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Coupang (CPNG) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: October 14, 2024 (21:34)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) now
News Impact Analyzer
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Analysts predictions
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Analyzing the Most Important CPNG news
Coupang Dips on Missing Q2 Revenue Expectations Despite Strong Gross Profit Growth
Coupang Posts Solid EPS Amid Revenue Miss, Shares Face Uncertain Reaction
Anticipation Grows for Coupang's Q2 2024 Earnings with Revenue Soaring 27.4% YoY
Historical and forecast chart of Coupang stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Coupang stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Coupang stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Coupang, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 0 analytical articles which are directly related to CPNG from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 0 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Jan 01, 1970 to Jan 01, 1970.
Coupang: Solid Core Amid New Venture Uncertainties and Slowing South Korean Market
Curonian Research, known for providing insightful financial analysis since 2017, recently published a thorough review of CPNG stock. With a neutral stance on the stock's trend, the author offers a balanced perspective that investors can rely on. Boasting an impressive 50 publications within a relatively short period and a growing subscriber base of 766 followers, the author's viewpoints are both popular and credible. Their steady output and good standing among financial analysts underscore the value of this review. As you delve into the article, expect a well-rounded analysis that steers clear of bias, reflecting the author's commendable reputation in the financial community.
Key Theses of the Review
- Coupang's growth in South Korea is expected to decelerate as most households are already customers.
- The core business of Coupang remains strong, but its new ventures like food delivery and Farfetch are currently loss-making and uncertain.
- Coupang's valuation appears fair, with the company trading at approximately 22X three-year forward earnings.
- Despite uncertainties in new initiatives and decelerating market growth, Coupang has potential growth driven by increasing market share and improving margins.
- Coupang's Developing Offerings division, particularly the Farfetch acquisition, poses risks due to its current loss-making status.
Factors Influencing CPNG Stock Price
Decelerating Growth in South Korea
As Coupang already serves almost all households in South Korea, future customer acquisition is limited. This can slow down revenue growth rates, directly impacting investor expectations and stock price.
Core Business Profitability
Coupang's Product Commerce division is profitable, with margins expected to grow to 7% by 2026. This supports stock stability and investor confidence.
New Ventures and Developing Offerings
Loss-making new ventures like food delivery and Farfetch increase risk and can negatively affect overall profitability. If these ventures fail to turn profitable, they could drag down the valuation.
Market Share and Logistics Advantages
Coupang's strong logistics network and competitive membership schemes ensure high customer retention and potentially increasing market share, supporting revenue stability and growth.
Competition from Chinese Platforms
Rising competition from Chinese e-commerce platforms like AliExpress and Temu, which are gaining market share in South Korea, could erode Coupang's market position and revenue.
E-commerce Market Maturity
South Korea's e-commerce market is highly penetrated, with online sales accounting for 35% of retail sales. This limits growth potential but also confirms a high base of regular revenue generation.
Valuation Metrics
Coupang is trading at around 22X three-year forward earnings which is seen as fair. This valuation offers a balanced risk-reward scenario but also implies limited upside unless new ventures succeed.
Review the original Analysis
Coupang: Undervalued Gem with Robust Growth Prospects in Sight
In reviewing Michael Wiggins De Oliveira's analytical financial article, it is clear that the author maintains a Bullish stance on CPNG stock. Given Oliveira's extensive contribution to financial discourse, with 2,693 publications since 2014 and a sizable following of over 47,000 subscribers, his opinions carry significant weight. The authority and credibility of his insights are underscored by his high standing among financial analysts, with viewpoints often deemed highly authoritative. This extensive body of work over a relatively short period showcases not just consistency but also a depth of knowledge that resonates well with a broad audience. As we delve into his analysis, the confidence in CPNG's positive potential remains a focal point, backed by Oliveira's respected expertise.
Key Theses of the Review
- Coupang's stock remains undervalued despite a recent share price slump.
- The company has optimistic near-term growth prospects.
- Coupang's Developing Offerings segment, while currently loss-making, is growing significantly and holds future potential.
- Coupang's balance sheet is strong, with ample cash reserves.
- The company's revenue and active customer numbers are increasing.
Key Factors Influencing CPNG Stock Price
Recent Share Price Slump
The recent earnings report led to a more than 5% drop in share price. While significant, the article views it as a short-term market reaction rather than a long-term issue.
Undervaluation
The article emphasizes that the stock is undervalued, making it an attractive investment despite recent slumps. Investors may see this as a buying opportunity due to future potential.
Growth in Revenue and Active Customers
Coupang's significant growth in revenue and active customer numbers positively impacts its stock price. The company is showing strong operational performance, indicating sustained future growth.
Developing Offerings Segment
The Developing Offerings segment is growing at an impressive rate of 177% y/y. Despite current losses, its potential for future profitability makes it a critical factor for long-term stock price appreciation.
Cash Reserves
Coupang's strong cash position provides a safety net and enables continued investment in growth initiatives. This financial stability is favorable for investor confidence and long-term stock support.
Farfetch Acquisition
The acquisition's initial impact on revenues is not yet fully incorporated but will contribute to organic growth in future quarters. While not immediately significant, it holds long-term revenue potential.
Accounting Changes
Recent changes in FLC accounting have complicated revenue reporting and might obscure actual performance. This factor is more technical and has a moderate impact on investor perception.
Review the original Analysis
Commentary
With a sturdy balance sheet fortified by ample cash reserves, Coupang is well-positioned to invest in future growth initiatives, providing a safety cushion for investor confidence. Even though the immediate impact of recent acquisitions and accounting changes on revenue reporting is modest, these factors hold significant potential for future earnings. On average, the influence strength of the factors suggests a bullish trend in the next 15 days and the coming month, making Coupang a compelling prospect for long-term investors.
Comprehensive Analysis of Coupang (CPNG) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Coupang's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Coupang stock?
- When should I record a loss on Coupang stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Coupang stock?
- What is the future of Coupang stock?
We forecast Coupang stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Coupang stocks.
Coupang, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 0 news items directly related to CPNG from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 0 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is roughly equivalent to the bullish sentiment, indicating a certain current stability in stock prices when based on news background analysis.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Jan 01, 1970, to Jan 01, 1970.
Trending Themes in the Technology Sector
Coupang daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | 25.56 | 25.17 | 26.04 | 3.47 |
| Oct 17 | 25.35 | 24.24 | 26.46 | 9.16 |
| Oct 18 | 25.87 | 24.98 | 26.21 | 4.91 |
| Oct 19 | 25.77 | 25.16 | 26.21 | 4.18 |
| Oct 20 | 26.79 | 25.54 | 27.20 | 6.48 |
| Oct 21 | 26.41 | 25.82 | 26.84 | 3.93 |
| Oct 22 | 26.63 | 26.28 | 27.51 | 4.68 |
| Oct 23 | 26.26 | 25.65 | 27.26 | 6.27 |
| Oct 24 | 25.38 | 24.86 | 26.42 | 6.25 |
| Oct 25 | 24.50 | 23.62 | 25.34 | 7.28 |
| Oct 26 | 24.66 | 24.22 | 25.40 | 4.89 |
| Oct 27 | 24.02 | 23.56 | 24.33 | 3.24 |
| Oct 28 | 24.76 | 24.36 | 25.11 | 3.11 |
| Oct 29 | 26.23 | 25.52 | 27.14 | 6.35 |
| Oct 30 | 26.40 | 25.25 | 27.59 | 9.29 |
| Oct 31 | 26.35 | 25.83 | 27.51 | 6.49 |
| Nov 01 | 25.75 | 25.35 | 26.20 | 3.35 |
| Nov 02 | 26.36 | 25.91 | 27.00 | 4.21 |
| Nov 03 | 25.01 | 24.47 | 25.82 | 5.52 |
| Nov 04 | 24.28 | 23.16 | 24.74 | 6.86 |
| Nov 05 | 24.77 | 24.33 | 25.19 | 3.54 |
| Nov 06 | 23.60 | 22.78 | 24.57 | 7.90 |
| Nov 07 | 24.04 | 23.49 | 24.35 | 3.68 |
| Nov 08 | 25.35 | 24.62 | 26.44 | 7.41 |
| Nov 09 | 26.47 | 25.81 | 27.46 | 6.40 |
| Nov 10 | 25.85 | 24.92 | 26.21 | 5.17 |
| Nov 11 | 26.32 | 25.93 | 27.02 | 4.20 |
| Nov 12 | 26.08 | 24.83 | 26.79 | 7.88 |
| Nov 13 | 26.76 | 25.63 | 27.49 | 7.27 |
| Nov 14 | 26.97 | 25.77 | 28.10 | 9.04 |
Coupang Daily Price Targets
Coupang Stock Forecast 10-16-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-16-2024: $25.56.
Negative dynamics for Coupang shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.357%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.17
Optimistic target level: 26.04
Coupang Stock Forecast 10-17-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-17-2024: $25.35.
Negative dynamics for Coupang shares will prevail with possible volatility of 8.393%.
Pessimistic target level: 24.24
Optimistic target level: 26.46
Coupang Stock Forecast 10-18-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-18-2024: $25.87.
Positive dynamics for Coupang shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.678%.
Pessimistic target level: 24.98
Optimistic target level: 26.21
Coupang Stock Forecast 10-19-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-19-2024: $25.77.
Negative dynamics for Coupang shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.013%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.16
Optimistic target level: 26.21
Coupang Stock Forecast 10-20-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-20-2024: $26.79.
Positive dynamics for Coupang shares will prevail with possible volatility of 6.089%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.54
Optimistic target level: 27.20
Coupang Stock Forecast 10-21-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-21-2024: $26.41.
Negative dynamics for Coupang shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.779%.
Pessimistic target level: 25.82
Optimistic target level: 26.84
CPNG (CPNG) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. | 26.29 | 25.40 | 27.16 | 6.49 |
| Dec. | 25.16 | 24.18 | 26.44 | 8.56 |
Coupang forecast for this year
Coupang Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $26.2911. Pessimistic: $25.40. Optimistic: $27.16
Coupang Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $25.1606. Pessimistic: $24.18. Optimistic: $26.44
Coupang (CPNG) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 26.09 | 24.27 | 26.85 | 9.62 |
| Feb | 25.96 | 23.94 | 27.73 | 13.67 |
| Mar | 24.07 | 23.08 | 25.87 | 10.79 |
| Apr | 25.94 | 25.32 | 26.64 | 4.97 |
| May | 25.89 | 24.49 | 27.83 | 12.00 |
| Jun | 24.80 | 22.97 | 25.57 | 10.18 |
| Jul | 24.16 | 22.83 | 25.25 | 9.57 |
| Aug | 25.92 | 24.08 | 27.56 | 12.61 |
| Sep | 25.35 | 23.43 | 25.86 | 9.41 |
| Oct | 23.37 | 21.90 | 24.24 | 9.64 |
| Nov | 23.33 | 22.77 | 24.42 | 6.78 |
| Dec | 25.33 | 23.74 | 25.84 | 8.14 |
Coupang (CPNG) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 26.78 | 25.87 | 28.44 | 9.04 |
| Feb | 26.78 | 25.01 | 27.85 | 10.19 |
| Mar | 27.34 | 25.86 | 28.65 | 9.73 |
| Apr | 28.49 | 27.83 | 30.40 | 8.43 |
| May | 29.54 | 27.53 | 31.82 | 13.46 |
| Jun | 27.33 | 25.25 | 28.04 | 9.94 |
| Jul | 25.36 | 24.40 | 26.10 | 6.51 |
| Aug | 24.60 | 24.11 | 26.42 | 8.75 |
| Sep | 22.36 | 21.42 | 24.10 | 11.13 |
| Oct | 24.04 | 22.52 | 25.29 | 10.93 |
| Nov | 24.42 | 23.59 | 25.25 | 6.58 |
| Dec | 25.86 | 23.90 | 27.31 | 12.50 |
Coupang information and performance
TOWER 730,570, SONGPA-DAERO, SONGPA-GU, SEOUL, KR
Market capitalization of the Coupang, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of CPNG shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Coupang is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Commentary
As Coupang's market expansion in South Korea nears its peak, the company's growth may decelerate due to saturation. This key factor, rated at significant 8, alongside the highly mature e-commerce landscape (7), suggests limited room for rapid customer acquisition. Compounding this, intensifying competition from Chinese platforms (6) could pressure Coupang's market share. This environment sets a stage where investors might see stagnant stock performance in the short term.
Nevertheless, Coupang's profitable core business and robust logistics maintain a positive long-term outlook. These elements, scoring high in significance (9) for core profitability and (8) for logistics, indicate sustained operational strength. The considerable risks linked to its new ventures (7) temper overall enthusiasm, balanced by a fair valuation at 22X earnings (7). In summary, while Coupang exhibits solid fundamentals, the mixed influence of growth limitations and new venture risks keeps the immediate stock trend neutral.