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Hong Kong dollar to US Dollar Forecast (HKD/USD) Prediction for 2025, 2026, 2027
Updated: January 20, 2025 (23:05)
Reverse forecast: USD to HKD
Hong Kong dollar / Dollar price online today
| Now | Tomorrow | 7 Days | 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Dollar (USD) | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | |
| 200 Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Dollar (USD) | 25.5 | 25.4 | 25.4 | |
| 500 Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Dollar (USD) | 63.6 | 63.6 | 63.5 | |
| 1000 Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Dollar (USD) | 127.3 | 127.2 | 127.1 | |
| 3000 Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to Dollar (USD) | 381.9 | 381.6 | 381.2 |
How much will the HKD/USD currency pair cost in 2025, 2026 and 2027? What is the forecast for the HKD/USD currency pair? What is the target price of the Hong Kong dollar / Dollar currency pair for 2025-2027?
We continuously scrutinize the key events in the news flow to assist you in tackling the essential question: Will the Hong Kong dollar rise or fall against the Dollar?
Identifying the trend of the HKD/USD currency pair
The Hong Kong dollar peg remains controversial due to persistent misconceptions about its stability. Despite criticism, the sentiment score is neutral, suggesting limited short-term impact on HKDUSD exchange rates. Investors should monitor potential shifts in market sentiment as these discussions evolve.
Stablecoins’ market expansion, projected to reach $2 trillion by 2028, underscores their role in global finance. The USD-linked nature of most stablecoins provides a solid foundation for the US dollar's competitiveness, reflected in the score of somewhat bullish. This trend bolsters USD valuations amidst global crypto innovations.
However, Federal Reserve indications of potential rate cuts due to geopolitical and trade tensions present downward pressure on the USD. Rate reductions typically diminish the dollar's attractiveness, as evidenced by the somewhat bearish sentiment.
In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin's speculative rally above $1 million intensifies its appeal as an alternative investment, challenging USD prominence. Nevertheless, the sentiment remains somewhat bullish, with broader implications for the dollar's stability.
On regulatory fronts, the Senate's approval of the GENIUS Act signals strengthened US-led cryptocurrency governance. This legislative progress has elicited modest bullish sentiment, enhancing investor confidence in USD-backed digital assets.
In the short term, HKDUSD faces mixed influences with cryptos gaining momentum and macro-economic concerns affecting USD’s resilience. Investors must anticipate volatility driven by emerging regulatory and geopolitical trends.
HKD Trend Prediction
As of now, Panda has analyzed 13 news pieces concerning the HKD currency. The average relevance score for these news items is 0.18 (with the closer to 1 being more relevant).|
2025-06-20
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.06 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-06-12
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.02 | News: 2 (0/2/0) |
|
2025-06-09
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.21 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-06-06
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.04 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-06-05
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.23 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-06-03
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.08 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-05-28
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.24 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
The Misconceptions About the Hong Kong Dollar Peg Explained
June 20, 2025 (01:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.06
The criticism regarding the stability of the Hong Kong dollar peg stems from persistent misconceptions about its resilience and long-term viability. This news highlights concerns that can subtly affect market sentiment, though the neutral sentiment score suggests no immediate drastic impact on HKD’s exchange rate performance.
Ant International plans stablecoin issuance in Hong Kong under new regulatory framework
June 12, 2025 (09:03)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.13
Ant International's pursuit of a stablecoin licence signals increased regulatory clarity in Hong Kong, which may encourage the adoption of digital financial services and influence foreign exchange market dynamics. However, the slightly negative sentiment reflects concerns about potential market volatility tied to fiat-backed cryptocurrencies impacting the HKD.
USD Trend Forecasting
Regarding the USD currency, 262 news pieces were analyzed. The average relevance of these news items is 0.26 (the closer to 1, the higher).|
2025-06-22
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.18 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-06-21
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.02 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-06-20
|
Bullish | Impact: -0.01 | News: 5 (2/1/2) |
|
2025-06-19
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.09 | News: 7 (3/3/1) |
|
2025-06-18
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.09 | News: 9 (3/5/1) |
|
2025-06-17
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.03 | News: 8 (4/1/3) |
|
2025-06-16
|
Bearish | Impact: -0.09 | News: 3 (1/0/2) |
Stablecoins Could Revolutionize the Crypto Market and Reach $2 Trillion in Valuation by 2028, Says Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
June 22, 2025 (09:30)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.18
The rapid growth of stablecoins as a regulated, trusted cryptocurrency sector signals a shift in financial markets that could strengthen the USD's competitiveness globally. With stablecoins broadly tied to the USD, this sector's expansion solidifies the dollar’s relevance in underpinning these digital assets, hence the somewhat bullish sentiment.
Raoul Pal Predicts a Crypto Market Cycle Echoing 2017
June 21, 2025 (06:16)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.02
The projection of a prolonged crypto cycle until 2026 could influence global investment trends, potentially diverting capital from fiat-based assets like the USD into cryptocurrencies. This shift could exert slight downward pressure on the USD exchange rate, as reflected in its near-neutral sentiment score.
This chart provides a comparative trend analysis of sentiment scores over time for HKD and USD currencies, displaying their respective news coverage and associated sentiment.
By visualizing sentiment trends and news volume, investors and brokers can identify potential market-moving events, gauge market sentiment, and make more informed trading decisions.
Historical and forecast chart of the Hong Kong dollar/Dollar currency pair
The chart below shows the historical quotes of the HKD/USD pair and the forecast chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. A detailed forecast of the Hong Kong dollar/Dollar rate can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
HKD Main News
Hong Kong Enacts Comprehensive Stablecoin Law to Strengthen Role as Financial Leader
June 12, 2025 (01:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.09
The comprehensive stablecoin law positions Hong Kong to remain competitive in global finance and may foster increased confidence in the HKD as a stable currency for transactions. This could explain the neutral sentiment observed, as it signifies the potential for long-term stability without immediate drastic changes.
Hong Kong's stablecoin legislation sets the stage for a digital asset boom
June 9, 2025 (00:30)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.21
This news highlights the potential for increased liquidity and investor interest in Hong Kong due to its forward-looking stablecoin legislation, which could enhance confidence in the HKD. The influx of digital asset investments is likely contributing to mildly bullish sentiment on the currency, as seen in its relevance to the news.
Hong Kong Implements Stablecoin Regulations Starting August 1
June 6, 2025 (05:41)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.04
This news introduces regulatory clarity for stablecoins in Hong Kong, which could enhance investor confidence in the city as a financial hub. However, the neutral sentiment score suggests that market participants are cautiously waiting to see the full impact of this law on fiat-backed assets like HKD.
Trend:
Influence: 0
Global Investors Oversubscribe Hong Kong's Multicurrency Green Bond Deal
June 5, 2025 (03:51)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.23
The oversubscription of Hong Kong's multicurrency green and infrastructure bonds reflects strong international confidence in the city's economic stability and sustainable finance initiatives. This bolstered demand for financial instruments denominated in HKD, giving a modest positive push to the currency's exchange rate.
Hong Kong's stablecoin legislation sparks anticipation of tokenisation growth among mainland firms
June 3, 2025 (13:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.08
Hong Kong's legalisation of stablecoins adds a layer of financial innovation that is attracting mainland corporations and holding them optimistic about integration in tokenised real-world markets. However, the marginal negative sentiment score reflects potential short-term volatility in the HKD exchange rate as the market adjusts to these developments.
Hong Kong's regulatory clarity on stablecoins sparks industry optimism
May 28, 2025 (04:00)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.24
Hong Kong's move to regulate stablecoins with high compliance standards signals investor confidence in the region’s financial oversight, slightly strengthening the HKD. However, the potential economic impact from high compliance costs could temper the currency's upward momentum.
HKMA cautions borrowers on potential rebound in Hibor after 3-year low
May 20, 2025 (13:10)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.07
The Hibor's decline benefits borrowers by reducing mortgage costs, but a potential rebound could create uncertainty in borrowing costs, affecting market confidence in the HKD. This uncertainty, paired with its relevance to market stability, is reflected in the neutral sentiment score for the HKD.
Homebuyers benefit from HKMA's currency intervention as interbank rates shift
May 6, 2025 (23:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.03
The HKMA's intervention is affecting liquidity levels, which in turn is reducing Hong Kong dollar interbank rates and lowering mortgage costs. This subtle pressure does not drastically impact the HKD exchange rate but rather stabilizes lending practices amid neutral sentiment.
Hong Kong stocks surge amid hopes for increased foreign investment
May 6, 2025 (02:24)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.16
The optimism surrounding foreign investors buying local Hong Kong assets likely contributes to increased demand for the HKD, providing upward pressure on its exchange rate. The intervention by the HKMA to maintain the currency peg ensures stability while navigating this bullish sentiment.
Hong Kong Intervenes to Stabilize Local Dollar Amid Surge in Regional Currencies
May 5, 2025 (12:40)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.08
The news highlights Hong Kong's proactive intervention to uphold the HKD peg amid increasing capital inflows and a strong regional currency environment. While the sentiment remains neutral, this action reflects efforts to stabilize the currency's exchange rate against the US dollar to ensure market confidence and economic stability.
USD Main News
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Could Trigger $120K Bitcoin Surge Amid Economic Pressure
June 20, 2025 (16:45)
Trend: Somewhat-Bearish
Influence: -0.18
This news suggests a bearish impact on the USD as the Federal Reserve contemplates cutting interest rates in response to heightened geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty from trade disruptions. Lower rates typically reduce the attractiveness of the USD compared to other currencies, weakening its exchange rate.
Why Bitcoin ( BTC ) Is a Must-Buy Before 2026
June 20, 2025 (15:33)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.16
The projected rise in Bitcoin's price, potentially surpassing $1 million, suggests increasing global interest in cryptocurrency as an alternative investment, which could indirectly reduce demand for USD as a fiat reserve currency. Consequently, the somewhat-bullish sentiment reflects expectations of Bitcoin's price surge creating broader implications for USD dominance.
Circle Stocks Surge Following Senate Approval of Game-Changing Stablecoin Law
June 20, 2025 (12:14)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.27
The Senate approval of the GENIUS Act has positively influenced Circle’s shares, creating a ripple effect of optimism in the financial markets over the stability and regulation of the cryptocurrency space. This sentiment has modestly bolstered the USD exchange rate, as it signals increased confidence in the U.S.-led regulatory framework for stablecoins.
TikTok Denies Alleged TRUMP Memecoin Bribe Amidst Accusations
June 20, 2025 (08:58)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.04
The slight relevance and neutral sentiment score indicate that this news would have a limited and short-lived impact on USD exchange rates. The market may assume the news is speculative and does not currently influence key economic indicators or financial policies.
Asian Markets Unsteady, Oil Rises Amid US-Israel-Iran Tension Speculation
June 20, 2025 (05:47)
Trend: Bearish
Influence: -0.36
The news has negatively impacted the USD exchange rate as escalating geopolitical tensions and surging oil prices tend to increase market uncertainty, reducing investor confidence in the US dollar. Additionally, the possibility of US involvement in the conflict adds further risk, pressuring the dollar as investors shift towards safer assets.
US-Iran Tensions Raise Oil Prices, While European Markets Tumble: Impacting Global Markets Thursday
June 19, 2025 (17:09)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.16
The escalation of US-Iran tensions has led to a sharp rise in oil prices, signaling risks to global economic stability that could indirectly influence the USD. The 'Somewhat-Bullish' sentiment for USD suggests investors view the currency as a safer option amidst geopolitical uncertainty, bolstering its exchange rate.
China Reduces US Treasury Holdings to Lowest Level in 16 Years Amid Trade Tensions
June 19, 2025 (13:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.03
China's decision to lower its US Treasury stockpile signals reduced confidence in American debt as a safe asset, likely increasing downward pressure on the USD due to investor concerns. Although the ticker sentiment for the USD remains neutral, this move may introduce volatility in currency markets.
Over 200 Central Banks Sell $48 Billion in U.S. Treasuries, Raising Alarms Over Dollar's Stability
June 19, 2025 (07:52)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.21
The withdrawal of $48 billion in U.S. Treasuries by over 200 central banks suggests reduced confidence in the stability of the U.S. dollar. This move could weigh on the USD's exchange rate as central banks diversify away from dollar-denominated assets, reflecting waning bullish sentiment.
Treasury Secretary Highlights Stablecoins as Key Tool for Strengthening US Dollar Influence
June 19, 2025 (06:21)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.15
This news underscores the potential of stablecoins to reinforce the international prominence of the USD, potentially reducing reliance on other currencies and fostering greater stability. However, legislative delays could temper the positive outlook, keeping the impact on USD exchange rates at a cautiously neutral level for now.
Peter Schiff Questions Stablecoins' Role in Preserving U.S. Dollar Dominance
June 19, 2025 (03:26)
Trend: Bearish
Influence: -0.43
Peter Schiff's skepticism about stablecoins suggests that their primary function is limited to facilitating cryptocurrency trading, rather than supporting the U.S. dollar's global influence. This perception could weaken confidence in the dollar, contributing to bearish sentiment and negatively impacting its exchange rate.
Trump Applauds Stablecoin Bill, Urges Swift Action to Cement U.S. Leadership in Digital Assets
June 19, 2025 (01:24)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.12
The passing of the GENIUS Act signals strong governmental support for the digital asset sector, which could increase demand for USD as the global digital economy strengthens. However, the neutral sentiment indicates that markets are cautiously assessing the legislation's long-term impact on USD stability.
Trump Pushes for Swift Passage of Stablecoin Bill Affecting USD
June 19, 2025 (01:11)
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 0.43
The urgency behind the stablecoin bill showcases a potential alignment between regulatory certainty and innovation, fostering higher confidence in USD-backed digital assets. Markets interpret this as a stabilizing factor for the USD, with sentiment leaning bullish.
What Triggered Circle Internet's Stock to Soar by 33.9% Today
June 18, 2025 (20:36)
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 0.47
The news about Circle Internet Group's surge is connected to the U.S. Senate's approval of the GENIUS Act, which boosts regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies and blockchain. This has led to a more favorable sentiment toward the USD, as such legislation promotes innovation, potentially strengthening the U.S. economy in global financial markets.
PayPal Stock Drops Amid Competition From Coinbase's New Stablecoin Payments Platform
June 18, 2025 (19:07)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.09
The news reflects increased competition in the digital payments space, where Coinbase's USDC-based platform is gaining traction with Shopify integration, potentially reshaping market dynamics. This could modestly affect the USD as interest in dollar-pegged stablecoins like USDC grows, which might influence demand for USD in global transactions.
China’s Push for Global Adoption of Digital Yuan Threatens U.S. Dollar
June 18, 2025 (18:31)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.25
China’s drive to expand the use of the digital yuan threatens the U.S. dollar's dominance as a global reserve currency. This news may lead to a cautiously bullish sentiment for the USD, as investors monitor the potential impact on global financial systems.
Comprehensive Analysis of News and Events influencing the HKDUSD currency pair
We predict the dynamics of currency pairs using resonant artificial intelligence systems. Technical, fundamental analysis, news background, general geopolitical situation in the world and other factors are taken into account.
The results of forecasts of the Hong Kong dollar/Dollar currency pair are shown below and presented in the form of charts, tables and text information, divided into time intervals (Next month, 2025, 2026 and 2027).
Forecasts are adjusted once a day taking into account the price change of the previous day.
Hong Kong dollar / Dollar Daily Forecast for a Month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24 | 0.1273 | 0.1273 | 0.1274 | 0.08 % |
| Jun 25 | 0.1273 | 0.1273 | 0.1274 | 0.12 % |
| Jun 26 | 0.1274 | 0.1274 | 0.1275 | 0.10 % |
| Jun 27 | 0.1274 | 0.1274 | 0.1275 | 0.09 % |
| Jun 28 | 0.1273 | 0.1272 | 0.1273 | 0.09 % |
| Jun 29 | 0.1272 | 0.1271 | 0.1273 | 0.13 % |
| Jun 30 | 0.1272 | 0.1271 | 0.1272 | 0.08 % |
| Jul 01 | 0.1272 | 0.1271 | 0.1273 | 0.10 % |
| Jul 02 | 0.1273 | 0.1272 | 0.1274 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 03 | 0.1273 | 0.1273 | 0.1274 | 0.12 % |
| Jul 04 | 0.1273 | 0.1273 | 0.1274 | 0.13 % |
| Jul 05 | 0.1272 | 0.1272 | 0.1273 | 0.09 % |
| Jul 06 | 0.1272 | 0.1271 | 0.1272 | 0.09 % |
| Jul 07 | 0.1271 | 0.1270 | 0.1271 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 08 | 0.1271 | 0.1271 | 0.1272 | 0.07 % |
| Jul 09 | 0.1270 | 0.1270 | 0.1271 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 10 | 0.1270 | 0.1269 | 0.1270 | 0.07 % |
| Jul 11 | 0.1270 | 0.1270 | 0.1271 | 0.10 % |
| Jul 12 | 0.1271 | 0.1271 | 0.1272 | 0.12 % |
| Jul 13 | 0.1271 | 0.1271 | 0.1272 | 0.14 % |
| Jul 14 | 0.1271 | 0.1270 | 0.1272 | 0.13 % |
| Jul 15 | 0.1271 | 0.1271 | 0.1272 | 0.08 % |
| Jul 16 | 0.1271 | 0.1270 | 0.1271 | 0.12 % |
| Jul 17 | 0.1270 | 0.1269 | 0.1270 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 18 | 0.1270 | 0.1269 | 0.1271 | 0.12 % |
| Jul 19 | 0.1269 | 0.1268 | 0.1269 | 0.07 % |
| Jul 20 | 0.1270 | 0.1269 | 0.1270 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 21 | 0.1270 | 0.1270 | 0.1271 | 0.14 % |
| Jul 22 | 0.1271 | 0.1270 | 0.1272 | 0.13 % |
| Jul 23 | 0.1271 | 0.1270 | 0.1271 | 0.08 % |
Target daily price HKD/USD
Target values of the HKD/USD currency pair as of 06-24-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1274
Pessimistic target level: 0.1273
Target values of the HKD/USD currency pair as of 06-25-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1274
Pessimistic target level: 0.1273
Target values of the HKD/USD currency pair as of 06-26-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1275
Pessimistic target level: 0.1274
Target values of the HKD/USD currency pair as of 06-27-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1275
Pessimistic target level: 0.1274
Target values of the HKD/USD currency pair as of 06-28-2025.
Optimistic target level: 0.1273
Pessimistic target level: 0.1272
Hong Kong dollar / Dollar (HKD/USD) Forecast 2025 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 0.1271 | 0.1268 | 0.1272 | 0.36 % |
| Aug | 0.1267 | 0.1263 | 0.1270 | 0.53 % |
| Sep | 0.1265 | 0.1264 | 0.1266 | 0.18 % |
| Oct | 0.1264 | 0.1261 | 0.1267 | 0.47 % |
| Nov | 0.1269 | 0.1266 | 0.1271 | 0.40 % |
| Dec | 0.1268 | 0.1266 | 0.1270 | 0.30 % |
HKD/USD forecast for this year
Forecast of the HKD/USD pair for Jul 2025
Forecast of the HKD/USD pair for Aug 2025
Forecast of the HKD/USD pair for Sep 2025
Forecast of the HKD/USD pair for Oct 2025
Forecast of the HKD/USD pair for Nov 2025
Forecast of the HKD/USD pair for Dec 2025
Hong Kong dollar / Dollar (HKD/USD) Forecast 2026 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 0.1264 | 0.1262 | 0.1267 | 0.39 % |
| Feb | 0.1265 | 0.1263 | 0.1266 | 0.22 % |
| Mar | 0.1265 | 0.1264 | 0.1268 | 0.35 % |
| Apr | 0.1270 | 0.1268 | 0.1273 | 0.39 % |
| May | 0.1272 | 0.1270 | 0.1275 | 0.35 % |
| Jun | 0.1271 | 0.1268 | 0.1273 | 0.40 % |
| Jul | 0.1269 | 0.1266 | 0.1272 | 0.45 % |
| Aug | 0.1271 | 0.1270 | 0.1274 | 0.30 % |
| Sep | 0.1268 | 0.1264 | 0.1271 | 0.52 % |
| Oct | 0.1263 | 0.1261 | 0.1266 | 0.47 % |
| Nov | 0.1262 | 0.1260 | 0.1266 | 0.45 % |
| Dec | 0.1259 | 0.1257 | 0.1261 | 0.32 % |
Hong Kong dollar / Dollar (HKD/USD) Forecast 2027 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 0.1258 | 0.1257 | 0.1261 | 0.34 % |
| Feb | 0.1260 | 0.1259 | 0.1264 | 0.40 % |
| Mar | 0.1259 | 0.1256 | 0.1263 | 0.55 % |
| Apr | 0.1260 | 0.1259 | 0.1263 | 0.32 % |
| May | 0.1258 | 0.1255 | 0.1260 | 0.41 % |
| Jun | 0.1254 | 0.1251 | 0.1256 | 0.37 % |
| Jul | 0.1252 | 0.1251 | 0.1255 | 0.29 % |
| Aug | 0.1252 | 0.1248 | 0.1255 | 0.53 % |
| Sep | 0.1253 | 0.1251 | 0.1256 | 0.38 % |
| Oct | 0.1253 | 0.1251 | 0.1254 | 0.21 % |
| Nov | 0.1256 | 0.1255 | 0.1259 | 0.34 % |
| Dec | 0.1259 | 0.1255 | 0.1262 | 0.54 % |