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Ambarella (AMBA) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: October 14, 2024 (17:46)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) now
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
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Previous Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Are you interested in Ambarella, Inc. stocks and want to buy them, or are they already in your portfolio? If yes, then on this page you will find useful information about the dynamics of the Ambarella stock price in 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028. How much will one Ambarella share be worth in 2024 - 2028?
When should I take profit in Ambarella stock? When should I record a loss on Ambarella stock? What are analysts' forecasts for Ambarella stock? What is the future of Ambarella stock? We forecast Ambarella stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Ambarella stocks. Also, when forecasting, technical analysis tools are used, world geopolitical and news factors are taken into account.
Ambarella stock prediction results are shown below and presented in the form of graphs, tables and text information, divided into time intervals. (Next month, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027 and 2028) The final quotes of the instrument at the close of the previous trading day are a signal to adjust the forecasts for Ambarella shares. This happens once a day.
Historical and forecast chart of Ambarella stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Ambarella stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Ambarella stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Ambarella, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 0 analytical articles which are directly related to AMBA from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 0 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Jan 01, 1970 to Jan 01, 1970.
Ambarella Surges with Strong Q2: A Tech Powerhouse in Automotive and IoT Sectors
In his latest analytical financial article, Chris Lau maintains a Bullish stance on AMBA stock, highlighting potential growth prospects and strategies. As a seasoned and widely respected contributor since 2009, Lau has amassed an impressive portfolio of 1,164 publications, attracting a substantial following of 33,844 subscribers. This extensive publication record, paired with a significant tenure, underscores his consistent and reliable insights. Furthermore, Lau’s high credibility strengthens his viewpoints, making his Bullish outlook on AMBA stock worth considering for investors seeking informed perspectives.
Key Theses
- Ambarella's Q2 results exceeded expectations in revenue and earnings per share.
- The company's optimistic outlook, particularly in the automotive and IoT sectors, bolstered investor confidence.
- Ambarella's unique vision-language model and real-time camera feedback technology provide a competitive edge.
- Strong anticipated sales growth and reduced operating expenses are projected for upcoming quarters.
- Related stocks include Samsara, Ouster, and Rivian.
Factors Influencing AMBA Stock Price
Exceeded Revenue and Earnings Expectations
Ambarella reported a revenue increase of 2.6% to $63.73 million beating estimates and an EPS loss that was better than expected. This strong performance directly influenced an 18% stock price jump, indicating high investor confidence.
Optimistic Outlook in Automotive and IoT Sectors
The company's positive outlook in these high-growth sectors has reassured investors about future demand. High growth potential in these sectors can significantly uplift the company's revenue, attracting more investors.
Unique Vision-Language Model and Real-Time Camera Feedback Technology
These advanced technologies give Ambarella a competitive edge, differentiating its product offering in the market. The uniqueness could lead to increased adoption and higher sales, positively impacting stock prices.
Anticipated Sales Growth and Reduced Operating Expenses
Projected sales growth combined with reduced non-GAAP operating expenses to between $49 million to $51 million are favorable for profitability. Investors are likely to view these efficient cost management strategies positively.
General Market Volatility
While Ambarella's results are positive, general market conditions and sector-specific downturns, such as in China's EV market, could pose risks. These external factors can lead to fluctuations in stock prices despite strong internal performance.
Review the original Analysis
Ambarella's Future at Crossroads: Geopolitics and Industry Shifts Shape Outlook
MarketGyrations, an established contributor since 2014, brings a wealth of experience and insight to the financial community with an extensive catalog of 623 publications. With a significant subscriber base of 3010, the author's viewpoints hold considerable weight and credibility among readers. In this review, MarketGyrations maintains a Neutral stance on AMBA stock, reflecting a balanced perspective grounded in thorough analysis. The author's high volume of published content over nearly a decade underscores a robust commitment to delivering consistent, reliable financial commentary. Readers can trust this analysis as part of the author’s highly authoritative portfolio, indicative of insightful and well-respected opinions within the financial realm.
Key Theses from the Article
- Recent stock rally hopes were dashed due to various negative developments.
- Ambarella has experienced declining sales and increasing losses over the past three years, but signs of a potential turnaround are emerging.
- The company's reliance on the China market for growth is risky due to geopolitical tensions surrounding AI.
- U.S. government policy remains a wildcard that could significantly influence Ambarella's future.
Key Factors Influencing AMBA's Stock Price
U.S. Government Policy on Semiconductor Exports to China
The U.S. government's potential new restrictions on semiconductor companies doing business with China could jeopardize Ambarella's current and future business ventures there. Considering Ambarella's recent success in China, any restrictions could critically impact its turnaround strategy.
Recent Design Wins in China
Ambarella's design wins, including for the CV3-AD AI domain controller, demonstrate significant revenue growth potential. These wins could increase revenue by more than $100M, which is nearly half of its FY2024 revenue of $226.47M.
General Market Selloff
General geopolitical tensions and the unwinding of financial market trades have significantly affected the stock price. This broad market selloff led to a steep decline in Ambarella’s stock from $65.88 to $39.69 within three weeks.
Shifts towards AI Products
Ambarella's transition towards AI-focused products at the edge has shown promise by constituting two-thirds of its Q1 FY2025 revenue. This strategic shift could potentially drive future growth, extending beyond traditional products.
Historical Performance and Valuation
Ambarella's past three years of declining sales and record losses, culminating in a GAAP loss of $169.4M in FY2024, weigh heavily on investor sentiment. Despite these challenges, the stock is still valued like a high-growth stock at around 8 times sales compared to a sector median of 2.8x.
Review the original Analysis Commentary
Ambarella's stock has been on a tumultuous ride, experiencing significant ups and downs driven by geopolitical uncertainties and shifts in the tech industry. A critical factor is the U.S. government's potential new restrictions on semiconductor exports to China, which could derail Ambarella's recent progress in this lucrative market. The company's heavy dependence on geopolitical hotspots like China makes any governmental policy changes a highly impactful concern.
Amid this uncertainty, Ambarella has also been making strides with its AI-focused products. With two-thirds of its Q1 FY2025 revenue coming from AI at the edge, this strategic pivot offers a silver lining. However, past financial performance, including three years of declining sales and mounting losses, weighs heavily on investor sentiment. The stock remains highly valued at eight times sales despite these challenges, suggesting that while there's potential for growth, it's a risky bet. Averaging the influence of all factors suggests a fairly neutral outlook in the next 15 days and the coming month.
Ambarella, Inc. develops video semiconductor processing solutions that enable high definition (HD) video capture, analysis, sharing and display worldwide. The company’s system-on-chip integrates high-definition video processing, image processing, computer vision, audio processing and system functions into a single chip to provide video and image quality, differentiated functionality and low power consumption.
Trending Themes in the Technology Sector
Ambarella daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | 60.06 | 59.41 | 61.55 | 3.60 |
| Oct 17 | 60.73 | 60.25 | 62.53 | 3.79 |
| Oct 18 | 58.94 | 57.14 | 59.81 | 4.66 |
| Oct 19 | 58.56 | 57.13 | 59.47 | 4.10 |
| Oct 20 | 59.29 | 58.03 | 59.85 | 3.15 |
| Oct 21 | 58.19 | 57.54 | 59.59 | 3.56 |
| Oct 22 | 58.26 | 56.47 | 60.08 | 6.40 |
| Oct 23 | 58.17 | 57.12 | 58.64 | 2.65 |
| Oct 24 | 58.19 | 56.50 | 59.99 | 6.18 |
| Oct 25 | 56.80 | 55.48 | 57.55 | 3.73 |
| Oct 26 | 57.41 | 55.92 | 58.67 | 4.93 |
| Oct 27 | 59.34 | 57.99 | 60.41 | 4.18 |
| Oct 28 | 61.22 | 59.45 | 62.59 | 5.27 |
| Oct 29 | 60.68 | 58.86 | 61.74 | 4.91 |
| Oct 30 | 62.84 | 61.50 | 63.97 | 4.00 |
| Oct 31 | 63.26 | 62.66 | 63.95 | 2.06 |
| Nov 01 | 64.45 | 63.40 | 65.82 | 3.82 |
| Nov 02 | 66.05 | 64.44 | 66.74 | 3.57 |
| Nov 03 | 63.52 | 62.35 | 65.12 | 4.44 |
| Nov 04 | 63.77 | 62.62 | 65.76 | 5.01 |
| Nov 05 | 64.99 | 63.25 | 65.77 | 3.99 |
| Nov 06 | 64.53 | 62.51 | 65.27 | 4.42 |
| Nov 07 | 63.67 | 62.10 | 64.41 | 3.73 |
| Nov 08 | 64.34 | 63.02 | 65.06 | 3.23 |
| Nov 09 | 66.34 | 64.65 | 66.93 | 3.53 |
| Nov 10 | 65.65 | 63.92 | 67.52 | 5.63 |
| Nov 11 | 63.42 | 62.28 | 65.40 | 5.01 |
| Nov 12 | 64.11 | 63.26 | 65.90 | 4.18 |
| Nov 13 | 61.90 | 61.01 | 63.63 | 4.30 |
| Nov 14 | 60.34 | 58.48 | 60.82 | 4.00 |
Ambarella Daily Price Targets
Ambarella Stock Forecast 10-16-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-16-2024: $60.06.
Positive dynamics for Ambarella shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.474%.
Pessimistic target level: 59.41
Optimistic target level: 61.55
Ambarella Stock Forecast 10-17-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-17-2024: $60.73.
Positive dynamics for Ambarella shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.652%.
Pessimistic target level: 60.25
Optimistic target level: 62.53
Ambarella Stock Forecast 10-18-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-18-2024: $58.94.
Negative dynamics for Ambarella shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.454%.
Pessimistic target level: 57.14
Optimistic target level: 59.81
Ambarella Stock Forecast 10-19-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-19-2024: $58.56.
Negative dynamics for Ambarella shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.939%.
Pessimistic target level: 57.13
Optimistic target level: 59.47
Ambarella Stock Forecast 10-20-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-20-2024: $59.29.
Positive dynamics for Ambarella shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.051%.
Pessimistic target level: 58.03
Optimistic target level: 59.85
Ambarella Stock Forecast 10-21-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-21-2024: $58.19.
Negative dynamics for Ambarella shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.437%.
Pessimistic target level: 57.54
Optimistic target level: 59.59
AMBA (AMBA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. | 60.80 | 57.15 | 63.72 | 10.31 |
| Dec. | 58.25 | 54.67 | 60.52 | 9.67 |
Ambarella forecast for this year
Ambarella Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $60.803. Pessimistic: $57.15. Optimistic: $63.72
Ambarella Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $58.2493. Pessimistic: $54.67. Optimistic: $60.52
Ambarella (AMBA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 56.68 | 51.75 | 63.39 | 18.37 |
| Feb | 48.52 | 46.48 | 51.35 | 9.49 |
| Mar | 48.08 | 45.27 | 51.68 | 12.42 |
| Apr | 52.55 | 48.92 | 55.47 | 11.80 |
| May | 51.45 | 46.04 | 56.77 | 18.89 |
| Jun | 52.45 | 48.36 | 55.60 | 13.02 |
| Jul | 55.28 | 53.37 | 57.19 | 6.67 |
| Aug | 54.78 | 52.81 | 57.33 | 7.88 |
| Sep | 52.89 | 51.07 | 54.48 | 6.26 |
| Oct | 48.69 | 45.48 | 52.71 | 13.72 |
| Nov | 51.61 | 48.59 | 53.62 | 9.38 |
| Dec | 56.72 | 54.93 | 58.93 | 6.79 |
Ambarella (AMBA) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 58.42 | 52.02 | 62.01 | 16.11 |
| Feb | 66.13 | 60.08 | 71.69 | 16.19 |
| Mar | 64.25 | 60.68 | 68.20 | 11.02 |
| Apr | 61.74 | 56.83 | 67.95 | 16.36 |
| May | 66.74 | 64.44 | 74.35 | 13.33 |
| Jun | 68.75 | 62.97 | 74.73 | 15.73 |
| Jul | 69.26 | 66.25 | 72.69 | 8.86 |
| Aug | 74.46 | 69.10 | 77.58 | 10.94 |
| Sep | 66.86 | 60.24 | 70.07 | 14.03 |
| Oct | 68.77 | 61.96 | 73.51 | 15.72 |
| Nov | 70.93 | 62.95 | 77.00 | 18.24 |
| Dec | 80.72 | 74.30 | 84.35 | 11.91 |
Ambarella information and performance
3101 JAY STREET, SANTA CLARA, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Ambarella, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of AMBA shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Ambarella is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Commentary
Ambarella's second-quarter performance exceeded Wall Street's expectations, with a revenue uptick of 2.6%, clocking in at $63.73 million, and a less-than-expected EPS loss. This impressive result catalyzed an 18% stock price surge, reflecting robust investor confidence. The company's optimistic outlook in the burgeoning automotive and IoT sectors further solidifies its growth trajectory, making Ambarella a compelling investment opportunity.
Furthermore, Ambarella's unique vision-language model and real-time camera feedback technology set it apart, hinting at increased market adoption and sales. The company's disciplined approach to cost management, projecting reduced operating expenses, adds to its attractiveness. Notably, while general market volatility and specific downturns, such as in China's EV sector, could pose risks, the average influence strength of these positive factors suggests a bullish trend, both in the next 15 days and over the coming month.