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US Dollar to Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) Forecast for 2025, 2026, 2027. Sell or Buy?
Updated: April 17, 2025 (11:23)
Reverse forecast: BRL to USD
US Dollar / Brazilian Real price online today
| Now | Tomorrow | 7 Days | 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 US Dollar (USD) to Brazilian Real (BRL) | 589.2 | 593 | 592.1 | |
| 200 US Dollar (USD) to Brazilian Real (BRL) | 1178.3 | 1186 | 1184.2 | |
| 500 US Dollar (USD) to Brazilian Real (BRL) | 2945.8 | 2965.1 | 2960.4 | |
| 1000 US Dollar (USD) to Brazilian Real (BRL) | 5891.6 | 5930.2 | 5920.8 | |
| 3000 US Dollar (USD) to Brazilian Real (BRL) | 17674.7 | 17790.5 | 17762.5 |
How much will the USD/BRL currency pair cost in 2025, 2026 and 2027? What is the forecast for the USD/BRL currency pair? What is the target price of the US Dollar / Brazilian Real currency pair for 2025-2027?
We continuously scrutinize the key events in the news flow to assist you in tackling the essential question: Will the US Dollar rise or fall against the Brazilian Real?
Identifying the trend of the USD/BRL currency pair
Recent developments suggest a mixed outlook for the USDBRL exchange rate, driven by critical geopolitical and economic factors influencing the dollar's valuation. The Federal Reserve Chair's endorsement of a stablecoin legislative framework signals potential integration of USD-backed digital assets into mainstream finance, boosting investor confidence and reflecting a bullish momentum for the dollar.
However, Russia's exploration of a national stablecoin to reduce dependence on USD transactions introduces competitive dynamics. While it hints at a potential weakening of USD demand internationally, the entrenched role of the dollar in global trade still supports a bullish sentiment.
China's reported pivot from dollars to euros and bunds underscores reduced global confidence in the USD, amplifying concerns over its stability. Similarly, Goldman Sachs' assertion of a USD 'overvaluation' aligns with forecasts of increased volatility, potentially driving investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin.
Additionally, investment in a Trump-backed DeFi project reflects growing interest in U.S.-based crypto initiatives, reinforcing some positive sentiment for USD. Collectively, these news items depict a tug-of-war between factors dampening USD dominance and emerging bullish catalysts. Investors should anticipate heightened short-term volatility, with potential USD depreciation in the face of shifting global perspectives.
USD Trend Prediction
As of now, Panda has analyzed 264 news pieces concerning the USD currency. The average relevance score for these news items is 0.27 (with the closer to 1 being more relevant).|
2025-04-16
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.12 | News: 10 (6/3/1) |
|
2025-04-15
|
Neutral | Impact: 0 | News: 9 (1/7/1) |
|
2025-04-14
|
Neutral | Impact: 0.02 | News: 10 (2/6/2) |
|
2025-04-13
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.18 | News: 4 (0/2/2) |
|
2025-04-12
|
Bullish | Impact: 0.1 | News: 2 (1/1/0) |
|
2025-04-11
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.01 | News: 14 (1/12/1) |
|
2025-04-10
|
Neutral | Impact: -0.01 | News: 10 (2/6/2) |
Federal Reserve Chair Powell supports stablecoin legal framework for better cryptocurrency integration
April 16, 2025 (19:31)
Trend: Bullish
Influence: 0.41
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s support for a stablecoin legislative framework boosts market confidence in the USD by positioning the dollar as a key player in the expanding cryptocurrency space. This development could enhance the integration of USD-backed stablecoins, contributing to its bullish sentiment.
Russia Explores Development of National Stablecoin
April 16, 2025 (18:39)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.18
This news suggests that Russia's push to develop its own stablecoin could reduce its reliance on USD-denominated transactions, potentially weakening the global demand for the dollar. However, the impact on the USD exchange rate remains somewhat bullish due to the dollar's entrenched status in global trade.
This chart provides a comparative trend analysis of sentiment scores over time for USD and BRL currencies, displaying their respective news coverage and associated sentiment.
By visualizing sentiment trends and news volume, investors and brokers can identify potential market-moving events, gauge market sentiment, and make more informed trading decisions.
Historical and forecast chart of the US Dollar/Brazilian Real currency pair
The chart below shows the historical quotes of the USD/BRL pair and the forecast chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. A detailed forecast of the US Dollar/Brazilian Real rate can be found in the table below.
Long-term forecasts by years.
USD Main News
Peter Schiff Warns: 'China Selling US Dollars for Euros and Bunds' Amid Trade War Fallout
April 16, 2025 (16:01)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.02
China's movement toward selling U.S. dollars and treasuries alongside purchasing euros and bunds suggests reduced confidence in the USD, potentially weakening its exchange rate. The news highlights the economic repercussions of U.S. trade policies, emphasizing the adverse effects on global USD perception and stability.
Bitcoin poised for a major rebound as Goldman Sachs highlights overvaluation of the US dollar
April 16, 2025 (15:43)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.24
The news suggests that the US dollar may be overvalued, sparking concerns about its strength and resulting in market participants seeking alternative assets like Bitcoin. As confidence in the dollar wanes, such sentiments can create tailwinds for other investments while introducing volatility into USD exchange rates.
DWF Labs invests $25M in Trump-affiliated DeFi project, World Liberty Financial
April 16, 2025 (13:47)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.18
The USD exchange rate appears to be somewhat bullish due to the connection between World Liberty Financial and high-profile figures like Donald Trump, signaling investor confidence in U.S.-based crypto initiatives. Additionally, the $25M investment highlights growing interest in decentralized finance in the United States, boosting sentiment towards USD-backed assets.
Federal Reserve May Shift Focus to Recession Risk While Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty
April 16, 2025 (12:37)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.24
The Federal Reserve's potential pivot to addressing recession risks reflects broader fears of macroeconomic instability, which can weaken the USD relative to other currencies. However, the 'Somewhat-Bullish' sentiment suggests that market participants may believe the Fed's decisive action will mitigate such risks effectively, thus supporting the USD in the long term.
Rogers Communications Inc. Completes Consent Solicitations to Advance Subsidiary Investment Initiatives
April 16, 2025 (11:00)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.09
The announcement regarding Rogers Communications' successful consent solicitations to amend indentures shows financial restructuring activity, which may have an indirect yet mild impact on the USD due to its ties with the NYSE listings. However, the neutral sentiment score suggests limited direct influence on the USD exchange rate in the short term.
Global Markets React: Gold Surges Above $3,300 as Dollar Weakens Amid Trade Tensions
April 16, 2025 (10:40)
Trend: Bearish
Influence: -0.48
The decline in the U.S. Dollar index and USD exchange rates is likely influenced by heightened global economic uncertainty, pushing investors towards safe-haven assets like gold and silver. The bearish sentiment on the Dollar reflects concerns over its stability amidst ongoing trade disputes and pressure from surging commodity prices.
Gold Price Projected to Reach $3700: Implications for ETFs
April 16, 2025 (10:32)
Trend: Somewhat-Bullish
Influence: 0.23
Gold's forecasted rise to $3700 by Goldman Sachs indicates increased demand for safe-haven assets, which typically occurs during times of economic uncertainty. This expectation can slightly bolster the USD, as investors might seek stability in dollar-backed assets amidst fluctuating gold prices.
Is FlexShares HYGV ETF Positioned Well for Current Market Conditions?
April 16, 2025 (10:20)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.05
The news highlights the performance of a prominent bond ETF with implications for credit markets, but its neutral sentiment score suggests limited immediate impact on USD movements. This restrained effect likely reflects broader financial market stability that diminishes significant currency volatility.
Ethena Labs Withdraws from German Market After BaFin Scrutiny
April 15, 2025 (16:28)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.1
The news highlights concerns around the regulatory environment for dollar-pegged stablecoins, adding uncertainty for USD's use in cryptocurrency markets. However, the minimal sentiment impact reflects that broader USD exchange rates are not immediately threatened by this development.
The Surge of Stablecoins to $2 Trillion by 2028: Consequences for the Future of USD Strength
April 15, 2025 (13:23)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.1
The anticipated rise of stablecoins significantly bolsters the demand for US Treasury bills as reserve assets, reflecting an increased reliance on the US dollar in the global digital finance ecosystem. This trend supports the dollar's dominance and could contribute to relative exchange rate stability, aligning with the neutral sentiment score indicated.
Charles Schwab Urges Focus on Stable, High-Quality Investments Amid Persistent Tariff Volatility
April 15, 2025 (11:03)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.08
The USD exchange rate is impacted as heightened bond volatility and spiking yields create uncertainty for investors, leading to a shift towards more stable, risk-averse assets. The perceived weakening sentiment around tariffs and resulting policy responses signal a potential softening in confidence surrounding USD stability.
Will Bitcoin RSI's Recent Highs Overcome Its Seasonal Bearish Trends?
April 15, 2025 (10:30)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.05
The news highlights Bitcoin's potential price breakout based on increased RSI levels, potentially signaling higher demand for BTC in the financial markets. As capital shifts towards Bitcoin for speculative gains, the USD could experience minor depreciation due to reduced demand for Dollar-backed assets.
Governor Blocks Tinian's Stablecoin Launch to Preserve USD Dynamics
April 15, 2025 (05:57)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: 0.08
The vetoing of the bill prevents the introduction of a USD-pegged stablecoin in the Northern Mariana Islands, reducing potential fluctuations in USD demand that could stem from such localized financial projects. This decision aligns with a neutral sentiment, reflecting limited immediate impact on the broader USD exchange rate stability.
Dollar drops to 6-month low as Trump's trade policies fuel investor anxieties
April 15, 2025 (05:19)
Trend: Somewhat-Bearish
Influence: -0.26
The US dollar has been negatively impacted by concerns over the stability of US assets stemming from Trump's trade war policies. A sharp 6.1% drop in the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index highlights investor unease, driving the currency to its lowest point in six months.
Xapo Bank experiences surge in Bitcoin trading during market dip
April 15, 2025 (03:43)
Trend: Neutral
Influence: -0.01
The surge in Bitcoin trading among high-net-worth individuals may slightly weaken USD sentiment as investors shift their focus towards cryptocurrency as an alternative asset during market turbulence. However, the neutral sentiment score suggests the overall impact on the USD exchange rate is limited for now.
Comprehensive Analysis of News and Events influencing the USDBRL currency pair
We predict the dynamics of currency pairs using resonant artificial intelligence systems. Technical, fundamental analysis, news background, general geopolitical situation in the world and other factors are taken into account.
The results of forecasts of the US Dollar/Brazilian Real currency pair are shown below and presented in the form of charts, tables and text information, divided into time intervals (Next month, 2025, 2026 and 2027).
Forecasts are adjusted once a day taking into account the price change of the previous day.
US Dollar / Brazilian Real Daily Forecast for a Month
| Date | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19 | 5.8916 | 5.8724 | 5.9490 | 1.30 % |
| Apr 20 | 5.9008 | 5.8701 | 5.9614 | 1.56 % |
| Apr 21 | 5.9084 | 5.8792 | 5.9583 | 1.35 % |
| Apr 22 | 5.8692 | 5.8479 | 5.9181 | 1.20 % |
| Apr 23 | 5.8593 | 5.8167 | 5.9012 | 1.45 % |
| Apr 24 | 5.9302 | 5.8808 | 5.9726 | 1.56 % |
| Apr 25 | 5.9471 | 5.9301 | 5.9680 | 0.64 % |
| Apr 26 | 5.9255 | 5.8662 | 5.9409 | 1.27 % |
| Apr 27 | 5.9917 | 5.9637 | 6.0408 | 1.29 % |
| Apr 28 | 5.9450 | 5.9210 | 5.9960 | 1.27 % |
| Apr 29 | 5.9110 | 5.8664 | 5.9456 | 1.35 % |
| Apr 30 | 5.8833 | 5.8627 | 5.9323 | 1.19 % |
| May 01 | 5.8925 | 5.8626 | 5.9323 | 1.19 % |
| May 02 | 5.9461 | 5.9229 | 5.9662 | 0.73 % |
| May 03 | 5.9562 | 5.9020 | 5.9964 | 1.60 % |
| May 04 | 5.9368 | 5.9013 | 5.9777 | 1.29 % |
| May 05 | 5.9129 | 5.8522 | 5.9352 | 1.42 % |
| May 06 | 5.8745 | 5.8538 | 5.8943 | 0.69 % |
| May 07 | 5.8065 | 5.7771 | 5.8359 | 1.02 % |
| May 08 | 5.7937 | 5.7447 | 5.8388 | 1.64 % |
| May 09 | 5.7741 | 5.7516 | 5.8071 | 0.97 % |
| May 10 | 5.7125 | 5.6576 | 5.7333 | 1.34 % |
| May 11 | 5.7808 | 5.7598 | 5.8365 | 1.33 % |
| May 12 | 5.8109 | 5.7724 | 5.8509 | 1.36 % |
| May 13 | 5.8660 | 5.8355 | 5.9133 | 1.33 % |
| May 14 | 5.9034 | 5.8589 | 5.9380 | 1.35 % |
| May 15 | 5.9333 | 5.8786 | 5.9565 | 1.33 % |
| May 16 | 5.8971 | 5.8419 | 5.9469 | 1.80 % |
| May 17 | 5.8940 | 5.8695 | 5.9231 | 0.91 % |
| May 18 | 5.9208 | 5.9055 | 5.9462 | 0.69 % |
Target daily price USD/BRL
Target values of the USD/BRL currency pair as of 04-19-2025.
Optimistic target level: 5.9490
Pessimistic target level: 5.8724
Target values of the USD/BRL currency pair as of 04-20-2025.
Optimistic target level: 5.9614
Pessimistic target level: 5.8701
Target values of the USD/BRL currency pair as of 04-21-2025.
Optimistic target level: 5.9583
Pessimistic target level: 5.8792
Target values of the USD/BRL currency pair as of 04-22-2025.
Optimistic target level: 5.9181
Pessimistic target level: 5.8479
Target values of the USD/BRL currency pair as of 04-23-2025.
Optimistic target level: 5.9012
Pessimistic target level: 5.8167
US Dollar / Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) Forecast 2025 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May | 5.8020 | 5.5786 | 5.9200 | 5.77 % |
| Jun | 6.1019 | 5.9274 | 6.2160 | 4.64 % |
| Jul | 5.9610 | 5.8692 | 6.1774 | 4.99 % |
| Aug | 5.7348 | 5.5960 | 5.9524 | 5.99 % |
| Sep | 5.7095 | 5.6310 | 5.9356 | 5.13 % |
| Oct | 5.6530 | 5.5442 | 5.7587 | 3.73 % |
| Nov | 5.8831 | 5.6436 | 6.1322 | 7.97 % |
| Dec | 5.8507 | 5.6866 | 5.9634 | 4.64 % |
USD/BRL forecast for this year
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for May 2025
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for Jun 2025
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for Jul 2025
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for Aug 2025
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for Sep 2025
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for Oct 2025
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for Nov 2025
Forecast of the USD/BRL pair for Dec 2025
US Dollar / Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) Forecast 2026 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 5.9601 | 5.7864 | 6.1601 | 6.07 % |
| Feb | 5.7569 | 5.5732 | 5.9975 | 7.07 % |
| Mar | 5.5289 | 5.3404 | 5.7175 | 6.60 % |
| Apr | 5.4164 | 5.2853 | 5.5624 | 4.98 % |
| May | 5.6666 | 5.4890 | 5.8568 | 6.28 % |
| Jun | 5.9160 | 5.7826 | 6.0754 | 4.82 % |
| Jul | 6.1112 | 5.9600 | 6.2994 | 5.39 % |
| Aug | 6.1818 | 6.0594 | 6.4504 | 6.06 % |
| Sep | 6.3824 | 6.1402 | 6.4631 | 5.00 % |
| Oct | 6.5228 | 6.2896 | 6.7452 | 6.75 % |
| Nov | 6.8421 | 6.6389 | 7.0980 | 6.47 % |
| Dec | 6.9926 | 6.8580 | 7.1541 | 4.14 % |
US Dollar / Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) Forecast 2027 Monthly
| Month | Target | Pes. | Opt. | Vol., % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 6.6273 | 6.3648 | 6.7330 | 5.47 % |
| Feb | 6.6273 | 6.4523 | 6.8496 | 5.80 % |
| Mar | 6.5653 | 6.3811 | 6.7819 | 5.91 % |
| Apr | 6.5581 | 6.3236 | 6.8430 | 7.59 % |
| May | 6.8106 | 6.7094 | 7.0241 | 4.48 % |
| Jun | 6.6308 | 6.4265 | 6.8605 | 6.33 % |
| Jul | 6.7146 | 6.5484 | 6.9658 | 5.99 % |
| Aug | 6.8660 | 6.6206 | 6.9907 | 5.29 % |
| Sep | 6.8434 | 6.6891 | 7.1031 | 5.83 % |
| Oct | 6.8660 | 6.7904 | 7.0208 | 3.28 % |
| Nov | 6.7867 | 6.6486 | 6.9024 | 3.68 % |
| Dec | 6.9882 | 6.9114 | 7.2496 | 4.67 % |