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AGNC Investment (AGNC) Stock Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: March 19, 2025 (14:45)
Sector: Real EstateThe share price of AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) now
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Analyzing the Most Important AGNC news

AGNC Maintains Steady $0.12 Dividend With Attractive 14.34% Yield


AGNC Investment Maintains $0.12 Monthly Dividend with Strong 13.96% Yield


AGNC Q4 Boost: Rising Interest Income and Lower Expenses Fuel Optimism

Historical and forecast chart of AGNC Investment stock
The chart below shows the historical price of AGNC Investment stock and a prediction chart for the next month.
For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast,
and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the AGNC Investment stock price can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
AGNC Investment Corp. Analysts predictions review

AGNC Investment faces significant challenges due to the inverted yield curve and elevated interest rate volatility, which compress net interest margins and create downward pressure on profitability. While the company’s hedging strategies and a steep discount to book value provide some upside potential, the sustainability of its high dividend yield is under scrutiny amid a declining rate environment. Macroeconomic headwinds, particularly rate sensitivity and inflationary pressures, further exacerbate risks to book value and share price stability. Investors should remain cautious given these uncertainties.

AGNC Investment: Rising Risks Amid Inverted Yield Curve – A Potential Exit Opportunity

The performance of AGNC Investment is heavily influenced by the state of the yield curve, which is currently inverted—a development that historically signals economic turbulence and compresses net interest margins (NIM). According to the author, such an environment erodes AGNC's ability to generate attractive spreads, creating downward pressure on profitability.
Impact of Interest Rate Volatility on AGNC
Elevated interest rate volatility poses additional risks, as it diminishes the predictability of cash flows and the ability to hedge effectively. The author underscores that these dynamics could amplify book value deterioration and investor aversion to the stock.
Another key factor is the stock's high dividend yield, which attracts investors but may not be sustainable in a declining NIM environment. The preservation of income at the expense of book value raises long-term concerns about the viability of AGNC's payout strategy, further weighing on its valuation outlook.

AGNC Investment: Compelling Yield Opportunity Amid Evolving Interest Rate Landscape

AGNC's focus on mortgage-backed securities offers a strategic advantage in the current interest rate environment. The company’s portfolio, primarily tied to agency-backed residential mortgages, stands to benefit from a potential stabilization or decline in interest rates, bolstering its book value and dividend sustainability. However, continued upward pressure on rates could compress margins, warranting caution from investors.
Interest Rate Sensitivity and Dividend Strength
The company's high dividend yield remains a focal point for income-focused investors, particularly given its consistent track record of distribution. The author highlights that while the yield appears attractive, it is crucial to consider the near-term impact of rate volatility on AGNC's ability to sustain this performance under tightening liquidity conditions.
Additionally, the company’s hedging strategies play a pivotal role in mitigating risk amid interest rate fluctuations. Effective risk management could enhance AGNC's long-term stability but requires close monitoring as changes in macroeconomic policies unfold.

Why AGNC's 14% Yield Could Be a Top Income Opportunity

AGNC's appeal as an income-generating investment is strongly linked to its ultra-high dividend yield of 14%, which is rare in today's market landscape. Such a yield positions the company as a lucrative option for investors seeking steady cash flow, though the sustainability of this payout relies heavily on the company's ability to manage its portfolio effectively amid interest rate fluctuations.
The author's emphasis on AGNC's exposure to mortgage-backed securities (MBS) highlights its vulnerability to interest rate volatility. As the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments persist, rate sensitivity could lead to fluctuations in AGNC's book value and, consequently, its share price, making this an important risk factor to monitor.
Macro Environment and AGNC's Strategy
Macroeconomic factors, particularly rising interest rates and inflationary pressures, play a pivotal role in influencing AGNC's performance. The company's hedging strategies to mitigate MBS risks demonstrate proactive management, but their success will determine how effectively they shield against margin compression in a high-rate environment.
The author's outlook on AGNC's valuation appears favorable, citing its steep discount to book value as an opportunity for investors. While this discount signals potential upside, it also reflects market skepticism around the broader MBS market and AGNC's ability to navigate current headwinds successfully.
AGNC Investment Corp.'s operational stability can be attributed to its strategic focus on agency-backed mortgage securities, which provide a reliable cash flow stream even amid market volatility. According to the author's analysis, this strategic alignment shields AGNC from credit risk, reinforcing its resilience despite fluctuations in broader interest rate environments.
The company’s adept interest rate risk management plays a pivotal role in mitigating potential impacts from Federal Reserve rate adjustments, which have been a volatile factor in recent periods. As highlighted, AGNC has utilized hedging strategies effectively to limit downside risk, a positive sign for income-focused investors seeking stable dividends.
Dividend Sustainability and Market Sentiment
AGNC's high dividend yield remains a cornerstone of its appeal, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns. However, the author identifies that market sentiment around these payouts could be impacted by shifts in yield spreads, which warrants monitoring from investors.
Lastly, leverage remains a double-edged sword for AGNC, amplifying returns during favorable conditions but posing risk in volatile markets. The management’s disciplined capital allocation and focus on maintaining a robust balance sheet further alleviate concerns, ensuring sustainable operations in uncertain economic climates.
AGNC Investment Corp., as a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT), has capitalized on its portfolio of agency mortgage-backed securities during a period of heightened interest rate uncertainty. The company's strategic focus on leveraging its asset base, coupled with prudent hedging strategies, mitigates risks associated with interest rate fluctuations, as highlighted by the author. This makes AGNC appealing for income-focused investors, particularly given its attractive dividend yield.
Evaluating AGNC's Risks and Opportunities
The author emphasizes AGNC's response to macroeconomic challenges, particularly the Federal Reserve's ongoing monetary tightening. While rate hikes pose inherent risks to mREIT margin pressures, AGNC's robust hedging mechanisms have partially alleviated potential downside risks, demonstrating strong operational resilience. Additionally, the firm’s valuation metrics suggest a discount to book value, which could signal upside potential if the interest rate environment stabilizes.
Finally, the article draws attention to AGNC's dividend sustainability and its appeal to investors seeking reliable cash flows. While the payouts are compelling, investors must remain watchful of external factors, such as changes in the yield curve or housing market conditions, which could influence future dividend stability. In this context, the author’s upgraded rating underlines confidence in AGNC's ability to navigate near-term uncertainty effectively.
AGNC Investment Corp.'s ability to sustain its double-digit dividend yield hinges significantly on its portfolio composition and overall risk management. By focusing on agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), the company benefits from low credit risk, but its heavy reliance on leverage exposes it to rising interest rate volatility. The author rightly highlights that this leverage-driven strategy is a double-edged sword, providing high income but amplifying vulnerability to tightening monetary policy.
Impact of Interest Rates and Book Value Dynamics
The sensitivity of AGNC's stock price to Federal Reserve interest rate decisions is another critical factor. With a hawkish monetary policy potentially compressing net interest margins, the company's earnings power could face material pressure. The author emphasizes that unexpected rate hikes or prolonged periods of high rates could weigh heavily on its book value, further challenging dividend sustainability.
Meanwhile, the dividend yield, while enticing, may act as both a strength and a liability. On one hand, it continues to attract income-focused investors; on the other, it raises questions about the long-term feasibility of maintaining such payouts under macroeconomic headwinds. If dividend cuts are perceived as imminent, investor sentiment could dampen, leading to downward pressure on the stock.
The interplay between AGNC's hedging practices and macro risks also deserves attention. While hedging strategies help mitigate interest rate exposure, their effectiveness fluctuates in volatile environments. Investors must consider whether current protections are adequate for cushioning adverse shifts in rates or spreads, as this will directly influence AGNC's risk-return profile in the near term.
AGNC Investment's ability to generate consistent and attractive yields, currently nearing 16%, underscores the company's position as a top-tier mortgage REIT (mREIT) for income-focused investors. By capitalizing on its portfolio of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), AGNC benefits from the implicit backing of the U.S. government, which enhances its credit quality even in volatile market environments. The author highlights this strong yield performance as a primary appeal for investors seeking cash flow in a higher-rate climate.
Impact of Rate Sensitivity and Hedging Strategies
Interest rate risks remain a key influence for the stock, as shifts in Federal Reserve policy significantly impact the valuation of MBS portfolios. However, AGNC's proactive use of hedging strategies likely mitigates the adverse effects of rising interest rates, preserving its book value and supporting long-term profitability. The analysis emphasizes the company's balanced approach to navigating rate volatility, which remains critical for maintaining investor confidence.
The article also points to AGNC's historically low price-to-book (P/B) ratio, which could suggest undervaluation relative to its intrinsic value. The discounted valuation may attract value investors who view the stock as an opportunity to gain exposure to a high-yield mREIT with a substantial margin of safety. This lends further support to the bullish outlook on AGNC in the near term.
AGNC's strong focus on high-yield dividends continues to be a significant draw for income-focused investors. The company's consistent payout, funded by its leveraged portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS), underscores its stability despite potential fluctuations in interest rate environments, as noted by the author.
Interest rate sensitivity remains a central factor influencing AGNC's performance. The author's analysis highlights that rising rates could compress net interest margin (NIM), creating short-term headwinds; however, declining rates conversely present a constructive environment for capital gains and refinancing activity within its MBS portfolio.
Leverage and Risk Management Strategies
The company's tactical use of leverage is a key differentiator, allowing it to amplify returns while employing hedging strategies to mitigate risks. Despite these measures, the author warns that excessive volatility in bond markets could pressure AGNC's book value and, consequently, its stock price.
Finally, macroeconomic trends and Federal Reserve actions are critical external drivers. The author emphasizes that AGNC's performance is intricately tied to Fed policy, which could either provide tailwinds or act as a constraint depending on the trajectory of rate hikes or cuts. Investors should closely monitor these dynamics when assessing the stock's near-term outlook.
AGNC's recent performance is highly influenced by interest rate volatility, a critical factor for mortgage REITs. When rates fluctuate sharply, AGNC's portfolio valuation faces pressure, which in turn impacts book value and potential shareholder returns. The author emphasizes the need for careful consideration of the Federal Reserve’s future rate trajectory, as it will likely dictate AGNC's ability to manage leverage and maintain dividend stability.
Asset Composition and Hedging Strategies Under Scrutiny
Another focal point is AGNC's asset composition, particularly in relation to agency MBS holdings. The author suggests that while these assets provide relative safety due to government backing, their sensitivity to rate changes introduces challenges in mitigating duration risk effectively. Furthermore, AGNC's hedging strategies are highlighted as a key driver of its performance stability. The effectiveness of interest rate swaps and futures contracts to shield the company from margin compression remains pivotal in navigating this volatile environment.
Lastly, the sustainability of the company’s dividend remains a significant investor concern. While AGNC has historically delivered high yields, the author raises caution about potential dividend reductions if earnings fail to align with payouts due to ongoing market headwinds. This factor is essential for dividend-focused investors assessing their long-term positioning in the stock.
Comprehensive Analysis of AGNC Investment (AGNC) Stock Market Performance
Our multifaceted analysis of AGNC Investment's stock market is grounded in the company's key news stories, insights from reputable analysts, as well as mathematical and technical evaluations. Taking into account assessments from each of these aspects in real-time helps us address the most crucial questions for investors in the most objective way possible:
- When should I take profit in AGNC Investment stock?
- When should I record a loss on AGNC Investment stock?
- What are analysts' forecasts for AGNC Investment stock?
- What is the future of AGNC Investment stock?
We forecast AGNC Investment stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on AGNC Investment stocks.
AGNC Investment Corp. (“AGNC”) is an internally managed investment trust (REIT). The Company invests primarily in mortgage-backed agency securities (“MBS agency”) on a leveraged basis, financed primarily by secured loans structured as repurchase agreements. The main investment objective is to provide its shareholders with attractive risk-adjusted returns through a combination of monthly dividends and an increase in net worth. The Company earns income from interest earned on its investment assets less associated borrowing and hedging costs and net realized gains and losses on its investments and hedging transactions. AGNC employs a proactive portfolio management philosophy to maintain net worth across a wide range of market scenarios. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
AGNC Investment Corp. News influencing stock rates

As of now, Panda has combed through 1 news items directly related to AGNC from the last 30 days. Out of these, 0 clearly showcase a bullish trend, while 0 display bearish tendencies, and 1 events are neutral.
The strength of the bearish trend is roughly equivalent to the bullish sentiment, indicating a certain current stability in stock prices when based on news background analysis.
The news analyzed fell within the period from Mar 13, 2025, to Mar 13, 2025.
AGNC Q4 Earnings Disappoint, But Positive Outlook for 2025


AGNC Misses Q4 Earnings - Is Lower Fed Rate A Silver Lining?


AGNC Faces Profit Dip in Q4 2024: What to Expect Monday


AGNC Maintains $0.12 Dividend with Robust 15.49% Yield


AGNC Maintains High-Yield with Consistent $0.12 Dividend Payout


AGNC Maintains Steady $0.12 Dividend, Offers 15% Forward Yield


AGNC's Interest Challenges: Q3 Expenses Eclipse Income


AGNC Falls Short on Earnings, But Brightens Outlook for MBS


AGNC Investment Misses Q3 Earnings Expectations Despite Economic Return Boost


AGNC Investment Q3 Earnings: What to Expect on October 21st


AGNC Investment daily forecast for a month
Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mar 21 | 10.51 | 10.44 | 10.54 | 1.00 |
Mar 22 | 10.53 | 10.51 | 10.61 | 1.01 |
Mar 23 | 10.49 | 10.45 | 10.55 | 0.99 |
Mar 24 | 10.50 | 10.42 | 10.58 | 1.59 |
Mar 25 | 10.50 | 10.44 | 10.54 | 1.01 |
Mar 26 | 10.52 | 10.45 | 10.54 | 0.89 |
Mar 27 | 10.51 | 10.46 | 10.56 | 0.87 |
Mar 28 | 10.49 | 10.46 | 10.53 | 0.67 |
Mar 29 | 10.59 | 10.56 | 10.67 | 1.07 |
Mar 30 | 10.60 | 10.51 | 10.68 | 1.57 |
Mar 31 | 10.50 | 10.45 | 10.57 | 1.12 |
Apr 01 | 10.49 | 10.41 | 10.55 | 1.36 |
Apr 02 | 10.59 | 10.54 | 10.65 | 1.01 |
Apr 03 | 10.68 | 10.63 | 10.72 | 0.84 |
Apr 04 | 10.77 | 10.73 | 10.80 | 0.65 |
Apr 05 | 10.86 | 10.82 | 10.92 | 0.89 |
Apr 06 | 10.95 | 10.90 | 11.01 | 1.02 |
Apr 07 | 10.95 | 10.91 | 11.02 | 0.94 |
Apr 08 | 10.97 | 10.89 | 11.04 | 1.39 |
Apr 09 | 11.02 | 10.98 | 11.06 | 0.77 |
Apr 10 | 10.99 | 10.97 | 11.06 | 0.82 |
Apr 11 | 10.95 | 10.90 | 11.00 | 0.88 |
Apr 12 | 11.05 | 11.00 | 11.13 | 1.22 |
Apr 13 | 11.02 | 10.99 | 11.04 | 0.44 |
Apr 14 | 11.05 | 11.03 | 11.08 | 0.49 |
Apr 15 | 11.08 | 11.00 | 11.16 | 1.43 |
Apr 16 | 11.00 | 10.96 | 11.08 | 1.16 |
Apr 17 | 11.00 | 10.96 | 11.02 | 0.59 |
Apr 18 | 11.01 | 10.97 | 11.08 | 1.01 |
Apr 19 | 10.93 | 10.88 | 10.97 | 0.84 |
AGNC Investment Daily Price Targets
AGNC Investment Stock Forecast 03-21-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-21-2025: $10.51.
Positive dynamics for AGNC Investment shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.986%.
Pessimistic target level: 10.44
Optimistic target level: 10.54
AGNC Investment Stock Forecast 03-22-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-22-2025: $10.53.
Positive dynamics for AGNC Investment shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.002%.
Pessimistic target level: 10.51
Optimistic target level: 10.61
AGNC Investment Stock Forecast 03-23-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-23-2025: $10.49.
Negative dynamics for AGNC Investment shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.985%.
Pessimistic target level: 10.45
Optimistic target level: 10.55
AGNC Investment Stock Forecast 03-24-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-24-2025: $10.50.
Positive dynamics for AGNC Investment shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.568%.
Pessimistic target level: 10.42
Optimistic target level: 10.58
AGNC Investment Stock Forecast 03-25-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-25-2025: $10.50.
Negative dynamics for AGNC Investment shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.996%.
Pessimistic target level: 10.44
Optimistic target level: 10.54
AGNC Investment Stock Forecast 03-26-2025.
Forecast target price for 03-26-2025: $10.52.
Positive dynamics for AGNC Investment shares will prevail with possible volatility of 0.878%.
Pessimistic target level: 10.45
Optimistic target level: 10.54
AGNC (AGNC) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Apr. | 10.42 | 9.88 | 10.86 | 8.99 |
May. | 10.35 | 9.87 | 10.70 | 7.73 |
Jun. | 10.74 | 10.19 | 11.17 | 8.76 |
Jul. | 10.07 | 9.52 | 10.24 | 7.01 |
Aug. | 10.24 | 9.60 | 10.42 | 7.86 |
Sep. | 10.19 | 10.03 | 10.68 | 6.04 |
Oct. | 9.89 | 9.64 | 10.24 | 5.87 |
Nov. | 10.24 | 9.61 | 10.56 | 9.00 |
Dec. | 9.85 | 9.61 | 10.42 | 7.72 |
AGNC Investment forecast for this year
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Apr 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.4217. Pessimistic: $9.88. Optimistic: $10.86
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for May 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.3466. Pessimistic: $9.87. Optimistic: $10.70
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Jun 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.7357. Pessimistic: $10.19. Optimistic: $11.17
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Jul 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.0743. Pessimistic: $9.52. Optimistic: $10.24
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Aug 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.2355. Pessimistic: $9.60. Optimistic: $10.42
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Sep 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.1946. Pessimistic: $10.03. Optimistic: $10.68
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Oct 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $9.89282. Pessimistic: $9.64. Optimistic: $10.24
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Nov 2025
An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $10.2411. Pessimistic: $9.61. Optimistic: $10.56
AGNC Investment Stock Prediction for Dec 2025
An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $9.8478. Pessimistic: $9.61. Optimistic: $10.42
AGNC Investment (AGNC) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 9.11 | 8.76 | 9.30 | 5.87 |
Feb | 9.04 | 8.67 | 9.30 | 6.84 |
Mar | 8.51 | 8.28 | 8.68 | 4.71 |
Apr | 8.53 | 7.99 | 8.73 | 8.37 |
May | 8.42 | 8.15 | 8.63 | 5.62 |
Jun | 8.82 | 8.40 | 9.37 | 10.32 |
Jul | 9.50 | 9.15 | 9.83 | 6.96 |
Aug | 9.25 | 8.78 | 9.63 | 8.91 |
Sep | 9.53 | 9.25 | 9.78 | 5.46 |
Oct | 9.64 | 9.04 | 9.95 | 9.22 |
Nov | 9.10 | 8.91 | 9.44 | 5.55 |
Dec | 8.60 | 8.05 | 8.79 | 8.45 |
AGNC Investment (AGNC) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027
Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 8.46 | 8.14 | 8.88 | 8.38 |
Feb | 8.67 | 8.50 | 9.14 | 6.99 |
Mar | 9.00 | 8.70 | 9.20 | 5.40 |
Apr | 9.17 | 8.65 | 9.37 | 7.67 |
May | 9.42 | 9.03 | 9.65 | 6.41 |
Jun | 9.87 | 9.54 | 10.39 | 8.21 |
Jul | 9.10 | 8.53 | 9.31 | 8.29 |
Aug | 8.96 | 8.53 | 9.26 | 7.89 |
Sep | 9.24 | 8.84 | 9.64 | 8.28 |
Oct | 9.24 | 9.02 | 9.78 | 7.78 |
Nov | 9.58 | 8.96 | 9.82 | 8.74 |
Dec | 10.08 | 9.70 | 10.71 | 9.41 |
AGNC Investment information and performance
2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA, MD, US
Market capitalization of the AGNC Investment Corp. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of AGNC shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.
EBITDA of AGNC Investment is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.
P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit
Price/earnings to growth
Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.
Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.
EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.
Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.
Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.
Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue
The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).
Number of issued ordinary shares
Number of freely tradable shares
Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.
AGNC Investment (AGNC) stock dividend
AGNC Investment last paid dividends on 02/28/2025. The next scheduled payment will be on 03/11/2025. The amount of dividends is $1.44 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.
Last Split Date: 01/01/1970
Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.
For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.
FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions about AGNC Investment Stock)
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Related stocks from Real Estate sector
All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.