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Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: December 7, 2024 (16:06)
Sector: IndustrialsThe share price of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report|
This Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
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Previous Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Na | Impact: Na | News: 1 |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 5 (4/1/0) |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 3 (2/1/0) |
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Previous Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 1 (1/0/0) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 4 (4/0/0) |
Analyzing the Most Important RKLB news
Biden Administration Boosts Rocket Labs with CHIPs Act Award
Industrial Stocks Primed for Gains Amid Reshoring Surge
Rocket Lab Rockets Higher After Earnings Beat and Bullish Outlook
Historical and forecast chart of Rocket Lab USA stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Rocket Lab USA stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Rocket Lab USA stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 8 analytical articles which are directly related to RKLB from the last 30 days. Out of these, 7 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 1 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Nov 08, 2024 to Dec 04, 2024.
Rocket Lab Faces Near-Term Challenges Amid Long-Term Promise
In this review of the analytical financial article by Bay Area Ideas, the author expresses a Neutral stance on RKLB stock, offering a balanced viewpoint without leaning toward either bullish or bearish sentiments. With 46 publications since becoming a contributor in 2023, the author has demonstrated a high level of productivity and engagement. Garnering 720 subscribers, the author's insights are both popular and credible within their field. The feedback from the audience and the number of subscribers reflect a growing trust in the author's analyses, emphasizing their relevance and influence in financial discussions. As you delve into the review, consider this perspective from a trusted and well-regarded contributor in the financial analysis sphere.
Key Theses of the Review
- Rocket Lab stock is likely to experience near-term weakness due to bearish technical indicators and stretched valuations.
- Long-term prospects for Rocket Lab remain strong despite the anticipated near-term pullback.
- The company's fundamentals show strong revenue growth but widening losses, indicating potential overvaluation.
- It's advisable to hold the stock, as a better entry point may present itself after the current correction stabilizes.
Factors Influencing RKLB Stock Price
Technical Indicators
Bearish technical patterns such as a bearish engulfing pattern and moving below the 9-day EMA suggest that the stock may experience a pullback. The technical analysis strongly indicates immediate weakness, making this a significant factor.
Valuation Ratios
The P/B ratio has quintupled recently, indicating possible overvaluation, which may contribute to selling pressure. A high P/B ratio compared to industry norms can be a critical factor in price corrections.
Revenue Growth
The 55% YoY revenue growth is a positive indicator, supporting the long-term bullish outlook for Rocket Lab. While significant, it does not immediately counterbalance short-term bearish technical signals.
Widening Losses
Widening losses, evidenced by GAAP EPS deteriorating from -$0.08 to -$0.10, can weigh on investor sentiment, reducing immediate stock price stability. Financial losses suggest that profitability is not close, affecting near-term investor confidence.
Market Developments
Being selected by NASA for a Mars mission and breaking the launch record are promising developments that bolster long-term prospects. Market achievements are positive but may not immediately influence short-term stock price movements amid technical weaknesses.
Review the original Analysis
Rocket Lab: Navigating a $1B Backlog with Innovative Growth Engines
In his latest analytical financial review, Yiannis Zourmpanos expresses a Bullish stance on RKLB stock, signaling a strong confidence in its future potential. As an established contributor since 2021 with 317 publications, Zourmpanos demonstrates remarkable productivity and engagement within the financial community, attracting a substantial following of 7,801 subscribers. His viewpoints carry significant weight, supported by excellent credibility metrics, which enhance the authority and reliability of his analyses. Such a high-level authority suggests that readers and investors can consider his insights as well-informed and potentially influential. This positions Zourmpanos as a highly respected voice in financial analysis, making his bullish perspective on RKLB particularly noteworthy for those interested in strategic investment insights.
Key Theses of the Review
- Rocket Lab's strategic position hinges on its dual focus on scalable rocket development and innovative engine production.
- The company's $1.05 billion backlog provides strong revenue visibility, with 50% expected to be monetized within 12 months.
- Neutron and Archimedes programs are targeted to meet industry demands for cost-efficient launch services.
- Strategic defense contracts align Rocket Lab with U.S. government priorities, potentially ensuring continuous revenue flow.
- The company faces challenges with inconsistent launch cadence and higher R&D costs impacting short-term financials.
Key Factors Influencing RKLB Stock Price
Backlog Size and Revenue Visibility
The $1.05 billion backlog (+80% YoY) ensures strong revenue visibility with plans to monetize 50% within 12 months. This large and confirmed backlog secures future cash flows, significantly enhancing investor confidence and stock price stability in the near term.
Neutron and Archimedes Development
Investment in Neutron ($44M in Q3) and Archimedes development enhances Rocket Lab's technological edge in scalable rocket and engine technology. Successful advancements in these programs could revolutionize payload capacities and cost-efficiency, thus positively impacting stock valuation.
Defense Contracts and Strategic Alignment
Defense agreements, including eligibility for the $1B OSP-4 program, align Rocket Lab with U.S. government growth strategies. This alignment not only diversifies revenue streams but also provides a stable demand base, bolstering the stock price.
Launch Cadence and Revenue Predictability
Inconsistent launch projections (adjusted from 22 to 15–18 launches) introduce revenue unpredictability, directly affecting stock valuations. If the company stabilizes launch frequencies, it could enhance revenue predictability and market confidence.
R&D Costs and Financial Strain
With $44M spent on Neutron in Q3 and projections to exceed the annual target, R&D expenses strain short-term finances. This affects bottom-line results without immediate returns, potentially leading to short-term stock price pressures until Neutron commercialization.
Review the original Analysis Commentary
Rocket Lab is solidly positioning itself for future growth through both its sizable $1.05 billion backlog and ongoing advancements in the Neutron and Archimedes programs. With 50% of its backlog expected to convert into revenue within the next year, the company provides an appealing level of security for investors, boosting confidence in its stock. The strategic alignment with U.S. defense contracts further cushions Rocket Lab against market shifts, although the fluctuating launch cadence and high R&D costs do create some bumps in their financial ride.
Factor analysis reveals that current elements influencing Rocket Lab's stock have an average significance score that's quite high, suggesting continued positivity in the next 15 days and potentially increasing over the month. The company's innovative strides in the rocket industry are setting the stage for long-term success, but are met with immediate financial pressures from hefty R&D expenditures for their promising projects. How well they manage these dynamics will be one to watch, especially if they can stabilize launch frequencies and match them with their financial ambitions. Overall, Rocket Lab looks like an impressive contender moving forward, regardless of these immediate challenges.
Comprehensive Analysis of Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Rocket Lab USA's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Rocket Lab USA stock?
- When should I record a loss on Rocket Lab USA stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Rocket Lab USA stock?
- What is the future of Rocket Lab USA stock?
We forecast Rocket Lab USA stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Rocket Lab USA stocks.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 7 news items directly related to RKLB from the last 30 days. Out of these, 5 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 2 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting RKLB shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Nov 11, 2024, to Nov 25, 2024.
Rocket Lab Secures Key Neutron Launch Deal with Top Satellite Player
Rocket Lab USA Outperforms Q3 Expectations, Sees Strong Q4 Revenue Growth
Hidden Gems: Rocket Lab Soars as Top Unknown Stock
Rocket Lab USA Prepares for Q3 Earnings Surge with Revenue Leap
Rocket Lab to Pioneer Mars-Earth Sample Retrieval for NASA
Rocket Lab Reaches New Heights with Varda Collaboration
Rocket Lab Launch Halted by Last-Second Abortion in NZ
Rocket Lab Rockets to Top While Rentokil Faces Gravity
Private Spacewalks Propel Commercial Space Industry
Rocket Lab Prepares for 53rd Electron Rocket Launch Partnering with Kinéis
Rocket Lab USA, Inc., an aerospace company, specializes in the development of missile launch and control systems for the space and defense industries. The company provides launch services, spacecraft components, satellites and other spacecraft, and in-orbit control solutions; and designs, manufactures and markets electron and neutron launch vehicles and offers the Photon platform for spacecraft solutions. He serves clients in the commercial, civil, defense and academic sectors.
Trending Themes in the Industrials Sector
Rocket Lab USA daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 09 | 24.37 | 23.31 | 25.67 | 10.10 |
| Dec 10 | 24.76 | 23.39 | 25.77 | 10.15 |
| Dec 11 | 24.50 | 23.73 | 25.36 | 6.87 |
| Dec 12 | 24.86 | 23.84 | 26.05 | 9.27 |
| Dec 13 | 25.47 | 24.19 | 26.02 | 7.59 |
| Dec 14 | 25.54 | 25.15 | 26.74 | 6.33 |
| Dec 15 | 25.04 | 24.67 | 25.67 | 4.05 |
| Dec 16 | 24.64 | 23.47 | 25.95 | 10.58 |
| Dec 17 | 25.71 | 24.66 | 26.73 | 8.39 |
| Dec 18 | 24.88 | 23.68 | 25.77 | 8.83 |
| Dec 19 | 24.53 | 24.03 | 25.08 | 4.36 |
| Dec 20 | 25.31 | 24.33 | 25.84 | 6.19 |
| Dec 21 | 25.68 | 24.42 | 26.43 | 8.24 |
| Dec 22 | 26.94 | 25.71 | 27.82 | 8.21 |
| Dec 23 | 26.52 | 26.00 | 27.75 | 6.71 |
| Dec 24 | 27.10 | 26.36 | 27.99 | 6.19 |
| Dec 25 | 26.79 | 26.16 | 28.12 | 7.53 |
| Dec 26 | 26.87 | 25.59 | 28.17 | 10.07 |
| Dec 27 | 25.93 | 24.86 | 26.62 | 7.08 |
| Dec 28 | 26.31 | 25.57 | 26.86 | 5.04 |
| Dec 29 | 27.17 | 26.53 | 28.11 | 5.95 |
| Dec 30 | 26.45 | 25.25 | 26.82 | 6.23 |
| Dec 31 | 25.56 | 24.67 | 26.44 | 7.18 |
| Jan 01 | 26.67 | 25.72 | 27.34 | 6.32 |
| Jan 02 | 26.02 | 25.60 | 27.35 | 6.83 |
| Jan 03 | 26.77 | 25.36 | 28.06 | 10.64 |
| Jan 04 | 25.21 | 24.08 | 25.92 | 7.62 |
| Jan 05 | 25.28 | 24.70 | 26.55 | 7.52 |
| Jan 06 | 24.01 | 23.08 | 25.25 | 9.39 |
| Jan 07 | 23.96 | 22.63 | 24.98 | 10.37 |
Rocket Lab USA Daily Price Targets
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 12-09-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-09-2024: $24.37.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 9.172%.
Pessimistic target level: 23.31
Optimistic target level: 25.67
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 12-10-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-10-2024: $24.76.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 9.216%.
Pessimistic target level: 23.39
Optimistic target level: 25.77
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 12-11-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-11-2024: $24.50.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 6.425%.
Pessimistic target level: 23.73
Optimistic target level: 25.36
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 12-12-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-12-2024: $24.86.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 8.486%.
Pessimistic target level: 23.84
Optimistic target level: 26.05
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 12-13-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-13-2024: $25.47.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 7.057%.
Pessimistic target level: 24.19
Optimistic target level: 26.02
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 12-14-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-14-2024: $25.54.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.951%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.15
Optimistic target level: 26.74
RKLB (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. | 23.71 | 21.32 | 24.75 | 13.84 |
| Feb. | 22.81 | 20.34 | 24.93 | 18.42 |
| Mar. | 22.03 | 20.98 | 25.08 | 16.35 |
| Apr. | 20.61 | 19.59 | 22.56 | 13.19 |
| May. | 18.06 | 16.28 | 19.74 | 17.56 |
| Jun. | 21.15 | 19.14 | 24.36 | 21.44 |
| Jul. | 19.26 | 17.94 | 22.08 | 18.73 |
| Aug. | 19.52 | 17.59 | 21.44 | 17.98 |
| Sep. | 21.07 | 18.79 | 24.28 | 22.60 |
| Oct. | 19.87 | 18.32 | 21.23 | 13.69 |
| Nov. | 19.27 | 17.84 | 21.03 | 15.15 |
| Dec. | 15.86 | 14.96 | 17.85 | 16.21 |
Rocket Lab USA forecast for this year
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Jan 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $23.7095. Pessimistic: $21.32. Optimistic: $24.75
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Feb 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $22.8085. Pessimistic: $20.34. Optimistic: $24.93
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $22.0285. Pessimistic: $20.98. Optimistic: $25.08
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $20.6054. Pessimistic: $19.59. Optimistic: $22.56
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $18.0607. Pessimistic: $16.28. Optimistic: $19.74
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $21.1491. Pessimistic: $19.14. Optimistic: $24.36
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $19.2604. Pessimistic: $17.94. Optimistic: $22.08
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $19.5166. Pessimistic: $17.59. Optimistic: $21.44
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $21.074. Pessimistic: $18.79. Optimistic: $24.28
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $19.8728. Pessimistic: $18.32. Optimistic: $21.23
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $19.2687. Pessimistic: $17.84. Optimistic: $21.03
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $15.8639. Pessimistic: $14.96. Optimistic: $17.85
Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 16.47 | 13.96 | 18.84 | 25.90 |
| Feb | 16.65 | 14.63 | 18.62 | 21.42 |
| Mar | 19.76 | 17.09 | 22.20 | 23.00 |
| Apr | 19.72 | 16.91 | 21.85 | 22.63 |
| May | 22.57 | 20.85 | 23.42 | 10.98 |
| Jun | 25.87 | 23.21 | 27.14 | 14.48 |
| Jul | 25.18 | 21.49 | 28.96 | 25.77 |
| Aug | 22.31 | 19.72 | 25.28 | 21.97 |
| Sep | 23.07 | 21.19 | 24.61 | 13.90 |
| Oct | 25.13 | 23.22 | 27.23 | 14.73 |
| Nov | 24.75 | 23.67 | 26.54 | 10.81 |
| Dec | 25.13 | 21.93 | 28.47 | 22.97 |
Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 29.23 | 25.79 | 31.34 | 17.72 |
| Feb | 33.23 | 30.45 | 37.46 | 18.71 |
| Mar | 37.14 | 35.38 | 38.63 | 8.40 |
| Apr | 36.72 | 34.21 | 40.70 | 15.94 |
| May | 35.88 | 33.16 | 40.59 | 18.31 |
| Jun | 33.77 | 28.64 | 35.95 | 20.35 |
| Jul | 30.43 | 27.89 | 34.31 | 18.71 |
| Aug | 31.88 | 27.40 | 36.48 | 24.90 |
| Sep | 35.21 | 33.61 | 39.56 | 15.05 |
| Oct | 34.14 | 31.48 | 35.96 | 12.45 |
| Nov | 38.94 | 36.94 | 44.05 | 16.13 |
| Dec | 40.35 | 35.90 | 45.25 | 20.67 |
Rocket Lab USA information and performance
C/O VECTOR ACQUISITION PARTNERS, L.P., ONE MARKET STREET, 23RD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of RKLB shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Rocket Lab USA is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Commentary
Rocket Lab is set to navigate turbulence in its stock performance, primarily driven by bearish technical indicators and potential overvaluation. With technical patterns signaling a pullback, the stock may experience weakness over the next two weeks. The high significance of these factors suggests immediate pressure on the stock price. Add a hefty 8 out of 10 rating for valuation concerns, and it's clear the current pricing may not be sustainable compared to industry norms.
Despite the anticipated near-term difficulties, Rocket Lab's long-term potential remains intriguing. With a solid 55% year-over-year revenue growth and promising partnerships like the NASA Mars mission, the company is poised for significant future gains. However, widening losses could dampen investor enthusiasm, evident in the EPS falling from -$0.08 to -$0.10. These elements coalesce into a neutral trend forecast, reflecting near-term volatility offset by longer-term optimism. Thus, holding the stock while waiting for better entry points could be prudent for potential investors.