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US Dollar to Hong Kong dollar Forecast (USD/HKD) Prediction for 2025, 2026, 2027
Updated: July 9, 2025 (21:30)
Reverse forecast: HKD to USD
US Dollar / Hong Kong dollar price online today
| Now | Tomorrow | 7 Days | 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 US Dollar (USD) to Hong Kong dollar (HKD) | 785.6 | 785.1 | 787.3 | |
| 200 US Dollar (USD) to Hong Kong dollar (HKD) | 1571.1 | 1570.3 | 1574.7 | |
| 500 US Dollar (USD) to Hong Kong dollar (HKD) | 3927.8 | 3925.6 | 3936.6 | |
| 1000 US Dollar (USD) to Hong Kong dollar (HKD) | 7855.7 | 7851.3 | 7873.3 | |
| 3000 US Dollar (USD) to Hong Kong dollar (HKD) | 23567.1 | 23553.8 | 23619.8 |
How much will the USD/HKD currency pair cost in 2025, 2026 and 2027? What is the forecast for the USD/HKD currency pair? What is the target price of the US Dollar / Hong Kong dollar currency pair for 2025-2027?
We continuously scrutinize the key events in the news flow to assist you in tackling the essential question: Will the US Dollar rise or fall against the Hong Kong dollar?
Identifying the trend of the USD/HKD currency pair
The recent surge in blockchain-driven innovations, particularly Ripple's RLUSD and its $500M market cap, suggests a growing institutional confidence in USD-pegged stablecoins. This development, aligned with regulatory accommodations, could bolster the USD's stability as demand for dollar-linked digital assets increases. Strong bullish sentiment in this area may inject sustained momentum into USD valuations via heightened adoption.
Bitcoin's anticipated trajectory toward $110K introduces potential near-term volatility in risk assets, indirectly enhancing the USD's appeal as a safe-haven currency. Concurrent crypto developments, such as Bitstop's expanded access to altcoins, appear less impactful due to lower relevance scores but highlight a progressive shift in fiat-cash utilization dynamics.
The influence of Ripple's strategic partnerships, including with BNY Mellon, underscores institutional acceleration in blockchain adoption. While the current sentiment on USD remains neutral, sustained growth in such initiatives could recalibrate market dynamics, subtly enhancing the currency's reserve significance.
In the short term, investors should anticipate moderate support for the USD, driven by its linkage to emerging stablecoin ecosystems and safe-haven characteristics in volatile crypto trends. However, transitions to blockchain-finance models warrant close monitoring for potential systemic monetary impacts.
USD Trend Prediction
As of now, Panda has analyzed 241 news pieces concerning the USD currency. The average relevance score for these news items is 0.26 (with the closer to 1 being more relevant).|
2025-07-09
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.21 | News: 10 (6/4/0) |
|
2025-07-08
|
Bullish | Impact: -0.02 | News: 5 (2/2/1) |
|
2025-07-07
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.07 | News: 3 (0/3/0) |
|
2025-07-04
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.02 | News: 3 (0/2/1) |
|
2025-07-03
|
Neutral | Impact: 0 | News: 6 (1/4/1) |
|
2025-07-02
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.04 | News: 12 (2/9/1) |
|
2025-07-01
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.23 | News: 5 (0/3/2) |
Ripple's Collaboration With BNY Mellon Sparks 4% XRP Surge Amid Stablecoin Growth
July 9, 2025 (15:35)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.08
The news highlights the growing involvement of institutional players like BNY Mellon in blockchain-based stablecoin initiatives, indicating increased confidence in alternatives linked to the U.S. dollar. While the neutral sentiment shows minimal immediate impact on the USD exchange rate, long-term shifts in market dynamics due to stablecoins could challenge traditional fiat dominance.
Bitcoin's Road to $110K: Macro Signals Prompt Turbulent Times for Traders
July 9, 2025 (14:39)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.29
The anticipation of Bitcoin's climb to $110,000 amidst macroeconomic signals creates uncertainty in risk-assets, indirectly influencing USD sentiment. Traders may see a cautious uptick in USD strength due to its 'safe haven' appeal against volatility in cryptocurrencies and associated markets.
HKD Trend Forecasting
Regarding the HKD currency, 6 news pieces were analyzed. The average relevance of these news items is 0.15 (the closer to 1, the higher).|
2025-06-12
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.13 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-06-09
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.21 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-06-06
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.04 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-06-05
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.23 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
|
2025-06-03
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.08 | News: 1 (0/1/0) |
|
2025-05-28
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.24 | News: 1 (1/0/0) |
Ant International moves to obtain stablecoin licence in Hong Kong
June 12, 2025 (09:03)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.13
The announcement of Ant International's application for a stablecoin issuer licence may lead to increased regulatory scrutiny and uncertainty in Hong Kong's financial market, slightly impacting confidence in the HKD. However, the neutral sentiment score suggests the market reaction to this news remains relatively subdued for now.
Hong Kong's stablecoin law sparks massive growth in digital asset market
June 9, 2025 (00:30)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.21
Hong Kong's stablecoin law is expected to boost the HKD exchange rate by attracting a surge in investments and inflows of fresh liquidity to the city’s digital asset market, as suggested by the 'Somewhat-Bullish' sentiment. This regulatory certainty likely increases investor confidence, leading to heightened demand for the HKD in digital trading platforms and related activities.
This chart provides a comparative trend analysis of sentiment scores over time for USD and HKD currencies, displaying their respective news coverage and associated sentiment.
By visualizing sentiment trends and news volume, investors and brokers can identify potential market-moving events, gauge market sentiment, and make more informed trading decisions.
Historical and forecast chart of the US Dollar/Hong Kong dollar currency pair
The chart below shows the historical quotes of the USD/HKD pair and the forecast chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. A detailed forecast of the US Dollar/Hong Kong dollar rate can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
USD Main News
Ripple's RLUSD Stablecoin Drives XRP Surge Amid $500M Market Cap Milestone
July 9, 2025 (13:10)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.08
The easing of restrictions by federal regulators has fueled the adoption of dollar-pegged stablecoins, significantly influencing global market dynamics. As these tokens now dominate the stablecoin market, the USD exchange rate could experience increased stability due to heightened institutional interest and usage.
Ripple's RLUSD gains traction on Transak, reaching $500M market cap milestone
July 9, 2025 (12:59)
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 0.4
The rapid adoption of Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin reflects growing confidence in blockchain-based financial solutions and may bolster demand for USD-pegged assets. This increased demand is likely contributing to positive market sentiment and a bullish outlook for the USD.
Bitstop Unveils Crypto Access Expansion Across U.S. ATM Network
July 9, 2025 (12:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.14
Bitstop's move to expand access to cryptocurrencies has a neutral effect on the USD as indicated by the sentiment score. However, increased crypto purchases using cash could slightly impact the demand for USD in traditional fiat transactions.
BNY Mellon named as custodian for Ripple's new USD-backed stablecoin amid crypto growth
July 9, 2025 (11:07)
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 0.37
The partnership between BNY Mellon and Ripple to custody USD-pegged stablecoin reserves reflects increasing institutional confidence in cryptocurrency, potentially strengthening the USD's position in digital finance. The bullish sentiment indicates that this development could enhance demand for USD in global markets, positively influencing its exchange rate.
Chamath Palihapitiya Downplays Dollar's 11% Decline in Worst 50-Year Performance, Points to Gradual Decay Without Collapse
July 9, 2025 (10:32)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.01
The significant 11% slide in the USD reflects a waning confidence in the currency due to macroeconomic factors likely exacerbated by market sentiment. However, Palihapitiya's neutral view suggests that this decline is a manageable adjustment rather than a prelude to systemic failure, as also indicated by the modest sentiment score.
Euro Strength and Market Shifts: What It Means for ETF FXE in 2025
July 9, 2025 (10:00)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.2
The euro's appreciation against the U.S. dollar is driven by stronger EU economic growth and policy adjustments, which have reduced the appeal of U.S. assets. This has shifted investor sentiment slightly towards the dollar, with a 'Somewhat-Bullish' outlook for FOREX:USD despite its relative decline.
Bitcoin Benefits as US Dollar DXY Index Hits 21-Year Lows
July 9, 2025 (09:14)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.19
The USD exchange rate has been weakened by the significant drop in the DXY index, which is seen trailing below critical moving averages. This drop signifies reduced confidence in the US dollar's strength, prompting investors to pivot towards alternative assets such as Bitcoin.
Circle and OKX enable seamless, zero-fee USDC-to-US dollar conversions
July 9, 2025 (08:30)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.32
The introduction of zero-fee USDC-to-dollar conversions by Circle and OKX may enhance the utility and attractiveness of USD as traders face lower costs. This innovation is seen as incrementally positive for the USD exchange rate, reflecting increased usage and demand for the currency in digital markets.
Gold ETFs Remain an Attractive Investment Amid Economic Shifts
July 8, 2025 (20:51)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.16
The news highlights how inflation and rate cuts are fueling gold’s upward momentum, which often signals a weaker USD. As central banks continue buying gold, the currency's appeal may lean towards risk-averse assets, gently impacting its exchange rate.
Falcon USD Stablecoin Depegs Due to Liquidity and Collateral Issues
July 8, 2025 (14:23)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.14
The Falcon USD stablecoin's loss of its dollar peg has negatively impacted confidence in USD denominated digital assets. This event has slightly softened sentiment toward the USD, given its perceived link to issues around collateral stability and market mismanagement.
Trend:
Influence: 0
TextMagic Group Reports 9% Decline in Q2 2025 Revenue
July 8, 2025 (05:00)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.23
The economic slowdown reflected in TextMagic's decreased revenue highlights a potential dampening effect on broader economic activities, which indirectly supports the USD as a safe-haven currency. Investor sentiment towards the USD remains somewhat bullish as market participants anticipate reduced risks in comparison to other currencies during economic uncertainties.
Economists Slam Trump's Tariff Decision on Japan and Korea, Call It a Misstep in Trade Diplomacy
July 8, 2025 (04:01)
Trend: Bearish
Influence: -0.38
The imposition of 25% tariffs on imports from South Korea and Japan is seen as a protectionist policy that may disrupt trade relationships and global economic stability, thereby weakening investor confidence in the USD. The bearish sentiment reflects concerns over potential retaliatory trade measures and negative impacts on the U.S. economy.
Japanese Prime Minister Condemns U.S. Tariff Hike on Imports Initiated by Trump
July 8, 2025 (02:45)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.06
The imposition of a 25% tariff on Japanese imports may introduce significant trade tensions, potentially impacting market perceptions of U.S. economic policies. The neutral sentiment on the USD suggests that while the news is relevant, it is not expected to cause major immediate volatility in the exchange rate.
US Dollar Decline Could Trigger Inflation Spike, Top Economist Warns
July 7, 2025 (12:48)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.03
A significant depreciation of the USD increases the cost of imports, which can drive up consumer prices and lead to inflation. As the 10% drop looms, businesses and consumers could face heightened financial pressure, intensifying concerns about economic stability.
HKD Main News
Hong Kong to Implement Stablecoin Regulatory Framework on August 1
June 6, 2025 (05:41)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.04
The new stablecoin law may introduce regulatory stability, reassuring investors and potentially strengthening the HKD exchange rate in the long term. However, the neutral-to-slight negative sentiment indicates some short-term uncertainty as markets adjust to the licensing requirements.
Global Investors Flock to Hong Kong's Oversubscribed Multicurrency Bond Deal
June 5, 2025 (03:51)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.23
This news likely has a somewhat bullish effect on the HKD exchange rate due to heightened international investor interest in Hong Kong's bond market, which reaffirms confidence in the region's financial and economic stability. The focus on sustainable finance and development further bolsters the city's image as a key player in global finance, positively influencing sentiment toward the HKD.
Hong Kong's Stablecoin Legislation Signals Market Growth and Mainland Interest
June 3, 2025 (13:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.08
The HKD exchange rate might be neutral to slightly negative due to concerns over the regulatory impact of stablecoin adoption and its possible implications for traditional financial systems. However, the market boom anticipated by mainland firms could drive increased economic activity, presenting potential long-term benefits for the currency's stability.
Optimism grows in Hong Kong's crypto markets amid stablecoin regulation clarity
May 28, 2025 (04:00)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.24
The passage of stablecoin regulations in Hong Kong provides legal clarity, which is boosting investor confidence in the region, reflecting in a somewhat bullish sentiment regarding HKD. However, the stringent compliance costs could limit broader participation, tempering potential positive effects.
Comprehensive Analysis of News and Events influencing the USDHKD currency pair
We predict the dynamics of currency pairs using resonant artificial intelligence systems. Technical, fundamental analysis, news background, general geopolitical situation in the world and other factors are taken into account.
The results of forecasts of the US Dollar/Hong Kong dollar currency pair are shown below and presented in the form of charts, tables and text information, divided into time intervals (Next month, 2025, 2026 and 2027).
Forecasts are adjusted once a day taking into account the price change of the previous day.
US Dollar / Hong Kong dollar Daily Forecast for a Month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11 | 7.8557 | 7.8500 | 7.8584 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 12 | 7.8536 | 7.8488 | 7.8575 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 13 | 7.8503 | 7.8449 | 7.8565 | 0.15 % |
| Jul 14 | 7.8433 | 7.8372 | 7.8472 | 0.13 % |
| Jul 15 | 7.8478 | 7.8425 | 7.8519 | 0.12 % |
| Jul 16 | 7.8513 | 7.8480 | 7.8570 | 0.12 % |
| Jul 17 | 7.8485 | 7.8456 | 7.8518 | 0.08 % |
| Jul 18 | 7.8494 | 7.8445 | 7.8549 | 0.13 % |
| Jul 19 | 7.8514 | 7.8455 | 7.8572 | 0.15 % |
| Jul 20 | 7.8487 | 7.8469 | 7.8526 | 0.07 % |
| Jul 21 | 7.8509 | 7.8454 | 7.8527 | 0.09 % |
| Jul 22 | 7.8583 | 7.8521 | 7.8620 | 0.13 % |
| Jul 23 | 7.8643 | 7.8609 | 7.8690 | 0.10 % |
| Jul 24 | 7.8720 | 7.8694 | 7.8777 | 0.11 % |
| Jul 25 | 7.8688 | 7.8664 | 7.8705 | 0.05 % |
| Jul 26 | 7.8756 | 7.8734 | 7.8774 | 0.05 % |
| Jul 27 | 7.8797 | 7.8780 | 7.8842 | 0.08 % |
| Jul 28 | 7.8848 | 7.8819 | 7.8910 | 0.12 % |
| Jul 29 | 7.8834 | 7.8771 | 7.8876 | 0.13 % |
| Jul 30 | 7.8853 | 7.8792 | 7.8912 | 0.15 % |
| Jul 31 | 7.8816 | 7.8771 | 7.8877 | 0.13 % |
| Aug 01 | 7.8851 | 7.8793 | 7.8883 | 0.11 % |
| Aug 02 | 7.8829 | 7.8783 | 7.8868 | 0.11 % |
| Aug 03 | 7.8868 | 7.8845 | 7.8922 | 0.10 % |
| Aug 04 | 7.8905 | 7.8858 | 7.8946 | 0.11 % |
| Aug 05 | 7.8939 | 7.8895 | 7.8972 | 0.10 % |
| Aug 06 | 7.8862 | 7.8804 | 7.8897 | 0.12 % |
| Aug 07 | 7.8815 | 7.8782 | 7.8832 | 0.06 % |
| Aug 08 | 7.8805 | 7.8755 | 7.8834 | 0.10 % |
| Aug 09 | 7.8733 | 7.8697 | 7.8794 | 0.12 % |
Target daily price USD/HKD
Target values of the USD/HKD currency pair as of 07-11-2025.
Optimistic target level: 7.8584
Pessimistic target level: 7.8500
Target values of the USD/HKD currency pair as of 07-12-2025.
Optimistic target level: 7.8575
Pessimistic target level: 7.8488
Target values of the USD/HKD currency pair as of 07-13-2025.
Optimistic target level: 7.8565
Pessimistic target level: 7.8449
Target values of the USD/HKD currency pair as of 07-14-2025.
Optimistic target level: 7.8472
Pessimistic target level: 7.8372
Target values of the USD/HKD currency pair as of 07-15-2025.
Optimistic target level: 7.8519
Pessimistic target level: 7.8425
US Dollar / Hong Kong dollar (USD/HKD) Forecast 2025 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 7.8718 | 7.8472 | 7.8938 | 0.59 % |
| Sep | 7.8674 | 7.8532 | 7.8853 | 0.41 % |
| Oct | 7.8721 | 7.8519 | 7.8932 | 0.52 % |
| Nov | 7.8655 | 7.8488 | 7.8768 | 0.36 % |
| Dec | 7.8362 | 7.8278 | 7.8441 | 0.21 % |
USD/HKD forecast for this year
Forecast of the USD/HKD pair for Aug 2025
Forecast of the USD/HKD pair for Sep 2025
Forecast of the USD/HKD pair for Oct 2025
Forecast of the USD/HKD pair for Nov 2025
Forecast of the USD/HKD pair for Dec 2025
US Dollar / Hong Kong dollar (USD/HKD) Forecast 2026 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 7.8343 | 7.8281 | 7.8497 | 0.28 % |
| Feb | 7.8453 | 7.8265 | 7.8688 | 0.54 % |
| Mar | 7.8466 | 7.8265 | 7.8685 | 0.53 % |
| Apr | 7.8572 | 7.8334 | 7.8770 | 0.55 % |
| May | 7.8478 | 7.8346 | 7.8616 | 0.34 % |
| Jun | 7.8513 | 7.8374 | 7.8670 | 0.38 % |
| Jul | 7.8324 | 7.8077 | 7.8406 | 0.42 % |
| Aug | 7.8208 | 7.8005 | 7.8418 | 0.53 % |
| Sep | 7.8299 | 7.8073 | 7.8493 | 0.53 % |
| Oct | 7.8443 | 7.8333 | 7.8534 | 0.26 % |
| Nov | 7.8405 | 7.8336 | 7.8528 | 0.24 % |
| Dec | 7.8600 | 7.8512 | 7.8682 | 0.22 % |
US Dollar / Hong Kong dollar (USD/HKD) Forecast 2027 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 7.8625 | 7.8439 | 7.8773 | 0.42 % |
| Feb | 7.8575 | 7.8326 | 7.8710 | 0.49 % |
| Mar | 7.8732 | 7.8527 | 7.8974 | 0.57 % |
| Apr | 7.8433 | 7.8260 | 7.8611 | 0.45 % |
| May | 7.8470 | 7.8367 | 7.8671 | 0.39 % |
| Jun | 7.8232 | 7.8144 | 7.8304 | 0.20 % |
| Jul | 7.8432 | 7.8288 | 7.8645 | 0.45 % |
| Aug | 7.8583 | 7.8435 | 7.8752 | 0.40 % |
| Sep | 7.8853 | 7.8686 | 7.8951 | 0.34 % |
| Oct | 7.9099 | 7.9029 | 7.9292 | 0.33 % |
| Nov | 7.9146 | 7.8906 | 7.9384 | 0.60 % |
| Dec | 7.9264 | 7.9130 | 7.9413 | 0.36 % |