pair and the forecast chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. A detailed forecast of the US Dollar/Lira rate can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
USD Main News
Synthetix sUSD stablecoin plunges to record low under $0.70 after depegging
April 18, 2025 (06:17)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0
The sharp depeg of sUSD from the US dollar has created uncertainty about its reliability as a stablecoin, which could indirectly influence confidence in USD-backed assets. However, the neutral sentiment score suggests the impact on the broader USD exchange rate remains muted for now.
Cathie Wood Invests $4.95 Million in Solana Staking ETF, Reduces Bitcoin ETF Holdings
April 18, 2025 (01:19)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.13
Cathie Wood's shift from Bitcoin to Solana in her portfolio could signal changing investment preferences, influencing digital asset sentiment and potentially impacting broader market trends. Given its neutral sentiment on the USD, the news suggests limited immediate exchange rate fluctuations but reflects evolving dynamics in cryptocurrency finance.
Who is Stephen Miran? The Trump Adviser Calling for Global Cost-Sharing and USD Devaluation
April 17, 2025 (23:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.04
Stephen Miran's call for a multilateral 'Mar-a-Lago Accord' to deliberately weaken the US dollar highlights strategic efforts to adjust the global currency equilibrium. Such measures could have significant implications for the USD exchange rate by potentially reducing its strength in foreign exchange markets.
Could Bitcoin's price hit $90K this April?
April 17, 2025 (20:18)
Trend: Somewhat-Bearish
Influence: -0.16
The news highlights that political pressure on the US Federal Reserve to cut rates, combined with a weakening DXY, contributes to bearish sentiment on the USD. Additionally, external monetary stimulus in regions such as China and Europe focuses investor attention on alternative assets like Bitcoin, further impacting USD exchange rate stability.
Gold Sets Record Highs, Triggering Speculation on Bitcoin's Price Movement
April 17, 2025 (18:48)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.1
The surge in gold prices often impacts the USD as investors shift their focus to safe-haven assets, potentially weakening the currency. Additionally, speculation on Bitcoin following gold’s movement could further influence market dynamics, though the USD sentiment remains neutral for now.
Trend:
Influence: 0
Market Resilience on Wall Street: Eli Lilly Rises, UnitedHealth Group Suffers - Impacts to USD Noted
April 17, 2025 (18:05)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.2
Optimism about potential trade deals with the EU and China has provided some support to the USD, as a positive resolution could improve economic stability and boost investor confidence. However, the sharp reactions to corporate news like UnitedHealth's drop and China's tariff changes create underlying market uncertainty, tempering the sentiment to 'somewhat-bullish'.
Bitcoin Positioned as a 'Tariff-Free Clean Trade' Amid Macro Influences
April 17, 2025 (17:42)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.09
Bitcoin's global appeal as a tariff-free and borderless asset positions it as a competitor to traditional financial instruments tied to USD, impacting demand for the currency in international markets. The news implies a neutral sentiment for USD since Bitcoin's high-beta asset nature correlating with gold may diversify investor interest without directly destabilizing USD.
ETFs Positioned to Gain as Trust in the U.S. Dollar Declines
April 17, 2025 (14:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.01
The weakening U.S. dollar appears to be driven by a lack of confidence, which often prompts investors to seek alternatives, including foreign assets or commodities. This erosion of trust impacts exchange rates negatively as demand for the dollar decreases in international markets.
Opinion | Trump's policies undermine the USD's safe-haven reputation
April 17, 2025 (12:30)
Trend: Somewhat-Bearish
Influence: -0.16
The news highlights concerns about erratic policymaking, which disturbs investor confidence and challenges the USD's historical role as a safe-haven currency. This uncertainty around governance increases the likelihood of bearish sentiment for the USD on the forex market.
Global Financial Reactions: Asia Rises, Europe Falls, and Oil Prices Surge Amid Iranian Sanctions
April 17, 2025 (11:17)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.02
The news highlights increased crude prices due to Iranian sanctions, alongside economic tension from China's new tariffs. These factors strengthen USD's appeal as a safe-haven currency, reflected in its exchange rate gain against other currencies.
US Stocks Set to Open Higher Ahead of Holiday Weekend, Boosting Market Optimism
April 17, 2025 (10:15)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.04
The slight rise in U.S. stock futures ahead of the festive weekend suggests improved market sentiment, but Jerome Powell’s dismissal of a potential 'Fed put' indicates cautious monetary policy with limited immediate support. These developments appear to have had a neutral effect on the USD exchange rate, as reflected by the low sentiment score.
Bitcoin's possible surge to $155K highlights its alignment with gold's market dynamics
April 17, 2025 (09:44)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.15
The USD exchange rate is mildly affected by Bitcoin’s speculative surge as investors weigh its perceived long-term stronghold alongside gold. This potential growth in Bitcoin's value increases its appeal as a safe haven asset, marginally reducing the need for dollar-based liquidity.
Dollar's Status as Reserve Currency in Question Amid Economic Policy Shifts and Market Reactions
April 17, 2025 (09:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.02
The U.S. dollar is facing downward pressure as doubts about its status as a global reserve currency emerge, driven by shifts in economic policy under the current administration. Market reactions suggest concerns about the stability and future strength of the dollar, contributing to its marginal negative sentiment.
Gold Nears $3,400 As Experts Warn Of A Looming Correction Amid Bullish Trends
April 17, 2025 (08:33)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.3
The escalating gold prices indicate a surge in risk aversion amidst global uncertainty, which generally strengthens the USD as a safe-haven currency. However, a potential correction in the gold market and accompanying interest rate adjustments could introduce volatility, influencing the USD exchange rate.
TRY Main News
Turkey's political and economic crisis deepens with investor exodus following opposition leader's apprehension
March 20, 2025 (13:27)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.13
The arrest of a prominent opposition leader has exacerbated political instability in Turkey, further eroding investor confidence. This has led to heightened concerns over economic security and financial inflows, contributing to the depreciation of the TRY exchange rate.
Turkey enhances oversight of crypto exchanges and investors with revised regulations
March 13, 2025 (11:05)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.06
The new crypto regulations signal increased government control over digital assets, targeting investor security and industry transparency. This development may have a neutral impact on the TRY exchange rate as it reflects a structural shift rather than immediate economic fluctuations.
Comprehensive Analysis of News and Events influencing the USDTRY currency pair
We predict the dynamics of currency pairs using resonant artificial intelligence systems. Technical, fundamental analysis, news background, general geopolitical situation in the world and other factors are taken into account.
The results of forecasts of the US Dollar/Lira currency pair are shown below and presented in the form of charts, tables and text information, divided into time intervals (Next month, 2025, 2026 and 2027).
Forecasts are adjusted once a day taking into account the price change of the previous day.
US Dollar / Lira Daily Forecast for a Month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22 | 38.0429 | 38.0110 | 38.0840 | 0.19 % |
| Apr 23 | 37.9973 | 37.9562 | 38.0452 | 0.23 % |
| Apr 24 | 37.9574 | 37.8856 | 38.0109 | 0.33 % |
| Apr 25 | 37.9972 | 37.9494 | 38.0326 | 0.22 % |
| Apr 26 | 38.0668 | 37.9937 | 38.1159 | 0.32 % |
| Apr 27 | 38.0120 | 37.9276 | 38.0519 | 0.33 % |
| Apr 28 | 38.0222 | 37.9538 | 38.0564 | 0.27 % |
| Apr 29 | 38.0519 | 37.9811 | 38.1341 | 0.40 % |
| Apr 30 | 38.0781 | 38.0027 | 38.1227 | 0.32 % |
| May 01 | 38.0382 | 37.9480 | 38.0678 | 0.32 % |
| May 02 | 37.9548 | 37.8991 | 37.9970 | 0.26 % |
| May 03 | 37.9025 | 37.8536 | 37.9389 | 0.23 % |
| May 04 | 37.9809 | 37.9502 | 38.0333 | 0.22 % |
| May 05 | 38.0117 | 37.9501 | 38.0710 | 0.32 % |
| May 06 | 38.0619 | 38.0379 | 38.0927 | 0.14 % |
| May 07 | 38.1703 | 38.0822 | 38.2516 | 0.44 % |
| May 08 | 38.2780 | 38.2412 | 38.3423 | 0.26 % |
| May 09 | 38.3618 | 38.2870 | 38.3883 | 0.26 % |
| May 10 | 38.4124 | 38.3364 | 38.4758 | 0.36 % |
| May 11 | 38.3041 | 38.2294 | 38.3800 | 0.39 % |
| May 12 | 38.3179 | 38.2260 | 38.4087 | 0.48 % |
| May 13 | 38.3294 | 38.2466 | 38.3846 | 0.36 % |
| May 14 | 38.2892 | 38.2444 | 38.3489 | 0.27 % |
| May 15 | 38.3661 | 38.3374 | 38.4283 | 0.24 % |
| May 16 | 38.4329 | 38.4052 | 38.5124 | 0.28 % |
| May 17 | 38.3994 | 38.3211 | 38.4916 | 0.44 % |
| May 18 | 38.3753 | 38.3384 | 38.4466 | 0.28 % |
| May 19 | 38.3039 | 38.2326 | 38.3820 | 0.39 % |
| May 20 | 38.2108 | 38.1592 | 38.2910 | 0.35 % |
| May 21 | 38.1088 | 38.0333 | 38.1705 | 0.36 % |
Target daily price USD/TRY
Target values of the USD/TRY currency pair as of 04-22-2025.
Optimistic target level: 38.0840
Pessimistic target level: 38.0110
Target values of the USD/TRY currency pair as of 04-23-2025.
Optimistic target level: 38.0452
Pessimistic target level: 37.9562
Target values of the USD/TRY currency pair as of 04-24-2025.
Optimistic target level: 38.0109
Pessimistic target level: 37.8856
Target values of the USD/TRY currency pair as of 04-25-2025.
Optimistic target level: 38.0326
Pessimistic target level: 37.9494
Target values of the USD/TRY currency pair as of 04-26-2025.
Optimistic target level: 38.1159
Pessimistic target level: 37.9937
US Dollar / Lira (USD/TRY) Forecast 2025 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May | 38.2244 | 37.5364 | 39.1418 | 4.10 % |
| Jun | 39.2488 | 38.9348 | 39.7983 | 2.17 % |
| Jul | 38.9505 | 38.5766 | 39.4024 | 2.10 % |
| Aug | 39.0907 | 38.1995 | 39.6693 | 3.71 % |
| Sep | 39.7162 | 39.0649 | 40.3358 | 3.15 % |
| Oct | 41.0665 | 40.1631 | 41.5429 | 3.32 % |
| Nov | 42.6928 | 41.6340 | 43.2905 | 3.83 % |
| Dec | 41.9072 | 41.0356 | 43.2147 | 5.04 % |
USD/TRY forecast for this year
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for May 2025
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for Jun 2025
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for Jul 2025
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for Aug 2025
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for Sep 2025
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for Oct 2025
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for Nov 2025
Forecast of the USD/TRY pair for Dec 2025
US Dollar / Lira (USD/TRY) Forecast 2026 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 42.5778 | 42.1520 | 43.7529 | 3.66 % |
| Feb | 42.2882 | 41.2733 | 42.9987 | 4.01 % |
| Mar | 41.4594 | 40.3814 | 42.6866 | 5.40 % |
| Apr | 39.8673 | 39.0221 | 40.5849 | 3.85 % |
| May | 40.9039 | 39.8077 | 41.3456 | 3.72 % |
| Jun | 41.9837 | 41.1945 | 43.2601 | 4.77 % |
| Jul | 43.5120 | 42.3632 | 44.6955 | 5.22 % |
| Aug | 43.8078 | 43.0368 | 44.5964 | 3.50 % |
| Sep | 43.3522 | 42.5546 | 44.6875 | 4.77 % |
| Oct | 44.0806 | 43.4282 | 45.0680 | 3.64 % |
| Nov | 43.8161 | 42.7645 | 44.3944 | 3.67 % |
| Dec | 43.3078 | 42.8747 | 43.7582 | 2.02 % |
US Dollar / Lira (USD/TRY) Forecast 2027 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 43.9661 | 43.2099 | 45.3027 | 4.62 % |
| Feb | 43.9309 | 42.7711 | 44.6162 | 4.14 % |
| Mar | 43.0347 | 42.0363 | 44.2225 | 4.94 % |
| Apr | 42.2257 | 41.8372 | 42.6479 | 1.90 % |
| May | 42.9351 | 41.7329 | 44.1544 | 5.48 % |
| Jun | 42.4370 | 41.2488 | 43.4046 | 4.97 % |
| Jul | 42.9123 | 41.9682 | 44.1997 | 5.05 % |
| Aug | 43.5646 | 42.8153 | 44.3836 | 3.53 % |
| Sep | 43.1812 | 42.4730 | 43.9930 | 3.46 % |
| Oct | 42.3003 | 41.1328 | 43.6201 | 5.70 % |
| Nov | 42.7402 | 41.8170 | 43.8857 | 4.71 % |
| Dec | 43.5096 | 43.0571 | 43.9446 | 2.02 % |