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Walmart (WMT) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: October 16, 2024 (02:24)
Sector: Counsumer defensiveThe share price of Walmart, Inc. (WMT) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report|
This Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: 3 (1/1/1) |
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Previous Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: 1 |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Impact: 2.22 | News: 5 (1/1/3) |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Impact: 1.33 | News: 7 (1/4/2) |
Analysts predictions
Full report|
This Week
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Neutral | Opinions: 2 (1/0/1) |
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Previous Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
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Two Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
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Three Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Analyzing the Most Important WMT news
Walmart Elevates Seth Dallaire to Chief Growth Officer Amid Leadership Shake-up
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Historical and forecast chart of Walmart stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Walmart stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Walmart stock price can be found in the table below.
Please note that the data is displayed considering the stock split ratio of 3.0 to 1 on 2024-02-26.
Because of this, to get a clear view of the forecast, you may need to adjust the graph's scale.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Walmart, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 2 analytical articles which are directly related to WMT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 1 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 0 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Oct 10, 2024 to Oct 11, 2024.
Walmart's High Valuations May Signal Stormy Times Ahead
In this review, we delve into the analytical financial article by PropNotes, wherein the author clearly maintains a Bearish stance on Walmart (WMT) stock. Despite the negative outlook on WMT, it's crucial to consider the author's credibility and popularity in the financial analysis domain. Since joining as a contributor in 2021, PropNotes has impressively published 232 articles, indicating a prolific engagement with the field. With 4,816 subscribers, the viewpoints presented resonate widely amongst readers. The author’s authority is considered high, suggesting that their opinions are well-regarded in financial circles. This combination of frequent contributions and strong authority provides a compelling foundation for considering the Bearish perspective discussed in this article. This context is essential for readers seeking informed and credible financial insights.
Key Theses
- Walmart is a solid company with strong brand and scale advantages.
- The company appears to be mispriced and shares are trading at stretched valuations.
- Capital returns to shareholders are expected to be meager at this point.
- Growth is not expected to accelerate significantly in 2025, likely due to poor consumer conditions.
- Portfolio managers may be using Walmart to 'weather' poor consumer conditions.
- If economic indicators improve, the stock's valuation multiple may compress as funds move to growth-oriented stocks.
- Walmart is rated a 'Sell'.
Factors Influencing Walmart's Stock Price
Valuation Multiples
Walmart's current trading multiples are extremely high—41x net income and nearly 1x sales—which is unsustainable and points to potential correction. These stretched valuations indicate a significant risk of price retracement if growth does not accelerate substantially.
Growth Outlook
Projected growth in revenue and earnings per share is slowing down, which is expected to affect investor sentiment negatively. Failing to provide compelling growth catalysts could prevent the stock from advancing further, especially given the current high valuation.
Consumer Spending and Economic Indicators
Poor consumer sentiment and macroeconomic instability are leading to cautious spending behavior, affecting Walmart's key revenue drivers. If conditions improve, funds might flow into more growth-oriented stocks, compressing Walmart's valuation.
Capital Return Programs
The dividend yield and share buybacks are currently limited by the high stock price, reducing Walmart's appeal as a 'yield' investment. Given the high valuation, buybacks are less efficient, limiting their impact on the stock price.
Review the original Analysis
Walmart's Digital Surge and Margin Expansion Drive Bullish Stock Outlook
In the realm of financial analysis, Yuval Rotem's article explores the dynamics of WMT stock with a decidedly bullish stance. Rotem, a respected contributor since 2023, has quickly become a significant voice in financial circles, publishing an impressive 214 articles in a relatively short span. With 3183 subscribers, his insights attract a substantial following, underscoring his popularity among readers. His credibility is reflected in the metrics, placing him within the average range, indicating well-regarded and balanced perspectives. Rotem’s analysis is both timely and relevant, offering insights into why WMT stock is poised for potential growth. His analytical acumen combined with an engaging narrative makes this review a must-read for anyone interested in the stock market's intricacies.
Key Theses of the Article
- Walmart's stock has risen 50% year-to-date due to strong revenue growth, expanding margins, and a successful transition beyond brick-and-mortar retail.
- Despite trading at a high valuation of 33x forward earnings, opportunities in advertising, e-commerce, and a growing third-party marketplace justify Walmart's current valuation.
- Walmart is expected to continue outperforming the market, and a 'Buy' rating is reiterated.
Factors Influencing Walmart's Stock Price
Revenue Growth and Expanding Margins
Walmart's significant revenue growth and expanding margins are key reasons for its stock price surge. This growth signals operational efficiency and strong financial health, reinforcing investor confidence.
Digitalization and E-commerce Expansion
Walmart's successful foray into e-commerce, becoming the second-largest platform in the U.S., enhances its growth potential in a rapidly expanding market. This digital shift is essential to maintaining competitiveness against major players like Amazon.
Advertising Opportunities
Walmart's growth in advertising revenue, projected to reach $4 billion, is bolstering profit margins and providing a new revenue stream. As advertising grows above 20% annually, it strengthens Walmart's business model diversification.
Market Enthusiasm and Multiple Expansion
The broad market enthusiasm for retail companies has contributed to the expansion of Walmart's valuation multiples, although it also raises concerns about sustainability. This sector-wide trend has amplified investor interest in Walmart, despite the high PEG ratio.
Review the original Analysis
Commentary
Comprehensive Analysis of Walmart (WMT) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Walmart's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Walmart stock?
- When should I record a loss on Walmart stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Walmart stock?
- What is the future of Walmart stock?
We forecast Walmart stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Walmart stocks.
Walmart, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 16 news items directly related to WMT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 3 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 6 display bearish tendencies, and 7 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is dominating bullish sentiments by 1.61 times, indicating that the current news landscape is negatively impacting the company's stock prices in the foreseeable future.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Sep 16, 2024, to Oct 12, 2024.
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Navigating the Peaks and Troughs: A Detailed Forecast on Walmart Stocks (WMT)
As Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT), the colossal grocery titian, makes headlines with its latest financial disclosures, investors and market watchers are keenly evaluating the trajectory of its stock performance. The fluctuation in the WMT stock price has sparked a plethora of questions: Is WMT a good stock to buy? Why is WMT stock down, and what could its price prediction look like? Let’s delve into the nuances of forecasting WMT stock rates and explore the key factors that will shape its future value.
Deciphering Walmart’s Financial Performance
Reflecting on Walmart’s recent financial achievements, it’s clear that the company has been on a roller coaster ride. After reporting a moderate yet positive fiscal Q3 ’24 performance with revenue growth at 5%, operating income growth at a standstill, and EPS (Earnings Per Share) growth at 2%, Walmart’s stock momentarily dipped from $170 to $155 post-release. The minimal EPS upside surprise of 1% marked the lowest in the past six quarters, illustrating a cautious guidance approach from the company. However, with the stock rebounding to its pre-decline level of $170, investors are left pondering the WMT stock forecast.
Predicting the future of WMT stocks involves scrutinizing upcoming financial results, market conditions, and company-specific developments. For instance, Walmart’s expected announcement of its fiscal Q4 ’24 results before the market opens on February 20, 2024, following President’s Day closure, is highly anticipated. With predicted YoY revenue growth at 6%, operating income growth at 12%, and EPS growth at 8%, these results could significantly influence WMT stock price predictions.
Furthermore, the fiscal ’25 outlook seems promising, with expected EPS growth at 9%, revenue growth at 3%, and operating income growth at 11%. However, factors such as unexpected litigation charges, as seen in fiscal Q3 ’24, can obscure predictions and impact the stock negatively.
Forecasting Challenges and Market Influence
Accurately predicting the WMT stock price involves understanding the dynamic interplay of market conditions, investor sentiment, and corporate performance. While Walmart has a history of cautious guidance and outperforming estimates, unforeseen events, such as litigation or market volatility, pose challenges to precise forecasting. Analysts and investors must remain vigilant, analyzing incoming data and market trends to adjust their WMT stock forecast accordingly.
In conclusion, while the WMT stock buy or sell decision hinges on upcoming financial results and market conditions, the outlined factors underscore the complexities in forecasting such a dynamic entity. Investors eyeing the Walmart stock forecast or contemplating a WMT stock buy or sell decision should weigh these considerations to navigate the intricate landscape of stock investments.
Walmart Inc., the retail behemoth from the United States, known to many by its stock symbol WMT on the New York Stock Exchange, boasts a wide-ranging influence across a variety of shopping categories, bringing an extensive array of products and services to its doorstep. As of September 23rd, Walmart is sharing the wealth with its shareholders, dishing out quarterly dividends of $0.57 per share. This generosity points to an annual dividend yield of 1.40%. What’s more impressive is that Walmart has consistently upped its dividend game for a jaw-dropping 50 years without a break.
When it came time to wrap up the second quarter of 2023, Insider Monkey cracked open their ledger to reveal that 81 savvy hedge funds had cast their lot with Walmart Inc. Together, these financial players had sunk a cool $5.4 billion into the company. Standing tall among this assembly of investors was D E Shaw, seizing the title as Walmart’s top shareholder for that period.
Walmart daily forecast for a month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | 82.78 | 82.02 | 83.74 | 2.10 |
| Oct 18 | 82.88 | 82.02 | 83.23 | 1.48 |
| Oct 19 | 83.38 | 82.49 | 83.94 | 1.76 |
| Oct 20 | 81.86 | 80.81 | 82.91 | 2.59 |
| Oct 21 | 83.15 | 82.27 | 84.20 | 2.34 |
| Oct 22 | 83.07 | 81.89 | 83.65 | 2.15 |
| Oct 23 | 83.57 | 82.92 | 84.04 | 1.35 |
| Oct 24 | 83.17 | 82.34 | 83.85 | 1.84 |
| Oct 25 | 84.31 | 83.83 | 85.34 | 1.81 |
| Oct 26 | 83.64 | 82.99 | 84.01 | 1.23 |
| Oct 27 | 84.06 | 83.57 | 84.70 | 1.35 |
| Oct 28 | 84.92 | 84.29 | 85.53 | 1.47 |
| Oct 29 | 85.14 | 83.81 | 85.83 | 2.42 |
| Oct 30 | 84.93 | 83.62 | 85.46 | 2.19 |
| Oct 31 | 86.09 | 85.61 | 87.03 | 1.67 |
| Nov 01 | 87.76 | 86.84 | 88.74 | 2.18 |
| Nov 02 | 89.44 | 88.19 | 90.41 | 2.52 |
| Nov 03 | 90.77 | 89.75 | 91.47 | 1.92 |
| Nov 04 | 91.20 | 89.83 | 91.86 | 2.25 |
| Nov 05 | 91.97 | 91.03 | 92.92 | 2.08 |
| Nov 06 | 91.10 | 89.77 | 92.32 | 2.84 |
| Nov 07 | 89.94 | 88.82 | 90.39 | 1.76 |
| Nov 08 | 89.67 | 88.54 | 90.60 | 2.33 |
| Nov 09 | 91.05 | 90.52 | 91.43 | 1.01 |
| Nov 10 | 91.56 | 90.24 | 92.51 | 2.52 |
| Nov 11 | 91.39 | 90.70 | 91.94 | 1.37 |
| Nov 12 | 89.58 | 88.20 | 90.03 | 2.07 |
| Nov 13 | 90.12 | 89.60 | 90.88 | 1.43 |
| Nov 14 | 90.34 | 89.72 | 91.39 | 1.85 |
| Nov 15 | 88.58 | 87.79 | 89.81 | 2.30 |
Walmart Daily Price Targets
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-17-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-17-2024: $82.78.
Positive dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.056%.
Pessimistic target level: 82.02
Optimistic target level: 83.74
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-18-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-18-2024: $82.88.
Positive dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.454%.
Pessimistic target level: 82.02
Optimistic target level: 83.23
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-19-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-19-2024: $83.38.
Positive dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.728%.
Pessimistic target level: 82.49
Optimistic target level: 83.94
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-20-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-20-2024: $81.86.
Negative dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.528%.
Pessimistic target level: 80.81
Optimistic target level: 82.91
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-21-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-21-2024: $83.15.
Positive dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.291%.
Pessimistic target level: 82.27
Optimistic target level: 84.20
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-22-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-22-2024: $83.07.
Negative dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.105%.
Pessimistic target level: 81.89
Optimistic target level: 83.65
WMT (WMT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. | 84.14 | 81.52 | 86.11 | 5.34 |
| Dec. | 81.97 | 80.15 | 85.27 | 6.00 |
Walmart forecast for this year
Walmart Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $84.1439. Pessimistic: $81.52. Optimistic: $86.11
Walmart Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $81.973. Pessimistic: $80.15. Optimistic: $85.27
Walmart (WMT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 82.22 | 80.30 | 83.95 | 4.35 |
| Feb | 77.48 | 74.97 | 79.67 | 5.89 |
| Mar | 74.93 | 73.17 | 77.53 | 5.62 |
| Apr | 77.58 | 76.32 | 80.84 | 5.59 |
| May | 77.39 | 74.84 | 79.71 | 6.12 |
| Jun | 79.16 | 78.02 | 81.53 | 4.31 |
| Jul | 80.77 | 79.61 | 82.61 | 3.64 |
| Aug | 79.80 | 77.26 | 81.33 | 5.00 |
| Sep | 80.76 | 78.87 | 84.06 | 6.17 |
| Oct | 79.06 | 76.31 | 80.01 | 4.62 |
| Nov | 76.98 | 75.22 | 80.21 | 6.22 |
| Dec | 78.36 | 75.64 | 80.24 | 5.74 |
Walmart (WMT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 81.56 | 79.65 | 84.15 | 5.35 |
| Feb | 82.73 | 80.90 | 85.56 | 5.45 |
| Mar | 82.04 | 79.87 | 85.68 | 6.78 |
| Apr | 86.76 | 82.70 | 90.93 | 9.05 |
| May | 89.73 | 87.20 | 91.19 | 4.37 |
| Jun | 84.67 | 83.55 | 87.26 | 4.25 |
| Jul | 86.70 | 84.88 | 90.50 | 6.21 |
| Aug | 88.32 | 85.61 | 90.38 | 5.28 |
| Sep | 85.40 | 82.79 | 88.58 | 6.54 |
| Oct | 87.45 | 85.30 | 91.60 | 6.87 |
| Nov | 87.03 | 84.99 | 91.16 | 6.76 |
| Dec | 88.18 | 85.16 | 90.35 | 5.74 |
Walmart information and performance
702 SOUTHWEST 8TH ST, BENTONVILLE, AR, US
Market capitalization of the Walmart, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of WMT shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Walmart is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Walmart (WMT) stock dividend
Walmart last paid dividends on 12/12/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 01/06/2025. The amount of dividends is $0.795 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Commentary
Walmart, a retail titan known for its robust brand and scale advantages, currently faces potential price correction risks due to its stretched valuation multiples. Trading at 41 times net income and close to its sales value, these levels are hard to sustain without stronger growth. Factoring in a high significance to economic indicators and consumer spending, these elevated valuations could witness a retracement if these underlying conditions do not improve. The slowing revenue and earnings per share projections add to this cautionary outlook.
Over the next 15 days, the average impact of these factors suggests some immediate pressure on Walmart's stock. In the coming month, the lack of strong capital returns and an unappealing dividend yield could dilute investor interest, making a bearish stance seem more likely. Portfolio managers might currently favor Walmart for its defensive qualities, but a shift in economic conditions could see funds migrate to stocks promising greater growth, further compressing Walmart's high valuation. As of now, Walmart stands rated as a 'Sell', with market dynamics pointing towards a bearish trend.