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Capital One Financial (COF) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: September 20, 2024 (21:36)
Sector: FinancialThe share price of Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) now
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Are you interested in Capital One Financial Corp. stocks and want to buy them, or are they already in your portfolio? If yes, then on this page you will find useful information about the dynamics of the Capital One Financial stock price in 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028. How much will one Capital One Financial share be worth in 2024 - 2028?
When should I take profit in Capital One Financial stock? When should I record a loss on Capital One Financial stock? What are analysts' forecasts for Capital One Financial stock? What is the future of Capital One Financial stock? We forecast Capital One Financial stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Capital One Financial stocks. Also, when forecasting, technical analysis tools are used, world geopolitical and news factors are taken into account.
Capital One Financial stock prediction results are shown below and presented in the form of graphs, tables and text information, divided into time intervals. (Next month, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027 and 2028) The final quotes of the instrument at the close of the previous trading day are a signal to adjust the forecasts for Capital One Financial shares. This happens once a day.
Historical and forecast chart of Capital One Financial stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Capital One Financial stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Capital One Financial stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Capital One Financial Corp. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 1 analytical articles which are directly related to COF from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 0 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Aug 27, 2024 to Aug 27, 2024.
Capital One Faces Bearish Waves: A Deep Dive into Financial Risks and Market Sentiment
In this review, we explore an analytical financial article by The Chartographer, who maintains a Bearish stance on COF stock. With 124 publications since joining in 2021 and close to 1,000 subscribers, The Chartographer has quickly garnered attention in financial analysis circles. Their authority in the field is considered average, reflecting a balanced mix of credible insights and thoughtful perspectives. The author's volume of quality output, with more than 60 publications per year, further underscores their growing popularity and relevance in financial discussions. This review aims to delve into their reasoning and analytical depth behind the bearish outlook on COF stock.
Key Theses of the Article
- A deep dive into Capital One Financial Corporation's financials reveals existing risks and investor sentiment indicating potential challenges.
- Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci mathematics suggest a bearish scenario for Capital One with defined risk levels and potential for further decline.
- Confirmation bias should be avoided by conducting comprehensive research and analysis.
- The use of Fibonacci Pinball is recommended to manage risk and preserve capital in trading and investing.
Key Factors Influencing COF Company Stock Price
Financial Risks
The deep dive indicates the presence of financial risks in Capital One's portfolio, which may negatively impact investor confidence. Higher financial risks can lead to lower investor sentiment and increased volatility in stock price.
Investor Sentiment
Investor sentiment as analyzed via Elliott Wave Theory is shown to be bearish, suggesting further downside risk. Negative sentiment can drive the stock price lower as more investors might opt to sell.
Methodology: Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci Mathematics
The use of Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci mathematics offers a structured approach to understanding market behavior and price structure. These methodologies provide defined risk levels and predict potential price movements, although their subjective nature may be considered less impactful compared to fundamental analysis.
Market Structure Analysis
Recent chart analyses by lead analysts suggest a bearish price structure with potential for lower prices. Market structure analysis through technical charts gives a visual representation of price trends and pivotal levels, significantly impacting trading decisions.
Risk Management System
The application of Fibonacci Pinball for risk management suggests a disciplined approach to trading and investing. While it helps in preserving capital and defining risk, its impact is more indirect compared to immediate financial and sentiment factors.
Review the original Analysis
Capital One's Strategic Moves and Strong Q2 Performance Signal Bullish Growth Ahead
The Value Portfolio, an esteemed contributor since 2015 with 1,735 publications and over 34,300 subscribers, has penned a compelling analytical article on COF stock. With an evident Bullish stance, the author leverages extensive expertise and a significant following to substantiate their views. The author's prolific output over a substantial tenure underscores their profound engagement and influence within the financial analysis community. Based on the remarkable metrics, the insights offered by The Value Portfolio are both popular and highly credible, making this review an indispensable read for investors considering COF stock.
Key Theses of the Review
- Capital One's acquisition of Discover Financial is expected to build a strong credit card portfolio and drive long-term shareholder returns.
- Capital One had a strong Q2 with net income of almost $600 million.
- The company maintains a strong efficiency ratio and has increased average deposits by 1%.
- Capital One's ability to generate strong cash flow and maintain net interest ratios makes it a valuable investment with future growth potential.
- Risks include cultural clashes in the acquisition of Discover Financial.
Key Factors Influencing COF Stock Price
Acquisition of Discover Financial
The acquisition is expected to boost Capital One's credit card portfolio and introduce an in-house payment processing network, driving long-term shareholder returns. However, the acquisition also carries substantial risks of cultural integration affecting performance.
Q2 Net Income Performance
Capital One's net income of almost $600 million highlights the company’s strong earnings potential despite market challenges. This figure was modestly affected by loan allowances due to high-interest rates, indicating robust core business strength.
Efficiency Ratio and Deposit Increase
Maintaining a strong efficiency ratio and a 1% increase in average deposits reflect effective operational management. These factors support financial stability and potential for profitability.
Interest Rate Environment
Higher interest rates have led to increased loan allowances and interest payouts to depositors, impacting NII. Despite this, Capital One has managed to retain stable margins, indicating resilience.
Allowance for Credit Losses
Capital One has allocated significant cash for potential credit losses amid high-interest environments which safeguard against potential defaults. This conservative approach supports financial robustness.
Review the original Analysis
Commentary
The article highlights Capital One's strategic acquisition of Discover Financial, which is expected to diversify its credit card portfolio and bring long-term shareholder gains despite potential integration risks. The acquisition's high significance score (10) underscores its pivotal role in driving future stock performance. Additionally, Capital One's robust Q2 earnings of nearly $600 million, strong efficiency ratio, and a notable 1% rise in average deposits emphasize the company's ability to manage operations effectively amidst higher interest rates, signaling resilience and growth potential.
Considering the average influence strength of the factors mentioned, the short-term (next 15 days) stock trend looks positive, primarily driven by strong financial results and strategic positioning. Over the coming month, Capital One's ability to maintain stable margins in a high-interest rate environment and address credit allowances prudently will sustain this bullish trend. The company's conservative provisioning for potential credit losses further bolsters its financial robustness, enhancing investor confidence.
Capital One Financial Corporation is an American banking holding company specializing in credit cards, mortgages, car loans, banking and savings products. Capital One is the eighth largest banking holding in the United States in terms of asset and deposit valuation.
Capital One Financial daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | 153.28 | 152.07 | 154.18 | 1.39 |
| Sep 23 | 154.03 | 152.90 | 155.07 | 1.42 |
| Sep 24 | 154.60 | 154.10 | 155.45 | 0.87 |
| Sep 25 | 153.28 | 152.67 | 154.46 | 1.18 |
| Sep 26 | 153.60 | 152.79 | 154.77 | 1.30 |
| Sep 27 | 152.99 | 151.84 | 153.40 | 1.03 |
| Sep 28 | 153.36 | 152.53 | 153.82 | 0.84 |
| Sep 29 | 154.05 | 153.23 | 154.60 | 0.89 |
| Sep 30 | 152.55 | 151.71 | 153.12 | 0.92 |
| Oct 01 | 153.15 | 152.21 | 153.52 | 0.85 |
| Oct 02 | 152.63 | 152.09 | 153.70 | 1.05 |
| Oct 03 | 153.24 | 152.93 | 153.74 | 0.53 |
| Oct 04 | 154.31 | 153.54 | 154.96 | 0.92 |
| Oct 05 | 153.62 | 153.31 | 153.92 | 0.40 |
| Oct 06 | 154.60 | 153.59 | 155.73 | 1.39 |
| Oct 07 | 155.51 | 154.30 | 156.20 | 1.23 |
| Oct 08 | 155.53 | 154.75 | 156.63 | 1.22 |
| Oct 09 | 155.01 | 154.07 | 155.48 | 0.92 |
| Oct 10 | 153.73 | 153.37 | 154.10 | 0.47 |
| Oct 11 | 153.76 | 153.37 | 154.11 | 0.48 |
| Oct 12 | 153.04 | 152.21 | 153.89 | 1.11 |
| Oct 13 | 152.67 | 152.23 | 153.03 | 0.53 |
| Oct 14 | 153.31 | 152.85 | 154.31 | 0.95 |
| Oct 15 | 153.48 | 153.08 | 153.85 | 0.50 |
| Oct 16 | 153.19 | 151.96 | 154.11 | 1.41 |
| Oct 17 | 153.89 | 153.01 | 154.92 | 1.25 |
| Oct 18 | 154.52 | 153.83 | 155.48 | 1.08 |
| Oct 19 | 154.32 | 153.98 | 154.98 | 0.65 |
| Oct 20 | 154.26 | 153.53 | 155.28 | 1.14 |
| Oct 21 | 152.76 | 151.65 | 153.57 | 1.27 |
Capital One Financial Daily Price Targets
Capital One Financial Stock Forecast 09-22-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-22-2024: $153.28.
Positive dynamics for Capital One Financial shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.372%.
Pessimistic target level: 152.07
Optimistic target level: 154.18
Capital One Financial Stock Forecast 09-23-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-23-2024: $154.03.
Positive dynamics for Capital One Financial shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.401%.
Pessimistic target level: 152.90
Optimistic target level: 155.07
Capital One Financial Stock Forecast 09-24-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-24-2024: $154.60.
Positive dynamics for Capital One Financial shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.865%.
Pessimistic target level: 154.10
Optimistic target level: 155.45
Capital One Financial Stock Forecast 09-25-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-25-2024: $153.28.
Negative dynamics for Capital One Financial shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.161%.
Pessimistic target level: 152.67
Optimistic target level: 154.46
Capital One Financial Stock Forecast 09-26-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-26-2024: $153.60.
Positive dynamics for Capital One Financial shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.281%.
Pessimistic target level: 152.79
Optimistic target level: 154.77
Capital One Financial Stock Forecast 09-27-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-27-2024: $152.99.
Negative dynamics for Capital One Financial shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.018%.
Pessimistic target level: 151.84
Optimistic target level: 153.40
COF (COF) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. | 150.49 | 143.45 | 154.65 | 7.24 |
| Nov. | 151.39 | 147.76 | 157.12 | 5.96 |
| Dec. | 149.94 | 143.55 | 157.05 | 8.59 |
Capital One Financial forecast for this year
Capital One Financial Stock Prediction for Oct 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $150.491. Pessimistic: $143.45. Optimistic: $154.65
Capital One Financial Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $151.394. Pessimistic: $147.76. Optimistic: $157.12
Capital One Financial Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $149.941. Pessimistic: $143.55. Optimistic: $157.05
Capital One Financial (COF) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 144.18 | 139.86 | 150.07 | 6.80 |
| Feb | 138.82 | 135.57 | 143.65 | 5.62 |
| Mar | 146.57 | 143.66 | 151.31 | 5.06 |
| Apr | 150.52 | 143.84 | 154.68 | 7.01 |
| May | 153.23 | 147.26 | 158.66 | 7.19 |
| Jun | 149.74 | 146.77 | 155.13 | 5.39 |
| Jul | 146.15 | 139.13 | 147.99 | 5.98 |
| Aug | 140.01 | 136.31 | 144.71 | 5.81 |
| Sep | 136.90 | 134.85 | 141.09 | 4.42 |
| Oct | 143.63 | 140.96 | 150.27 | 6.19 |
| Nov | 140.10 | 133.38 | 146.07 | 8.69 |
| Dec | 142.96 | 140.81 | 146.56 | 3.92 |
Capital One Financial (COF) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 142.53 | 140.48 | 149.11 | 5.79 |
| Feb | 145.69 | 142.46 | 149.10 | 4.46 |
| Mar | 148.14 | 143.79 | 150.54 | 4.49 |
| Apr | 154.45 | 149.08 | 160.57 | 7.16 |
| May | 152.60 | 149.58 | 158.46 | 5.61 |
| Jun | 147.11 | 142.52 | 153.73 | 7.29 |
| Jul | 147.02 | 141.99 | 153.63 | 7.58 |
| Aug | 145.87 | 143.77 | 148.93 | 3.47 |
| Sep | 143.07 | 137.92 | 148.31 | 7.00 |
| Oct | 149.34 | 144.59 | 153.91 | 6.05 |
| Nov | 144.95 | 141.55 | 150.86 | 6.17 |
| Dec | 142.60 | 136.61 | 145.42 | 6.06 |
Capital One Financial information and performance
1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, SUITE 1400, MCLEAN, VA, US
Market capitalization of the Capital One Financial Corp. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of COF shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Capital One Financial is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Capital One Financial (COF) stock dividend
Capital One Financial last paid dividends on 08/12/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 08/23/2024. The amount of dividends is $2.4 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Commentary
The article delves into Capital One Financial Corporation's current financial status, revealing notable risks and bearish investor sentiment that could spell trouble for the company's stock in the short term. Utilizing Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci mathematics, the analysis suggests a structured yet cautious bearish projection, warning investors about potential declines.
With an average influence strength of around 6.6 across key factors, these elements indicate a probable downward trend for COF stock over the next 15 days and possibly extending into the coming month. Financial risks and negative investor sentiment hold the most significant sway, while methodologies like Fibonacci Pinball provide strategic risk management. These mixed but predominantly negative signals warrant a prudent, defensive stance for prospective investors.