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Luminar Technologies (LAZR) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: May 16, 2025 (18:51)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Luminar Technologies, Inc. (LAZR) now
Analysts predictions
Full report
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Are you interested in Luminar Technologies, Inc. stocks and want to buy them, or are they already in your portfolio? If yes, then on this page you will find useful information about the dynamics of the Luminar Technologies stock price in 2025, 2026, 2027. How much will one Luminar Technologies share be worth in 2025 - 2027?
When should I take profit in Luminar Technologies stock? When should I record a loss on Luminar Technologies stock? What are analysts' forecasts for Luminar Technologies stock? What is the future of Luminar Technologies stock? We forecast Luminar Technologies stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Luminar Technologies stocks. Also, when forecasting, technical analysis tools are used, world geopolitical and news factors are taken into account.
Luminar Technologies stock prediction results are shown below and presented in the form of graphs, tables and text information, divided into time intervals. (Next month, 2025, 2026, 2027, and ) The final quotes of the instrument at the close of the previous trading day are a signal to adjust the forecasts for Luminar Technologies shares. This happens once a day.
Historical and forecast chart of Luminar Technologies stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Luminar Technologies stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Luminar Technologies stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Luminar Technologies, Inc. Analysts predictions review

Luminar Technologies (LAZR) faces near-term volatility following the unexpected departure of its CEO, raising concerns about leadership stability. Operational challenges, including scaling production and cost efficiency in a competitive LiDAR landscape, pose risks to margins and revenue growth. Rising macroeconomic pressures, such as higher interest rates and weaker automotive demand, add further constraints on capital availability. While long-term prospects are supported by strategic partnerships and demand for autonomous driving technology, execution risks and increased competition could temper investor confidence in the near future.

Leadership Transition Puts Luminar's Long-term Growth Prospects Under Scrutiny

Luminar Technologies (LAZR) faces immediate uncertainty following the unexpected exit of CEO Austin Russell. Russell's leadership has been pivotal to the company's strategic vision in the autonomous vehicle (AV) ecosystem, and his departure introduces concerns regarding continuity in execution. This transition could amplify short-term volatility in the stock as investors reassess the strength of Luminar's management bench.
Operational Challenges and Strategic Direction
The report suggests operational hurdles may intensify as the company attempts to scale production amidst a competitive LiDAR landscape. Challenges in achieving cost-efficient manufacturing could temper revenue growth and squeeze margins, weighing on share performance in the near term. Additionally, shifts in macroeconomic conditions, particularly rising interest rates, may slow investment flows into speculative growth-oriented companies like Luminar. This could constrain capital availability, further amplifying operational risks.
Amidst these near-term pressures, the company's focus on high-profile partnerships in the automotive sector presents a double-edged sword. While collaborations with automakers validate Luminar’s technology, execution risk remains high. Any delays or underwhelming performance in fulfilling these contracts could erode investor confidence further.

Luminar Technologies: Strategic Positioning in Lidar for Autonomous Vehicles

Luminar Technologies' focus on lidar innovation places it at the forefront of critical technology for the autonomous vehicle sector, as lidar remains essential for precise object detection and navigation. The company's strategic partnerships with major automotive manufacturers signal strong demand for its products, suggesting a promising long-term growth trajectory.
Key Drivers and Risks Impacting LAZR Stock
The author's assessment highlights Luminar's operational scaling efforts as a pivotal factor for its near-term stock performance. Efficient production ramp-up and cost control will be crucial in determining whether the company can transition from development to profitability efficiently.
Another key element discussed is the competitive landscape, where Luminar distinguishes itself through technological advancements and patent assets. While this provides a competitive moat, it also necessitates continued investment in R&D to maintain its leadership position in the face of emerging competitors.
Finally, macroeconomic influences, such as broader automotive industry demand trends and interest rate impacts, are critical to consider. While Luminar's leadership may shield its growth potential, external economic pressures could temper near-term stock performance.

Luminar Technologies: Positioning for Autonomous Growth Amid Market Challenges

Growth in the autonomous vehicle sector continues to bolster Luminar Technologies' potential despite facing competitive pressures. The company’s focus on high-performing LiDAR technology sets it apart within the industry, as its strategic partnerships with key vehicle manufacturers provide tangible revenue opportunities and long-term scalability.
Market Dynamics and Financial Outlook
The competitive landscape poses challenges, but management’s commitment to innovation, coupled with a growing addressable market in autonomous driving, could act as a buffer against pricing pressures. Additionally, the author acknowledges that production cost reductions and scaling efficiencies within Luminar's manufacturing process may enhance margins, aiding profitability over time.
The stock’s volatility may also be influenced by external macroeconomic conditions, particularly rising interest rates and global automotive demand weakening. While these factors may limit near-term performance, Luminar's ability to capitalize on broader industry adoption trends remains a strong positive indicator for long-term investors.
Persistent cash flow pressures remain one of the most pressing concerns for Luminar Technologies, highlighting the company's difficulty in managing short-term liquidity despite ambitious long-term objectives. The author underscores that these challenges could act as a significant headwind, dampening investor sentiment and limiting upward stock momentum in the near term.
While the company has significant growth ambitions tied to the expanding adoption of lidar technology in autonomous vehicles, execution risks loom large. According to the author's analysis, delays in scaling production and customer adoption rates are key variables that could offset some of the optimism surrounding the long-term market opportunity.
Industry Landscape and Competitive Pressures
Competition within the lidar space is intensifying, with numerous players vying for market share and pricing pressure becoming more prevalent. The author suggests that Luminar's ability to differentiate itself through partnerships and technological advantages will be critical to sustaining a competitive edge.
Macroeconomic factors, particularly rising interest rates, pose additional risks to Luminar's capital-intensive business model. With higher borrowing costs potentially increasing the company's debt burden, the author notes this could further strain financial flexibility and exacerbate near-term challenges for shareholders.
The company’s focus on automotive lidar technology positions it as a leader in an emerging market with substantial long-term growth potential. Strong relationships with prominent automakers and expanding adoption of autonomous solutions bolster its competitive advantage and revenue outlook.
However, the author notes concerns about near-term financial performance, particularly cash burn and profitability challenges. These issues may limit the company’s flexibility and weigh on investor sentiment in the short term, especially in a rising rate environment.
Market Position and Execution Risks
While Luminar has made strides in refining its production processes and scaling for future demand, execution risks remain significant. Achieving operational milestones and meeting investor expectations are critical for valuation support.
Lastly, broader market volatility and investor sentiment toward growth stocks could influence LAZR’s stock price movements. The company's long-term upside potential remains tied to its ability to navigate short-term headwinds effectively.
One of the primary factors highlighted is Luminar Technologies' reliance on a robust adoption scenario for its lidar solutions in the automotive market. This dependence underscores a broader concern about the timing and scalability of lidar deployment, which could significantly influence its valuation in the near term. The author appears cautious about whether automakers will drive sufficient demand to justify the company's growth expectations in the short-to-medium horizon.
Financial Discipline and Long-Term Viability
Another key issue raised is the company's cash burn and pathway to profitability. Luminar's current financial trajectory, if not adequately managed, could lead to future equity dilution or debt dependence. This concern, paired with the absence of clear timelines for achieving positive free cash flow, presents a potential overhang on the stock price.
Finally, the valuation disconnect is brought into question, as the current market price assumes aggressive growth that may not fully materialize. The author's analysis suggests that the implied premium for speculative future earnings is not yet substantiated by firm indicators of execution, adding risk to any near-term price appreciation.
Recent analysis highlights critical factors influencing Luminar Technologies (LAZR), focusing on both immediate challenges and potential growth drivers. One key factor is the company's exposure to near-term macroeconomic headwinds, including industry-wide supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures. These constraints are likely to elevate production costs and could temporarily compress margins, which may weigh on the stock price in the short term.
Growth Potential and Strategic Advancements
The second notable factor is Luminar's continued leadership in autonomous driving technology, particularly its advanced lidar sensors. The author emphasizes that while adoption rates among automakers remain gradual, Luminar's long-term growth prospects are underpinned by emerging demand for its high-performance systems as major OEMs scale up autonomous vehicle production.
Finally, the company's expanding strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with key automotive manufacturers, are cited as pivotal to positioning Luminar for future revenue growth. However, investor sentiment could remain cautious until measurable revenue contributions translate to consistent financial performance.
The author's analysis emphasizes that the upcoming reverse stock split poses significant risks for Luminar's (LAZR) shareholders. Historically, reverse splits often signal underlying financial strain and can lead to reduced investor confidence and lower liquidity, which may weigh heavily on the stock price in the short term.
A second critical factor discussed is the company's current cash burn and financial health. Persistently high operating losses and growing cash constraints may necessitate additional financing, likely dilutive to existing shareholders, further pressuring the stock.
Potential Impact of Broader Industry Trends
The competitive landscape in the LiDAR sector and the delayed timeline for industry-wide adoption add an additional layer of uncertainty. While Luminar has technical advantages, the challenges of margin expansion within a highly competitive market create headwinds for growth, particularly in the near term.
Lastly, the author points out potential misalignment between management's growth projections and market realities. Optimistic forecasts may fail to materialize, leading to downward valuation adjustments by the market as performance gaps widen.
Luminar Technologies, Inc. is an American technology company that develops sensor technologies for autonomous vehicles, including the latest laser imaging, detection and ranging (Lidar) technologies. In addition, the company develops ultra-sensitive pixel-based sensors and provides consulting services for the development of custom integrated circuits that meet customer requirements. The company has R&D and manufacturing facilities located in Palo Alto, California, Orlando, Florida, where Luminar is headquartered.
Luminar Technologies, Inc. was formed on December 2, 2020 by the merger of Legacy Luminar with SPAC by Gores Metropoulos, Inc.
Luminar Technologies daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
May 18 | 4.22 | 4.12 | 4.44 | 7.70 |
May 19 | 4.18 | 4.08 | 4.33 | 6.14 |
May 20 | 4.01 | 3.81 | 4.17 | 9.34 |
May 21 | 3.87 | 3.78 | 3.96 | 4.75 |
May 22 | 3.72 | 3.51 | 3.79 | 7.88 |
May 23 | 3.87 | 3.75 | 4.08 | 9.02 |
May 24 | 3.79 | 3.66 | 4.01 | 9.34 |
May 25 | 3.69 | 3.51 | 3.75 | 7.06 |
May 26 | 3.68 | 3.57 | 3.76 | 5.36 |
May 27 | 3.58 | 3.45 | 3.71 | 7.30 |
May 28 | 3.65 | 3.51 | 3.75 | 7.08 |
May 29 | 3.81 | 3.73 | 4.05 | 8.50 |
May 30 | 4.02 | 3.92 | 4.09 | 4.27 |
May 31 | 4.10 | 3.92 | 4.32 | 10.31 |
Jun 01 | 4.31 | 4.22 | 4.58 | 8.50 |
Jun 02 | 4.60 | 4.38 | 4.88 | 11.33 |
Jun 03 | 4.87 | 4.73 | 4.96 | 4.86 |
Jun 04 | 5.20 | 5.08 | 5.51 | 8.43 |
Jun 05 | 5.05 | 4.94 | 5.19 | 5.16 |
Jun 06 | 5.19 | 4.86 | 5.29 | 8.80 |
Jun 07 | 4.99 | 4.68 | 5.12 | 9.56 |
Jun 08 | 4.62 | 4.39 | 4.71 | 7.24 |
Jun 09 | 4.73 | 4.55 | 4.85 | 6.48 |
Jun 10 | 5.08 | 4.91 | 5.29 | 7.70 |
Jun 11 | 5.00 | 4.81 | 5.24 | 8.89 |
Jun 12 | 4.99 | 4.73 | 5.21 | 9.95 |
Jun 13 | 5.02 | 4.72 | 5.31 | 12.43 |
Jun 14 | 5.00 | 4.89 | 5.23 | 6.96 |
Jun 15 | 4.81 | 4.56 | 4.95 | 8.44 |
Jun 16 | 4.59 | 4.51 | 4.70 | 4.15 |
Luminar Technologies Daily Price Targets
Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast 05-18-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-18-2025: $4.22.
Positive dynamics for Luminar Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 7.148%.
Pessimistic target level: 4.12
Optimistic target level: 4.44
Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast 05-19-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-19-2025: $4.18.
Negative dynamics for Luminar Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 5.787%.
Pessimistic target level: 4.08
Optimistic target level: 4.33
Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast 05-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-20-2025: $4.01.
Negative dynamics for Luminar Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 8.538%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.81
Optimistic target level: 4.17
Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast 05-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-21-2025: $3.87.
Negative dynamics for Luminar Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.531%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.78
Optimistic target level: 3.96
Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast 05-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-22-2025: $3.72.
Negative dynamics for Luminar Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 7.306%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.51
Optimistic target level: 3.79
Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast 05-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 05-23-2025: $3.87.
Positive dynamics for Luminar Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 8.270%.
Pessimistic target level: 3.75
Optimistic target level: 4.08
LAZR (LAZR) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun. | 5.06 | 4.30 | 5.72 | 24.78 |
Jul. | 4.99 | 4.48 | 5.62 | 20.25 |
Aug. | 4.75 | 4.33 | 5.11 | 15.27 |
Sep. | 4.17 | 3.60 | 4.72 | 23.72 |
Oct. | 3.37 | 2.85 | 3.72 | 23.55 |
Nov. | 3.87 | 3.39 | 4.36 | 22.34 |
Dec. | 4.38 | 3.79 | 4.77 | 20.59 |
Luminar Technologies forecast for this year
Luminar Technologies Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $5.06464. Pessimistic: $4.30. Optimistic: $5.72
Luminar Technologies Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $4.99373. Pessimistic: $4.48. Optimistic: $5.62
Luminar Technologies Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $4.75404. Pessimistic: $4.33. Optimistic: $5.11
Luminar Technologies Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $4.17404. Pessimistic: $3.60. Optimistic: $4.72
Luminar Technologies Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $3.37263. Pessimistic: $2.85. Optimistic: $3.72
Luminar Technologies Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $3.86503. Pessimistic: $3.39. Optimistic: $4.36
Luminar Technologies Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $4.38294. Pessimistic: $3.79. Optimistic: $4.77
Luminar Technologies (LAZR) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 4.23 | 3.61 | 4.48 | 19.43 |
Feb | 4.12 | 3.87 | 4.75 | 18.58 |
Mar | 3.43 | 3.20 | 3.79 | 15.58 |
Apr | 3.52 | 3.15 | 4.01 | 21.40 |
May | 3.81 | 3.31 | 4.11 | 19.44 |
Jun | 4.06 | 3.56 | 4.31 | 17.33 |
Jul | 4.78 | 4.12 | 5.40 | 23.58 |
Aug | 4.91 | 4.43 | 5.17 | 14.42 |
Sep | 4.70 | 4.40 | 5.16 | 14.75 |
Oct | 5.49 | 5.21 | 6.26 | 16.84 |
Nov | 6.59 | 6.33 | 7.62 | 16.95 |
Dec | 7.49 | 7.17 | 8.17 | 12.27 |
Luminar Technologies (LAZR) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 7.47 | 6.86 | 7.80 | 12.07 |
Feb | 6.68 | 5.85 | 7.64 | 23.43 |
Mar | 6.40 | 6.08 | 6.95 | 12.52 |
Apr | 5.45 | 5.19 | 6.11 | 15.00 |
May | 5.47 | 4.77 | 6.11 | 21.86 |
Jun | 6.35 | 6.03 | 6.82 | 11.55 |
Jul | 6.08 | 5.81 | 6.85 | 15.10 |
Aug | 6.23 | 5.78 | 6.75 | 14.39 |
Sep | 6.02 | 5.41 | 6.87 | 21.19 |
Oct | 6.11 | 5.66 | 6.61 | 14.42 |
Nov | 5.90 | 5.27 | 6.52 | 19.20 |
Dec | 6.06 | 5.31 | 6.79 | 21.79 |
Luminar Technologies information and performance
9800 WILSHIRE BLVD., BEVERLY HILLS, CA, US
Market capitalization of the Luminar Technologies, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of LAZR shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Luminar Technologies is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about Luminar Technologies Stock)
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All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.