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Walmart (WMT) Stock Forecast for 2024, 2025, 2026. Sell or Buy?
Updated: October 10, 2024 (15:08)
Sector: Counsumer defensiveThe share price of Walmart, Inc. (WMT) now
News Impact Analyzer
Full report
This Week
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Na | Impact: Na | News: 1 |
Previous Week
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Bearish | Impact: 2.22 | News: 5 (1/1/3) |
Two Weeks Ago
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Bullish | Impact: 1.5 | News: 2 (1/0/1) |
Three Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Impact: 2.33 | News: 8 (1/4/3) |
Analysts predictions
Full report
This Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Previous Week
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Two Weeks Ago
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Neutral | Opinions: Na |
Three Weeks Ago
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Bearish | Opinions: 1 |
Analyzing the Most Important WMT news
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Historical and forecast chart of Walmart stock
The chart below shows the historical price of Walmart stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Walmart stock price can be found in the table below.
Please note that the data is displayed considering the stock split ratio of 3.0 to 1 on 2024-02-26.
Because of this, to get a clear view of the forecast, you may need to adjust the graph's scale.
Long-term forecasts by years.
Walmart, Inc. Analysts predictions review
As of now, Panda has combed through 1 analytical articles which are directly related to WMT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 1 see a bearish trend as the more likely scenario, and 0 stay neutral.
To identify the dominant trend, we took into account analytical articles from the past 30 days, spanning from Sep 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2024.
Walmart Valuation Peaks: Is the Growth Story Fading?
In his latest analytical financial article, Stuart Allsopp articulates a Bearish stance on Walmart (WMT) stock, offering compelling insights that may influence investor sentiment. With 497 publications since 2020 and a substantial following of 6,453 subscribers, Allsopp demonstrates an impressive frequency of contributions and wide-reaching influence in the financial community. His evaluations consistently resonate, thanks to his excellent credibility rating, which qualifies his observations as particularly authoritative. Given this backdrop, Allsopp’s views on WMT stock carry considerable weight, encouraging investors to reassess their positions. His robust body of work, combined with significant authority, underscores the importance of his bearish perspective, making it a crucial read for those attuned to financial market trends and strategic investment decisions.
Key Theses of the Walmart Stock Analysis
- Walmart's current valuations, particularly its PE ratio and price-to-free cash flow ratio, are at historically high levels.
- Earnings growth is unlikely to justify these high valuations due to the company's massive scale and increasing competition.
- Despite potential growth in high-margin segments like advertising, these factors are already priced into the stock.
Factors Influencing Walmart's Stock Price
High PE Ratio
Walmart's PE ratio has reached 33x, the highest since 2002, which suggests investors have high expectations for future earnings growth. Such high valuations increase risk, as they often lead to larger price corrections if expectations are not met.
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio
The price-to-free cash flow ratio has risen above 50x, indicating that free cash flows are underperforming earnings due to increased capital expenditures. This suggests that investors are paying a premium that is not supported by current cash flow performance, making the stock potentially overvalued.
Earnings Growth Prospects
Earnings growth appears constrained by Walmart's existing market dominance and increased competition from companies like Amazon and Costco. Without significant growth potential, the high valuation multiples may not be sustainable.
Advertising Revenue Growth
Walmart's advertising revenue grew by 28% last fiscal year, offering potential for margin expansion. However, despite its potential, this growth aspect might already be factored into the high valuation, limiting its immediate impact.
Market Sentiment and Correlation with S&P 500
Walmart's stock has shown a 90% correlation with S&P 500, meaning general market trends heavily influence its stock price. During times of market optimism, this correlation can drive multiple expansion even further.
Review the original AnalysisWalmart's Digital Expansion and Automations Pave Bullish Path Amidst Risks
In a compelling review of Hunter Wolf Research's latest analytical financial article, the author maintains a bullish stance on Walmart (WMT) stock, signaling confidence in its future performance. With 112 publications since 2015, the author demonstrates a consistent and active presence in the finance community. Gathering insights from their analysis has been a reliable resource, as reflected by their 1,623 subscribers. The author's viewpoints are widely respected, with high credibility, thanks to a substantial authority standing. This track record underscores the popularity and trustworthiness of their perspectives, making this latest bullish analysis on WMT particularly noteworthy for investors. Readers can anticipate a well-founded assessment filled with actionable insights, resonating with the analytical rigor that has characterized the author’s contributions over the years.
Key Theses of the Review
- Walmart's e-commerce and omnichannel growth are pivotal for its 'Buy' rating with a $90 target price.
- Strong e-commerce growth with a 20% year-over-year increase and 32% rise in marketplace services enhanced same-store sales.
- Automation and AI initiatives are expected to reduce operating costs and boost margins, supporting a 6% revenue growth forecast.
- Key risks include prescription opiate litigation, rising labor costs, and declining stock buyback activity, suggesting possible stock overvaluation concerns.
Factors Influencing WMT Stock Price
E-commerce growth
The company's 20% year-over-year e-commerce growth significantly contributed to overall same store sales, indicating strong market demand and scalability. This boosts investor confidence in future revenue streams.
Marketplace services
Marketplace services grew by 32% year-over-year, with advertising sales up nearly 50%, showcasing the potential for high-margin customer acquisition and increased total sales volumes. This positions Walmart strongly against competitors like Amazon.
Automation and AI initiatives
By automating 3,000 out of 4,600 stores by year-end, Walmart aims to cut costs and improve margins, enhancing profitability amid rising labor costs. The scale and scope of automation reflect significant strategic investment.
Prescription opiate litigation
Pending over 340 litigations, potential financial liabilities and reputational risks could affect investor sentiment and stock price. However, outcomes remain uncertain, adding a layer of risk but not immediate financial impact.
Labor costs
Walmart's rise in minimum wage to $14 reflects inflation pressures and competitive labor market dynamics, escalating operating expenses. Continued wage pressure could compress margins if not offset by increased automation and efficiency gains.
Share repurchase reduction
A significant drop in stock buybacks might suggest management's view of current stock overvaluation, potentially affecting market perception. This may lead to cautious investor behavior regarding future share price growth.
Review the original AnalysisCommentary
Walmart's focus on e-commerce and marketplace services has positioned it for sustainable growth, with its 20% increase in online sales and a 32% rise in marketplace services driving confidence in its digital strategy. This groundwork supports the company's ability to capture market share, especially against prominent competitors. The commitment to expanding automation across 3,000 stores further enhances its potential for cost reduction and margin improvement, crucial in an era of rising labor expenses.
Despite these advancements, Walmart faces latent risks. Ongoing prescription opiate litigations present uncertain financial liabilities, while increases in labor costs may compress margins if not offset efficiently. A reduced pace in share repurchases could imply concerns about stock overvaluation. However, in the short term, Walmart’s strategic investments in innovation and technology likely outweigh these concerns, encouraging a bullish outlook in the next 15 days and potentially extending into the next month, as long as automation gains traction and digital sales remain robust.
Comprehensive Analysis of Walmart (WMT) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of Walmart's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in Walmart stock?
- When should I record a loss on Walmart stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for Walmart stock?
- What is the future of Walmart stock?
We forecast Walmart stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Walmart stocks.
Walmart, Inc. News influencing stock rates
As of now, Panda has combed through 16 news items directly related to WMT from the last 30 days. Out of these, 3 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 7 display bearish tendencies, and 6 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is dominating bullish sentiments by 1.8 times, indicating that the current news landscape is negatively impacting the company's stock prices in the foreseeable future.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Sep 14, 2024, to Oct 03, 2024.
Amazon & Walmart Under Fire: Sellers Challenge India's Antitrust Ruling
Walmart Shines with Street-High PT While Dollar General Faces Downgrade
Costco Gains Market Share Amid Mixed Earnings
Walmart Surges Ahead as Costco Faces Potential Slowdown
Xiaomi Demands CCI Retract Flipkart Collusion Report
Walmart to Introduce Instant Bank Payments, Bypassing Card Networks
Retailers Gear Up for Early Holiday Push Amid Economic Concerns
BTIG Warns: Consumer Staples Sector at Risk of Overheating
Walmart Sells Dada Stake to JD.com Amid Strategic Restructuring
Hasbro's Strategic Toy Presentation Elevates Holiday Prospects
Navigating the Peaks and Troughs: A Detailed Forecast on Walmart Stocks (WMT)
As Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT), the colossal grocery titian, makes headlines with its latest financial disclosures, investors and market watchers are keenly evaluating the trajectory of its stock performance. The fluctuation in the WMT stock price has sparked a plethora of questions: Is WMT a good stock to buy? Why is WMT stock down, and what could its price prediction look like? Let’s delve into the nuances of forecasting WMT stock rates and explore the key factors that will shape its future value.
Deciphering Walmart’s Financial Performance
Reflecting on Walmart’s recent financial achievements, it’s clear that the company has been on a roller coaster ride. After reporting a moderate yet positive fiscal Q3 ’24 performance with revenue growth at 5%, operating income growth at a standstill, and EPS (Earnings Per Share) growth at 2%, Walmart’s stock momentarily dipped from $170 to $155 post-release. The minimal EPS upside surprise of 1% marked the lowest in the past six quarters, illustrating a cautious guidance approach from the company. However, with the stock rebounding to its pre-decline level of $170, investors are left pondering the WMT stock forecast.
Predicting the future of WMT stocks involves scrutinizing upcoming financial results, market conditions, and company-specific developments. For instance, Walmart’s expected announcement of its fiscal Q4 ’24 results before the market opens on February 20, 2024, following President’s Day closure, is highly anticipated. With predicted YoY revenue growth at 6%, operating income growth at 12%, and EPS growth at 8%, these results could significantly influence WMT stock price predictions.
Furthermore, the fiscal ’25 outlook seems promising, with expected EPS growth at 9%, revenue growth at 3%, and operating income growth at 11%. However, factors such as unexpected litigation charges, as seen in fiscal Q3 ’24, can obscure predictions and impact the stock negatively.
Forecasting Challenges and Market Influence
Accurately predicting the WMT stock price involves understanding the dynamic interplay of market conditions, investor sentiment, and corporate performance. While Walmart has a history of cautious guidance and outperforming estimates, unforeseen events, such as litigation or market volatility, pose challenges to precise forecasting. Analysts and investors must remain vigilant, analyzing incoming data and market trends to adjust their WMT stock forecast accordingly.
In conclusion, while the WMT stock buy or sell decision hinges on upcoming financial results and market conditions, the outlined factors underscore the complexities in forecasting such a dynamic entity. Investors eyeing the Walmart stock forecast or contemplating a WMT stock buy or sell decision should weigh these considerations to navigate the intricate landscape of stock investments.
Walmart Inc., the retail behemoth from the United States, known to many by its stock symbol WMT on the New York Stock Exchange, boasts a wide-ranging influence across a variety of shopping categories, bringing an extensive array of products and services to its doorstep. As of September 23rd, Walmart is sharing the wealth with its shareholders, dishing out quarterly dividends of $0.57 per share. This generosity points to an annual dividend yield of 1.40%. What’s more impressive is that Walmart has consistently upped its dividend game for a jaw-dropping 50 years without a break.
When it came time to wrap up the second quarter of 2023, Insider Monkey cracked open their ledger to reveal that 81 savvy hedge funds had cast their lot with Walmart Inc. Together, these financial players had sunk a cool $5.4 billion into the company. Standing tall among this assembly of investors was D E Shaw, seizing the title as Walmart’s top shareholder for that period.
Walmart daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 12 | 80.30 | 79.07 | 81.23 | 2.74 |
Oct 13 | 80.38 | 79.69 | 81.09 | 1.76 |
Oct 14 | 78.92 | 78.15 | 80.01 | 2.38 |
Oct 15 | 78.90 | 77.83 | 79.99 | 2.78 |
Oct 16 | 80.10 | 79.41 | 80.87 | 1.84 |
Oct 17 | 81.35 | 80.83 | 81.97 | 1.41 |
Oct 18 | 81.38 | 81.01 | 82.00 | 1.23 |
Oct 19 | 81.68 | 81.09 | 82.18 | 1.35 |
Oct 20 | 80.78 | 80.28 | 81.12 | 1.05 |
Oct 21 | 80.68 | 79.59 | 81.30 | 2.15 |
Oct 22 | 79.42 | 78.23 | 79.79 | 1.99 |
Oct 23 | 80.41 | 79.75 | 81.07 | 1.65 |
Oct 24 | 80.67 | 80.28 | 81.02 | 0.92 |
Oct 25 | 80.29 | 79.48 | 80.74 | 1.60 |
Oct 26 | 79.91 | 79.25 | 80.60 | 1.69 |
Oct 27 | 80.79 | 79.82 | 81.81 | 2.49 |
Oct 28 | 81.90 | 81.10 | 82.67 | 1.94 |
Oct 29 | 82.08 | 81.66 | 82.94 | 1.57 |
Oct 30 | 82.59 | 81.75 | 82.94 | 1.45 |
Oct 31 | 82.20 | 81.31 | 83.15 | 2.26 |
Nov 01 | 82.77 | 81.61 | 83.78 | 2.66 |
Nov 02 | 82.51 | 81.63 | 83.51 | 2.30 |
Nov 03 | 82.41 | 81.76 | 83.13 | 1.67 |
Nov 04 | 82.47 | 82.09 | 83.41 | 1.61 |
Nov 05 | 83.66 | 82.94 | 84.88 | 2.34 |
Nov 06 | 84.80 | 83.49 | 85.65 | 2.58 |
Nov 07 | 83.66 | 82.73 | 84.72 | 2.41 |
Nov 08 | 83.28 | 82.59 | 84.51 | 2.32 |
Nov 09 | 82.79 | 81.87 | 83.67 | 2.20 |
Nov 10 | 82.94 | 81.83 | 83.64 | 2.21 |
Walmart Daily Price Targets
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-12-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-12-2024: $80.30.
Negative dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.669%.
Pessimistic target level: 79.07
Optimistic target level: 81.23
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-13-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-13-2024: $80.38.
Positive dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.725%.
Pessimistic target level: 79.69
Optimistic target level: 81.09
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-14-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-14-2024: $78.92.
Negative dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.328%.
Pessimistic target level: 78.15
Optimistic target level: 80.01
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-15-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-15-2024: $78.90.
Negative dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.703%.
Pessimistic target level: 77.83
Optimistic target level: 79.99
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-16-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-16-2024: $80.10.
Positive dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.803%.
Pessimistic target level: 79.41
Optimistic target level: 80.87
Walmart Stock Forecast 10-17-2024.
Forecast target price for 10-17-2024: $81.35.
Positive dynamics for Walmart shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.389%.
Pessimistic target level: 80.83
Optimistic target level: 81.97
WMT (WMT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nov. | 81.34 | 77.68 | 82.90 | 6.30 |
Dec. | 85.53 | 83.63 | 88.36 | 5.34 |
Walmart forecast for this year
Walmart Stock Prediction for Nov 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $81.3361. Pessimistic: $77.68. Optimistic: $82.90
Walmart Stock Prediction for Dec 2024
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $85.533. Pessimistic: $83.63. Optimistic: $88.36
Walmart (WMT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 83.94 | 82.23 | 85.20 | 3.49 |
Feb | 81.47 | 80.20 | 83.72 | 4.20 |
Mar | 78.35 | 75.15 | 81.03 | 7.25 |
Apr | 77.41 | 76.11 | 78.61 | 3.19 |
May | 77.45 | 74.57 | 79.87 | 6.63 |
Jun | 78.85 | 75.06 | 81.45 | 7.84 |
Jul | 78.80 | 77.33 | 80.78 | 4.27 |
Aug | 75.77 | 74.00 | 79.27 | 6.65 |
Sep | 77.09 | 74.45 | 79.50 | 6.34 |
Oct | 73.62 | 70.27 | 75.96 | 7.50 |
Nov | 73.98 | 70.91 | 76.33 | 7.09 |
Dec | 76.68 | 74.43 | 79.31 | 6.15 |
Walmart (WMT) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 76.78 | 75.81 | 80.05 | 5.29 |
Feb | 74.70 | 73.13 | 77.03 | 5.06 |
Mar | 73.18 | 71.99 | 75.15 | 4.21 |
Apr | 73.05 | 70.11 | 74.45 | 5.83 |
May | 75.02 | 72.86 | 77.18 | 5.60 |
Jun | 75.87 | 74.37 | 79.29 | 6.20 |
Jul | 72.46 | 69.59 | 73.59 | 5.44 |
Aug | 70.98 | 68.21 | 73.11 | 6.70 |
Sep | 68.13 | 67.15 | 70.05 | 4.14 |
Oct | 71.15 | 70.30 | 73.80 | 4.74 |
Nov | 69.49 | 68.15 | 72.78 | 6.36 |
Dec | 71.66 | 69.94 | 72.82 | 3.96 |
Walmart information and performance
702 SOUTHWEST 8TH ST, BENTONVILLE, AR, US
Market capitalization of the Walmart, Inc. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of WMT shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of Walmart is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
Walmart (WMT) stock dividend
Walmart last paid dividends on 12/12/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 01/06/2025. The amount of dividends is $0.795 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
Related stocks from Counsumer defensive sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.
Commentary
Walmart is facing a bit of a reality check with its current stock valuations. The PE ratio sitting at 33x and the price-to-free cash flow ratio soaring over 50x are signals that valuations may have outrun fundamental performance. Investors often look to these metrics to evaluate the sustainability of growth, and for Walmart, the numbers suggest that expectations might be overly optimistic. The company's struggle for notable earnings growth amidst stiff competition from Amazon and Costco casts doubt on its ability to maintain these high stock prices consistently.
When we break down the factors, Walmart appears to have a mixed bag. On one hand, their double-digit growth in advertising revenue is promising, but on the other hand, the influence of broader market sentiment, heavily correlated with the S&P 500, hints at more volatility. With an average influence strength pointing towards a mix of powerful forces at play, there’s a suggestion that in the next 15 days to a month, caution might be warranted as overvaluation concerns could prompt a market correction. Potential investors might want to pause for clearer signals before diving in.