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Transocean (RIG) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: June 18, 2025 (12:44)
Sector: EnergyThe share price of Transocean Ltd. (RIG) now
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Analyzing the Most Important RIG news

Transocean Faces $1.2B Impairment with Rig Disposals


Transocean Projects $3.95B Revenue Amid Leadership Transition


Transocean Q1 Earnings Miss Narrowly Despite Revenue Growth

Historical and forecast chart of Transocean stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Transocean stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Transocean stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Transocean Ltd. Analysts predictions review

Transocean (RIG) is facing a mixed outlook shaped by ongoing industry challenges and potential recovery drivers. Impairment charges and a high debt load weigh on the company's near-term prospects, while inflation and supply chain constraints further pressurize margins. However, improving rig utilization rates, a strong contract backlog, and stabilizing oil prices present opportunities for revenue growth and operational relief. Valuation remains attractive for contrarian investors, with the stock trading at a discount relative to peers. The outlook hinges on offshore drilling demand, operational efficiencies, and broader energy market stability, but macroeconomic uncertainty tempers bullish expectations.

Transocean: Assessing Impairments and Navigating Near-Term Prospects - A Balanced Outlook

Transocean’s recent financial results indicate significant impairment charges, which highlight ongoing challenges in the industry. However, the recognition of these impairments is largely non-cash in nature, suggesting limited direct impact on the company’s liquidity and operating performance in the short term, a perspective supported by the author.
The offshore drilling market is gradually stabilizing, with improving utilization rates and day rates providing a pathway for revenue growth. If this trend sustains, it could counterbalance the burden of impairments by bolstering cash flows and reducing operational risks.
Impact of Impairments and the Outlook for Offshore Markets
Operational improvements and cost efficiencies remain critical for Transocean, especially given the challenging macroeconomic environment. While the impairments are concerning, the company's ability to achieve higher utilization rates could offset part of the pressure on its financial metrics.
The author suggests a tempered ‘Hold’ recommendation, implying a cautious approach given the lack of immediate catalysts for significant upside. Nevertheless, investors should monitor sector-level tailwinds and potential new contracts, as they may drive a re-rating of the stock over the medium term.

Transocean: Navigating Uncertainty Amid Mixed Catalysts

Transocean (RIG) faces a compelling mix of opportunities and challenges that could shape its near-term stock price performance. First, the company's backlog growth remains a key pillar for optimism, highlighted by the strength of its contract pipeline and the stability it offers to revenue visibility. However, the potential tailwinds from an uptick in offshore drilling demand could be muted by broader market concerns over project capital discipline among exploration and production players.
Operational and Financial Dynamics
Another critical factor lies in Transocean's operational execution and cost management. Rising inflationary pressures and supply chain constraints present ongoing headwinds that could erode profit margins, even as rig utilization rates improve. The author, while optimistic about RIG's positioning, highlights the concerns over the company's substantial debt load, which creates sensitivity to interest rate environments and could cap shareholder returns in the interim. Continued improvement in free cash flow generation remains key to alleviating this investor concern.
Lastly, broader energy market dynamics, particularly oil price stability, are essential to understanding Transocean's outlook. Elevated oil prices are supportive of offshore drilling activity, but any weakness in crude markets could lead to softer capital expenditures by clients. While the company's asset base and technical capabilities remain attractive, uncertainty regarding macroeconomic influences tempers enthusiasm.

Transocean's Valuable Opportunity Amid Tariff Challenges and Industry Headwinds

The analysis highlights Trump administration's tariffs as a double-edged factor impacting Transocean (RIG). While these tariffs have contributed to increased steel costs, inflating the expenses tied to rig construction and maintenance, the broader geopolitical agenda could also suppress competition, indirectly favoring U.S.-based operators in certain scenarios.
Another critical element is the company's valuation metrics, described as 'dirt-cheap' relative to its peers. Such undervaluation presents a near-term opportunity for contrarian investors betting on a rebound in offshore drilling demand and heightened rig utilization rates driven by stabilizing oil prices.
Key Factors Supporting the Valuation Thesis
Oil market dynamics remain a pivotal variable for RIG's stock price. The author's argument suggests that improving crude pricing trends and declining volatility in energy markets could create tailwinds, boosting day rates and driving profitability improvements over the medium term.
Debt structure and financial risk are also significant in analyzing the company's prospects. High leverage demands a careful assessment of refinancing potential and liquidity adequacy, although the article hints that the current price discount compensates for this risk.
Lastly, industry cyclicality plays an integral role in Transocean's near-term trajectory. Given its positioning in offshore exploration, any acceleration in this segment's recovery could lead to rapid earnings expansion, though investors should remain mindful of lingering global uncertainties.
Capital expenditure trends in the offshore drilling sector indicate increased demand for specialized rig services, directly benefiting Transocean's position in the market. The author's analysis underscores the company's ability to capture new contracts, which supports revenue stability and potentially drives higher day rates during the sector upcycle.
Expansion and Financial Strength
Transocean's robust contract backlog provides visibility into future income, which is critical in reducing earnings volatility. According to the author, this backlog also highlights the company's market leadership, reinforcing its capacity to outperform peers in an improving energy landscape.
Positive macroeconomic developments within the energy sector, particularly recovering oil prices and rising exploration expenditures, further strengthen Transocean's long-term outlook. These factors, as discussed by the author, are likely to catalyze investor sentiment and elevate the stock price in the near term.
Transocean’s strong near-term contract coverage acts as a stabilizing force amidst market uncertainty, ensuring consistent revenue visibility for the company. The author, Array, underscores how this factor supports Transocean’s ability to capitalize on rising day rates, but investors should weigh these positives against the current premium valuation.
Evaluating Financial Position Versus Valuation Risks
The firm’s commanding premium valuation reflects market confidence in its ability to execute on upcoming contracts and sustain operational efficiency. However, Array emphasizes the potential risk of limited upside in the stock price, given its already elevated valuation compared to peers.
Operational leverage remains a key driver, as Transocean’s expanding fleet and technological readiness position the company to outperform in the high-demand offshore drilling environment. This operational advantage could bolster margins and enhance investor sentiment, particularly if demand conditions persist.
The primary theme revolves around Transocean's (RIG) inability to achieve an inflection point in its financial and operational trajectory. The author highlights macroeconomic factors, such as sustained volatility in oil prices and the offshore drilling sector, as key constraints. These industry-wide pressures are tapering near-term growth prospects and limiting the demand for drillship contracts, which are crucial for Transocean's revenue visibility.
Strategic and Financial Challenges Shaping RIG's Stock Trajectory
Management's capital allocation strategy and its ability to reduce leverage remain a significant sticking point for market participants. As highlighted, the company's debt-heavy balance sheet adds financial inertia, weighing on its flexibility to reinvest organically amid competitive headwinds. This creates a risk of underperforming against its peers in cash flow generation or contract pricing leverage.
Despite these challenges, Transocean's long-term bullish narrative continues to lean on a gradual recovery in offshore drilling demand. The article indicates that while there are positive secular signs – such as disciplined supply from peers and sustained demand for energy assets – near-term catalysts appear insufficient to drive substantial stock upside. This leaves investors cautious about immediate returns while maintaining selective optimism regarding medium-term opportunities.
Transocean's robust contract backlog provides a critical foundation for stability, with commitments extending to 2027. This reflects sustained demand for the company’s ultra-deepwater drilling capabilities, offering investors a clearer revenue trajectory in an otherwise cyclical and volatile sector.
Renewed strength in offshore drilling markets, driven by rising oil prices and energy security concerns, enhances Transocean’s growth prospects. The author underlines that the company’s competitive fleet and strong client relationships position it to capitalize on this demand surge, potentially lifting day rates and margins.
Operational Efficiency and Debt Considerations
While Transocean maintains superior operational capabilities, its significant debt burden remains a key risk. The author points out that successful refinancing efforts and a focus on operational efficiency could mitigate this concern, but any adverse market shifts could pressure liquidity.
Lastly, the company's strategic investments in next-generation rigs suggest a proactive approach toward technological obsolescence. This forward-looking stance could bolster its competitive position in the medium term, supporting share price stability and incremental growth.
Transocean’s progress toward profitability reflects a potential turning point for the company, underscoring robust operational improvements and tightening industry dynamics. The author highlights efficiency gains paired with anticipated revenue traction from higher day rates, which could offer much-needed relief to the firm’s historically strained margins.
The dwindling backlog remains a concern, signaling potential revenue visibility issues in the medium term. As emphasized, this factor could act as a headwind if new contracts or extensions fail to offset consumption of existing backlog, potentially impacting investor sentiment.
Industry Climate and Investment Implications
Rising offshore drilling demand appears to work in Transocean's favor, reinforcing the momentum for longer-term revenue growth. However, shifts in global energy trends and increased competition may dilute the impact of this trend, requiring the company to remain agile in securing quality contracts.
Cost management continues to be pivotal, with the author's analysis pointing to room for improvement. Effective cost control could sharpen profitability metrics and help counter backlog-driven revenue uncertainties, further de-risking the equity.
Transocean (RIG) is strategically positioned as a leader in the high-specification drillship market, driven by increasing offshore exploration demands and a tightening supply of advanced offshore rigs. The company's focus on high-specification assets sets it apart from competitors and enables pricing leverage, particularly as global energy markets emphasize offshore production as part of diversified energy strategies. According to the author, this specialization represents a critical driver for revenue growth and margin expansion.
Operational Resilience and High-Spec Asset Demand
Operational resilience remains a core strength, with Transocean maintaining a strong backlog comprised of high-margin projects. The article notes that long-term contracts with blue-chip clients create revenue stability while insulating the company from near-term volatility in oil prices. Additionally, continued improvement in day rates for ultra-deepwater and harsh-environment rigs underscores the demand trajectory for high-performance assets. This pricing strength is forecasted to support cash flow expansion, bolstering liquidity for debt repayment and capital investment.
The author highlights that financial health remains a critical area of investor focus for Transocean, particularly given its high debt burden. However, the company has made strategic moves to refinance debt and extend maturities at favorable terms. These actions, combined with improving cash flow and disciplined capital allocation, are mitigating solvency concerns, thereby improving investor sentiment. Ultimately, the company’s ability to balance its financial obligations with growth investments is likely to incrementally reduce risk premiums associated with its stock.
Transocean's management has exhibited a notable sense of optimism, underscored by their strategic focus on capitalizing on improving offshore drilling demand. This viewpoint highlights the industry's potential recovery driven by tightening supply and increased geopolitical interest in energy independence. However, investors must carefully examine whether the optimism aligns with tangible, near-term operational outcomes.
Market Dynamics and Challenges
The offshore drilling sector is benefiting from a rebound in oil prices and global efforts to secure stable energy resources. This trend is significant, as Transocean could see increased rig utilization rates and contract pricing power, positively impacting revenue. Yet, the sector's capital-intensive nature and potential for delays in project execution could temper these benefits.
Leverage remains a material consideration for Transocean, given its high debt levels compared to peers. While management's optimism is encouraging, the company's financial structure introduces risks, particularly if oil prices retrace or operational challenges emerge during this recovery phase. Investors should weigh the potential for improved cash flows against the company's indebtedness and interest obligations.
Transocean (RIG) has demonstrated meaningful progress in improving its balance sheet, a cornerstone for investor confidence. The reduction in debt coupled with enhanced liquidity positions the company to better navigate market volatility, thus bolstering its capacity for long-term sustainability.
Positive catalysts appear on the horizon, with increasing demand for offshore drilling driven by tightening oil supply fundamentals. The author suggests this will translate into higher day rates for rigs, which should significantly enhance revenue growth and margin expansion.
Key Financial Performance Indicators
The company’s backlog remains robust, providing visibility into future revenues. This strong order book not only affirms customer confidence but also underscores Transocean’s ability to secure high-value contracts in a competitive industry.
Finally, macroeconomic trends, including elevated oil prices, create a favorable environment for continued investment into offshore exploration. The author stresses this dynamic as a potential tailwind for Transocean, likely to support higher stock valuations in the near to medium term.
Revenue growth remains a pivotal driver for RIG's stock trajectory, with robust performance in offshore drilling contracts pointing to increased utilization and higher day rates. The author underscores that sustained demand in this energy sector could bolster future cash flows and justify valuation strength.
Cost management is another critical factor, where the company's ability to effectively contain operational expenditures could meaningfully impact margins. As highlighted, any progress in reducing costs while maintaining service quality may enhance profitability and investor confidence in the near term.
Balance Sheet Stability and Industry Trends
The health of RIG's balance sheet is seen as central to its financial resilience, particularly in managing debt loads amid potential interest rate pressures. A stable capital structure, combined with strategic refinancing moves, could mitigate downside risks tied to macroeconomic conditions.
Finally, macroeconomic variables, including oil price volatility and geopolitical developments, are described as external yet potent influencers on the stock. The author notes that favorable commodity price movements could provide tailwinds, though heightened uncertainties may limit excessive upside potential.
Comprehensive Analysis of Transocean (RIG) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Transocean's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Transocean stock?
- When should I record a loss on Transocean stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Transocean stock?
- What is the future of Transocean stock?
We forecast Transocean stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Transocean stocks.
Transocean Ltd. together with its subsidiaries provides contract drilling services for oil and gas wells around the world. It contracts with its drilling rigs, related equipment and work crews to drill oil and gas wells. As of February 22, 2021, the company owned or partially owned and operated a fleet of 37 mobile offshore drilling rigs, including 27 ultra-deepwater and 10 harsh environment floating vessels.
Transocean Ltd. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 1 news items directly related to RIG from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 display bearish tendencies, and 0 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most crucial news from the last 30 days affecting RIG stocks, it's clear that bearish sentiments are completely overshadowing bullish ones. The impact of negative news is more than five times dominant over positive developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Jun 04, 2025, to Jun 04, 2025.
Transocean Q1 Earnings: Can It Keep Beating Expectations?


RIG Faces Potential Downturn: Decelerating Momentum and Negative EPS Revisions


RIG Faces Troubling Signals: Poor Performance Ahead?


Leadership Shake-ups: Impact on RIG, PLD & FANG


Transocean Projects $4B Revenue by 2025 Amid Rising Demand


Transocean COO Keelan Adamson to Take Helm as CEO


Transocean Q4 Results Disappoint: Earnings and Revenue Miss Expectations


Transocean Q4 Earnings: Revenue Growth Sparks Anticipation


Transocean Secures $175M in Backlog Despite Market Dip


Bank of America Downgrades Atlas Energy on Sand Pricing Concerns


Transocean daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 20 | 3.27 | 3.18 | 3.41 | 7.16 |
Jun 21 | 3.32 | 3.24 | 3.42 | 5.69 |
Jun 22 | 3.31 | 3.24 | 3.38 | 4.29 |
Jun 23 | 3.19 | 3.16 | 3.28 | 3.89 |
Jun 24 | 3.34 | 3.29 | 3.39 | 3.25 |
Jun 25 | 3.48 | 3.42 | 3.54 | 3.51 |
Jun 26 | 3.49 | 3.43 | 3.54 | 3.21 |
Jun 27 | 3.46 | 3.36 | 3.53 | 5.25 |
Jun 28 | 3.32 | 3.22 | 3.37 | 4.70 |
Jun 29 | 3.39 | 3.35 | 3.52 | 4.85 |
Jun 30 | 3.43 | 3.36 | 3.49 | 3.88 |
Jul 01 | 3.57 | 3.52 | 3.66 | 4.06 |
Jul 02 | 3.64 | 3.60 | 3.77 | 4.65 |
Jul 03 | 3.59 | 3.56 | 3.67 | 3.13 |
Jul 04 | 3.61 | 3.53 | 3.68 | 4.34 |
Jul 05 | 3.62 | 3.49 | 3.75 | 7.52 |
Jul 06 | 3.77 | 3.63 | 3.90 | 7.26 |
Jul 07 | 3.76 | 3.73 | 3.84 | 3.08 |
Jul 08 | 3.79 | 3.69 | 3.86 | 4.57 |
Jul 09 | 3.81 | 3.68 | 3.94 | 7.03 |
Jul 10 | 3.83 | 3.68 | 3.90 | 5.76 |
Jul 11 | 3.66 | 3.59 | 3.73 | 3.77 |
Jul 12 | 3.61 | 3.56 | 3.71 | 4.26 |
Jul 13 | 3.72 | 3.66 | 3.81 | 4.16 |
Jul 14 | 3.87 | 3.77 | 3.95 | 4.83 |
Jul 15 | 4.00 | 3.92 | 4.06 | 3.58 |
Jul 16 | 3.96 | 3.89 | 4.04 | 3.87 |
Jul 17 | 4.02 | 3.95 | 4.11 | 3.96 |
Jul 18 | 4.12 | 4.03 | 4.27 | 5.92 |
Jul 19 | 3.94 | 3.84 | 4.07 | 5.74 |
Transocean Daily Price Targets
Transocean Stock Forecast 06-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-20-2025: $3.27.
Positive dynamics for Transocean shares will prevail with possible volatility of 6.683%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.18
Optimistic target level: 3.41
Transocean Stock Forecast 06-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-21-2025: $3.32.
Positive dynamics for Transocean shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.380%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.24
Optimistic target level: 3.42
Transocean Stock Forecast 06-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-22-2025: $3.31.
Negative dynamics for Transocean shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.114%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.24
Optimistic target level: 3.38
Transocean Stock Forecast 06-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-23-2025: $3.19.
Negative dynamics for Transocean shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.745%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.16
Optimistic target level: 3.28
Transocean Stock Forecast 06-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-24-2025: $3.34.
Positive dynamics for Transocean shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.151%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.29
Optimistic target level: 3.39
Transocean Stock Forecast 06-25-2025.
Forecast target price for 06-25-2025: $3.48.
Positive dynamics for Transocean shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.391%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.42
Optimistic target level: 3.54
RIG (RIG) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jul. | 2.82 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 20.25 |
Aug. | 3.21 | 2.84 | 3.46 | 17.81 |
Sep. | 3.19 | 2.83 | 3.62 | 21.87 |
Oct. | 2.65 | 2.44 | 3.04 | 19.72 |
Nov. | 2.46 | 2.14 | 2.84 | 24.78 |
Dec. | 2.62 | 2.37 | 3.01 | 21.12 |
Transocean forecast for this year
Transocean Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $2.81868. Pessimistic: $2.55. Optimistic: $3.20
Transocean Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $3.20766. Pessimistic: $2.84. Optimistic: $3.46
Transocean Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $3.19483. Pessimistic: $2.83. Optimistic: $3.62
Transocean Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $2.65171. Pessimistic: $2.44. Optimistic: $3.04
Transocean Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $2.46078. Pessimistic: $2.14. Optimistic: $2.84
Transocean Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $2.6232. Pessimistic: $2.37. Optimistic: $3.01
Transocean (RIG) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 3.10 | 2.73 | 3.27 | 16.67 |
Feb | 2.83 | 2.49 | 3.03 | 17.94 |
Mar | 2.86 | 2.49 | 3.23 | 23.14 |
Apr | 2.71 | 2.44 | 3.02 | 19.18 |
May | 2.53 | 2.33 | 2.71 | 13.83 |
Jun | 2.64 | 2.42 | 2.78 | 12.88 |
Jul | 2.54 | 2.19 | 2.92 | 25.04 |
Aug | 2.93 | 2.69 | 3.05 | 11.73 |
Sep | 3.31 | 3.09 | 3.62 | 14.81 |
Oct | 3.35 | 2.84 | 3.51 | 19.08 |
Nov | 3.22 | 3.06 | 3.73 | 17.79 |
Dec | 2.92 | 2.72 | 3.06 | 10.88 |
Transocean (RIG) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 3.03 | 2.85 | 3.47 | 17.98 |
Feb | 2.43 | 2.22 | 2.71 | 18.10 |
Mar | 2.38 | 2.27 | 2.61 | 12.80 |
Apr | 2.45 | 2.20 | 2.61 | 15.60 |
May | 2.17 | 1.95 | 2.38 | 18.40 |
Jun | 1.96 | 1.88 | 2.19 | 14.16 |
Jul | 2.16 | 1.93 | 2.48 | 22.43 |
Aug | 2.41 | 2.26 | 2.70 | 16.22 |
Sep | 2.83 | 2.47 | 3.06 | 19.41 |
Oct | 2.71 | 2.32 | 2.94 | 21.18 |
Nov | 2.49 | 2.19 | 2.78 | 20.97 |
Dec | 2.62 | 2.33 | 2.87 | 18.61 |
Transocean information and performance
TURMSTRASSE 30, STEINHAUSEN, CH
Market capitalization of the Transocean Ltd. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of RIG shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Transocean is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Transocean (RIG) stock dividend
Transocean last paid dividends on 08/21/2015. The next scheduled payment will be on 09/23/2015. The amount of dividends is $None per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about Transocean Stock)
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All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.