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Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: December 5, 2024 (12:28)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report|
This Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 2 (1/1/0) |
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Previous Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 2 (2/0/0) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 2.44 | News: 5 (3/1/1) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 1.07 | News: 5 (2/1/2) |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Bearish | Opinions: 5 |
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Previous Week
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Bearish | Opinions: 2 |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Opinions: 5 (1/1/3) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 20 (9/6/5) |
Analyzing the Most Important PLTR news
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Historical and forecast chart of Palantir Technologies stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Palantir Technologies stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Palantir Technologies stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Palantir Technologies Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 33 analytical articles which are directly related to PLTR from the last 30 days. Out of these, 11 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 13 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 9 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Nov 05, 2024 to Dec 05, 2024.
Palantir's Bubble: Mirage of Sentiment and Unsustainable Valuations
In this analytical review of Daniel Schönberger's article, the author distinctly maintains a Bearish stance on PLTR stock. With an extensive portfolio of 776 publications since 2016, Schönberger demonstrates a prolific contribution to financial discourse. Garnering over 12,600 subscribers, his views enjoy significant popularity among readers. Analysis of his tenure as a contributor reveals an impressive output, underscoring his commitment and influence in the field. With an authority ranking that is exceptionally high, Schönberger's insights are regarded as highly credible, aligning with the upper echelon of authoritative financial writers. His analytical perspectives, particularly on stocks like PLTR, offer invaluable insights for investors who value expert opinions in making informed decisions.
Key Theses of Palantir Stock Review
- Despite Palantir's recent explosive growth, the stock remains extremely overvalued.
- The stock's current valuation multiples are unsustainable and not justified by fundamentals.
- Palantir's growth rates are overshadowed by unrealistic expectations for future cash flow growth and share dilution.
- Investors should be cautious of the sentiment-driven stock price increases that could lead to significant losses.
Factors Influencing Palantir's Stock Price
Valuation Multiples
The stock is trading at 333 times earnings and 60 times sales, which are unsustainable and not supported by fundamentals, indicating a risk of correction. These exceptionally high valuation multiples are a major driver of the stock price, suggesting overvaluation.
Sentiment-driven Stock Price Increases
Palantir's stock price is highly influenced by market sentiment and 'irrational exuberance,' which can create feedback loops and cause volatility. While sentiment can temporarily push stock prices higher, it may lead to significant losses if not backed by fundamentals.
Quarterly Financial Performance
Palantir reported strong revenue growth of 30% year-over-year and impressive operational income growth, but these are overshadowed by extreme stock valuations. While these results are positive, they are insufficient to justify the high valuation multiples on their own.
Share Dilution
Palantir has been increasing its number of outstanding shares by 5.8% in the last twelve months, which dilutes shareholder value. This ongoing dilution adds pressure to free cash flow growth rates required for fair valuation, making it an adverse factor for stock price.
Government Contracts and AI Demand
Palantir's government business may benefit from increased contracts due to a chaotic and unstable world, driven by demand for advanced AI. While this presents growth potential, it does not fully offset the high valuation concerns.
Review the original Analysis
Palantir's Lofty Valuation: A Correction on the Horizon?
In the latest review by The Value Edge, a seasoned analyst with an average level of credibility, the focus falls on a carefully constructed bearish perspective regarding PLTR stock. With a steady output of 75 publications since starting in 2023, The Value Edge represents a prolific voice in the financial landscape. This author has amassed a notable subscriber base of 2,569, underscoring the resonance and appeal of their analyses among readers. Despite the relative newness as a contributor, the frequency and depth of their publications signal a dedicated approach to financial discourse. As readers delve into this analytical piece, they can expect a well-researched argument that challenges optimistic views of PLTR stock, reflecting The Value Edge's cautious outlook in today's volatile market.
Key Theses on Palantir Technologies
- Palantir's current valuation is overstretched, posing significant investment risk.
- The company's revenue growth and EPS projections do not justify its high market cap and sales multiple.
- Geopolitical tensions and administrative changes could negatively impact Palantir's government and commercial segments.
- Retail investors are advised to take profits and wait for a better entry point.
Factors Influencing PLTR Stock Price
Overstretched Valuation
Palantir's market cap of $150b with a sales multiple of 50 and its current earnings do not substantiate this valuation, indicating a potential correction. The overstretched valuation suggests that the current price offers little upside and poses a significant downside risk.
Geopolitical Risks
Potential easing of geopolitical tensions with the incoming Trump administration could decrease demand for Palantir's government-related software products. The expectation of negotiated peace deals may reduce sales of Palantir’s Gotham software in conflict zones, impacting revenue growth.
Insider and Institutional Share Selling
While insider and institutional investors are selling shares, retail investors have been purchasing, which is unsustainable in the long term. The imbalance in selling versus buying signifies a lack of confidence from key players in the stock's continued rise.
Strong Revenue Growth
Palantir reported substantial growth in U.S. commercial and government revenues, indicating healthy demand in these segments. However, despite impressive revenue figures, valuation concerns overshadow these positives.
Economic Policies under Trump Administration
Protectionist economic policies, like potential tariffs on chips, could impact costs and margins for Palantir, while potential tax cuts might stimulate spending. These policies create significant macroeconomic uncertainty which could affect Palantir's operational environment.
Review the original Analysis Commentary
Palantir Technologies finds itself perched on a precarious valuation branch, with market cap and sales multiples far ahead of its current earnings capabilities. This overstretched valuation, highlighted by a factor significance of 9, suggests the stock could see a near-term correction. The average significance of influencing factors is around 7, indicating that we may expect movement within the next fortnight. While Palantir's revenue growth is indeed commendable, the shaky valuation presents more downside risk than potential upside, especially if geopolitical winds shift.
Moreover, skepticism from insiders and institutions, expressed through share sales while retail investors continue buying, signals a potential red flag. Adding to this is the macroeconomic factor, with potential changes under the Trump administration that could impact operational costs, thus further weighing on Palantir's stock trajectory. Given these considerations, investors might want to step back, wait for the market to recalibrate, and reassess the situation later. Overall, the trend remains "Bearish" in the short term, hinting that caution should be the watchword for those holding or considering adding Palantir to their portfolios.
Comprehensive Analysis of Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Palantir Technologies's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Palantir Technologies stock?
- When should I record a loss on Palantir Technologies stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Palantir Technologies stock?
- What is the future of Palantir Technologies stock?
We forecast Palantir Technologies stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Palantir Technologies stocks.
Palantir Technologies Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 14 news items directly related to PLTR from the last 30 days. Out of these, 8 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 3 display bearish tendencies, and 3 events are neutral.
The strength of the bullish trend outpaces the bearish sentiments by 2.57 times, indicating that the news backdrop is positively influencing the company’s stock price in the current outlook.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Nov 06, 2024, to Dec 04, 2024.
US Dominates AI Landscape, Leaving China Behind: Implications for Tech Stocks
ECB Flags AI Stock Volatility Risks
Palantir's Growth Stumbles Amid CEO's Major Share Sell-Off
Market Shake-up Amid Fed Remarks: Stocks in Focus
Market Shifts: Domino's Soars, AMAT and ASTS Tumble While PLTR Climbs
Palantir Moves to Nasdaq: A Strategic Transition
This Week's Bold Analyst Moves: Carvana Surges, Palantir Faces Challenges
Palantir Valuation: Outpacing Growth or Bubble Trouble?
Palantir Faces Downward Pressure Amid Unsustainable Valuation Concerns
Enterprise Stocks Surge as Trump Returns to White House
Palantir Technologies, Inc. operates as a holding company that develops data integration and software solutions. It works across the commercial and government segments. The commercial segment offers services to clients in the private sector. The government segment provides solutions to the federal government of the United States (USA) and other governments. It offers solutions in the areas of automotive, financial compliance, legal intelligence, mergers and acquisitions. Its products include Gotham Palantir and Palantir Foundries. The company was founded by Stephen Cohen, Nathan Dale Gettings, Joseph Lonsdale, Alexander K. Karp and Peter Andreas Thiel in 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Trending Themes in the Technology Sector
Palantir Technologies daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 07 | 71.40 | 69.88 | 71.94 | 2.94 |
| Dec 08 | 71.49 | 69.81 | 73.20 | 4.85 |
| Dec 09 | 72.28 | 71.74 | 73.23 | 2.09 |
| Dec 10 | 70.59 | 70.06 | 71.20 | 1.63 |
| Dec 11 | 72.32 | 71.59 | 73.13 | 2.15 |
| Dec 12 | 73.37 | 72.79 | 73.89 | 1.51 |
| Dec 13 | 72.82 | 72.34 | 74.17 | 2.54 |
| Dec 14 | 72.47 | 71.23 | 73.55 | 3.27 |
| Dec 15 | 72.77 | 71.92 | 74.19 | 3.16 |
| Dec 16 | 70.61 | 69.72 | 72.09 | 3.40 |
| Dec 17 | 71.29 | 70.26 | 71.89 | 2.31 |
| Dec 18 | 72.31 | 70.58 | 73.70 | 4.43 |
| Dec 19 | 72.29 | 71.77 | 73.14 | 1.90 |
| Dec 20 | 73.27 | 72.23 | 73.93 | 2.34 |
| Dec 21 | 73.84 | 72.62 | 74.97 | 3.23 |
| Dec 22 | 75.99 | 75.35 | 77.79 | 3.24 |
| Dec 23 | 77.29 | 76.62 | 78.89 | 2.97 |
| Dec 24 | 76.55 | 75.86 | 78.06 | 2.91 |
| Dec 25 | 77.49 | 77.02 | 78.18 | 1.51 |
| Dec 26 | 76.42 | 74.63 | 77.79 | 4.24 |
| Dec 27 | 77.47 | 76.66 | 79.24 | 3.37 |
| Dec 28 | 77.10 | 75.74 | 77.77 | 2.69 |
| Dec 29 | 77.03 | 75.44 | 77.66 | 2.94 |
| Dec 30 | 78.33 | 77.69 | 79.85 | 2.78 |
| Dec 31 | 77.50 | 76.74 | 77.97 | 1.61 |
| Jan 01 | 77.34 | 76.37 | 79.13 | 3.62 |
| Jan 02 | 78.08 | 76.65 | 79.96 | 4.31 |
| Jan 03 | 78.76 | 77.60 | 79.40 | 2.31 |
| Jan 04 | 79.23 | 77.76 | 80.71 | 3.79 |
| Jan 05 | 78.90 | 77.65 | 79.47 | 2.35 |
Palantir Technologies Daily Price Targets
Palantir Technologies Stock Forecast 12-07-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-07-2024: $71.40.
Positive dynamics for Palantir Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.859%.
Pessimistic target level: 69.88
Optimistic target level: 71.94
Palantir Technologies Stock Forecast 12-08-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-08-2024: $71.49.
Positive dynamics for Palantir Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.629%.
Pessimistic target level: 69.81
Optimistic target level: 73.20
Palantir Technologies Stock Forecast 12-09-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-09-2024: $72.28.
Positive dynamics for Palantir Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.043%.
Pessimistic target level: 71.74
Optimistic target level: 73.23
Palantir Technologies Stock Forecast 12-10-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-10-2024: $70.59.
Negative dynamics for Palantir Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.606%.
Pessimistic target level: 70.06
Optimistic target level: 71.20
Palantir Technologies Stock Forecast 12-11-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-11-2024: $72.32.
Positive dynamics for Palantir Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.107%.
Pessimistic target level: 71.59
Optimistic target level: 73.13
Palantir Technologies Stock Forecast 12-12-2024.
Forecast target price for 12-12-2024: $73.37.
Positive dynamics for Palantir Technologies shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.489%.
Pessimistic target level: 72.79
Optimistic target level: 73.89
PLTR (PLTR) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. | 66.68 | 62.52 | 73.00 | 14.36 |
| Feb. | 67.08 | 65.39 | 71.18 | 8.14 |
| Mar. | 69.89 | 66.46 | 72.08 | 7.80 |
| Apr. | 62.60 | 59.29 | 66.88 | 11.34 |
| May. | 60.64 | 55.70 | 63.41 | 12.17 |
| Jun. | 66.61 | 61.66 | 68.69 | 10.24 |
| Jul. | 63.02 | 59.99 | 67.55 | 11.19 |
| Aug. | 64.91 | 63.11 | 68.25 | 7.53 |
| Sep. | 67.87 | 62.00 | 71.53 | 13.32 |
| Oct. | 62.49 | 57.32 | 68.04 | 15.76 |
| Nov. | 57.39 | 55.81 | 59.73 | 6.57 |
| Dec. | 53.88 | 49.22 | 56.01 | 12.12 |
Palantir Technologies forecast for this year
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Jan 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $66.6775. Pessimistic: $62.52. Optimistic: $73.00
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Feb 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $67.0776. Pessimistic: $65.39. Optimistic: $71.18
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Mar 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $69.8948. Pessimistic: $66.46. Optimistic: $72.08
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $62.5978. Pessimistic: $59.29. Optimistic: $66.88
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $60.6448. Pessimistic: $55.70. Optimistic: $63.41
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $66.6122. Pessimistic: $61.66. Optimistic: $68.69
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $63.0152. Pessimistic: $59.99. Optimistic: $67.55
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $64.9056. Pessimistic: $63.11. Optimistic: $68.25
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $67.8653. Pessimistic: $62.00. Optimistic: $71.53
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $62.4904. Pessimistic: $57.32. Optimistic: $68.04
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $57.3912. Pessimistic: $55.81. Optimistic: $59.73
Palantir Technologies Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $53.8788. Pessimistic: $49.22. Optimistic: $56.01
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 51.62 | 50.13 | 56.26 | 10.90 |
| Feb | 53.29 | 48.94 | 56.55 | 13.46 |
| Mar | 57.51 | 52.13 | 59.30 | 12.10 |
| Apr | 60.34 | 57.73 | 62.51 | 7.64 |
| May | 64.03 | 58.11 | 69.79 | 16.73 |
| Jun | 65.26 | 59.00 | 69.72 | 15.39 |
| Jul | 73.09 | 66.43 | 79.23 | 16.16 |
| Aug | 67.21 | 61.08 | 73.02 | 16.35 |
| Sep | 64.63 | 60.14 | 70.84 | 15.11 |
| Oct | 67.97 | 62.34 | 70.66 | 11.77 |
| Nov | 69.36 | 62.86 | 75.60 | 16.84 |
| Dec | 71.44 | 67.24 | 76.58 | 12.20 |
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 73.92 | 70.29 | 79.60 | 11.70 |
| Feb | 80.22 | 73.77 | 86.00 | 14.22 |
| Mar | 86.09 | 83.61 | 92.91 | 10.01 |
| Apr | 78.14 | 73.07 | 80.76 | 9.52 |
| May | 81.14 | 75.49 | 85.13 | 11.32 |
| Jun | 79.58 | 75.09 | 85.60 | 12.27 |
| Jul | 81.68 | 74.13 | 86.39 | 14.18 |
| Aug | 85.80 | 79.62 | 91.87 | 13.34 |
| Sep | 81.47 | 78.93 | 85.48 | 7.66 |
| Oct | 78.44 | 75.43 | 83.53 | 9.69 |
| Nov | 82.87 | 76.40 | 86.84 | 12.02 |
| Dec | 78.79 | 76.14 | 81.82 | 6.93 |
Palantir Technologies information and performance
1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250, DENVER, CO, US
Market capitalization of the Palantir Technologies Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of PLTR shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Palantir Technologies is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Commentary
Palantir Technologies, while basking in the glory of impressive quarterly growth figures, may be concealing an unsustainable stock price narrative. The astronomical valuation multiples of 333 times earnings and 60 times sales paint a picture of a stock priced far beyond its foundational worth. Despite robust revenue and operational income growth, these factors alone scarcely justify such formidable valuations, leaving investors walking a thin line between optimism and fiscal reality.
Looking into the mix of factors that shape Palantir's stock trajectory, one senses that the emotional high driven by market sentiment and speculative enthusiasm is a double-edged sword. With an average factor significance hovering around 8, there's a high chance of price volatility and correction in the coming weeks. This sentiment-fueled ascent lacks the support of enduring fundamentals, aligning ominously with the company’s dilution practices, making bearish predictions more plausible over the next month. The reliance on market mood rather than unyielding growth metrics is a beacon of caution for discerning investors.