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Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: September 21, 2024 (02:12)
Sector: TechnologyThe share price of Microsoft Inc. (MSFT) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report|
This Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 14 (10/4/0) |
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Previous Week
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 8 (6/2/0) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 5 (2/3/0) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 5 | News: 13 (8/5/0) |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 2 (2/0/0) |
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Previous Week
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Bullish | Opinions: 3 (2/0/1) |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 2 (2/0/0) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Opinions: 4 (2/2/0) |
Analyzing the Most Important MSFT news
Dividend Surge: Microsoft's Big Payout Boost
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Historical and forecast chart of Microsoft stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Microsoft stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Microsoft stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Microsoft Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 11 analytical articles which are directly related to MSFT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 8 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 2 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Aug 26, 2024 to Sep 18, 2024.
Microsoft's AI Revolution: 2025 Growth Beckons with Strategic Investments
In this review, we delve into the analytical insights presented by Tech Stock Pros, who confidently maintain a bullish stance on Microsoft (MSFT) stock. Known for their compelling analysis, Tech Stock Pros has firmly established themselves as a credible voice in the financial domain. Having contributed 432 publications since 2020, they consistently produce insightful content, averaging a high volume of articles annually—demonstrating expertise and dedication to financial analysis. With a significant following of 8,922 subscribers, their views resonate with a wide audience. Coupled with excellent credibility, Tech Stock Pros offers highly authoritative perspectives, making their analysis a must-read for investors interested in navigating the tech stock landscape. This review will provide a succinct summary of their bullish take on MSFT.
Key Theses of the Review
- Microsoft's next significant growth phase is expected from AI monetization, anticipated in 2025.
- The company's AI-related investments, particularly in Copilot and Azure, are strategically positioned to drive future growth.
- Macro headwinds easing will bolster Azure's growth and contribute to Microsoft's outperformance in 2025.
- Microsoft is aggressively investing in AI infrastructure, aiming for significant returns by 2025.
Factors Influencing Microsoft's Stock Price
AI Monetization
With Microsoft's AI services contributing to 8% of Azure's 29% growth, this factor is expected to be a key revenue driver. The successful integration of Copilot could lead to substantial monetization and growth.
Azure Growth Rates
Azure's growth rates have dropped slightly but remain essential with projections of over 60,000 AI customers. Improved Azure performance as macroeconomic conditions stabilize can greatly influence earnings.
AI Infrastructure Investments
Heavy investments in AI infrastructure, such as the partnership with BlackRock seeking $30 billion, suggest anticipation of higher returns and capabilities. Such investments are critical to staying ahead of competitors like AWS, impacting long-term stock performance.
Macro-economic Environment
A healthier macroeconomic environment in 2025 could alleviate enterprise budget pressures, thereby amplifying Microsoft's growth potential. However, short-term uncertainties may affect immediate stock performance.
Windows OS Market Position
With a 72% market share, Microsoft's dominance in the Windows OS market could facilitate its AI PC adoption strategy. However, the immediate impact on stock price remains moderately low due to broader industry trends.
Review the original Analysis
Microsoft's Strategic Moves Propel Stock Toward Bullish Horizons
In this review of John Bowman's analytical financial article, we delve into the author's Bullish stance on Microsoft (MSFT) stock. With an impressive portfolio of 95 publications since his entry in 2023, John Bowman demonstrates a consistent and prolific output, averaging remarkable productivity. His insights enjoy substantial popularity, garnering a followership of 2,167 subscribers who value his guidance. Despite having an average level of credibility, according to industry metrics, Bowman's analysis is buoyed by the substantial audience trust and engagement he commands. For readers seeking an informed perspective on MSFT, Bowman's article presents a compelling view, blending his promising authority in financial analysis with a steady record, offering a balanced, yet optimistic outlook on the stock.
Key Investment Theses for Microsoft
- Microsoft is instilling confidence in free cash flow by raising its dividend and announcing $60B in share buybacks.
- The company's robust financial performance and diverse product portfolio strengthen its market position.
- Significant growth potential exists in cloud computing, innovative product development, and strategic acquisitions.
- Microsoft's investment strategies in AI outpace competitors, positioning it to capitalize on future advancements.
Factors Influencing Microsoft's Stock Price
Dividend Increase
The dividend increase by 10.7% demonstrates management's confidence in the company's financial stability and long-term earnings potential, likely boosting investor sentiment. Although the yield remains below 1%, the increase signifies ongoing shareholder value enhancement.
Share Buybacks
The $60B share buyback plan will directly reduce the number of outstanding shares, increasing earnings per share and overall market value for remaining investors. This move signals strong cash reserves and a proactive strategy to enhance shareholder value further.
Cloud Computing and AI
Microsoft's strategic investments in AI and cloud computing sectors represent significant future revenue streams, distinguishing it from competitors. Efficient resource allocation suggests the company is well-positioned to lead in these fast-growing tech industries.
Market Competition
Competitors such as Apple, Nvidia, and Amazon are also aggressively investing in similar technological advancements, which poses a risk to Microsoft's market share. However, Microsoft's aggressive investments in talent and infrastructure provide a competitive edge.
Debt Management
Microsoft's strategy to leverage high cash reserves to pay off long-term debts reduces financial leverage but doesn't significantly lower total liabilities. This prudent financial management helps navigate high-interest rate environments, maintaining financial flexibility.
Review the original Analysis Commentary
Microsoft is cementing its place as a top contender in the tech industry with moves that bolster investor confidence. A notable 10.7% dividend increase and a massive $60 billion share buyback initiative stand out, showcasing the company's commitment to enhancing shareholder value. These financial strategies are underpinned by a robust product portfolio, reinforcing Microsoft's long-term growth prospects through innovative cloud computing and AI investments.
Analyzing the average influence, the near-term 15-day outlook appears optimistic as these factors collectively foster a stronger market presence. Moving into the next month, these strategies continue to provide momentum, with potential headwinds from competitors being mitigated by Microsoft's strategic foresight in resource and talent allocation. While market dynamics and competition pose challenges, the company's focus on prudent debt management maintains its financial resilience, setting a bullish trajectory for Microsoft's stocks in the upcoming months.
Comprehensive Analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Microsoft's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Microsoft stock?
- When should I record a loss on Microsoft stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Microsoft stock?
- What is the future of Microsoft stock?
We forecast Microsoft stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Microsoft stocks.
Microsoft Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 40 news items directly related to MSFT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 26 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 14 events are neutral.
Based on an analysis of the most important news from the last 30 days affecting MSFT shares, it's clear that bullish sentiments are completely overshadowing bearish ones. The impact of positive news is more than five times as dominant as that of negative developments.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Aug 22, 2024, to Sep 20, 2024.
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Microsoft Elevates AI Game with Copilot Pages Introduction
Microsoft Corporation is one of the largest transnational companies producing proprietary software for various kinds of computing equipment – personal computers, game consoles, PDAs, mobile phones and others, the developer of the most widely used software platform in the world at the moment – the Windows operating system family. The divisions of the company also manufacture the family of Xbox game consoles, as well as accessories for personal computers.
In 2013, Microsoft announced the purchase of its mobile phone manufacturing and service division from Nokia, Finland.
Trending Themes in the Technology Sector
Microsoft daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | 432.44 | 427.94 | 443.34 | 3.60 |
| Sep 23 | 430.54 | 419.86 | 440.36 | 4.88 |
| Sep 24 | 414.18 | 402.42 | 418.16 | 3.91 |
| Sep 25 | 422.46 | 417.05 | 435.31 | 4.38 |
| Sep 26 | 425.00 | 416.84 | 434.52 | 4.24 |
| Sep 27 | 422.45 | 418.90 | 431.40 | 2.99 |
| Sep 28 | 430.39 | 420.23 | 440.55 | 4.83 |
| Sep 29 | 424.36 | 412.99 | 430.98 | 4.36 |
| Sep 30 | 429.29 | 425.85 | 435.81 | 2.34 |
| Oct 01 | 431.00 | 417.38 | 444.28 | 6.44 |
| Oct 02 | 434.11 | 424.38 | 447.82 | 5.52 |
| Oct 03 | 440.53 | 428.90 | 451.46 | 5.26 |
| Oct 04 | 440.00 | 431.55 | 449.33 | 4.12 |
| Oct 05 | 431.91 | 425.69 | 443.65 | 4.22 |
| Oct 06 | 438.99 | 434.95 | 449.88 | 3.43 |
| Oct 07 | 442.85 | 434.00 | 454.37 | 4.69 |
| Oct 08 | 455.08 | 448.89 | 466.36 | 3.89 |
| Oct 09 | 452.53 | 442.03 | 467.01 | 5.65 |
| Oct 10 | 436.78 | 433.29 | 440.80 | 1.73 |
| Oct 11 | 444.99 | 438.41 | 455.31 | 3.86 |
| Oct 12 | 446.42 | 440.17 | 451.95 | 2.68 |
| Oct 13 | 454.09 | 447.37 | 466.99 | 4.38 |
| Oct 14 | 460.63 | 453.81 | 473.71 | 4.39 |
| Oct 15 | 463.95 | 458.38 | 476.57 | 3.97 |
| Oct 16 | 455.60 | 446.49 | 464.71 | 4.08 |
| Oct 17 | 466.90 | 455.88 | 481.46 | 5.61 |
| Oct 18 | 476.05 | 467.48 | 481.76 | 3.06 |
| Oct 19 | 472.05 | 458.27 | 485.64 | 5.97 |
| Oct 20 | 481.30 | 471.48 | 490.73 | 4.08 |
| Oct 21 | 464.17 | 450.80 | 478.09 | 6.05 |
Microsoft Daily Price Targets
Microsoft Stock Forecast 09-22-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-22-2024: $432.44.
Negative dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.473%.
Pessimistic target level: 427.94
Optimistic target level: 443.34
Microsoft Stock Forecast 09-23-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-23-2024: $430.54.
Negative dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.654%.
Pessimistic target level: 419.86
Optimistic target level: 440.36
Microsoft Stock Forecast 09-24-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-24-2024: $414.18.
Negative dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.764%.
Pessimistic target level: 402.42
Optimistic target level: 418.16
Microsoft Stock Forecast 09-25-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-25-2024: $422.46.
Positive dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.193%.
Pessimistic target level: 417.05
Optimistic target level: 435.31
Microsoft Stock Forecast 09-26-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-26-2024: $425.00.
Positive dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 4.069%.
Pessimistic target level: 416.84
Optimistic target level: 434.52
Microsoft Stock Forecast 09-27-2024.
Forecast target price for 09-27-2024: $422.45.
Negative dynamics for Microsoft shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.899%.
Pessimistic target level: 418.90
Optimistic target level: 431.40
MSFT (MSFT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. | 465.01 | 439.44 | 489.66 | 10.26 |
| Nov. | 461.76 | 433.13 | 494.08 | 12.34 |
| Dec. | 457.14 | 445.25 | 489.14 | 8.97 |
Microsoft forecast for this year
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Oct 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $465.011. Pessimistic: $439.44. Optimistic: $489.66
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $461.756. Pessimistic: $433.13. Optimistic: $494.08
Microsoft Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $457.139. Pessimistic: $445.25. Optimistic: $489.14
Microsoft (MSFT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 467.65 | 454.56 | 499.45 | 8.99 |
| Feb | 468.12 | 443.31 | 484.97 | 8.59 |
| Mar | 459.69 | 443.61 | 485.90 | 8.70 |
| Apr | 442.23 | 413.04 | 465.22 | 11.22 |
| May | 444.88 | 410.62 | 479.14 | 14.30 |
| Jun | 454.22 | 435.60 | 464.67 | 6.26 |
| Jul | 424.70 | 392.85 | 456.97 | 14.03 |
| Aug | 406.44 | 381.24 | 414.56 | 8.04 |
| Sep | 422.69 | 412.13 | 448.90 | 8.19 |
| Oct | 429.46 | 407.12 | 459.95 | 11.48 |
| Nov | 417.43 | 399.90 | 439.56 | 9.02 |
| Dec | 432.88 | 420.76 | 461.01 | 8.73 |
Microsoft (MSFT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 449.76 | 433.57 | 464.15 | 6.59 |
| Feb | 465.95 | 442.19 | 497.17 | 11.06 |
| Mar | 445.91 | 431.65 | 479.80 | 10.04 |
| Apr | 472.22 | 455.70 | 497.72 | 8.44 |
| May | 491.58 | 481.26 | 524.03 | 8.16 |
| Jun | 457.67 | 445.77 | 477.34 | 6.62 |
| Jul | 458.12 | 446.67 | 477.36 | 6.43 |
| Aug | 429.26 | 398.78 | 439.56 | 9.28 |
| Sep | 460.60 | 448.16 | 471.65 | 4.98 |
| Oct | 487.31 | 477.57 | 521.91 | 8.50 |
| Nov | 465.87 | 436.05 | 488.70 | 10.77 |
| Dec | 490.56 | 462.60 | 507.24 | 8.80 |
Microsoft information and performance
ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND, WA, US
Market capitalization of the Microsoft Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of MSFT shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Microsoft is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Microsoft (MSFT) stock dividend
Microsoft last paid dividends on 11/21/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 09/12/2024. The amount of dividends is $3 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Commentary
Microsoft stands at the brink of what could be a transformative era, thanks to its strategic investments in AI and the power of its Azure platform. The excitement centers around AI monetization; it's expected to significantly bolster revenues, especially through offerings like Copilot. As the tech giant eagerly pursues a robust AI infrastructure, it positions itself to outpace competitors like AWS, while also promising enticing returns by 2025.
While the journey towards this ambitious future isn't without its challenges, particularly with current macroeconomic fluctuations, a more stable environment is anticipated in the coming months. This could sharply enhance enterprise spending capacities, potentially elevating Microsoft's growth trajectory. In the short term, though, the market may reflect fluctuations as AI integration progresses and macroeconomic variables remain unpredictable. Nonetheless, given the high significance ratings of AI Monetization and Azure's growth, the optimistic outlook towards Microsoft's stock remains decidedly bullish overall.