Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy Prediction







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Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?

Updated: October 10, 2024 (11:08)

Sector: Industrials

The share price of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) now

Latest session on the 9th of October for
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is positive
Trading Volume: 10854528
Open: 9.27 /  High: 9.66 /  Low: 8.99
What analysts predict: $7.72
52-week High/Low: $10.29 / $3.47
50-Day Moving Average: $6.83 — support level today
200-Day Moving Average: $5.11 — support level today

News Impact Analyzer

Full report
This Week
Bullish Impact: 5 News: 1 (1/0/0)
Previous Week
Bullish Impact: 5 News: 1 (1/0/0)
Two Weeks Ago
Na Impact: Na News: Na
Three Weeks Ago
Bullish Impact: 5 News: 3 (1/2/0)

Analysts predictions

Full report
This Week
Bullish Opinions: 1 (1/0/0)
Previous Week
Bullish Opinions: 1 (1/0/0)
Two Weeks Ago
Bullish Opinions: 1 (1/0/0)
Three Weeks Ago
Bullish Opinions: 1 (1/0/0)

Analyzing the Most Important RKLB news

Rocket Lab to Pioneer Mars-Earth Sample Retrieval for NASA

Oct 07, 2024
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 7
Rocket Lab securing a NASA contract for a Mars mission positions it as a key player in space exploration, likely boosting investor confidence. This strategic win suggests potential growth and innovation prospects, with the possibility of early project delivery enhancing its market appeal. The announcement may positively influence RKLB's stock, reflecting optimism around its expanding capabilities.

Rocket Lab Reaches New Heights with Varda Collaboration

Sep 27, 2024
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Rocket Lab's stock saw significant gains due to its successful testing and integration for Varda Space Industries. KeyBanc's upgraded rating and price target amplify confidence in Rocket Lab's growth potential. The company's pioneering efforts in space logistics bolster investor sentiment, suggesting a promising trajectory for future revenue increases and stock performance. The short interest could also add to the upward pressure.

Rocket Lab Launch Halted by Last-Second Abortion in NZ

Sep 19, 2024
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 4
The aborted launch is unlikely to significantly impact Rocket Lab's stock; safety aborts are part of the space launch sector. However, this emphasizes the challenges in achieving reliable launches. Given that the stock rose slightly pre-market, reflects investor confidence despite the delay. Constant communication about future attempts will be crucial for maintaining this confidence.

Historical and forecast chart of Rocket Lab USA stock

The chart below shows the historical price of Rocket Lab USA stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Rocket Lab USA stock price can be found in the table below.

Long-term forecasts by years.

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Analysts predictions review

As of now, Panda has combed through 4 analytical articles which are directly related to RKLB from the last 30 days. Out of these, 4 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 0 stay neutral.

To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Sep 18, 2024 to Oct 08, 2024.

Rocket Lab Rockets Ahead: Steady Growth and Strong Trajectory

Trend: Strong Bullish
Oct 08, 2024

In the latest analysis by Value Kicker, the author expresses a Strong Bullish stance on RKLB stock, underscoring optimism for its financial prospects. With an impressive record of 252 publications since 2019, Value Kicker has garnered a devoted following of 3,730 subscribers, reflecting a steady and impactful presence in the financial analysis community. The author's credibility is notably high, making their insights particularly reliable and influential. Given the rate of their contributions, Value Kicker consistently delivers well-regarded content, cementing their status as a thought leader in financial markets. Readers can thus approach this review with confidence, knowing they are engaging with a seasoned analyst who brings valuable expertise and a trustworthy perspective to the table.

Key Theses of Rocket Lab Stock Review

  • Rocket Lab's revenue surged 71% year-over-year in Q2 2024, demonstrating significant growth.
  • Despite the revenue growth, gross margins have remained steady, indicating efficient revenue scaling.
  • The Neutron rocket project is progressing but has a delayed launch date, now expected in mid-2025.
  • Rocket Lab's Electron rocket is the most frequently launched small rocket globally.
  • The company has a substantial backlog and ample liquidity, supporting its growth prospects.

Key Factors Influencing RKLB Stock Price

Revenue Growth

Significance: 8 out of 10

The 71% revenue increase in Q2 2024 positions Rocket Lab as a strong growth company, likely drawing investor interest and positively impacting the stock price. Revenue growth also signifies market demand, crucial for sustaining stock momentum.

Steady Gross Margins

Significance: 7 out of 10

Maintaining stable gross margins amid rapid revenue growth suggests efficient operations, which can attract investors seeking profitability. It implies balanced scaling without sacrificing profitability, reassuring current and potential shareholders.

Neutron Rocket Development

Significance: 9 out of 10

The Neutron project's progress, despite delays, is vital to Rocket Lab's competitive edge and future contract opportunities. Successful execution of this project is crucial for long-term growth, keeping investor attention high.

Electron Rocket's Global Presence

Significance: 6 out of 10

Being the most frequently launched small rocket indicates operational competence, helping Rocket Lab solidify its market standing. It instills confidence among investors about the company's current capabilities and future potential.

Substantial Backlog and Liquidity

Significance: 8 out of 10

A $1.07 billion backlog and strong liquidity provide financial stability and room for future growth, reassuring investors about Rocket Lab's ability to execute new projects. This solid financial foundation supports long-term investment prospects.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

Rocket Lab's recent performance and future plans paint a promising picture for investors. A whopping 71% revenue jump in Q2 2024, balancing steady gross margins reflects operational excellence. It's clear Rocket Lab is adeptly managing its growth, making it a hot contender for investment. The company’s burgeoning backlog and solid liquidity further underscore its robust financial health, which bodes well for its stock in the near future.

Although the Neutron rocket is facing some delays, its potential impact on future growth is substantial, and completion will be key to maintaining investor enthusiasm. The frequent launches of the Electron rocket bolster the company's reputation, garnering trust among stakeholders. These factors combined reveal an averaged influence that points to significant upward momentum, making Rocket Lab a strong choice for those eyeing its stock in both the next fortnight and the coming month.

Rocket Lab's Neutron: The Launchpad for Long-Term Gains

Trend: Bullish
Oct 03, 2024

In this insightful review of the analytical financial article by Kumquat Research, the author maintains a bullish stance on RKLB stock, signaling confidence in its future performance. Kumquat Research, a contributor since 2014, has amassed a considerable number of 361 publications over nearly a decade, demonstrating consistent engagement and expertise in financial analysis. With over 12,000 subscribers, the author's perspectives resonate with a wide audience, underscoring their popularity in the field. The high credibility of Kumquat Research's opinions, reflected in the authority metrics, further reinforces the reliability of this bullish outlook on RKLB stock. This review promises to deliver an informed and compelling analysis, grounded in the author's well-established reputation and expertise.

Key Theses on Rocket Lab's Prospects

  • Rocket Lab's stock has surged over 100% in the past year due to increased investor optimism.
  • The company's future growth is anchored on the successful development and launch of the Neutron rocket.
  • Rocket Lab's vision of becoming an end-to-end space services company is progressing with its dual focus on launch services and space systems.
  • Despite the risks such as inconsistent profitability metrics and potential launch failures, Rocket Lab poses an interesting long-term speculative investment.

Key Factors Influencing RKLB Stock Price

Investor Optimism

Significance: 8 out of 10

The stock's remarkable rise over 100% in the last 12 months indicates strong speculative interest and optimism about Rocket Lab's future progress. This factor is currently a major driver of stock price, emphasizing the market's positive expectations of the company's capabilities.

Neutron Rocket Development

Significance: 9 out of 10

The upcoming Neutron rocket is crucial for expanding Rocket Lab's market presence, transitioning from low-margin to potentially high-revenue and high-margin projects. Successful development and launch in mid-2025 will significantly enhance the company's capabilities and competitive stance against rivals like SpaceX.

Revenue from Space Systems

Significance: 7 out of 10

With space systems generating 73% of total revenues and up 94% YoY for Q2 2024, this segment provides substantial income and customer credibility while Rocket Lab scales launch services. This strong revenue base forms a bridge toward achieving the full-scale, end-to-end service model.

Challenges and Risks

Significance: 6 out of 10

The possibility of delays or failures in launching Neutron poses a direct risk to financial performance forecasts and investor sentiment. This inherent risk tempers expectations but is mitigated by the company's history of operational proficiency and strategic planning.

Review the original Analysis

Commentary

Rocket Lab is on a thrilling trajectory with its stock climbing over 100% in the past year. The looming debut of the Neutron rocket is more than just a technical milestone; it's a turning point for the company's market standing and financial uplift. Currently, investor optimism is buoyed by this promise and Rocket Lab's strategic shift towards integrated space services. When you crunch the numbers, the average influence strength of all factors is quite promising, especially for the short term as expectations remain high.

In the upcoming month, while challenges like potential launch hiccups introduce some uncertainty, Rocket Lab's strong revenue growth from space systems offers a stabilizing force. These dual strengths—innovative launch solutions with secured revenue streams—make it a compelling speculative investment in a skyward-bound space economy. Investors seem perked up, hoping the mid-2025 launch spices up potential gains even more. Overall, Rocket Lab isn't just shooting for the stars—it’s methodically building its stairway there.

Sep 25, 2024
Rocket Lab: Soaring into Space with Big Backlogs and Promising Rockets
Trend: Bullish
Sep 18, 2024
Why Rocket Lab's Sky-High Sales Multiple Shows Promise Amid Risky Volatility
Trend: Bullish
Aug 26, 2024
Rocket Lab's Neutron Rocket: A Game-Changer on the Horizon
Trend: Strong Bullish
Aug 26, 2024
Rocket Lab's Soaring Prospects: Strong Revenue Growth and Robust Financials
Trend: Strong Bullish
Aug 24, 2024
Rocket Lab Soars with Robust Backlog & Promising Neutron Rocket Developments
Trend: Strong Bullish
Aug 23, 2024
Rocket Lab: Skyrocketing Towards Market Domination
Trend: Strong Bullish
Aug 11, 2024
Rocket Lab's Stellar Growth Rockets Stock to New Heights
Trend: Strong Bullish

Comprehensive Analysis of Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Stock Market Performance


Our multifaceted analysis of Rocket Lab USA's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:

  • When should I take profit in Rocket Lab USA stock?
  • When should I record a loss on Rocket Lab USA stock?
  • What are analysts' forecasts for Rocket Lab USA stock?
  • What is the future of Rocket Lab USA stock?

We forecast Rocket Lab USA stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Rocket Lab USA stocks.

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 5 news items directly related to RKLB from the last 30 days. Out of these, 3 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 2 events are neutral.

Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting RKLB shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.

The news analyzed fell within the period from Sep 12, 2024, to Oct 07, 2024.

βeta
Sep 14, 2024

Rocket Lab Rockets to Top While Rentokil Faces Gravity

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Rocket Lab's significant 28.40% jump, fueled by the landmark civilian spacewalk, signifies investor confidence and momentum in the space industry. The positive sentiment and increased visibility could lead to further gains, driving the stock higher. The high influence score reflects this substantial achievement and carries potential for continued bullishness in the near future.
Sep 12, 2024

Private Spacewalks Propel Commercial Space Industry

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 4
The news post highlights advancements in commercial space endeavors, specifically SpaceX's successful private spacewalk. While it's a significant step for the industry, it does not directly impact Rocket Lab (RKLB). The influence is moderate, as developments in space tech showcase a growing market but don't directly correlate to an immediate shift in RKLB's stock price.
Sep 03, 2024

Rocket Lab Prepares for 53rd Electron Rocket Launch Partnering with Kinéis

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
The successful continuation of Rocket Lab's partnership with Kinéis, reinforcing its position in the satellite launch market, is a bullish trend. Regular contracts and launches enhance revenue streams and demonstrate reliable service, positively impacting investor confidence and potentially driving up RKLB’s stock price in the near future.
Aug 31, 2024

AeroVironment Surges on $990M Army Deal, While Symbotic and RKLB Dive

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 5
The post highlights Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) as one of the week's biggest decliners but doesn't indicate any significant news specific to the company. As a result, the mention is neutral with moderate influence, reflecting general market volatility rather than company-specific factors that would dramatically shift stock price in the immediate future.
Aug 22, 2024

Ex-Lockheed Martin CFO Joins Rocket Lab Board, Boosting Financial Expertise

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Kenneth Possenriede's appointment is a significant addition for Rocket Lab, bringing decades of high-level financial experience from Lockheed Martin. This move is likely to strengthen investor confidence and positively impact stock prices, enhancing Rocket Lab's strategic financial oversight and long-term growth prospects.
Aug 17, 2024

Aspen Aerogels and Rocket Lab USA Lead Industrial Gains, Hillenbrand Slips Amid Downgrade

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) experienced a strong upward movement with a 22.16% increase this week after successfully preparing Mars-bound spacecraft for launch. This news significantly boosts investor confidence, positioning the stock for continued upward momentum in the near future.
Aug 16, 2024

Rocket Lab Achieves New High Amid Mars Mission Milestone

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 9
The successful shipment of Mars-bound spacecraft and collaboration with NASA underscore Rocket Lab's technological prowess and potential. These milestones significantly boost investor confidence, contributing to the stock's 14.6% surge and new 52-week high. This positive momentum is likely to sustain in the near term, driving further stock appreciation.
Aug 09, 2024

Rocket Lab Surges on Record Revenues and Bold Constellation Ambitions

Trend: Bullish
Influence: 8
Rocket Lab's record-high quarterly revenue and strategic plans for an in-house satellite constellation position it for sustained growth. This bullish trend, marked by strong financials and forward-thinking strategy, suggests a positive impact on RKLB's stock price in the near term.
Aug 08, 2024

Rocket Lab Posts Narrower-than-Expected Loss in Q2, Misses Revenue Estimates

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 6
The mixed earnings report from Rocket Lab shows a narrower loss than expected, which is positive but overshadowed by the revenue miss and lower-than-anticipated Q3 guidance. These mixed signals lead to a neutral trend but will moderately influence the stock price due to the combination of positive EPS beat and negative revenue miss.
Aug 07, 2024

Rocket Lab Preps for Q2 Earnings: Analysts Predict Mixed Results

Trend: Neutral
Influence: 6
Despite revenue estimates being on the positive side with a 75% beat rate, RKLB consistently missing EPS estimates signals mixed earnings performance. Upward revisions in both EPS and revenue create a balanced outlook. Investors may anticipate volatility until clear results emerge, somewhat limiting the immediate impact on the stock price.

Rocket Lab USA, Inc., an aerospace company, specializes in the development of missile launch and control systems for the space and defense industries. The company provides launch services, spacecraft components, satellites and other spacecraft, and in-orbit control solutions; and designs, manufactures and markets electron and neutron launch vehicles and offers the Photon platform for spacecraft solutions. He serves clients in the commercial, civil, defense and academic sectors.

Rocket Lab USA daily forecast for a month

Date Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Oct 12 9.69 9.45 9.88 4.55
Oct 13 9.54 9.42 9.66 2.59
Oct 14 9.21 8.97 9.29 3.66
Oct 15 9.06 8.85 9.30 5.12
Oct 16 8.96 8.72 9.18 5.30
Oct 17 9.28 9.11 9.41 3.30
Oct 18 9.30 9.19 9.39 2.19
Oct 19 9.28 9.18 9.40 2.47
Oct 20 9.55 9.32 9.73 4.47
Oct 21 9.28 9.14 9.45 3.37
Oct 22 9.37 9.21 9.52 3.34
Oct 23 9.36 9.24 9.49 2.76
Oct 24 9.69 9.40 9.92 5.56
Oct 25 9.76 9.45 10.06 6.44
Oct 26 9.66 9.54 9.78 2.51
Oct 27 9.56 9.44 9.67 2.43
Oct 28 9.41 9.23 9.61 4.08
Oct 29 9.24 9.00 9.42 4.68
Oct 30 9.22 8.96 9.41 4.98
Oct 31 9.16 8.91 9.44 5.96
Nov 01 8.98 8.89 9.15 2.91
Nov 02 8.88 8.64 9.12 5.59
Nov 03 9.22 8.95 9.37 4.66
Nov 04 9.43 9.32 9.73 4.41
Nov 05 9.30 9.14 9.45 3.46
Nov 06 9.51 9.25 9.68 4.61
Nov 07 9.39 9.10 9.56 4.99
Nov 08 9.18 8.91 9.41 5.61
Nov 09 9.23 9.15 9.38 2.50
Nov 10 9.31 9.21 9.50 3.15

Rocket Lab USA Daily Price Targets


Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 10-12-2024.

Forecast target price for 10-12-2024: $9.69.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.355%.
Pessimistic target level: 9.45
Optimistic target level: 9.88

Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 10-13-2024.

Forecast target price for 10-13-2024: $9.54.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.528%.
Pessimistic target level: 9.42
Optimistic target level: 9.66

Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 10-14-2024.

Forecast target price for 10-14-2024: $9.21.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.526%.
Pessimistic target level: 8.97
Optimistic target level: 9.29

Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 10-15-2024.

Forecast target price for 10-15-2024: $9.06.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.868%.
Pessimistic target level: 8.85
Optimistic target level: 9.30

Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 10-16-2024.

Forecast target price for 10-16-2024: $8.96.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.035%.
Pessimistic target level: 8.72
Optimistic target level: 9.18

Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 10-17-2024.

Forecast target price for 10-17-2024: $9.28.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.194%.
Pessimistic target level: 9.11
Optimistic target level: 9.41

RKLB (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Nov. 9.73 9.14 10.42 12.33
Dec. 10.22 9.75 10.54 7.56

Rocket Lab USA forecast for this year


Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Nov 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $9.7335. Pessimistic: $9.14. Optimistic: $10.42


Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Dec 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.2241. Pessimistic: $9.75. Optimistic: $10.54



Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 10.14 9.65 10.76 10.29
Feb 9.42 9.02 10.16 11.13
Mar 8.76 7.92 9.54 16.97
Apr 9.78 9.05 10.50 13.86
May 10.54 10.17 10.92 6.83
Jun 10.26 9.69 11.21 13.51
Jul 10.10 9.65 10.81 10.76
Aug 9.70 9.16 10.05 8.80
Sep 9.33 8.82 9.61 8.16
Oct 9.23 8.64 9.61 10.13
Nov 9.52 8.70 9.82 11.40
Dec 9.38 8.80 10.21 13.78

Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 9.35 9.09 9.70 6.25
Feb 9.23 9.00 9.78 8.04
Mar 9.24 8.85 9.52 6.99
Apr 9.93 9.31 10.38 10.33
May 9.80 9.48 10.21 7.14
Jun 9.79 9.25 10.28 10.05
Jul 9.48 9.01 9.78 7.80
Aug 9.94 9.59 10.79 11.16
Sep 10.33 9.57 11.31 15.35
Oct 10.48 9.65 10.75 10.29
Nov 11.43 10.90 11.97 8.94
Dec 10.98 10.24 11.28 9.23

Rocket Lab USA information and performance

Rocket Lab USA Address

C/O VECTOR ACQUISITION PARTNERS, L.P., ONE MARKET STREET, 23RD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, US

Market Capitalization: 4 673 382 000 $

Market capitalization of the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of RKLB shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.

EBITDA: -141 324 992 $

EBITDA of Rocket Lab USA is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.

PE Ratio: None

P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit

PEG Ratio: None

Price/earnings to growth

DPS: None

Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.

DY: None

Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.

EPS: -0.36

EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY: N/A
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY: 0.712
Trailing PE: -

Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.

Forward PE: -

Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.

EV To Revenue: 14.65

Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue

EV To EBITDA: -16.44

The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).

Shares Outstanding: 496640000

Number of issued ordinary shares

Shares Float: N/A

Number of freely tradable shares

Shares Short Prior Month: N/A

Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.

Short Ratio: N/A
Percent Insiders: N/A
Percent Institutions: N/A


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Disclaimer:

All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.