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Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: June 16, 2025 (01:47)
Sector: IndustrialsThe share price of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) now
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Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 3 (3/0/0) |
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 2 (2/0/0) |
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
Analysts predictions
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Neutral | Opinions: 2 (1/0/1) |
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Neutral | Opinions: 2 (1/0/1) |
Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 1 (1/0/0) |
Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 5 (4/1/0) |
Analyzing the Most Important RKLB news

Rocket Lab Gains Momentum Amid Trump-Musk Rift


Rocket Lab Gears Up for Third Launch in 24 Days


Top Space Stocks: Analysts Weigh in on Rocket Lab's Growth Potential

Historical and forecast chart of Rocket Lab USA stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Rocket Lab USA stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Rocket Lab USA stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. Analysts predictions review

Rocket Lab (RKLB) faces a mixed outlook driven by significant industry opportunities and operational risks. While the company benefits from strong momentum in defense contracts, vertical integration, and a growing total addressable market, challenges persist. Competitive pressures, rising interest rates, and reliance on external financing introduce risks, particularly in a capital-intensive sector. Elevated valuation metrics amplify vulnerability to market corrections, while macroeconomic headwinds and potential execution issues could dampen near-term growth. These factors collectively suggest a cautious outlook for RKLB stock in the current environment.

Evaluating Rocket Lab: Challenges Ahead for Risk-Averse Investors

Rocket Lab's capital-intensive business model raises concerns about its ability to sustain long-term operations without consistent cash flow generation. The company's reliance on external financing, combined with industry-wide competition and uncertain profitability timelines, heightens risks for investors with a conservative risk profile.
Market Position and Near-Term Outlook
Despite its technological advancements in the small satellite launch sector, Rocket Lab faces increasing competition from both emerging players and established incumbents, which could limit its pricing power and margin potential. This competitive pressure suggests that the company's growth trajectory may be constrained, impacting investor confidence in the near term.
The macroeconomic environment, including potential interest rate hikes, is likely to further strain Rocket Lab's ability to secure affordable financing. Elevated borrowing costs in a high-rate environment pose challenges for capital-intensive companies like Rocket Lab, exacerbating risks for risk-averse investors.

Rocket Lab Positions Itself as a Strategic Growth Leader with Defense Tailwinds

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) is benefiting from strong momentum in the defense sector, driven by growing global demand for satellite deployment and space-based technologies. The strategic alignment with national security priorities positions the company to capture a larger share of government contracts, which is likely to contribute significantly to top-line growth in the near term.
Operational Strength and Industry Catalysts
RKLB's vertical integration and proprietary technology give it a competitive edge in the cost-sensitive aerospace market. This operational superiority enhances profit margins and positions the company to weather potential pricing pressures in commercial space launches.
The company’s recent financial performance underscores its growth trajectory, with expanding revenues and improving operational efficiency. This financial strength not only supports continued investment but also boosts investor confidence in the stock’s medium- to long-term outlook.
Finally, Rocket Lab is tapping into a rapidly expanding total addressable market, including commercial satellite launches and defense-driven opportunities. This sustained sector growth ensures a consistent pipeline of contracts and partnerships, further solidifying RKLB’s position in the aerospace industry.

Rocket Lab: Evaluating Challenges Against Growth Prospects

Rocket Lab's valuation appears stretched given current market conditions and operational metrics. The author notes that while the company operates in an exciting growth sector, its premium valuation leaves limited room for upside and increases vulnerability to market corrections, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.
The competitive landscape in the small satellite launch industry is intensifying, which could pressure Rocket Lab's market share and margins. The author highlights how emerging competitors with innovative technologies and cost advantages may challenge the company’s ability to scale profitably.
Macroeconomic and Operational Risks
Macroeconomic headwinds such as higher interest rates and potential economic slowdowns may further dampen investor appetite for high-growth, high-valuation stocks like RKLB. The author suggests this could particularly impact Rocket Lab, as it requires steady capital for R&D and expansion.
Operational execution is another critical factor, with delays or failures in key launches potentially undermining investor confidence. The author emphasizes how such risks could not only dent revenues but also diminish Rocket Lab's status in a highly scrutinized industry.
Rocket Lab is showing post-Q1 momentum with a strong focus on profitability through both operational streamlining and strategic expansions. The company’s cost management initiatives indicate a clear intent to optimize margins, crucial for its path to sustainable growth in a highly competitive aerospace market. Moreover, the author highlights its consistent execution of successful launches, a vital factor in revenue stabilization and market confidence, further fortifying RKLB's business model.
Significance of Market Position and Innovations on Stock Outlook
Positioned as a leading player in small satellite launches, Rocket Lab benefits from a substantial addressable market and increasing demand for space-based infrastructure. This strategic positioning aligns with the author's bullish outlook, suggesting long-term tailwinds for valuation growth. Additionally, RKLB's investments in technology and diversification within the aerospace sector, such as space systems and data services, may unlock additional revenue streams while mitigating risks linked to its core launch business.
Lastly, while the author is optimistic due to encouraging Q1 updates, external headwinds such as rising operational costs and macroeconomic uncertainties could temper near-term price action. Investors should weigh RKLB's ability to manage execution risks and convert opportunities into durable value as they evaluate the investment potential of the stock.
Rocket Lab's strategic push into diversified revenue streams, including expansion beyond launches into space systems and satellite operations, positions it well for long-term growth in the high-demand space technology sector. The author's argument underscores how effective execution in this segment can shield the company from short-term volatility, making this a critical factor to watch for sustained valuation growth.
Impact of Competitiveness and Market Leadership
The sustainability of Rocket Lab's competitive advantage in a capital-intensive industry hinges on its ability to scale operations efficiently while maintaining technological superiority. As highlighted by the author, maintaining leadership in a rapidly growing and competitive market could significantly influence the stock's trajectory in the near term.
Macroeconomic factors—such as interest rate trends and capital access—are also pivotal, given their influence on funding conditions for growth-oriented companies like Rocket Lab. Clear visibility into the company’s financial resilience amidst these challenges, as noted in the article, is essential for assessing its stock value preservation potential.
Rocket Lab's ability to capitalize on growing demand for small satellite launches is a key driver of its strategic position in the aerospace sector. As highlighted by the author, the company's reliable Electron launcher is garnering interest, strengthening its competitive edge amidst increasing industry adoption.
Another crucial factor is Rocket Lab's diversification into satellite manufacturing and components, which enhances its vertical integration. By advancing beyond launch services, this strategic expansion positions the firm to capture a larger share of the space economy, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Impact of Competitive Positioning and Technological Advances
The company’s investments in the development of the Neutron launcher represent substantial commitments to future growth. The Neutron project signals Rocket Lab’s intent to compete directly with larger payload companies, with potential implications for market share as technology matures over time.
Finally, the author notes that macroeconomic tailwinds, including rising government and commercial space budgets, provide a favorable environment for Rocket Lab. If it continues to execute efficiently, these external factors could drive both investor sentiment and sustained stock appreciation in the medium term.
Rocket Lab's recent 11% decline in stock price post-earnings reflects investor concern over short-term revenue growth and operational challenges. The author highlights specific downward revisions in financial expectations as a focal point driving market reaction, indicating caution among shareholders about near-term profitability.
Key Drivers for Stock Performance
The author also underscores Rocket Lab's robust backlog of contracts and growing footprint in the commercial satellite launch sector. These longer-term growth drivers suggest the company remains well-positioned to recover once macroeconomic headwinds and execution risks subside, presenting a potential buying opportunity for visionary investors.
Limited scalability in production and heightened competition from both private and public space companies were emphasized as headwinds. These pressures could cap near-term upside unless Rocket Lab demonstrates improvements in cost control and achieves production efficiencies.
Rocket Lab's path to achieving positive free cash flow (FCF) appears to be nearing an inflection point, driven by operational efficiencies and revenue growth. The rapid expansion of its launch and satellite services, coupled with disciplined cost management, underscores the company's ability to generate meaningful cash inflows ahead of expectations. The author notes this milestone could be a key catalyst for investor confidence in the near term.
Market Positioning and Financial Momentum
The company's solid positioning in a growing space economy provides a strong tailwind for its stock. By securing government contracts and commercial partnerships, Rocket Lab is poised to improve both revenue visibility and predictability, which is vital for investor sentiment during market volatility.
The anticipated increase in launch cadence is another critical factor in driving revenue and operating leverage. Better utilization of its infrastructure could significantly enhance margin expansion, supporting a more favorable valuation for the stock.
Potential risks, including execution challenges or delays in meeting revenue milestones, remain but seem to be outweighed by the company's steady trajectory. The author's analysis implies that management’s proactive strategies to counterbalance such risks make Rocket Lab an appealing growth-focused investment.
RKLB's growth momentum remains a key attraction for investors, backed by its expanding market presence in small satellite launch services and the company's innovative technologies. The author's observation highlights that Rocket Lab continues to outperform its competition in terms of mission reliability and increasing contract wins, promising consistent revenue growth in the near term.
Valuation and Market Sentiment
Despite RKLB's strong fundamentals, its high valuation could pose a risk, especially in a volatile macroeconomic environment. As noted by the author, while the current valuation reflects optimism around its growth trajectory, any slowdown or execution challenges could lead to short-term stock price pressure.
Finally, the company's ability to scale its production and launch cadence effectively will be a critical determinant of its success. The author underscores that, to maintain its competitive edge, RKLB must demonstrate operational efficiency while managing costs to justify its premium valuation.
Rocket Lab's current financial challenge revolves around its ability to resolve or mitigate a $515 million liability, which may include debt or contractual obligations. According to the author, this substantial figure could pressure the company's balance sheet, leading to increased investor scrutiny and potential liquidity risks.
Operational efficiency remains a critical focus, particularly in the growing commercial launch market, where cost control and scaling production are vital for maintaining competitiveness. The author notes that Rocket Lab must accelerate its efforts to improve margins and deliver consistent growth to justify its valuation in a competitive industry.
Strategic Headwinds and Opportunities
The competitive landscape in the space industry, marked by entries of both established players and startups, poses a challenge to Rocket Lab's market position. This intensifying rivalry could necessitate heavier investment in innovation and marketing, potentially impacting profitability in the near term.
On the opportunity side, Rocket Lab's diversified profile in small-satellite launches and spacecraft development positions it to benefit from increased demand in these segments. However, the author cautions that realizing these opportunities depends on flawless execution and the ability to capture market share globally.
Rocket Lab USA's growth trajectory finds strength in consistent contract wins and market expansions. The company has demonstrated its ability to capture government and commercial contracts, signaling robust demand for its launch and satellite services. These developments reflect a strong backlog funnel that can serve as a reliable revenue stream going forward, as highlighted by Array.
Market Conditions and Competitive Edge
The company’s focus on innovation through reusable launch vehicle development underscores its potential to lower costs and enhance profitability over time. This strategic progress could differentiate Rocket Lab from competitors and bolster its margins, according to Array.
However, external factors such as tariffs and broader macroeconomic pressures remain challenges that could impact near-term operational costs and investor sentiment. Array suggests that Rocket Lab's ability to navigate such hurdles will be key to sustaining its competitive positioning.
From a technical standpoint, the stock has shown resilience, suggesting that investor confidence remains intact. Array credits this strength to the company’s consistent delivery on milestones and its visibility in the aerospace sector.
Rocket Lab's valuation appears disproportionate when compared to its current revenue streams, raising concerns about its overpricing relative to financial fundamentals. The author highlights how this overvaluation positions the stock at risk for downward correction, particularly as growth expectations may be tempered by macroeconomic or execution-related constraints.
Growth Prospects vs. Overvaluation
The company's long-term prospects in the space sector are promising, driven by growth in satellite deployment and launch services demand. However, the author draws attention to the near-term profitability challenges, which could impede market confidence until sustainable margins are achieved.
Competition within the space industry is intensifying, with Rocket Lab facing formidable players capable of undercutting pricing or capturing market share. The author contends that this creates a potential headwind to the company’s growth story and may weigh on the stock in the short run.
Overall, the risk-reward dynamics suggest investor caution, particularly in light of uncertainties surrounding market share stabilization and achieving economies of scale.
Comprehensive Analysis of Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Rocket Lab USA's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Rocket Lab USA stock?
- When should I record a loss on Rocket Lab USA stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Rocket Lab USA stock?
- What is the future of Rocket Lab USA stock?
We forecast Rocket Lab USA stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Rocket Lab USA stocks.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc., an aerospace company, specializes in the development of missile launch and control systems for the space and defense industries. The company provides launch services, spacecraft components, satellites and other spacecraft, and in-orbit control solutions; and designs, manufactures and markets electron and neutron launch vehicles and offers the Photon platform for spacecraft solutions. He serves clients in the commercial, civil, defense and academic sectors.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 6 news items directly related to RKLB from the last 30 days. Out of these, 6 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 0 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting RKLB shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from May 17, 2025, to Jun 06, 2025.
Rocket Lab Secures Strategic Advantage with Geost Acquisition, Eyeing National Security Contracts


Rocket Lab Strengthens National Security With $275M Geost Acquisition


Top Satellite Stocks: Is Rocket Lab the Next Big Launch?


Rocket Lab Sets New Record with Rapid Return Missions


Rocket Lab Eyes 2025 Neutron Launch with Impressive $122.6M Q1 Revenue


Rocket Lab's Neutron Rocket Secures U.S. Air Force Partnership for Groundbreaking Mission


Rocket Lab Beats Revenue Estimates in Q1 2025, Projects Strong Q2 Growth


Rocket Lab Poised to Rival SpaceX: Needham Issues Bullish Rating


Rocket Lab Challenges SpaceX With Falcon 9 Rival Neutron Rocket


Rocket Lab Secures Major Defense Contract for Hypersonic Test Launch


Rocket Lab USA daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 17 | 26.36 | 25.93 | 27.04 | 4.27 |
Jun 18 | 25.82 | 24.45 | 26.34 | 7.76 |
Jun 19 | 26.06 | 25.05 | 26.48 | 5.68 |
Jun 20 | 25.95 | 25.55 | 26.80 | 4.91 |
Jun 21 | 25.60 | 24.88 | 26.62 | 6.99 |
Jun 22 | 27.02 | 25.66 | 28.27 | 10.17 |
Jun 23 | 27.21 | 26.65 | 28.67 | 7.57 |
Jun 24 | 27.53 | 27.03 | 27.97 | 3.49 |
Jun 25 | 28.53 | 27.53 | 30.01 | 8.99 |
Jun 26 | 29.37 | 28.82 | 30.23 | 4.92 |
Jun 27 | 28.36 | 27.23 | 29.73 | 9.19 |
Jun 28 | 29.89 | 28.26 | 31.21 | 10.44 |
Jun 29 | 29.31 | 27.85 | 30.52 | 9.58 |
Jun 30 | 29.57 | 28.33 | 30.65 | 8.18 |
Jul 01 | 30.11 | 29.46 | 31.80 | 7.94 |
Jul 02 | 31.76 | 31.00 | 32.87 | 6.02 |
Jul 03 | 31.53 | 31.03 | 33.14 | 6.83 |
Jul 04 | 31.69 | 30.58 | 32.53 | 6.38 |
Jul 05 | 31.60 | 30.40 | 32.75 | 7.71 |
Jul 06 | 32.51 | 31.57 | 33.48 | 6.05 |
Jul 07 | 32.80 | 31.52 | 33.72 | 6.99 |
Jul 08 | 31.49 | 30.59 | 32.55 | 6.41 |
Jul 09 | 32.93 | 31.24 | 33.87 | 8.41 |
Jul 10 | 32.60 | 31.32 | 33.38 | 6.56 |
Jul 11 | 31.80 | 30.76 | 32.29 | 4.99 |
Jul 12 | 30.94 | 30.50 | 32.58 | 6.82 |
Jul 13 | 29.72 | 28.43 | 30.85 | 8.49 |
Jul 14 | 28.23 | 27.32 | 29.05 | 6.36 |
Jul 15 | 28.34 | 27.09 | 29.40 | 8.49 |
Jul 16 | 27.85 | 27.05 | 28.43 | 5.12 |
Rocket Lab USA Daily Price Targets
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 06-17-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-17-2025: $26.36.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.094%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.93
Optimistic target level: 27.04
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 06-18-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-18-2025: $25.82.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 7.204%.
Pessimistic target level: 24.45
Optimistic target level: 26.34
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 06-19-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-19-2025: $26.06.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.373%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.05
Optimistic target level: 26.48
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 06-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-20-2025: $25.95.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.676%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.55
Optimistic target level: 26.80
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 06-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-21-2025: $25.60.
Negative dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 6.529%.
Pessimistic target level: 24.88
Optimistic target level: 26.62
Rocket Lab USA Stock Forecast 06-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-22-2025: $27.02.
Positive dynamics for Rocket Lab USA shares will prevail with possible volatility of 9.234%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.66
Optimistic target level: 28.27
RKLB (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jul. | 30.51 | 26.91 | 31.78 | 15.32 |
Aug. | 28.94 | 24.60 | 32.41 | 24.10 |
Sep. | 30.21 | 28.08 | 34.34 | 18.22 |
Oct. | 32.79 | 28.93 | 37.40 | 22.65 |
Nov. | 31.79 | 27.62 | 36.26 | 23.82 |
Dec. | 30.76 | 27.08 | 34.86 | 22.30 |
Rocket Lab USA forecast for this year
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $30.5058. Pessimistic: $26.91. Optimistic: $31.78
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $28.9408. Pessimistic: $24.60. Optimistic: $32.41
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $30.2055. Pessimistic: $28.08. Optimistic: $34.34
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $32.7881. Pessimistic: $28.93. Optimistic: $37.40
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $31.7914. Pessimistic: $27.62. Optimistic: $36.26
Rocket Lab USA Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $30.7645. Pessimistic: $27.08. Optimistic: $34.86
Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 35.44 | 31.13 | 38.54 | 19.22 |
Feb | 37.12 | 32.05 | 41.36 | 22.51 |
Mar | 38.04 | 35.95 | 41.15 | 12.65 |
Apr | 38.26 | 32.81 | 42.91 | 23.55 |
May | 31.86 | 30.59 | 35.01 | 12.62 |
Jun | 31.62 | 27.17 | 33.78 | 19.56 |
Jul | 36.91 | 34.73 | 41.95 | 17.22 |
Aug | 42.59 | 36.68 | 46.95 | 21.88 |
Sep | 49.46 | 43.17 | 55.85 | 22.72 |
Oct | 48.71 | 41.31 | 52.32 | 21.05 |
Nov | 48.71 | 45.56 | 56.12 | 18.80 |
Dec | 48.53 | 44.84 | 51.66 | 13.21 |
Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 56.18 | 52.76 | 60.66 | 13.02 |
Feb | 50.95 | 47.17 | 53.47 | 11.77 |
Mar | 48.04 | 42.66 | 50.42 | 15.39 |
Apr | 43.57 | 38.69 | 49.53 | 21.89 |
May | 36.95 | 33.16 | 38.84 | 14.64 |
Jun | 41.65 | 35.64 | 46.40 | 23.20 |
Jul | 43.08 | 38.82 | 48.23 | 19.51 |
Aug | 47.91 | 40.72 | 55.19 | 26.22 |
Sep | 47.09 | 42.70 | 53.53 | 20.22 |
Oct | 51.20 | 48.09 | 55.97 | 14.08 |
Nov | 42.64 | 36.89 | 47.10 | 21.67 |
Dec | 39.89 | 33.98 | 45.80 | 25.81 |
Rocket Lab USA information and performance
C/O VECTOR ACQUISITION PARTNERS, L.P., ONE MARKET STREET, 23RD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of RKLB shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Rocket Lab USA is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about Rocket Lab USA Stock)
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All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.