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Brazilian Real to US Dollar (BRL/USD) Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: July 20, 2025 (6:09)
Reverse forecast: USD to BRL
Brazilian Real / US Dollar price online today
| Now | Tomorrow | 7 Days | 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Brazilian Real (BRL) to US Dollar (USD) | 17.7 | 17.6 | 18.1 | |
| 200 Brazilian Real (BRL) to US Dollar (USD) | 35.3 | 35.2 | 36.1 | |
| 500 Brazilian Real (BRL) to US Dollar (USD) | 88.4 | 88.1 | 90.3 | |
| 1000 Brazilian Real (BRL) to US Dollar (USD) | 176.7 | 176.2 | 180.5 | |
| 3000 Brazilian Real (BRL) to US Dollar (USD) | 530.2 | 528.6 | 541.5 |
How much will the BRL/USD currency pair cost in 2025, 2026 and 2027? What is the forecast for the BRL/USD currency pair? What is the target price of the Brazilian Real / US Dollar currency pair for 2025-2027?
We continuously scrutinize the key events in the news flow to assist you in tackling the essential question: Will the Brazilian Real rise or fall against the US Dollar?
Identifying the trend of the BRL/USD currency pair
The recent developments around the GENIUS Act indicate increased regulatory stability in the stablecoin market by imposing restrictions on dominating entities like Big Tech and banks. This poses a potential influx of confidence into USD-backed assets, which may exert slight upward pressures on USD demand. However, opposing views suggest the act could pave the way for CBDC-like controls, triggering uncertainty and potentially wavering investor trust, leading to neutral to marginally negative movements in USD valuation.
Meanwhile, macroeconomic challenges highlighted by Tim Draper underscore the erosion of fiat currencies, with inflation driving demand for decentralized alternatives such as Bitcoin. This represents ongoing pressure on the USD as global shifts toward hedging against traditional currencies strengthen. Concurrently, South Korean funds reintensifying interest in Chinese equities mark a visible trend in portfolio diversification away from dollar-denominated assets, further weighing on USD demand globally.
Lastly, discussions around the Hong Kong dollar peg to USD emphasize stability and predictability in investments, maintaining a neutral stance for USD influence. Overall, the USD may face near-term pressures from diversification trends and regulatory uncertainties, requiring investors to cautiously monitor geopolitical and fiscal maneuvers and consider hedging strategies.
USD Trend Forecasting
Regarding the USD currency, 238 news pieces were analyzed. The average relevance of these news items is 0.26 (the closer to 1, the higher).|
2025-07-20
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.18 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-07-19
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.02 | News: 3 (0/3/0) |
|
2025-07-18
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.13 | News: 2 (0/2/0) |
|
2025-07-17
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.08 | News: 4 (1/3/0) |
|
2025-07-16
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.07 | News: 5 (2/3/0) |
|
2025-07-15
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.03 | News: 5 (0/5/0) |
|
2025-07-14
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.1 | News: 2 (1/1/0) |
GENIUS Act Limits Big Tech and Banks' Influence Over Stablecoin Markets
July 20, 2025 (07:37)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.18
The GENIUS Act, by creating significant regulatory barriers for big tech and large financial institutions, stabilizes competition within the stablecoin market, instilling greater confidence in the regulatory oversight of USD-backed cryptos. This confidence likely leads to a positive effect on the USD exchange rate, as a better-regulated market strengthens trust in USD-pegged assets.
US Lawmaker Warns GENIUS Bill Could Impose Hidden CBDC Regulation
July 19, 2025 (22:15)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.09
The potential adoption of a centrally-managed stablecoin or a CBDC as outlined in the GENIUS bill raises concerns over government control, undermining trust in the USD's independence. This skepticism towards digital oversight may lead to uncertainty in foreign exchange markets, marginally impacting USD valuation.
This chart provides a comparative trend analysis of sentiment scores over time for BRL and USD currencies, displaying their respective news coverage and associated sentiment.
By visualizing sentiment trends and news volume, investors and brokers can identify potential market-moving events, gauge market sentiment, and make more informed trading decisions.
Historical and forecast chart of the Brazilian Real/US Dollar currency pair
The chart below shows the historical quotes of the BRL/USD pair and the forecast chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. A detailed forecast of the Brazilian Real/US Dollar rate can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
USD Main News
Economic pressures erode Bitcoin's halving advantage - Tim Draper
July 19, 2025 (19:52)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.06
This news highlights how inflation and a weakening US dollar position increase the allure of Bitcoin as a store of value, driving demand for it over fiat currencies. Consequently, such trends may exert downward pressure on the USD exchange rate, as global investors diversify into decentralized assets.
Why Hong Kong Should Keep the US Dollar Peg
July 19, 2025 (01:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.09
This news suggests discussion around the stability of the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar, which is critical for maintaining investor confidence and economic predictability. The neutral sentiment indicates that, while the topic is relevant, there is currently no significant movement expected in USD exchange rates due to this issue.
Korean Investors Show Renewed Interest in Chinese Equities After Years of Avoidance
July 18, 2025 (08:03)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.12
This news highlights a shift in investment trends toward non-dollar assets, as South Korean funds increase their exposure to Chinese equities amid a weakening US dollar. Such diversification tendencies could exert downward pressure on the USD by reducing overall demand for the currency.
The Dissonance in America's Crypto and CBDC Approach
July 18, 2025 (05:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.13
The article highlights the conflicting stance of U.S. policymakers between embracing cryptocurrency innovation and hesitating on CBDC adoption. This indecisiveness may create uncertainty in the markets, thereby impacting confidence in the USD exchange rate.
US to launch trade probe into Brazil's Pix-driven financial dominance
July 17, 2025 (22:40)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.03
The investigation into Brazil's Pix system, alongside potential tariffs, might destabilize trade relationships and increase uncertainty in international markets. This could lead to fluctuations in USD exchange rates as global investors reassess their positions given the geopolitical and economic shift.
Nasdaq 100 Surges to Record High: Impact on Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (ARCA:BTC)
July 17, 2025 (16:54)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.28
The resilient U.S. economy, as evidenced by strong retail sales growth and a decline in jobless claims, is boosting confidence in the U.S. dollar. This optimism, reflected in market performance, supports higher capital inflows and upward pressures on USD exchange rates.
Trump’s renewed attack on the Federal Reserve: Implications for U.S. monetary policy and the economy
July 17, 2025 (08:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.03
Trump's pressure on lowering interest rates to 1% from their current levels risks undermining confidence in the Federal Reserve's independence, leading to potential increased volatility in the USD exchange rate. Market uncertainty about U.S. monetary policy could contribute to short-term depreciation of the USD, as suggested by the slightly negative sentiment analysis.
ChinaAMC Introduces World's First Yuan-Denominated Tokenised Fund in Hong Kong
July 17, 2025 (08:26)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.04
The introduction of a yuan-denominated tokenised fund signals increased acceptance and demand for yuan-based assets in global markets, potentially impacting the USD's position as the dominant reserve currency. However, the news currently has a neutral short-term effect on the USD exchange rate, as the broader implications are yet to materialize.
Gold and Bitcoin Rally Amid Speculation Over Federal Reserve Leadership Shake-Up
July 16, 2025 (17:44)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.02
The speculation about Trump potentially firing Fed Chair Powell raises concerns over central bank independence, which weakens confidence in the USD as a global reserve currency. Additionally, the increase in gold and Bitcoin prices reflects growing market preference for alternative stores of value, further pressuring the dollar.
Momentum Stocks Surge: Circle, Unity, and Rigetti Capture Wall Street’s Attention
July 16, 2025 (16:09)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.24
The strong performance of high-growth companies like Circle, Unity, and Rigetti signals rising investor confidence, which often correlates with a bullish sentiment toward the USD. As risk appetite increases, the currency benefits from its safe-haven status and the potential for stronger economic growth.
Gold’s 2025 Bull Run Fueled by Dollar Weakness and Geopolitical Instability
July 16, 2025 (11:14)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.09
The news highlights gold's significant rise driven partly by USD's weakening, reflecting diminished global confidence in the currency amidst geopolitical instability. As central banks pivot to gold, the increased demand suggests persistent pressures on USD exchange rates as investors seek safe havens.
June UK inflation surges beyond expectations, hitting 3.6%
July 16, 2025 (06:25)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0
Higher-than-expected UK inflation suggests potential changes to monetary policy that could influence global currency markets. While the sentiment for USD remains neutral for now, heightened inflationary pressures may lead to fluctuations in USD exchange rates.
Hong Kong defends currency peg through dollar interventions amid carry trade pressure
July 16, 2025 (04:45)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.2
The intervention by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) reflects the pressure on the US dollar caused by the interest rate differential, as traders seek profit opportunities that could destabilize currency pegs. These actions also slightly bolster confidence in the USD, contributing to a 'Somewhat-Bullish' sentiment despite ongoing market challenges.
Asian investors adjust US asset exposures as dollar weakens and alternatives remain limited
July 15, 2025 (23:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.05
The weakening dollar has led Asian investors to reduce their incremental allocations to US equities, reflecting concerns about currency valuation and returns. However, their overall exposure to US assets is still hard to minimize, as alternatives to the USD remain scarce in global markets.
Turn $1,000 Into Long-Term Gains With Cryptocurrencies
July 15, 2025 (11:45)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.14
The news highlights concerns about the USD's purchasing power due to fiat currency devaluation, signaling a possible lack of confidence in traditional currency systems. Increased interest in cryptocurrencies as alternative investments could exert downward pressure on USD exchange rates if the trend continues.
Comprehensive Analysis of News and Events influencing the BRLUSD currency pair
We predict the dynamics of currency pairs using resonant artificial intelligence systems. Technical, fundamental analysis, news background, general geopolitical situation in the world and other factors are taken into account.
The results of forecasts of the Brazilian Real/US Dollar currency pair are shown below and presented in the form of charts, tables and text information, divided into time intervals (Next month, 2025, 2026 and 2027).
Forecasts are adjusted once a day taking into account the price change of the previous day.
Brazilian Real / US Dollar Daily Forecast for a Month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22 | 0.1767 | 0.1762 | 0.1781 | 1.06 % |
| Jul 23 | 0.1757 | 0.1743 | 0.1768 | 1.40 % |
| Jul 24 | 0.1749 | 0.1736 | 0.1756 | 1.11 % |
| Jul 25 | 0.1742 | 0.1737 | 0.1749 | 0.67 % |
| Jul 26 | 0.1752 | 0.1743 | 0.1765 | 1.27 % |
| Jul 27 | 0.1762 | 0.1752 | 0.1770 | 1.02 % |
| Jul 28 | 0.1766 | 0.1757 | 0.1784 | 1.56 % |
| Jul 29 | 0.1766 | 0.1755 | 0.1770 | 0.85 % |
| Jul 30 | 0.1775 | 0.1763 | 0.1786 | 1.31 % |
| Jul 31 | 0.1795 | 0.1777 | 0.1801 | 1.36 % |
| Aug 01 | 0.1812 | 0.1805 | 0.1825 | 1.13 % |
| Aug 02 | 0.1809 | 0.1798 | 0.1828 | 1.68 % |
| Aug 03 | 0.1791 | 0.1779 | 0.1808 | 1.59 % |
| Aug 04 | 0.1795 | 0.1780 | 0.1809 | 1.66 % |
| Aug 05 | 0.1798 | 0.1786 | 0.1810 | 1.32 % |
| Aug 06 | 0.1803 | 0.1797 | 0.1811 | 0.80 % |
| Aug 07 | 0.1806 | 0.1788 | 0.1819 | 1.76 % |
| Aug 08 | 0.1802 | 0.1786 | 0.1814 | 1.54 % |
| Aug 09 | 0.1821 | 0.1816 | 0.1836 | 1.14 % |
| Aug 10 | 0.1836 | 0.1822 | 0.1847 | 1.37 % |
| Aug 11 | 0.1840 | 0.1833 | 0.1848 | 0.86 % |
| Aug 12 | 0.1843 | 0.1829 | 0.1850 | 1.15 % |
| Aug 13 | 0.1840 | 0.1825 | 0.1859 | 1.86 % |
| Aug 14 | 0.1829 | 0.1814 | 0.1843 | 1.60 % |
| Aug 15 | 0.1822 | 0.1814 | 0.1836 | 1.21 % |
| Aug 16 | 0.1802 | 0.1791 | 0.1808 | 0.90 % |
| Aug 17 | 0.1812 | 0.1794 | 0.1826 | 1.77 % |
| Aug 18 | 0.1827 | 0.1814 | 0.1844 | 1.65 % |
| Aug 19 | 0.1816 | 0.1801 | 0.1827 | 1.44 % |
| Aug 20 | 0.1805 | 0.1796 | 0.1814 | 1.02 % |
Target daily price BRL/USD
Target values of the BRL/USD currency pair as of 07-22-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1781
Pessimistic target level: 0.1762
Target values of the BRL/USD currency pair as of 07-23-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1768
Pessimistic target level: 0.1743
Target values of the BRL/USD currency pair as of 07-24-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1756
Pessimistic target level: 0.1736
Target values of the BRL/USD currency pair as of 07-25-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1749
Pessimistic target level: 0.1737
Target values of the BRL/USD currency pair as of 07-26-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1765
Pessimistic target level: 0.1743
Brazilian Real / US Dollar (BRL/USD) Forecast 2025 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 0.1719 | 0.1699 | 0.1782 | 4.62 % |
| Sep | 0.1731 | 0.1703 | 0.1799 | 5.30 % |
| Oct | 0.1713 | 0.1676 | 0.1776 | 5.65 % |
| Nov | 0.1759 | 0.1725 | 0.1812 | 4.80 % |
| Dec | 0.1800 | 0.1768 | 0.1883 | 6.10 % |
BRL/USD forecast for this year
Forecast of the BRL/USD pair for Aug 2025
Forecast of the BRL/USD pair for Sep 2025
Forecast of the BRL/USD pair for Oct 2025
Forecast of the BRL/USD pair for Nov 2025
Forecast of the BRL/USD pair for Dec 2025
Brazilian Real / US Dollar (BRL/USD) Forecast 2026 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 0.1830 | 0.1802 | 0.1910 | 5.69 % |
| Feb | 0.1772 | 0.1727 | 0.1808 | 4.45 % |
| Mar | 0.1770 | 0.1742 | 0.1794 | 2.87 % |
| Apr | 0.1797 | 0.1735 | 0.1877 | 7.59 % |
| May | 0.1761 | 0.1716 | 0.1836 | 6.54 % |
| Jun | 0.1809 | 0.1776 | 0.1870 | 5.02 % |
| Jul | 0.1772 | 0.1711 | 0.1797 | 4.83 % |
| Aug | 0.1796 | 0.1722 | 0.1869 | 7.86 % |
| Sep | 0.1787 | 0.1717 | 0.1863 | 7.87 % |
| Oct | 0.1812 | 0.1773 | 0.1869 | 5.11 % |
| Nov | 0.1810 | 0.1786 | 0.1838 | 2.82 % |
| Dec | 0.1763 | 0.1741 | 0.1817 | 4.18 % |
Brazilian Real / US Dollar (BRL/USD) Forecast 2027 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 0.1707 | 0.1680 | 0.1753 | 4.17 % |
| Feb | 0.1640 | 0.1619 | 0.1688 | 4.13 % |
| Mar | 0.1702 | 0.1648 | 0.1751 | 5.86 % |
| Apr | 0.1798 | 0.1778 | 0.1839 | 3.32 % |
| May | 0.1792 | 0.1749 | 0.1867 | 6.28 % |
| Jun | 0.1805 | 0.1743 | 0.1859 | 6.22 % |
| Jul | 0.1827 | 0.1770 | 0.1885 | 6.08 % |
| Aug | 0.1808 | 0.1761 | 0.1848 | 4.72 % |
| Sep | 0.1844 | 0.1810 | 0.1870 | 3.19 % |
| Oct | 0.1814 | 0.1750 | 0.1898 | 7.80 % |
| Nov | 0.1796 | 0.1739 | 0.1865 | 6.77 % |
| Dec | 0.1898 | 0.1837 | 0.1971 | 6.76 % |