February 27, 2025 How the House’s Budget Plan Sets the Stage for a Fiscal Showdown
Tesla: Capturing Opportunity in a Contrarian Market
Microsoft: Resilient Amid Sell-Off, 'Buy' Stance Reaffirmed
3M: Valuation Challenges Amidst Limited Growth Prospects
March 12, 2025 Features of exchanging USDC ERC20 to Bank Transfer
February 19, 2025 Why Stock Caps Matter When Building a Diversified Portfolio
February 5, 2025 Top 5 Coins for the Maximum Passive Income from Staking by 2024
January 21, 2025 Trading Stocks With AI: A Modern Approach
January 21, 2025 Bitcoin Is Great, but Here Are 3 Altcoins Worth Considering in 2025
Etsy (ETSY) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: March 17, 2025 (09:23)
Sector: Consumer cyclicalThe share price of Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report|
This Week
|
Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
|
Previous Week
|
Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
|
Two Weeks Ago
|
Na | Impact: Na | News: Na |
|
Three Weeks Ago
|
Bearish | Impact: 5 | News: 4 |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
|
Bearish | Opinions: 1 |
|
Previous Week
|
Neutral | Opinions: Na |
|
Two Weeks Ago
|
Neutral | Opinions: 1 |
|
Three Weeks Ago
|
Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Analyzing the Most Important ETSY news
Etsy Eyes $1B Growth Through 2025 App Revamp Amid Challenging Metrics
Etsy Faces Holiday Sales Slump, Disappointing Wall Street
Etsy Beats EPS Expectations But Misses Revenue Target Amid Slowing GMS
Historical and forecast chart of Etsy stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Etsy stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Etsy stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Etsy, Inc. Analysts predictions review
Etsy faces significant headwinds, driven by declining discretionary consumer spending amid inflationary pressures, weak holiday sales, and intensifying competition from larger e-commerce platforms like Amazon. These challenges hinder top-line growth and raise concerns about its ability to sustain its high valuation. Rising customer acquisition costs and seller dissatisfaction also threaten profitability and ecosystem stability. While Etsy's niche in handcrafted goods provides a degree of resilience, its slowing user growth and reliance on third-party sellers create medium-term risks, keeping the outlook constrained.
Etsy Faces Headwinds Amid Evolving Consumer Trends
Etsy's performance hinges significantly on shifting consumer purchasing behavior, and the company appears to be facing challenges as discretionary spending on non-essentials continues to contract. Analysts have noted that the demand for unique, handcrafted items—a key value proposition for Etsy—may be losing ground as budget-conscious shoppers prioritize essential goods against a backdrop of rising inflation.
Revenue Growth and Competitive Pressures
The company's revenue growth trajectory is under scrutiny, with indications that the current economic climate is causing slower-than-expected sales velocity. At the same time, increased competition in e-commerce from platforms like Amazon and emerging players in niche markets poses risks to Etsy's market share, particularly if its pricing advantage is eroded.
Another critical factor is Etsy's dependence on third-party sellers, as declines in seller retention or dissatisfaction with fee structures could negatively influence the platform's ecosystem stability. This issue, combined with pressured margins and ongoing operational expenses, raises further concerns about profitability in the short to medium term.
Etsy: Weak Holiday Sales Highlight Urgency for Strategic Customer Growth
Weak holiday sales performance has emerged as a critical factor negatively impacting Etsy's near-term outlook. The underwhelming results during a seasonally critical period suggest that the company's strategies for driving peak-period engagement may require substantial improvements, particularly as macroeconomic headwinds expose its flaws in customer acquisition.
Customer acquisition challenges remain a core issue, emphasizing Etsy's struggle to attract and retain buyers effectively amidst increasing competition. As the article underscores, the company's reliance on a niche marketplace model necessitates ongoing innovation to maintain relevance and consistently expand its user base.
Implications for Etsy's Top-Line Growth
The rising cost of customer acquisition is likely weighing on Etsy's margins, a trend that could suppress profit growth if left unaddressed. Management's ability to enhance platform stickiness and extract repeat business from existing customers will be critical to offset these pressures in the near term.
Macro pressures, including inflation and shifts in consumer spending behavior, pose additional risks for Etsy's pricing power and network effects. If these challenges persist, Etsy may face difficulties in sustaining the high growth valuation its stock price demands, creating downside risks for investors.
Etsy: Earnings Multiple Deception or Growth Potential Ahead?
Etsy's valuation appears misleadingly low when only considering its earnings multiple. The author suggests that this metric may not fully capture Etsy's underlying growth potential or the resilience of its business model in a challenging macroeconomic environment.
Key Factors Impacting Etsy's Outlook
The significant decline in consumer discretionary spending has weighed on Etsy's top-line revenue, raising concerns about its near-term growth trajectory. However, the company’s niche focus on handcrafted and unique goods gives it a loyal customer base, which could mitigate the downside from broader economic pressures.
Operational efficiency and cost management have reportedly cushioned profitability against macroeconomic headwinds. These efforts contribute to stability but may not be enough to drive significant stock appreciation without a recovery in revenue growth.
The author emphasizes the importance of Etsy's ability to boost user engagement and increase its take rate amidst slowing active user growth. These factors will likely determine whether the company's revenue streams can be sustained and expanded in the medium term.
Etsy is facing headwinds due to declining consumer demand in its niche e-commerce market, amplifying concerns about its ability to sustain revenue growth. The author emphasizes that macroeconomic pressures, such as high inflation and weakening discretionary spending, are weighing heavily on consumer purchasing power, which could adversely affect Etsy's short-term sales.
Profitability and Competitive Pressures
Profitability challenges are becoming evident as Etsy's operating costs increase amid slower top-line growth. Rising marketing expenses, higher seller acquisition costs, and technological platform investments could compress margins further, leading to muted earnings performance.
Meanwhile, competitive pressures from larger e-commerce players and niche platforms are reducing Etsy's pricing power. The ability to retain high-value sellers and buyers may be compromised as competitors capitalize on broader product offerings or lower transaction fees.
Valuation concerns are raised due to Etsy's premium multiple relative to peers in the e-commerce space. If growth metrics decelerate further, valuation compression may occur, potentially driving the stock price lower as investors reassess the company's future growth trajectory.
Etsy's robust positioning in niche e-commerce markets continues to serve as a key competitive advantage. The company's ability to capitalize on consumer preferences for unique, handcrafted, and vintage goods reinforces its brand loyalty in an increasingly crowded online retail space. The author notes that this differentiation remains a critical growth lever, especially in mitigating competitive pressure from larger platforms.
Another significant driver is Etsy's strategic pricing power and incremental revenue growth through higher seller fees. While such moves have improved monetization metrics, the need to balance this with user retention and satisfaction poses a clear risk to sustaining long-term revenue growth. The author appears optimistic about Etsy's management navigating this trade-off effectively.
Operational and Market Outlook
Cost management and operational efficiency have emerged as pivotal levers supporting profitability. Initiatives such as improving ad placement and optimizing its search algorithm are expected to drive higher conversion rates, enhancing operating margins. However, macroeconomic factors such as inflation and reduced discretionary spending remain clear headwinds that could weigh on near-term results.
Finally, the additional endorsement from Elliott Management underscores confidence in the company's strategic direction. The author's alignment with Elliott Management's optimism suggests that key stakeholders see potential for significant value creation amid ongoing operational improvements and favorable long-term demand trends. Investors should, however, monitor execution risks closely.
Etsy's recent stock weakness stems largely from reduced consumer discretionary spending, exacerbated by macroeconomic pressures such as inflation and rising interest rates. These factors have adversely impacted online sales growth, setting a challenging near-term trajectory for revenue generation.
Key Drivers and Opportunities to Watch
Despite headwinds, the author highlights Etsy's unique value proposition through its niche positioning in hand-crafted and custom goods, which provides a defensible moat against larger e-commerce players. This differentiation could drive long-term customer loyalty and sustained market share gains when the consumer landscape stabilizes.
The company's efforts to optimize operational efficiency, particularly its focus on improving seller fees and advertising monetization, are expected to support margin expansion. These initiatives may act as a buffer against revenue pressures, aiding profitability in a volatile environment.
Valuation appears favorable relative to historical metrics and peer companies, suggesting the stock may be undervalued. As investor sentiment toward growth stocks improves, Etsy's deeply depressed valuation could act as a catalyst for price recovery.
Comprehensive Analysis of Etsy (ETSY) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Etsy's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Etsy stock?
- When should I record a loss on Etsy stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Etsy stock?
- What is the future of Etsy stock?
We forecast Etsy stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Etsy stocks.
Etsy, Inc. offers e-commerce services for handicrafts and vintages, art and other products such as clothing, household items, paper products, candles, bags, wallets and wood products. The company serves customers in the United States.
Etsy, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 4 news items directly related to ETSY from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 2 display bearish tendencies, and 2 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most crucial news from the last 30 days affecting ETSY stocks, it's clear that bearish sentiments are completely overshadowing bullish ones. The impact of negative news is more than five times dominant over positive developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Feb 18, 2025, to Feb 19, 2025.
Etsy Set to Announce Q4 2024 Earnings Amid Modest Growth Expectations
Etsy Eyes Turnaround: GMS Set to Drive Growth
November Retail Sales Boost: E-commerce Shines Bright
FedEx and Nike Earnings: Indicators of Consumer Confidence
Etsy Welcomes Industry Veteran Lanny Baker as New CFO
Elliott Management Elevates Etsy Stake Amid Strategic Q3 Moves
Stock Shakeup: Carvana Climbs, Microsoft and Meta Slip
Etsy Shares Rebound After Surprising Q4 Guidance Boosts Investor Confidence
Etsy Revenue Surges Amid EPS Miss; Announces $1B Stock Buyback
J.P. Morgan Targets Key Put Opportunities in Russell 1000
Trending Themes in the Consumer Cyclical Sector
Etsy daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | 47.28 | 46.32 | 47.98 | 3.58 |
| Mar 20 | 47.35 | 46.44 | 48.39 | 4.19 |
| Mar 21 | 47.58 | 47.24 | 48.45 | 2.57 |
| Mar 22 | 46.95 | 45.99 | 47.73 | 3.77 |
| Mar 23 | 47.68 | 47.14 | 48.40 | 2.67 |
| Mar 24 | 47.51 | 47.23 | 47.85 | 1.33 |
| Mar 25 | 46.88 | 46.15 | 47.95 | 3.90 |
| Mar 26 | 46.41 | 45.95 | 47.32 | 3.00 |
| Mar 27 | 45.11 | 44.53 | 45.61 | 2.43 |
| Mar 28 | 45.22 | 44.58 | 46.03 | 3.26 |
| Mar 29 | 45.08 | 44.57 | 45.79 | 2.73 |
| Mar 30 | 46.11 | 45.25 | 46.94 | 3.73 |
| Mar 31 | 46.32 | 45.24 | 47.29 | 4.55 |
| Apr 01 | 46.03 | 45.61 | 47.08 | 3.21 |
| Apr 02 | 46.15 | 45.85 | 46.66 | 1.78 |
| Apr 03 | 46.48 | 46.07 | 46.78 | 1.54 |
| Apr 04 | 47.54 | 46.72 | 48.56 | 3.94 |
| Apr 05 | 47.23 | 46.58 | 47.73 | 2.46 |
| Apr 06 | 46.46 | 46.06 | 47.20 | 2.48 |
| Apr 07 | 45.15 | 44.87 | 45.49 | 1.39 |
| Apr 08 | 44.75 | 43.74 | 45.02 | 2.92 |
| Apr 09 | 43.80 | 42.90 | 44.08 | 2.76 |
| Apr 10 | 45.02 | 44.50 | 45.33 | 1.85 |
| Apr 11 | 45.58 | 45.05 | 46.49 | 3.19 |
| Apr 12 | 46.12 | 45.45 | 46.77 | 2.89 |
| Apr 13 | 45.63 | 45.06 | 46.25 | 2.64 |
| Apr 14 | 45.04 | 44.68 | 45.61 | 2.09 |
| Apr 15 | 44.91 | 43.89 | 45.84 | 4.45 |
| Apr 16 | 44.10 | 43.07 | 45.03 | 4.55 |
| Apr 17 | 44.68 | 43.91 | 45.76 | 4.21 |
Etsy Daily Price Targets
Etsy Stock Forecast 03-19-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-19-2025: $47.28.
Positive dynamics for Etsy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.459%.
Pessimistic target level: 46.32
Optimistic target level: 47.98
Etsy Stock Forecast 03-20-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-20-2025: $47.35.
Positive dynamics for Etsy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.022%.
Pessimistic target level: 46.44
Optimistic target level: 48.39
Etsy Stock Forecast 03-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-21-2025: $47.58.
Positive dynamics for Etsy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.504%.
Pessimistic target level: 47.24
Optimistic target level: 48.45
Etsy Stock Forecast 03-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-22-2025: $46.95.
Negative dynamics for Etsy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.630%.
Pessimistic target level: 45.99
Optimistic target level: 47.73
Etsy Stock Forecast 03-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-23-2025: $47.68.
Positive dynamics for Etsy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.601%.
Pessimistic target level: 47.14
Optimistic target level: 48.40
Etsy Stock Forecast 03-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-24-2025: $47.51.
Negative dynamics for Etsy shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.310%.
Pessimistic target level: 47.23
Optimistic target level: 47.85
ETSY (ETSY) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr. | 54.42 | 51.10 | 58.01 | 11.91 |
| May. | 55.67 | 53.89 | 59.56 | 9.53 |
| Jun. | 54.33 | 50.64 | 56.72 | 10.73 |
| Jul. | 54.71 | 51.32 | 57.99 | 11.51 |
| Aug. | 54.00 | 50.44 | 57.78 | 12.71 |
| Sep. | 52.70 | 51.33 | 55.13 | 6.88 |
| Oct. | 54.50 | 52.70 | 58.80 | 10.38 |
| Nov. | 52.86 | 48.95 | 54.08 | 9.48 |
| Dec. | 53.71 | 51.99 | 57.36 | 9.36 |
Etsy forecast for this year
Etsy Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $54.415. Pessimistic: $51.10. Optimistic: $58.01
Etsy Stock Prediction for May 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $55.6665. Pessimistic: $53.89. Optimistic: $59.56
Etsy Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $54.3305. Pessimistic: $50.64. Optimistic: $56.72
Etsy Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $54.7108. Pessimistic: $51.32. Optimistic: $57.99
Etsy Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $53.9996. Pessimistic: $50.44. Optimistic: $57.78
Etsy Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $52.7036. Pessimistic: $51.33. Optimistic: $55.13
Etsy Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $54.4955. Pessimistic: $52.70. Optimistic: $58.80
Etsy Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $52.8607. Pessimistic: $48.95. Optimistic: $54.08
Etsy Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $53.7064. Pessimistic: $51.99. Optimistic: $57.36
Etsy (ETSY) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 48.82 | 46.18 | 50.67 | 8.86 |
| Feb | 47.40 | 43.66 | 50.96 | 14.33 |
| Mar | 48.45 | 47.04 | 51.55 | 8.74 |
| Apr | 48.11 | 46.81 | 51.86 | 9.74 |
| May | 49.55 | 46.97 | 52.87 | 11.15 |
| Jun | 52.67 | 50.57 | 54.30 | 6.89 |
| Jul | 52.04 | 48.19 | 53.71 | 10.27 |
| Aug | 51.47 | 49.72 | 53.58 | 7.20 |
| Sep | 49.82 | 48.62 | 51.37 | 5.33 |
| Oct | 51.22 | 49.06 | 54.65 | 10.22 |
| Nov | 52.50 | 49.35 | 53.91 | 8.47 |
| Dec | 48.72 | 45.70 | 51.64 | 11.51 |
Etsy (ETSY) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 48.52 | 46.39 | 52.21 | 11.15 |
| Feb | 43.91 | 42.51 | 44.97 | 5.47 |
| Mar | 47.42 | 43.77 | 49.37 | 11.34 |
| Apr | 50.08 | 48.78 | 52.73 | 7.50 |
| May | 53.09 | 50.75 | 55.37 | 8.34 |
| Jun | 56.06 | 54.38 | 57.35 | 5.18 |
| Jul | 58.19 | 54.87 | 61.33 | 10.53 |
| Aug | 52.72 | 48.66 | 55.25 | 11.93 |
| Sep | 52.98 | 49.64 | 54.52 | 8.94 |
| Oct | 52.61 | 48.46 | 56.08 | 13.60 |
| Nov | 55.40 | 52.08 | 58.83 | 11.49 |
| Dec | 56.56 | 52.32 | 59.56 | 12.16 |
Etsy information and performance
117 ADAMS STREET, BROOKLYN, NY, US
Market capitalization of the Etsy, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of ETSY shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Etsy is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about Etsy Stock)
Should I Buy Etsy Shares in 2025 year?
Does Etsy pay dividends?
Which economic sector do Etsy's shares belong to?
Which other securities belong to the same sector as Etsy's shares?
