Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Forecast for 2024–2028. Sell or Buy Prediction







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Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Forecast for 2024–2028. Sell or Buy?

Updated: May 3, 2024 (21:20)

Sector: Basic materials

The share price of Vale S.A. (VALE) now

Latest session on the 2nd of May for
Vale S.A. is positive
Trading Volume: 27528776
Open: 12.45 /  High: 12.56 /  Low: 12.34
What analysts predict: $16.22
52-week High/Low: $15.39 / $11.26

50/200 Day Moving Average: $12.51 / $13.64

This figure corresponds to the Average Price over the previous 50/200 days. For Vale S.A. stocks, the 50-day moving average is the support level today.

For Vale S.A. stocks, the 200-day moving average is the resistance level today.

Are you interested in Vale S.A. stocks and want to buy them, or are they already in your portfolio? If yes, then on this page you will find useful information about the dynamics of the Vale S.A. stock price in 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028. How much will one Vale S.A. share be worth in 2024 - 2028?

When should I take profit in Vale S.A. stock? When should I record a loss on Vale S.A. stock? What are analysts' forecasts for Vale S.A. stock? What is the future of Vale S.A. stock? We forecast Vale S.A. stock performance using neural networks based on historical data on Vale S.A. stocks. Also, when forecasting, technical analysis tools are used, world geopolitical and news factors are taken into account.

Vale S.A. stock prediction results are shown below and presented in the form of graphs, tables and text information, divided into time intervals. (Next month, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027 and 2028) The final quotes of the instrument at the close of the previous trading day are a signal to adjust the forecasts for Vale S.A. shares. This happens once a day.


Historical and forecast chart of Vale S.A. stock

The chart below shows the historical price of Vale S.A. stock and a prediction chart for the next month. For convenience, prices are divided by color. Forecast prices include: Optimistic Forecast, Pessimistic Forecast, and Weighted Average Best Forecast. Detailed values for the Vale S.A. stock price can be found in the table below.

Long-term forecasts by years.

VALE Stocks Forecast: Navigating Through Iron Demand and Political Waters

Trend: Bullish
Apr 26, 2024

Investors looking at the Vale S.A. stock forecast must tune into a variety of indicators that spell out the future movement of VALE stocks. The key drivers for these shifts revolve around iron ore demand from China, the unmatched quality of Vale's iron ore, and overarching concerns like provision risks and political interventions.

Iron Demand and Quality at the Forefront

China's insatiable appetite for high-quality iron ore, primarily driven by its focus on electric cars and renewable energy, positions Vale at the heart of a crucial supply chain. The quality of Vale's ore, being the best in the world, not only places it in a favorable spot but also influences the VALE stock forecast positively. Analysts parsing through these factors would find a strong correlation between China's demand metrics and Vale's stock price trajectory. This understanding allows for more accurate predictions in stock movements and identifies optimal investment opportunities in Vale S.A. stock.

However, not all is rosy. Vale faces headwinds in the form of potential provision risks related to past liabilities and the looming shadow of political intervention and government policies, which could reshape mining operations. These elements add layers of complexity to the forecast of VALE stocks. Understanding these dynamics and how they interact with each other gives analysts a robust framework for predicting the future rates of VALE stocks, making "is VALE a good stock to buy" a question with a multifaceted answer.

  • China's demand for iron ore
  • The superior quality of Vale's iron ore
  • Provision risks and political challenges

By tracking these indicators closely, analysts can paint a more accurate picture of Vale's stock potential, ultimately aiding investors in making informed decisions.

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Deciphering VALE Stock Trends: China’s Decarbonization & EV Boom

Trend: Bullish
Apr 17, 2024

Analyzing the upcoming shifts in VALE's stock prices requires a keen understanding of several pivotal factors poised to influence its market valuation. With China's aggressive decarbonization campaigns and the relentless expansion of the electric vehicle (EV) industry, VALE finds itself at a crossroads of significant growth opportunities. The high demand for high-grade iron ore to support these green initiatives places VALE in an advantageous position, given its reputation for producing top-quality ore.

Forecasting with Precision: Navigating VALE’s Financial Landscape

To make the most accurate projections regarding VALE's stock prices, analysts must consider a comprehensive blend of elements. Notably, China's continued shift towards cleaner energy and manufacturing practices underlines an increased need for the type of iron ore VALE can supply. This factor alone could serve as a strong bullish signal for the company's stocks. Moreover, the burgeoning EV market in China, spurred by governmental policies and incentives, further escalates the demand for key minerals and materials, directly benefiting VALE.

In assessing VALE's potential, comparing its financial performance and stock valuation with competitors reveals another layer of insight. VALE's superior operating margins, net margin, and return on equity not only highlight its competitive edge but also suggest that its stock is potentially undervalued. This perceived underestimation creates a ripe scenario for stock re-rating, attracting investor attention and potentially elevating stock prices.

By weaving together these perspectives—China's environmental strategies, the EV industry's expansion, VALE's robust financial health, and the relative undervaluation of its stock—analysts can forge a more nuanced and accurate forecast for VALE's stock trajectory in the near future.

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VALE Stocks: Navigating Through Safety, Expansion, and Financial Performance

Trend: Bullish
Apr 15, 2024

For investors eyeing the VALE S.A. stock, understanding the pivotal factors influencing its forecast is essential. Among these, improvements in safety measures, iron ore capacity expansion, and robust financial performance are at the forefront. Each of these elements plays a crucial role in painting the future of VALE stock rates, offering an intriguing landscape for predictions.

Predictive Elements for VALE's Stock Trajectory

In the aftermath of the 2015 and 2019 dam disasters, VALE has ramped up its safety protocols significantly. This move not only aims to restore investor confidence but also to mitigate future risks, establishing a safer investment environment. For an analyst, these improvements in safety measures can be a solid ground to forecast a steadier, risk-adjusted valuation for VALE stocks.

Simultaneously, VALE's ambitious plan to expand its iron ore capacity by 50 million tonnes per year by 2026 underscores its asset vigor. This expansion is a pivotal factor for analysts to consider, as it directly correlates with potential increases in revenue and profitability, making the Vale stock forecast more bullish.

However, the cornerstone remains VALE's stellar financial performance. With iron ore prices fostering increased EBITDA and cash flow, VALE has demonstrated its prowess in generating substantial shareholder returns, inclusive of hefty dividends. This financial robustness makes VALE a good stock to buy for those seeking consistent returns.

Assessing these factors:

  • Financial Performance
  • Iron Ore Capacity Expansion
  • Safety Improvements

offers a comprehensive view for analysts aiming to make accurate predictions on VALE company’s stock price changes. The interplay of these factors provides a promising outlook for VALE stocks, making it a compelling consideration for investors.

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VALE S.A. Stock Forecast: Navigating through Iron Uncertainty

As investors seek potential opportunities and risks within the commodities market, the focus turns towards VALE S.A. (NYSE:VALE), a giant in the iron ore industry. With its upcoming earnings report on 2/22/2024, expectations are pinned at $0.92 in normalized EPS and $0.98 in GAAP EPS, with projected revenues hitting $13.07 billion. These figures highlight a significant surge in Vale’s Q4 iron ore production, which notably exceeded initial estimates. This development suggests a nuanced landscape for forecasting VALE stocks, particularly given the unpredictable nature of the commodities market.

Factors Influencing VALE Stock Predictability

Several pivotal elements stand out in evaluating the potential trajectory of VALE stocks. Firstly, China’s construction sector, a primary consumer of steel, exhibits declining growth. With new home sales and housing starts significantly reduced, a substantial risk looms over the demand for steel and, consequently, iron ore. This downturn is likely to assert downward pressure on iron ore prices, thereby impacting VALE’s profitability and stock performance.

Notably, the anticipated iron ore prices by the Australian government, estimated at $63/ton by 2028, further complicate the VALE stock forecast. VALE’s production costs are relatively competitive; however, the narrowing margin between production costs and market price raises concerns about future profitability.

Given these factors, the predictability of VALE stocks faces considerable challenges. Market dynamics, heavily influenced by China’s property market and global iron ore demand, will play a critical role in shaping VALE’s stock trajectory. The potential for a significant decline in China’s real estate market, which could have an impact on steel demand and, consequently, iron ore prices, is clouding investor sentiment toward VALE.

In conclusion, while VALE stocks offer an opportunity for those who are aware of trends in the commodities market, it is impossible to ignore the inherent risks highlighted by geopolitical and economic factors. As we anticipate VALE’s earning report, the question remains: Is VALE a good stock to buy? Investors must weigh the high stakes of fluctuating iron ore prices and the Chinese real estate market downturn against the company’s competitive production costs and dividend appeal. The future of VALE stocks is not carved in stone, but rather subject to the turbulent waves of global market forces.

Vale S.A. daily forecast for a month

Date Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
May 05 12.70 12.51 13.00 3.93
May 06 12.77 12.48 12.90 3.35
May 07 12.49 12.27 12.61 2.72
May 08 12.65 12.52 12.75 1.82
May 09 12.81 12.51 12.96 3.59
May 10 13.11 12.98 13.38 3.06
May 11 13.09 12.92 13.27 2.67
May 12 13.06 12.80 13.14 2.63
May 13 13.28 13.15 13.37 1.67
May 14 13.24 13.10 13.43 2.49
May 15 12.89 12.73 12.99 2.01
May 16 13.17 13.05 13.36 2.39
May 17 13.49 13.23 13.57 2.57
May 18 13.75 13.46 13.84 2.85
May 19 14.13 13.91 14.32 2.96
May 20 14.50 14.31 14.72 2.92
May 21 14.71 14.59 15.02 2.99
May 22 14.59 14.43 14.75 2.18
May 23 14.48 14.26 14.59 2.32
May 24 14.65 14.31 14.98 4.67
May 25 14.84 14.73 15.10 2.57
May 26 14.70 14.38 14.85 3.28
May 27 15.03 14.71 15.29 3.92
May 28 15.13 15.00 15.42 2.78
May 29 15.57 15.35 15.75 2.62
May 30 15.70 15.35 15.99 4.17
May 31 15.87 15.77 16.25 3.05
Jun 01 16.03 15.66 16.25 3.81
Jun 02 15.98 15.71 16.25 3.45
Jun 03 15.63 15.39 15.75 2.31

Vale S.A. Daily Price Targets


Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 05-05-2024.

Forecast target price for 05-05-2024: $12.70.
Positive dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.781%.
Pessimistic target level: 12.51
Optimistic target level: 13.00

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 05-06-2024.

Forecast target price for 05-06-2024: $12.77.
Positive dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.239%.
Pessimistic target level: 12.48
Optimistic target level: 12.90

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 05-07-2024.

Forecast target price for 05-07-2024: $12.49.
Negative dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.646%.
Pessimistic target level: 12.27
Optimistic target level: 12.61

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 05-08-2024.

Forecast target price for 05-08-2024: $12.65.
Positive dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 1.786%.
Pessimistic target level: 12.52
Optimistic target level: 12.75

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 05-09-2024.

Forecast target price for 05-09-2024: $12.81.
Positive dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 3.469%.
Pessimistic target level: 12.51
Optimistic target level: 12.96

Vale S.A. Stock Forecast 05-10-2024.

Forecast target price for 05-10-2024: $13.11.
Positive dynamics for Vale S.A. shares will prevail with possible volatility of 2.969%.
Pessimistic target level: 12.98
Optimistic target level: 13.38

VALE (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2024

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jun. 13.62 12.50 14.31 12.68
Jul. 14.69 13.68 15.97 14.34
Aug. 14.72 13.61 15.57 12.59
Sep. 15.34 14.57 15.86 8.13
Oct. 15.49 14.76 16.51 10.58
Nov. 16.73 15.19 17.76 14.47
Dec. 16.41 15.96 17.93 10.99

Vale S.A. forecast for this year


Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Jun 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $13.6235. Pessimistic: $12.50. Optimistic: $14.31


Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Jul 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $14.6862. Pessimistic: $13.68. Optimistic: $15.97


Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Aug 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $14.7214. Pessimistic: $13.61. Optimistic: $15.57


Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Sep 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $15.3397. Pessimistic: $14.57. Optimistic: $15.86


Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Oct 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $15.487. Pessimistic: $14.76. Optimistic: $16.51


Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Nov 2024

An uptrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $16.7321. Pessimistic: $15.19. Optimistic: $17.76


Vale S.A. Stock Prediction for Dec 2024

An downtrend is forecast for this month with an optimal target price of $16.4109. Pessimistic: $15.96. Optimistic: $17.93



Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2025

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 16.77 16.22 17.45 7.03
Feb 16.26 15.36 17.73 13.32
Mar 16.20 14.86 17.68 15.95
Apr 16.79 16.22 18.26 11.14
May 15.76 14.68 17.22 14.72
Jun 16.04 14.62 16.64 12.15
Jul 16.79 15.91 17.86 10.94
Aug 17.38 16.48 18.15 9.19
Sep 17.11 15.98 17.93 10.88
Oct 16.92 15.83 17.51 9.62
Nov 17.43 16.59 18.83 11.88
Dec 18.66 16.90 20.41 17.23

Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2026

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 18.78 17.20 20.22 14.93
Feb 18.57 17.86 20.11 11.19
Mar 18.17 17.56 19.15 8.31
Apr 18.41 17.44 19.45 10.34
May 17.66 16.05 18.74 14.36
Jun 16.98 16.21 18.41 11.96
Jul 18.12 16.97 19.06 10.95
Aug 19.45 18.21 20.06 9.19
Sep 18.17 16.77 19.45 13.78
Oct 16.90 16.07 17.57 8.54
Nov 14.98 14.19 16.23 12.62
Dec 14.29 13.33 15.06 11.50

Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2027

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 14.34 13.76 15.39 10.62
Feb 14.96 13.71 16.22 15.50
Mar 15.75 14.70 17.21 14.61
Apr 15.85 14.71 16.70 11.95
May 16.46 15.98 16.99 5.93
Jun 16.46 14.96 17.52 14.65
Jul 17.66 16.64 18.30 9.03
Aug 18.74 17.10 19.78 13.53
Sep 19.55 19.04 20.16 5.59
Oct 17.21 16.77 18.30 8.35
Nov 18.07 16.90 19.46 13.15
Dec 17.64 16.37 19.19 14.67

Vale S.A. (VALE) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2028

Month Target Pes. Opt. Vol., %
Jan 18.83 17.90 20.59 13.06
Feb 19.23 18.38 19.97 7.97
Mar 20.22 18.48 21.36 13.52
Apr 20.71 19.81 21.46 7.64
May 22.47 20.61 23.90 13.76
Jun 23.71 21.86 25.51 14.28
Jul 24.71 24.03 26.46 9.19
Aug 23.67 21.88 24.53 10.77
Sep 21.80 20.59 23.84 13.61
Oct 21.38 19.99 21.94 8.89
Nov 20.22 19.01 21.68 12.31
Dec 17.99 16.74 19.68 14.92

Vale S.A. information and performance

Vale S.A. Address

AVENIDA GRACA ARANHA #26, RIO DE JANEIRO, BR

Market Capitalization: 53 436 158 000 $

Market capitalization of the Vale S.A. is the total market value of all issued shares of a company. It is calculated by the formula multiplying the number of VALE shares in the company outstanding by the market price of one share.

EBITDA: 84 436 001 000 $

EBITDA of Vale S.A. is earnings before interest, income tax and depreciation of assets.

PE Ratio: 6.72

P/E ratio (price to earnings) - shows the ratio between the price of a share and the company's profit

PEG Ratio: 10.64

Price/earnings to growth

DPS: 1.75

Dividend Per Share is a financial indicator equal to the ratio of the company's net profit available for distribution to the annual average of ordinary shares.

DY: 0.144

Dividend yield is a ratio that shows how much a company pays in dividends each year at the stock price.

EPS: 1.81

EPS shows how much of the net profit is accounted for by the common share.

Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY: -0.097
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY: -0.044
Trailing PE: 6.72

Trailing P/E depends on what has already been done. It uses the current share price and divides it by the total earnings per share for the last 12 months.

Forward PE: 4.975

Forward P/E uses projections of future earnings instead of final numbers.

EV To Revenue: 1.547

Enterprise Value (EV) /Revenue

EV To EBITDA: 4.284

The EV / EBITDA ratio shows the ratio of the cost (EV) to its profit before tax, interest and amortization (EBITDA).

Shares Outstanding: 4280330000

Number of issued ordinary shares

Shares Float: N/A

Number of freely tradable shares

Shares Short Prior Month: N/A

Shares Short Prior Month - the number of shares in short positions in the last month.

Short Ratio: N/A
Percent Insiders: N/A
Percent Institutions: N/A

Vale S.A. (VALE) stock dividend

Vale S.A. last paid dividends on 03/12/2024. The next scheduled payment will be on 03/26/2024. The amount of dividends is $1.75 per share. If the date of the next dividend payment has not been updated, it means that the issuer has not yet announced the exact payment. As soon as information becomes available, we will immediately update the data. Bookmark our portal to stay updated.

Last Split Factor:

Last Split Date: 01/01/1970

Splitting of shares is an increase in the number of securities of the issuing company circulating on the market due to a decrease in their value at constant capitalization.

For example, a 5: 1 ratio means that the value of one share will decrease 5 times, the total amount will increase 5 times. It is important to understand that this procedure does not change the capitalization of the company, as well as the total value of assets held in private hands.




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Disclaimer:

All forecast data on the site are provided for informational purposes of using neural forecasting tools in the financial market and are not a call to action and, moreover, are not trading signals. When using the forecast data, the investor assumes all financial risks. The pandaforecast.com portal is not responsible for the loss of your money in the stock market as a result of using the information contained on the site.